If Milan and Inter score the same number of points, then the one with the head-to-head advantage wins the gold. It will be Milan. It turns out that despite the more difficult games, Milan has a very large margin of safety.
Therefore, I think there is an opportunity to get an almost risk-free profit: we bet on Milan to win title conditionally at 100 units. We take 50 units and bet on each game of Inter (Inter win). If Inter loses it automatically means Milan champion (+82-50= 32 units of profit). For the day after tomorrow, Inter's odds are quite attractive, although they play against Udinese - 1.57. Thus, we can assume that after 3 games the total odds of the resulting multibet will exceed 1.97 (which is offered now) and the winning amount will exceed 100 units that we spent on the bet on the Milan championship. And so we will be in the black here too.
How do you like this strategy?
Inter lost a really unbelievable match and I am sorry to say but all the blame has to go to the Inter goalkeeper because that was a real howler by him. Those types of mistakes at this level of football are just not pardonable. And that is probably the moment where Inter might have lost the scudetto.
Right now the way I see it is that Inter has four easy matches in front of them which they should win but Milan has one or two hard opponents in the remaining matches and if they lose 1 I think Inter have a really good chance of winning the title and we have to remember Inter is also add on goal difference.
Are these opponents really that strong? Fiorentina, which spent the whole season unnoticed and is now teetering on 6-8th place. And the second rival is Atalanta, which was good at the beginning of the championship but completely failed by the end. For Milan, these will be home games, and if it is worthy of the title of champion, then of course it must win.
Goal difference is important, but if points are equal, it won't matter because Milan has priority due to head-to-head meetings.
