Can they finish the 'testing' before I can still make my money back?
Things are getting not-so-good for batch #2, and quite ugly for batch #3. Hope they can speed up the shipping process or there will be a lot of people mining at a loss
I don't understand why everybody claims that things are going to get so bad that people will be "mining at a loss".
If you plug in the numbers for an 66 Gh/s avalon unit, at 66 Gh/s, 600 W power draw, and about $8000 unit cost (depending on when you got it, btc value, etc...approximate), at the current difficulty of 19.2 million, you're making $180ish a day for 2 weeks.
Change that difficulty to 25 million, that is still $140ish/day. For two weeks, that's almost two grand.
Change the difficulty to 30 million, that's still $117is/day, depending on power costs, for two weeks, that's about $1600ish.
You add all that up, even with bumping up the difficulty by 5 million, every two weeks, and your ROI is somewhere around 2 months.
Granted it's not a 3 week ROI, but you can't have everything.
I think that's pretty good, as long as you didn't get raped on the up-front costs. Now, if you include waiting time for the unit, and the money you COULD have been making, that changes the formula.
Including the full waiting time into the formula changes things, but I don't think that's entirely fair, because nobody really knew how this would all play out. Surely, the earlier you mine at a lower difficulty, the greater the ROI, but nobody really had any control over that, not even Bitsyncom.
So, if they mined with their units for 2 weeks,or even a month, that probably made up, in their minds, for whatever project delay, and it served the purpose testing the longevity of their units out. They should be thanked for that, not criticized.
Look at the positive side.
Seriously, there is too much negativity around here sometimes.