LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [first 🦊🦊🦊3 YEARS🦊🦊🦊 (165 weeks) rented out] - page 29.

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: NeuroticFish on February 01, 2023, 05:39:55 AM

Quote from: 1miau on January 28, 2023, 07:58:37 PM

Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

I've just took a look and I think that the last block number was 774505 and if I'm right then o_e_l_e_o may have won place #4.
However, let's wait for the official announcement.

You are right, last mined Bitcoin Block in January 2023 is No. 774.505:

After evaluating our predictions, we have a winner:

Name	Number	Gap
_______________________	________________________	________________________
The Sceptical Chymist	769786	4.719
TheBeardedBaby	774167	338
GazetaBitcoin	774168	337
CoinEraser	774299	206
LoyceV	774396	109
fillippone	774454	51
NeuroticFish	774455	50
icopress	774500	5
RickDeckard	774501	4
1miau	774510	5
o_e_l_e_o	774526	21

RickDeckard has won our giveaway, many congratulations to him, well done!
Here is his winner prediction. In my opinion, his win is 100% deserved, because RickDeckard's prediction has been very detailed.

Places 2 and 3 are a draw because icopress and 1miau both have a 5 point gap. Cheesy

Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here.
Place 4 goes to o_e_l_e_o.

So, I would need 1 BTC Address from RickDeckard and o_e_l_e_o to send out your won BTC.
RickDeckard can PM GazetaBitcoin for the Bitcoin Romania card.

Many thanks to all participants once again!

And we are a bit sad to realize that our giveaway for celebrating GazetaBitcoin's new couch, Bonbon L, is already over. Cry

LoyceV

legendary

Activity: 3290

Merit: 16489

Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021

Quote from: Foxpup on February 01, 2023, 01:20:01 PM

Two hundred and second week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing!

Foxpup

legendary

Activity: 4536

Merit: 3188

Vile Vixen and Miss Bitcointalk 2021-2023

Two hundred and second week paid.

NeuroticFish

legendary

Activity: 3668

Merit: 6382

Looking for campaign manager? Contact icopress!

Quote from: 1miau on January 28, 2023, 07:58:37 PM

Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

I've just took a look and I think that the last block number was 774505 and if I'm right then o_e_l_e_o may have won place #4.
However, let's wait for the official announcement.

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: fillippone on January 25, 2023, 05:58:35 PM

Yet another update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner   
25 Jan 773,608 774,482 774,493 Icopress

Yes, it's getting very interesting!
Only 2 days and 22h left, so I'll also prepare an update:

Time left until January 31, 2023, 23.59h:
2 days, 22 hours

On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
2 days * 144 Blocks per day = 288 Blocks
22 hours * 6 Blocks per hour = 132 Blocks
=> 420 Blocks

=>

420 + 774.104 (current Block) = 774.524

Our last prediction from a few days ago:

Quote from: 1miau on January 19, 2023, 08:11:39 PM

=>

1.728 + 772.748 (current Block) = 774.476

Similar to fillippone's prediction, numbers were going up and are expected to go up even more.
Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Yet another update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner   
25 Jan 773,608 774,482 774,493 Icopress

After a period of relative low hash rate (and signalling yours very truly as a winner), hashpower was on the rise again, and icopress is now the projected winner!

LoyceMobile

hero member

Activity: 1659

Merit: 687

LoyceV on the road. Or couch.

Quote from: Foxpup on January 25, 2023, 01:20:00 PM

Two hundred and first week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing! I can only blame the kids today for being late, but they're in bed now do life is quiet again.

Foxpup

legendary

Activity: 4536

Merit: 3188

Vile Vixen and Miss Bitcointalk 2021-2023

Two hundred and first week paid.

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: fillippone on January 18, 2023, 12:17:02 PM

Weekly update on the Bonbon L competition.

Very unexpected to see Bitcoin jumping above 20k so quickly. But of course, I won't complain, I'm not a bear. Tongue

Block numbers are increasing already and I'll also contribute my calculations based on current numbers and how it would look like if we'll find 1 Block each 10 min from now on:

Time left until January 31, 2023, 23.59h:
12 days

On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
12 days * 144 Blocks per day = 1.728 Blocks

=>

1.728 + 772.748 (current Block) = 774.476

And keep in mind: if Bitcoin's price doesn't increase further, we'll get a similar Block number from our current 10-min calculation because most likely, the hashrate won't be changed much.

LoyceV

legendary

Activity: 3290

Merit: 16489

Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021

Quote from: Foxpup on January 18, 2023, 01:20:06 PM

Two hundredth week paid.

Thanks again for your much better timing than mine

I blame the kids, and cleaning the kitchen. But all good now

I may even consider some of my favourite 38% tonight, I've been slacking in drinking this year Wink

Foxpup

legendary

Activity: 4536

Merit: 3188

Vile Vixen and Miss Bitcointalk 2021-2023

Two hundredth week paid.

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Weekly update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner      
18 Jan 772556 774461 774505 RickDeckard

We had a few gyrations on the projected winner: the week started with LoyceV, then hash power rose and Fillippone, then jumped immediately after the difficulty adjustment to o_e_l_e_o, to gradually ease toward 1miau, Icopress Rickdeckard, and Neuroticfish. Sadly, I never was elected winner after the difficulty adjustment.

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

A little update from the forecasting sheet:

Code:

Date	        Block	Method1 Method2	Winner
11 Jan 23:20	771,502	774,386	774,435	Fillippone

LoyceMobile

hero member

Activity: 1659

Merit: 687

LoyceV on the road. Or couch.

Quote from: Foxpup on January 11, 2023, 01:20:00 PM

One hundred and ninety-ninth week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing! I'm a tad late, kids weren't in bed yet. But now they are Cheesy

Foxpup

legendary

Activity: 4536

Merit: 3188

Vile Vixen and Miss Bitcointalk 2021-2023

One hundred and ninety-ninth week paid.

babo

legendary

Activity: 3696

Merit: 4343

The hacker spirit breaks any spell

Quote from: fillippone on January 10, 2023, 09:30:47 AM

Quote from: 1miau on January 08, 2023, 08:05:36 PM

Quote from: fillippone on January 08, 2023, 04:56:20 PM

I slightly updated my spreadsheet. And I am continuing to update this (I am cooking something for this), and now it reports the projected winner using my second model (which I think it's better Thant the first one).

+1
Will be interesting to see how predictions will change.
Currently, LoyceV would win. Cheesy

I updated the spreadsheet.
Now it should automatically check the blockchain state every hour, and update the sheet every 50 blocks.
I think it is enough granularity!
Thank you @babo for helping me with the scraping part.

you are welcome my friend

Unfortunately I don't have much free time
I always work a lot and when I'm free my son rightly wants to play with me
It's really complex and I don't know how to carve out time

when i have free time i like to help geniuses like @fillippone or @mendace ,if i can i do Cheesy

fillippone

legendary

Activity: 2268

Merit: 16328

Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Quote from: 1miau on January 08, 2023, 08:05:36 PM

Quote from: fillippone on January 08, 2023, 04:56:20 PM

I slightly updated my spreadsheet. And I am continuing to update this (I am cooking something for this), and now it reports the projected winner using my second model (which I think it's better Thant the first one).

+1
Will be interesting to see how predictions will change.
Currently, LoyceV would win. Cheesy

I updated the spreadsheet.
Now it should automatically check the blockchain state every hour, and update the sheet every 15 blocks.
I think it is enough granularity!
Thank you @babo for helping me with the scraping part.

LoyceV

legendary

Activity: 3290

Merit: 16489

Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021

Quote from: 1miau on January 09, 2023, 07:57:03 PM

Most likely these people doing these predictions are as clueless as we are here. Cheesy

Quote from: 1miau on January 08, 2023, 08:05:36 PM

Currently, LoyceV would win. Cheesy

Which one is it? Shocked

1miau

legendary

Activity: 2226

Merit: 6947

Currently not much available - see my websitelink

Quote from: Edwardard on January 08, 2023, 08:46:10 PM

Im happy for bitcoin to go back above 17k after a long time, but the miners are expecting a drop in the hashrate for 2023 according to 10 Bitcoin Mining Predictions for 2023, even binance has covered this topic recently.

In my opinion, such "hashrate predictions" are just "educated guesses" because so many variables need to be considered. Most likely these people doing these predictions are as clueless as we are here. Cheesy

We can analyze statistics from 2022, 2021 and so on but all these models are screwed when BTC will make big price changes in 2023.
So far, there's only one point we know: new generation miners are getting more efficient because tech is improving and new miners are delievering more hashpower/kwh. So, hashrate will go up.
All the noise in between is impossible to guess. Sure, Bitcoin is likely to increase in value over time but we don't know how much and when and sometimes, we'll even have a bear market.

In addition, your linked article estimated the hashrate to increase, but to slow down.

Quote

We will most likely see the hashrate growth slow down in 2023, as the poor mining economics of 2022 didn’t incentivize capacity expansion. The hashrate coming online in 2023 will mostly be delayed capacity expansion miners initially planned to add in 2022. This delayed capacity will come online during the first half of 2023. After that, the hashrate will stop growing and perhaps even contract, depending on the bitcoin price.

Maybe we can bookmark your linked article and review it in late December. Cheesy

Edwardard

hero member

Activity: 1050

Merit: 681

Quote from: 1miau on January 08, 2023, 08:05:36 PM

Looks like Bitcoin is getting ready for 2023. We are above 17k USD now, so if we can keep this level tomorrow, I expect more gains as people are getting a bullish sentiment for our new year (hopefully). If so, we could also see an increasing hashrate.
Maybe some miners are anticipating it already?

Im happy for bitcoin to go back above 17k after a long time, but the miners are expecting a drop in the hashrate for 2023 according to 10 Bitcoin Mining Predictions for 2023, even binance has covered this topic recently. But this will all change as soon as we go back above 20k.

Also, I dont know if we should give importance to FED meetings and rate hikes, 12th jan is our next cpi data release.

Topic: LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [first 🦊🦊🦊3 YEARS🦊🦊🦊 (165 weeks) rented out] - page 29. (Read 35315 times)