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Topic: Lightning Network Observer - page 36. (Read 13806 times)

hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 5834
not your keys, not your coins!
October 08, 2021, 10:54:06 AM
#93
Something is wrong before everyone corrects their behavior. When mistakes happen, some people learn immediately and change their habits, while others do not. But gradually, over time, there are fewer central points of failure and the whole thing becomes more resilient. A similar situation may arise here. If any of these primary nodes fail, people are more likely to use smaller nodes in the future. All I can suggest is to keep a close eye on it, see what develops, then make a backup plan if it seems to get worse.
i nearly reported your post. what are you saying? why should primary nodes fail? why should i make a backup plan after looking what develops? if what gets worse?  Huh Roll Eyes i am confused...
Looking at the profile, it seems this person is posting random quotes from the internet. I shall check for plagiarism later.

Edit: yes, my suspicion was true. He's reported already: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.58124330
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 177
October 08, 2021, 10:47:41 AM
#92
Something is wrong before everyone corrects their behavior. When mistakes happen, some people learn immediately and change their habits, while others do not. But gradually, over time, there are fewer central points of failure and the whole thing becomes more resilient. A similar situation may arise here. If any of these primary nodes fail, people are more likely to use smaller nodes in the future. All I can suggest is to keep a close eye on it, see what develops, then make a backup plan if it seems to get worse.
i nearly reported your post. what are you saying? why should primary nodes fail? why should i make a backup plan after looking what develops? if what gets worse?  Huh Roll Eyes i am confused...
legendary
Activity: 3304
Merit: 8633
Crypto Swap Exchange
October 06, 2021, 01:54:15 PM
#91
here is a nice summary of the arcane research which was posted before from my italy dude fillippone Grin

Quote
The usage of the Lightning Network is growing faster than seen in the available public statistics, according to Norwegian crypto-focused research firm Arcane Research. As the network is increasingly used for everyday purposes, we could be on a path of Bitcoin (BTC) adoption that will see hundreds of trillions of Lightning transactions each year by 2030, they estimate.
https://cryptonews.com/news/bitcoin-lightning-network-is-growing-faster-than-you-think.htm
legendary
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Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
October 06, 2021, 12:20:55 PM
#90
Thanks for that Arcane Tech link fillippone.  This is good stuff.

I have been thinking a lot about the clustering idea and where it will lead, and what it's natural balances are.


A lot of the clustering debate originated from this paper I might have already posted it here?

Lightning Network: a second path towards centralisation of the Bitcoin economy

Maybe you could find useful insight, even if I am afraid the taxonomy of the network has changed a lot since the publication of the paper.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
October 06, 2021, 10:27:04 AM
#89
Thanks for that Arcane Tech link fillippone.  This is good stuff.

I have been thinking a lot about the clustering idea and where it will lead, and what it's natural balances are.

So far the LN is an open protocol that anyone can join and there are different costs and incentives for joining different ways.  As a custodial service customer to a profit seeking node.  But there are also lots of service provider roles we are seeing appear as the network matures.

Take Strike.  They are a service provider that uses the LN as the backbone for really a traditional finance product they offer.  So their incentives for running nodes on the network are different than, say, WoS, Fold, or your average tinkerer like me.  Yet what they do potentially benefits the network. 

It is also possible nodes like Strike's could do net damage to the network (I am not seeing this happening now/yet).    They could sequester traffic or deny traffic etc.

So I am thinking through all the incentive theory etc that we are seeing appear.  I am not sure there has ever been a network like the LN where nodes can benefit from simply participating.  Even the base layer of Bitcoin is much different in it's incentive structure.

But it is natural in systems like this one that traffic (read: information) is going to find the most efficient routes to flow, and the network as a whole will determine what is and is not really advantageous. 

SUPER interesting stuff in my opinion.  I think the LN as a business is where bitcoin mining was before say, Asics.  What i mean is back then mining was unfolding and moving from CPUs to graphics cards, and owning a mining business was an interesting and constantly changing game.  The LN is not the same as this at all... but it's evolution will follow a path, and we are very early still.  What will be the big game changers on this path like ASICS were for the base layer nodes?  What incentives will appear and change for the LN? 

These are the questions that are interesting, and possibly profitable, right now!
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
October 05, 2021, 06:03:44 PM
#88
Arcane Technologies Posted a very interesting piece of research:



https://twitter.com/arcaneresearch/status/1445442967582302213?s=21


There are so many interesting graphs and updates.
 I will post only one here and it's about Network Centralisation, a widely debated (negative) feature of the LN, everyone has been discussing about, even amongst the authors of the report (Christian Decker wrote about it a few times ago)



Quote
The figure above illustrates the average clustering of the Lightning Network. A value of 1 indicates that nodes form cliques. In layman’s terms, a clique is a closed group of nodes, not reaching the broad network. A value of 0 means that the average node is a hub, with none of its peers being connected. The average clustering coefficient has trended down since February 2019, aligning with the growth of cut channels in the same period, witnessed in Figure 22 (previous page). The declining clustering coefficient indicates that peers on the Lightning Network make increasingly more rational decisions when opening new channels. In general, channels now tend to be opened with nodes that are connected to a subset of nodes, which the channel creator has not opened a channel with. The opening of this channel gives the channel creator a route to this subset of nodes and the ability to route transactions to these nodes. Given these nodes also tend to be connected to another subset of nodes, the channel creator gets the ability to route a transaction more efficiently on the broader network. While this increases the importance of hubs and increases the percentage share of cut channels, it also contributes to making the Lightning Network a more efficient and well-connected payment network.






legendary
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Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 29, 2021, 05:55:57 PM
#87
Lightning labs is summarising latest LN developement we wintessed this last summer months

The Summer of Lightning: Reaching the Tipping Point 🏔


Quote
Welcome to the September edition of the Lightning Lab, a newsletter filled with Lightning Network updates, community coverage, and, of course, memes! In this issue, we discuss the massive amount of adoption that’s taken place this summer — from El Salvador to Starbucks to Twitter — all thanks to our community of Lightning startups and developers. Number of People Go Up! 📈

It's a good recap, covering pretty much all the aspects we already encountered in this thread over the last weeks.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 26, 2021, 04:35:27 PM
#86
Another day, another Network Capacity ATH.


https://twitter.com/kerooke/status/1441952895486726145?s=21


This graph is seriously becoming vertical!

legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 25, 2021, 04:04:05 AM
#85
Observing multiple articles observing Lightning Network Growth:


BITCOIN LIGHTNING NETWORK CHANNEL CAPACITY HITS ANOTHER ALL-TIME HIGH


This is interesting also because it is a free issue of a paid newsletter.
It's always interesting to see how the paid content looks like when dealing with those topics, where critical and technical journalism is required to have effective reporting and provide some added value to the reader.
full member
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September 22, 2021, 02:24:17 AM
#84
Wonderful news!

Looks like it is not a news at all. It’s a tweet from 2019 I totally overlooked.

Strangely enough, the tweet from an Italian bitcoiner that relaunched this and originated this post has strangely disappeared. Wink
Embarrassment, embarrassment everywhere.
the news is probably that it goes to print soonish?! at least that is what i heard recently  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 22, 2021, 01:45:42 AM
#83
Wonderful news!

Looks like it is not a news at all. It’s a tweet from 2019 I totally overlooked.

Strangely enough, the tweet from an Italian bitcoiner that relaunched this and originated this post has strangely disappeared. Wink
Embarrassment, embarrassment everywhere.
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 5834
not your keys, not your coins!
September 21, 2021, 06:44:22 PM
#82
My understanding is this: the activity of my LN nodes has grown so much, that the channel management made me spend a huge amount of money in on-chain fees. If LN didn't exist I would have never spent those fees, so probably LN is helping new business emerge, lowering dramatically the marginal cost of a single transaction, allowing for a whole new class of businesses being run over LN.
I understand it like that as well. Alex runs a big routing node, one of the largest as far as I remember. By paying those fees, he saved tons of people a multitude of that amount in on-chain fees. If LN wouldn't exist, he would probably just have HODLed the amount that he locked into channels and would thus have paid no fees at all.

Wonderful news!


https://twitter.com/aantonop/status/1166762645736738816?s=21

As per Andreas, I bet he's trying the already known framework of rigorous technical writing coupled with easy tu understand explanations.
I am skeptical of the longevity of the book, given the rate of change of the technology of the LN.
I'm excited as well, was looking forward to the book for a long time and checked GitHub from time to time to look up things and see how the state is. Now I'm not sure if they're rewriting it from scratch or just finalizing it together.
The rapid development of LN is surely going to be a challenge. After all, Andreas likes (and I as a reader enjoy) code / command examples to try out etc., which will be difficult if the clients change much. It works well for Bitcoin Core, but not sure about lnd and c-lightning.

I also remember Rene was having big difficulties finding a good paying Bitcoin job, while he's super knowledgeable, so I'm glad to see he has a cool Bitcoin project on his hands now Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 21, 2021, 06:54:05 AM
#81
The other day I hit the hard wall of reality: I didn't get what Bos was talking about:


https://twitter.com/alexbosworth/status/1439605208292593667?s=20

My understanding is this: the activity of my LN nodes has grown so much, that the channel management made me spend a huge amount of money in on-chain fees. If LN didn't exist I would have never spent those fees, so probably LN is helping new business emerge, lowering dramatically the marginal cost of a single transaction, allowing for a whole new class of businesses being run over LN.





Wonderful news!


https://twitter.com/aantonop/status/1166762645736738816?s=21

As per Andreas, I bet he's trying the already known framework of rigorous technical writing coupled with easy tu understand explanations.
I am skeptical of the longevity of the book, given the rate of change of the technology of the LN.


As per roastbeef, hope his writing is not as fast of his dialogue As a foreign speaker, I found roastbeef almost unintelligible while speaking. Something like I need to listen to at 0.5x on Youtube.

[moderator's note: consecutive posts merged]
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 177
September 17, 2021, 04:36:03 AM
#80
I'm beginning to wonder if the growth in Bitcoin Lightning Network transactions correlates to the slump in mempool transactions (and their fees) that we have seen in recent months.

It would explain why the price has stabilized while the number of transactions in the mempool has at the same time appeared to stall.
not according to murch:

source: https://twitter.com/murchandamus/status/1438521484910075919
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
September 17, 2021, 04:22:22 AM
#79
No reply? From anyone? Let me explain. Like the block rewards/fee revenue for miners that should be high enough to maintain Bitcoin’s security, and it success, the Lightning Network’s “liquidity providers” should also he incentivized for the opportunity cost on their capital, to maintain the growth and success of LN. How would this be possible? Charge higher fees.

It was already answered above. Basically yes, more fees or just simply more transactions at a low fee, could probably cover the electricity and channel opening costs.

Keep in mind opening a channel isn’t as crazy expensive as you might think, after all it’s just a normal Bitcoin tx that currently costs <1$ to get mined.


That was not the only point. The main point is actually the opportunity costs, which might be OK during a bull market. But during a bear market, if someone/a company/service opens 10 Bitcoins or more for different channels, they will be taking a loss, missing out on other opportunities for their capital.

Quote

I know node operators that have channels open for years at a time and routed thousands of transactions in that time.


I believe it can only be sustained through incentivization.
legendary
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Merit: 2219
💲🏎️💨🚓
September 17, 2021, 02:22:53 AM
#78
Just a few day's old news:
...
I am wondering how the exponential growth of these last months changed that scenario. I asked him on Twitter, I'll update you if he makes himself heard.

I'm beginning to wonder if the growth in Bitcoin Lightning Network transactions correlates to the slump in mempool transactions (and their fees) that we have seen in recent months.

It would explain why the price has stabilized while the number of transactions in the mempool has at the same time appeared to stall.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
September 16, 2021, 05:09:55 PM
#77
Just afew Day's old news:


https://twitter.com/btc_ln/status/1438017446330261506?s=21

This news was relaunched also by Bitcoin magazine:

PAXFUL INTEGRATES THE BITCOIN LIGHTNING NETWORK

Quote
Peer-to-peer bitcoin exchange Paxful announced that its platform has fully integrated the Lightning Network, Bitcoin's second-layer scaling solution. The firm, one of the leading peer-to-peer trading platforms worldwide, will now allow its more than seven million users to transact bitcoin across the globe more quickly and cheaply.

This recalled an old tweet by Paolo Ardoino:



https://twitter.com/paoloardoino/status/1404724609602232323?s=21

I am wondering how the exponential growth of these last months changed that scenario. I asked him on Twitter, I'll update you if he makes himself heard.

hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 5834
not your keys, not your coins!
September 16, 2021, 07:21:34 AM
#76
No reply? From anyone? Let me explain. Like the block rewards/fee revenue for miners that should be high enough to maintain Bitcoin’s security, and it success, the Lightning Network’s “liquidity providers” should also he incentivized for the opportunity cost on their capital, to maintain the growth and success of LN. How would this be possible? Charge higher fees.
It was already answered above. Basically yes, more fees or just simply more transactions at a low fee, could probably cover the electricity and channel opening costs.
Keep in mind opening a channel isn’t as crazy expensive as you might think, after all it’s just a normal Bitcoin tx that currently costs <1$ to get mined.

I know node operators that have channels open for years at a time and routed thousands of transactions in that time.

What I mean with more transactions: even with a limited number and size of channels, if they’re routing stuff back and forth hundreds of times per day instead of once or twice per week (like on my node at the moment), with a maybe 1-2 sats routing fee, instead of getting 5 sats a week you’re looking at thousands of sats per week.
Routing more transactions doesn’t consume (significantly) more power or need more / bigger channels, so contrary to the underlying blockchain it scales much better and has kind of a fixed running cost with increased revenue the more it is used.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
September 16, 2021, 06:29:46 AM
#75
No reply? From anyone? Let me explain. Like the block rewards/fee revenue for miners that should be high enough to maintain Bitcoin’s security, and it success, the Lightning Network’s “liquidity providers” should also he incentivized for the opportunity cost on their capital, to maintain the growth and success of LN. How would this be possible? Charge higher fees.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
September 14, 2021, 03:28:40 AM
#74

But do you believe node operators would run their nodes altruistically by taking fee rates lower and lower, or do you believe they will eventually look for incentives? Because opening/funding channels require capital, which is limited, resources to maintain hardware costs which is also limited, and technical knowledge/labor maintenance.

I think the hobbyist class nodes will sometimes be run altruistically.  But I believe most of the professionally run nodes will look to make profits.  The thing is the lightning model allows for ways to make money as a node that the base model does not, really.  AND running a lightning node is a very different model to make sats than running a mining rig.

For example, a wallet provider like Acinq can change for various services with their Phoenix wallet. Channel setup fees, and then a bigger first hop fee since they will be the first node on any route.

Bank/merchant nodes are incentivized for customers to use their nodes to save them on merchant fees (VISA).  So they have like 3% baked in before they charge a fee at all.  So I could see those being cheaper.

I think there are tons of things to see play out here.  How often does a particular use case need to settle to the base chain for example?  The more it does, the more I would expect those nodes to charge.

One other thing that makes lightning different.  The "low fee" is not the only advantage it offers the buyer and seller.  Instant settlement is also a key benefit to a small retail merchant.  Like McDonalds in ES.  Seeing the terminal go green means the money has changed hands, and the deal is done.  The base layer does not have that property.


I believe that the main issue of consideration is that it is a fact that there will be opportunity costs for opening channels, and funding with with a scarce/limited resource. Bitcoin is fundamentally a form of “capital”. Capital usage should be earning, not losing?
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