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Topic: Incoming Avalon News 8/9/2013 - page 61. (Read 186720 times)

legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1083
Legendary Escrow Service - Tip Jar in Profile
August 13, 2013, 05:55:04 PM
A info on the side. One of my groupbuymembers reached yifu by phone. He didnt say news, only that all batch 3 miners are shipped and that in the next weeks the chip batches will ship but its a good thing that he communicates a bit. It would be even better to now solve the refunds of batch 3 miners and solve the tickets when he doesnt have to do anyway than waiting.

*lol* Difficulty jumped in 30 days 100% nearly (94%). The previous diff update jumped to 75%, that before 62% only. And now 94%... great.

how much coins does your 100 chips generate a day after this jump ?

I didnt run it all the time and over night i didnt knew that cgminer on windows isnt keeping windows alive like a video would do. So my notebook went to hibernate after 45 mins. And today i tested most of the time the overclocking... Smiley But so far i have collected 0.17BTC and i mine at 440MHz now.

The motherfucker is online every god damn day (https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/bitsyncom-68196) but he chooses not to reply or give more information.

We. Are. Being. Played. Big. Time.

And the worst thing is you all swallow it like willing slaves. "hurr let's wait it out". NO. Pressure your group buy admins to start demanding refunds ASAP.

Refund is not needed yet. The chips in a miner will still ROI. So my members are parted regarding refund. If Yifu delivers we will happily show yifu our back and try to mine the investment back. But refund now looks like losing even more.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1020
Be A Digital Miner
August 13, 2013, 05:52:04 PM
The point is that the Avlon chips haven't arrived, so they haven't just got their ASICs. Do you realistically see any of the people mining before late September who are waiting on their chips?  By that time, the ROI will be negative, and as I mentioned before not long until the mining is no longer covering electricity costs. If you keep mining and you are not covering electricity costs, that's kind of silly.
The difficulty has doubled in the past 30days. Is there any reason why it wont be well over 100mill by the end of September? More likely closer to 200mill.
Even at difficulty of 500mil and no change in BTC price, the gen1 chips will pull in a bit over twice the cost of electricity (for me at least, 7 cents/kwh).  The problem you stated is correct though, if the chips don't arrive in the next week or 2 tops, then we may never break even on cost of the actual hardware unless difficulty levels out or BTC price rises.
Finally, someone explains why "miners will not shut down".   The cost of the equipment is SUNK.  So, while everyone may never get their investment back, they will still mine until they cannot get enough coins to pay their electric bill (or beyond that if they live in a dorm or steal work's power or they live in mom's basement).
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
No power in the 'verse can stop me.
August 13, 2013, 05:46:24 PM
The point is that the Avlon chips haven't arrived, so they haven't just got their ASICs. Do you realistically see any of the people mining before late September who are waiting on their chips?  By that time, the ROI will be negative, and as I mentioned before not long until the mining is no longer covering electricity costs. If you keep mining and you are not covering electricity costs, that's kind of silly.

The difficulty has doubled in the past 30days. Is there any reason why it wont be well over 100mill by the end of September? More likely closer to 200mill.


Even at difficulty of 500mil and no change in BTC price, the gen1 chips will pull in a bit over twice the cost of electricity (for me at least, 7 cents/kwh).  The problem you stated is correct though, if the chips don't arrive in the next week or 2 tops, then we may never break even on cost of the actual hardware unless difficulty levels out or BTC price rises.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 250
August 13, 2013, 05:39:05 PM
Unfortunately, Avalon chips are so inefficient, that the delay means negative ROI by the time you get your boards built and mining. Even if Yufi decided to refund everyone and give you the chips for free!

The recent difficulty jump has made any ASIC over 3watts per GH/s not viable unless you get dirt cheap electricity. Which means ASICminer, Avalon, BFL are now all pretty worthless, and orders should be cancelled until a more efficient chip is available. The only savior would be if we see a massive rise in BTC/USD price which, to my surprise, has not moved to reflect the change in difficulty. I expected BTC/USD to be back around $200 now, with miners refusing to sell new coins for any less.

The inability for ASICs to cover electricity costs is a serious issue. Look out ASICminer shareholders!

Here is a mining ROI calculator with presets for most popular.

http://mining.thegenesisblock.com don't forget to set your local electricity price correctly first. The default is 15cents/kWh mine is 24cents!


Come host with us.  This is exactly why I setup shop with .02/Kwh electricity.  You will need to long term hashing timeframe to mine back your investments.   We are live and ready to roll. 

This is what my plan has been the whole time.  I've got ~180GH/s of the first gen avalon chips on order.  I bought almost all of them when BTC was ~$60/BTC It was a good plan, fuck Yifu for being late, but I don't have the time or energy to formulate a plan B.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Developer
August 13, 2013, 05:26:11 PM
Ok, Avalon - difficulty is over 50,000,000 - you are now cleared to ship the chips - good job maximizing mining profits before the 37% increase.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1026
Mining since 2010 & Hosting since 2012
August 13, 2013, 05:25:21 PM
Unfortunately, Avalon chips are so inefficient, that the delay means negative ROI by the time you get your boards built and mining. Even if Yufi decided to refund everyone and give you the chips for free!

The recent difficulty jump has made any ASIC over 3watts per GH/s not viable unless you get dirt cheap electricity. Which means ASICminer, Avalon, BFL are now all pretty worthless, and orders should be cancelled until a more efficient chip is available. The only savior would be if we see a massive rise in BTC/USD price which, to my surprise, has not moved to reflect the change in difficulty. I expected BTC/USD to be back around $200 now, with miners refusing to sell new coins for any less.

The inability for ASICs to cover electricity costs is a serious issue. Look out ASICminer shareholders!

Here is a mining ROI calculator with presets for most popular.

http://mining.thegenesisblock.com don't forget to set your local electricity price correctly first. The default is 15cents/kWh mine is 24cents!


Come host with us.  This is exactly why I setup shop with .02/Kwh electricity.  You will need to long term hashing timeframe to mine back your investments.   We are live and ready to roll. 
sr. member
Activity: 327
Merit: 250
August 13, 2013, 05:23:26 PM
Yifu fucked us all with his 'No BS chips in 9-10 weeks' policy. Its a worse ploy than BFL. BFL honestly is just very poorly managed, whereas Avalon is destroying their reputation at the same rate the difficulty is rising. Well I think its time 'No BS' became true. I'm not an engineer, just a web developer waiting on 12 Bitburners, but if I were designing Avalon boards, I would definitely consider trying to team up with all the other Avalon developers, and see if a prototype board with Bitfury chips can become a reality. (BFL, even with their better chips are still a gamble due to supply issues). I understand that this would probably require starting from scratch, but if the boards are already a sunk cost at this point, along with the chips themselves even more, it might be worth a shot...maybe we can call them Plan (B)itfury.

...That and a class action lawsuit against Yifu/Bitsyncom. Legal threats might be our only option soon, its been 5 weeks, even BFL at least kept telling people 'fuck off, were working on it'. Yes, I understand the implications and the waste of time and $ it would be to try and organize a lawsuit, but perhaps the threat of jailtime for international advance fee fraud to the tune of over $14,000,000 might be the kick in the ass Avalon/yifu/bitsyncom/bunch of scumbags need. All the talented developers here are getting all the shit because of Avalons increasingly fraudulent behavior.

Just saying....
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
August 13, 2013, 05:01:40 PM
money from nothing and your chips for free...I want my - I want my - I want my - BTC,,,,

I think I heard that song on the radio today Smiley

Ain't got a clue as to which song you're in reference to, but I did find this dandy tune: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AA64eCt2zs
Ya that may be more like it,,,so far away... Smiley

anyways,,,,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwDDswGsJ60
Listen to near the end,,,I swear thats what they are saying...lol

It's definitely not what they're saying LOL, replace chips with chicks and BTC with MTV
Just listened closely again,,,your right! sweet Smiley

Im sure yifu has plenty of both right about now....
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
August 13, 2013, 04:55:29 PM

Agreed, pretty sad to see if I'm being honest. One of the reasons I got into BTC was because of the community spirit and everyone working together for the same cause.

The group buy organisers have put a lot of time and work in and put themselves on the line, they don't deserve to be blamed for this at all.

I also know that organisers have been trying to contact Yifu.

Then the least they could do is show they're the better man, and keep us updated instead of seemingly disappearing form the face of the earth as well. Even if there's nothing to tell, him telling every few days he has tried x to contact Yifu but it failed, would show he's at least busy with it.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1001
August 13, 2013, 04:53:37 PM
Well at 250 mil I dont see any asics that will be making much roi unless the price of btc follows difficulty
So we get two more months of asic investing and preorders until sifficulty starts to level off or btc prices skyrocket....
Either way I wish I would have just held my btc
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1756
Verified Bernie Bro - Feel The Bern!
August 13, 2013, 04:49:51 PM
money from nothing and your chips for free...I want my - I want my - I want my - BTC,,,,

I think I heard that song on the radio today Smiley

Ain't got a clue as to which song you're in reference to, but I did find this dandy tune: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AA64eCt2zs
Ya that may be more like it,,,so far away... Smiley

anyways,,,,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwDDswGsJ60
Listen to near the end,,,I swear thats what they are saying...lol

It's definitely not what they're saying LOL, replace chips with chicks and BTC with MTV
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
August 13, 2013, 04:43:34 PM


Why would they do that? They just got their ASICs.

Those ahead of the curve have made a killing, those investing right now will probably lose a lot of money and then we're back to cutthroat margins, which means the price for ASICs will go down and difficulty won't matter that much when you can afford the equipment again. The pain is now.

The point is that the Avlon chips haven't arrived, so they haven't just got their ASICs. Do you realistically see any of the people mining before late September who are waiting on their chips?  By that time, the ROI will be negative, and as I mentioned before not long until the mining is no longer covering electricity costs. If you keep mining and you are not covering electricity costs, that's kind of silly.
I have said all along in 6 months only the big time heavy hitter$ will be left standing in this game, everyone else will go broke trying to keep up Smiley

EDIT: Only saving grace will be BTC going to 200 and up.... which it could and is why Im staying in the game a little longer....
erk
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 500
August 13, 2013, 04:41:01 PM


Why would they do that? They just got their ASICs.

Those ahead of the curve have made a killing, those investing right now will probably lose a lot of money and then we're back to cutthroat margins, which means the price for ASICs will go down and difficulty won't matter that much when you can afford the equipment again. The pain is now.

The point is that the Avlon chips haven't arrived, so they haven't just got their ASICs. Do you realistically see any of the people mining before late September who are waiting on their chips?  By that time, the ROI will be negative, and as I mentioned before not long until the mining is no longer covering electricity costs. If you keep mining and you are not covering electricity costs, that's kind of silly.

The difficulty has doubled in the past 30days. Is there any reason why it wont be well over 100mill by the end of September? More likely closer to 200mill.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
August 13, 2013, 04:36:51 PM
money from nothing and your chips for free...I want my - I want my - I want my - BTC,,,,

I think I heard that song on the radio today Smiley

Ain't got a clue as to which song you're in reference to, but I did find this dandy tune: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AA64eCt2zs
Ya that may be more like it,,,so far away... Smiley

anyways,,,,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwDDswGsJ60
Listen to near the end,,,I swear thats what they are saying...lol
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
August 13, 2013, 04:33:55 PM
...and difficulty is about to jump 10 million which is about 25% increase.

Sucks to be a miner waiting for chips. Well just a person waiting I mean.
KS
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
August 13, 2013, 04:33:18 PM
(...)
The only savior would be if we see a massive rise in BTC/USD price which, to my surprise, has not moved to reflect the change in difficulty.
(...)

One is an indication of the other but correlation is not causality. I don't think they will stay coupled during the ASIC-led difficulty upswing.

In which case miners will be soon forced to switch off to reduce the difficulty.

Why would they do that? They just got their ASICs.

Those ahead of the curve have made a killing, those investing right now will probably lose a lot of money and then we're back to cutthroat margins, which means the price for ASICs will go down and difficulty won't matter that much when you can afford the equipment again. The pain is now.
legendary
Activity: 1890
Merit: 1003
August 13, 2013, 04:33:04 PM

I think they have been trying, Yifu is a difficult man to get in touch with at the moment.

No, they are not. I'm in steamboats group-buy, and he is doing fuck-all. He's making maybe 1 update every two weeks, saying "we'll wait". I hate to say it but his failure to reply to emails and keep the topics up-to-date, tells me that even the group buy organizers might be taking a similar route.

Everybody needs to step up in their group buys and show the organizers that we mean fucking business right now. We are all losing more and more money and we're way past the point where it would even be sensible to consider investing in these chips.
And...there it starts.

Now the wolves are starting to turn on the main wolves. Eating one another like cannibals. How long will it take until this becomes a shitstorm?

Anyone?

Agreed, pretty sad to see if I'm being honest. One of the reasons I got into BTC was because of the community spirit and everyone working together for the same cause.

The group buy organisers have put a lot of time and work in and put themselves on the line, they don't deserve to be blamed for this at all.

I also know that organisers have been trying to contact Yifu.
Well, no one blames them if they threw Yifu over the side of an ocean liner. The problem is they forgot that they are handcuffed to him by virtue of association.

So now the angry mob will probably want to throw them over the side as well.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
August 13, 2013, 04:31:53 PM
Unfortunately, Avalon chips are so inefficient, that the delay means negative ROI by the time you get your boards built and mining. Even if Yufi decided to refund everyone and give you the chips for free!


Actually if they double the chips number or give the same amount of free Gen 2 chips thing would work out very well for everyone and it will be a big FU to BFL Smiley But i'm only dreaming...
hero member
Activity: 624
Merit: 502
August 13, 2013, 04:28:53 PM

I think they have been trying, Yifu is a difficult man to get in touch with at the moment.

No, they are not. I'm in steamboats group-buy, and he is doing fuck-all. He's making maybe 1 update every two weeks, saying "we'll wait". I hate to say it but his failure to reply to emails and keep the topics up-to-date, tells me that even the group buy organizers might be taking a similar route.

Everybody needs to step up in their group buys and show the organizers that we mean fucking business right now. We are all losing more and more money and we're way past the point where it would even be sensible to consider investing in these chips.
And...there it starts.

Now the wolves are starting to turn on the main wolves. Eating one another like cannibals. How long will it take until this becomes a shitstorm?

Anyone?

Agreed, pretty sad to see if I'm being honest. One of the reasons I got into BTC was because of the community spirit and everyone working together for the same cause.

The group buy organisers have put a lot of time and work in and put themselves on the line, they don't deserve to be blamed for this at all.

I also know that organisers have been trying to contact Yifu.
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1570
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending
August 13, 2013, 04:28:11 PM
money from nothing and your chips for free...I want my - I want my - I want my - BTC,,,,

I think I heard that song on the radio today Smiley

Ain't got a clue as to which song you're in reference to, but I did find this dandy tune: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AA64eCt2zs
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