Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 289. (Read 647196 times)

This is what I have been trying to teach to sloanf, that if you don't use international pricing then analysis is entirely wrong:

Since you:
1.   have been buying bs from MA, a convicted fraudster and an extremely terrible forecaster, for years
2.   even brag by this fact (1) in front of everybody as if it was an achievement
3.   did not do even a basic fact-checking because of your inability to do so due to lack of common sense and any form of critical and independent thinking
4.   deny all the facts and evidence collected, brought and very carefully explained to you by many others
5.   keep spreading MA bs promoting his scam all over the place for free despite (4)

you embrace the very definition of stupidity. And since you have been stupid for so long, it must be your normal and pretty comfortable state and therefore cannot be an insult for you. And the reason I have written the above is not to humiliate you or make you feel bad. As I said, I don’t care about you because it’s not important because it’s not the purpose of this thread. My only intention was to prove my claims about your stupidity and that’s what I have done.

MA never made such a prediction. I have explained this to you upthread yet you continue trolling the thread with lies.

The bubonic plague was a bacterial infection spread by fleas and rats.

The developing world can't avoid mosquitos, because their bamboo or wooden homes have cracks in the walls.

He likes to constantly bs people about how everything is connected, all asset prices are interlinked, etc. If that’s the case, then you can’t simply miss such a big move in oil price. Especially if you do have a computer model (as he claims) that tracks everything for you. Yet he missed it completely. He never warned about upcoming collapse. If fact, he predicted the opposite, right at the YTD peak http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/22328 (“It is poised to rally into 2017 and it appears this is lining up with our war models”). Wars are all over the place yet oil went down sharply. Even when the price declined substantially, he kept ignoring it. He only start mentioning oil when it came to 70.

This is what I have been trying to teach to sloanf, that if you don't use international pricing then analysis is entirely wrong:

Since you:
1.   have been buying bs from MA, a convicted fraudster and an extremely terrible forecaster, for years
2.   even brag by this fact (1) in front of everybody as if it was an achievement
3.   did not do even a basic fact-checking because of your inability to do so due to lack of common sense and any form of critical and independent thinking
4.   deny all the facts and evidence collected, brought and very carefully explained to you by many others
5.   keep spreading MA bs promoting his scam all over the place for free despite (4)

you embrace the very definition of stupidity. And since you have been stupid for so long, it must be your normal and pretty comfortable state and therefore cannot be an insult for you. And the reason I have written the above is not to humiliate you or make you feel bad. As I said, I don’t care about you because it’s not important because it’s not the purpose of this thread. My only intention was to prove my claims about your stupidity and that’s what I have done.

After re-reading my first post I realized my point regarding Marting Armstrong got lost on all my exposition.

What I meant to say is that the man is onto something with his concepts on cycles. Where I depart is on the severety of the next 2 corrective waves of 2017 and 2033.

Zika virus is a poor pandemic candidate. Its a potential nightmare for women in some areas who are planning to conceive but in everyone else it appears to mostly cause a self limited infection. It is a blood born pathogen that requires mosquitoes to spread.

What do you mean by 'their women?' I'm not into communism therefore my obvious allegiance is to my wife and females in my family, nobody else. That's the whole point of being anti-collectivism. In Germany and Sweden, the criminal elements travel in packs - and a lot of the females they attack probably vote for left-wing parties, or actively implement these policies in their employment at a government agency or NGO. After generations of social engineering, the men are looking at jail or even death at the hands of the police if they retaliate. They are looking at being stuck on a life support machine for protecting their own political opponents.

In other words, it's very easy being a keyboard warrior in the US, especially if you live somewhere like Nowheresville, Idaho. Incidentally, I don't see American males going after the likes of Soros and the people who work for him. What's your personal excuse for that? What's the point having all those weapons if you refuse to defend yourselves from domestic enemies? Or is that just a job for ex-Marines (if so, it looks like they are totally failing also)? Therefore I am going to have call BS on the idea that Americans and Aussies are toughguys here. Badmouth European men all you want, but you're all heading for the same fate eventually. Don't fool yourselves about that.

The future course of the United States will follow the same pattern. Pre-Revolution, you had separate states. That became the UNITED states in 1789. We will see a breakup of the states most likely banding together in regions because of the difference in cultural views such as the Bible Belt. The fight over Obamacare illustrates the stark differences and this is fundamentally wrong for it is forcing one groups interests upon another. There is no such thing as equal rights but money is the exception. We are all treated the same even in law (no exception for politicians and bankers) or we are not a nation of equal rights. You can’t be just a little be pregnant! The US will break up, but it should not go into a MADMAX event as long as we reach resistance from the people. If the people keep just watching their sports and never notice what the governments are doing to their future until it is too late, then it can go too far and that in the MADMAX event the ended the Roman Empire.

As for the break-up of the USA, the computer has been warning for decades now that the 2016 election will see a sharp rise in third-party activity. The Republican Party may split again. We see the internal civil war with the Tea Party people. This is the core of the break-up for what lies behind that is culture and religion. Once the economy turns down, this will accelerate.

It appears that Hillary will be the Democratic candidate and that will merely solidify the Republic split. By 2032, the other side of this 51.6 year wave looks to be a starkly different world. The USA will split and China will become the Financial Capital of the World.

There are two types of waves on the 224 Year Cycle – the Collapsing Wave and the Protracted Wave. It appears that the USA is in the Collapsing Wave formation meaning that the 224 year runs from the birth to the peak with the total duration running minimum 296 years with the optimum being 309.6 years meaning the society splits and does not remain intact. A Protracted Wave is a society view where the wave is measured peak to peak totaling 224 years. The second Protracted Wave formation is where governments come and go, but society survives and reforms remaining intact. In the Collapsing Wave structure where it is 224 year from birth to peak, the overall duration appears to be is 296-309 years. for the conclusion whereby society breaks apart and fragmentation emerges..In the case of Rome, 309 years from the assassination of Julius Caesar in 44BC is 265AD where Rome broke apart and the Gallic Empire emerged under Postumus (259-268AD).

This Collapsing Wave structure that the United States appears to be in means it is a one-time-wonder and that the United States will break-up and the there will be no more “united” union. This is becoming self-evidence in the polarization of politics with tremendous differences in culture on a regional basis. The Obamacare is just one aspect revealing the undercurrent whereby one segment of society believes it has a right to force their views upon another group.

So unfortunately, the USA does not appear to be destined to remain intact otherwise we would have seen and overall structured wave of 224 years. We seem to be in the Collapsing Wave with the 224 years was from birth to peak with an overall duration of 309.6 years at best. This appears to be like the Collapsing Wave in Imperial Rome itself whereas from the assassination of Julius Caesar in 44BC to the peak in the glory of Rome and population in the city took place under Marcus Aurelius that was 224 years later in 180AD. The decline that followed brought total chaos, sovereign debt crisis, massive government seizure of capital, fragmentation of the Empire, and in the end, Rome was no longer the Capitol and that became Constantinople followed by the split of East and West. We are much more akin to the this type of Collapsing Wave formation whereby society collapses and breaks apart. Now we have the Cycle of War turning in 2014 that appears to be focused within civil unrest at least initially.

Excellent and I like how he speaks very quickly so I don't get bored. The chart at 20:20 is amazing. The Middle East and Australia need to tumble economically.

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It’s a good argument. However, I would note that from the frame of reference of life not all entropy is the same. There is useful entropy information that facilitates further search and there is useless entropy noise which is either irrelevant or possibly inhibits the formation of higher information content.