Unless my maths is wrong $5,000,000 * 0.00000001 = $0.05
Idk
1,000,000 * $5 = 5,000,000
There are 100 million satoshis per bitcoin - NOT 1 million.. So $5million per bitcoin would be $.05 per satoshi. $5 per satoshi would be $500 million per bitcoin.. which would be much more difficult to reach by 2019 - especially since we are having trouble reaching $500 in recent days.
I will settle for just 1 million per coin, that would be great. even 100k/coin would be nice!
Personally, I think that we have to walk before we run, and surely bitcoin, in its short life, has had a truly amazing growth path - which causes these very extravagant predictions.
I understand and appreciate bitcoin fundamentals enough to realize that any of the scenarios are possible - even 10x growth per year is possible.
If my investment grows at a higher rate than other assets in which I could have placed my money, then I will be happy with that.
If bitcoin doubles in value every year between now and 2019, that would be truly amazing in my estimation.
2014 $500, to
2015 $1,000, to
2016 $2,000 to
2017 $4,000, to
2018 $8,000 to
2019 $16,000.
I would be extremely satisfied with such a performance, which seems more realistic than continuing 10x performance per year. 10X would look like this.
2014 $500, to
2015 $5,000, to
2016 $50,000 to
2017 $500,000, to
2018 $5,000,000 to
2019 $50,000,000.
I can grasp that 10x is possible and plausible... but seems a bit too much for the infrastructure to absorb into such a short period of time - especially going from $50k to $500k - I have a very hard time envisioning that - however, I do recognize that if any medium size country picked up bitcoin as its national currency, then those scenarios are completely reasonable - and there are a variety of other adoption scenarios that could continue the 10x growth per year for several years into the future.... but somewhere between 2x and 5x growth seems much more within the grasp of the possible.
Surely I agree with you that the higher the better for those of us who have already accumulated a respectable stash of BTC.
Yet, even with a current stash of 10BTC may cause some challenges to be able to hold onto such a stash between now and 2019, especially if BTC prices were to have their continued up and down moments, which cause holders (especially financially strapped holders) to engage in panic selling behaviors or even necessity selling behaviors at the wrong times.
Personally, my own little fantasy may be that BTC could get 5x for the next couple of years, then 2x thereafter for the next few years and then 20%, which would look like this on a 10 year timeline:
2014 $500
2015 $2,500 (5x)
2016 $10,000 (5x)
2017 $20,000, (2x)
2018 $40,000 (2x)
2019 $80,000 (2x)
2020 $96,000 (20% increase)
2021 $115,200 (20% increase)
2022 $138,240 (20% increase)
2023 $165,888 (20% increase).
I am NOT sure whether this kind of a BTC appreciation model is sustainable, but it does seem possible at some point to enter into a period of an ongoing average appreciation of BTC value somewhere between 10-20% per year.