Well, this should help noobs who may want to trade long term and for any one who may want to use this, please try to learn how to use
MACD and RSI for divergence, oversold and overbought market.
With that being said, here is how I go about long term trading with the altcoin market. (This should be for those who want to take advantage of the bottom and peaks, not the HODLers).
1. Since it is a large space, you can make use of this site to look for oversold markets (
https://rsihunter.com), but please be careful the coins or tokens you choose as not all coins should be traded (that is my own opinion) and in that case you may want to be sure of the coin by trying to check the team, project and idea, before going ahead, except it is a coin or token you are already familiar with. You can search the particular coin market on coinmarketcap.com to get some information such as website, history and stuff.
2. Also, you should consider time frame that suits you best, but for long term and this pattern, 4hr and daily time frame is perfect. You can make that decision after trying both time frames on your first few trades.
3. Do not rush to buy even after a market is oversold. Forget about the short and quick pull backs which is why for a beginner, I would actually advise you get use to the daily charts before even going lower. Monitor the market, turn on your RSI and MACD indicators (in this case I want to believe you have learned how to use them - there is a lot of resources online to make use of, just search for how to detect divergence on MACD most especially). RSI can also be used for some sort of divergence, but to know if a market is overbought is when the line is above 80, oversold is when it is below 20, depending on your settings. I love using RSI length 8 for some reasons, but the default is 14 and that should be good enough.
4. Now, this is the tricky part but not that hard. When the candles keep going down and the MACD are moving up, that is a divergence and some accumulations already going on. To be in a good position, you may also want to learn price action with the candles, and in this case watch out for those bullish candles. In some cases, you can actually see the market going sideways, that can make it easy, but watch out, just in case you see some break down below historical supports (I forgot, you should learn support and resistance as well).
5. Now, assuming all things have worked pretty fine, as mentioned above, just have patience and wait for it. Now, buying is easy, but selling is another hard part. Firstly, never get greedy, as you can just stick to a certain percentage and if you are lucky to have that, then fine. However, the same way you watched out for the bullish divergence to buy in, you can also watchout for bearish divergence or once you see FOMO and an overbought market on the RSI, sell and be happy with the profit you have made. Sometimes, the market may move up the more, but remember, greed is what has led most traders into losing what they have gained. So, look for other potential markets or wait for another dip.
6. To add to number 5, you can also use price action on the candles to know when a price is being rejected. However, I would advise you to always sell bit by bit as long as the value is becoming too good to be true. At least, get out your initial investment, when you have reached a stage, and then play with the rest.
I really tried as much as possible summarizing this but not easy. I have given enough clue, so do not rush, learn how to use some of those indicators, be sure you know what you are doing, and this should be a safe way for anyone who wants to trade. I hope I did not end up confusing anyone the more.
Cheers on your journey as a trader.