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Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 315. (Read 647062 times)

hero member
Activity: 723
Merit: 503
October 16, 2015, 01:05:55 PM
bitcoin going up, anyone know why? i thought 2015.75 was supposed to be the armageddon, instead we have a rally! wtf?
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
October 16, 2015, 12:07:39 PM
"Refusal to Publish Research that Shows Anti Man-Made Climate Change"

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37998

With a great comment on the Academics refusing to publish anything going against their pet theories.

You didn't draw attention to the most important point in that blog post, which every Martin Armstrong doubter should be aware of:

suda, damn it, Armstrong spent $1 billion (inflation adjusted dollars) collecting archives of data. His model is accurate before no one else had ever spent that much on collecting vast data. The Pi correlation was discovered from the data, not chosen arbitrarily.

I should also add that Armstrong managed $3 trillion in funds back when the US national debt was only $6 trillion in the 1980s (half of which was the Japanese postal retirement fund). He is the largest hedge fund manager in history with no one even close to that $30 trillion in inflation adjusted funds! Do you know of any hedge fund that even manages $500 billion today and Armstrong was managing $30 trillion (comparing inflation adjusted dollars). He advised the postal fund to hedge, but the Japanese government intervened because the government realized this hedging would collapse the Japanese stock market. This intervention caused the postal fund to go bankrupt when the Japanese stock market collapsed right on time with Armstrong's model. This is why when the scam with Republic Bank and HSBC came crashing down a decade later, the Japanese government pressed for some transparency and the NY City Criminal Gang (banksters) framed Armstrong because they were caught red-handed. In the end, Republic and HSBC admitted their culpability and settled for large fines (or restitution but I forget this detail). The NY Club was using Armstrong's funds as part of their manipulation of Russia and the Long-Term Capital Management fiasco. Armstrong has blogged about the alleged assassination of Ed Safra who was the guy running Republic Bank.

So pleeeaaassseee no more nonsense from those who want to say Armstrong is a criminal, charlatan, or an insignificant figure. Any one here with less credentials should offer some evidence before making such accusations against a man who accomplished so much and is willing to share with us and is trying to help the world.




The blog post that was the most damning was today's implicating Cameron in the move towards ending encryption on the internet:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37903

If that becomes reality of law, we may have to use steganography to encrypt the actual information in what appears to be English language text. The battle then becomes the issue of being able to statistically hide that there is any randomness that wouldn't otherwise be present in English text. That may be very difficult. I haven't yet researched this math.

And don't forget that photo I had posted from blockchain.com's blog with their CEO and David Cameron holding hands and pledging partnership:

https://blog.blockchain.com/tag/british-pm-david-cameron/

Quote
This week, you can read about how Blockchain CEO Peter Smith traveled to SE Asia with British Prime Minister David Cameron and other fintech executives to speak with senior regulators, bank CEOs, and telecommunications executives about the future we are working towards as an industry.



David Cameron apparently been learning from the Clinton's at Bohemian Grove about sexual perversion. Apparently he has a fetus for fucking pigs:

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/09/20/david-cameron-dead-pigs-mouth_n_8167458.html
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3242550/Cameron-pig-bemused-look-face-future-PM-took-outrageous-initiation-ceremony-joining-Oxford-dining-society.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cameron/11879177/Is-it-true-that-David-Cameron-had-sex-with-a-pig-It-really-doesnt-matter.html
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
October 16, 2015, 11:53:58 AM
...

Armstrong today goes to war, on two fronts, vs. the Global Warming fraudsters:


"Refusal to Publish Research that Shows Anti Man-Made Climate Change"

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37998

With a great comment on the Academics refusing to publish anything going against their pet theories.


"French Weatherman Suspended For Questioning Global Warming"

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/38115

The French government is like Academe in its refusal to have an open debate.

legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
October 16, 2015, 01:09:28 AM
If the market stays below 17,735 then it will test the lows. Now this is fucking useless btw as he doesn't say in which period...

It is not useless and he means what he said precisely. If the market EVER (well Armstrong said by 1 quarter at latest) moves above 17,735 before having the false move to downside to create the slingshot effect, then there won't be a slingshot. But he also said that the absence of a slingshot won't rule out the phase transition to a 32 - 40K level by 2017.


a) If "EVER" is the time frame then it does not provide day traders (the majority of traders on the market) with lot of materials. I am a big fun of technicals, just like Armstrong is, for instance I am using Elliot Wave analyses frequently and we can't base our trades on the "EVER" time frame. It just doesn't work like that. I am sure Armstrong had a time frame in his mind - he just didn't spell it out. The Q1 was the end event, the  new lows will be in place then, so the slingshot as the result of not breaking the 17,735 resistance must be a lot sooner than Q1.

b) He said, if all conditions meets (i.e. stay below 17,735, then the market moves lower to have room for the slingshot, then the slingshot move up), then the collapse following the slingshot would be in Q1 2016. That means he must expect that slingshot pretty soon - if that happens at all. That's why I assumed that his time frame must be in the next few weeks with regards to that 17,735 resistance, whether it will be broken or not. This whole stuff must happen soon (if it happen at all) in order to get the slingshot move and get the highs and the collapse in Q1 2016.

So I believe the "EVER" was not in his mind with regards to that 17,735 criteria, and that's why said it would be more useful if he could provide a time frame for that criteria.


...

P.S. I am leaving the forum, but I do want you all to get better at reading Armstrong. I hope one of you can do this sort of introspection for me going forward.


What happened? You know, the crypto community need your exceptional intellect. Don't take to your heart disagreements with the community! It happens, but it is more important that we respect your knowledge and how smart you are, even if it is not always easy to deal with you temper.
Seriously, stay and lets build together a great crypto currency which has been your plan!



spill the beans tptb, we got you corned now there is no escape *surrounds tptb*
The cat comes back the very next day
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
October 16, 2015, 01:07:49 AM
I never heard of Martin Armstrong before joining this forum.

Has anyone seen this movie about him? What did you think about it?

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt4103404/
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
October 15, 2015, 09:13:48 PM
Trump polling at 38% in Nevada. Jeb Bush at 6%. Trump, Carson, and Fiorina together have 68% of the vote in Nevada when none of them have ever held political office.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
If these polls are correct, then millions of people are essentially saying "Fuck it. Put a surgeon in the White House. Put a real estate guy in there. Anything's better than what we have."

Bernie Sanders still in the double-digits.

So loss of confidence in government here in America continues to accelerate.

The fact that Armstrong's model predicted that 2016 would be a peak in 3rd party, non-establishment people is pretty unreal.

If these polls are correct, then millions of people are essentially saying "Fuck it. Put a surgeon in the White House. Put a real estate guy in there. Anything's better than what we have."

LOL best thing I read all day


suda

THAT'S exactly right re millions wanting something very different than we have had before.  Hell, even I am for Trump, he said he would build the wall (and make it look great!), and THEN work on a "comprehensive solution".  There have been so many lies over the decades that I do not trust any of the usual suspects to do anything...

Electing (choosing, having one imposed, etc.) a "man on horseback" (a heroic type) is always, of course, dangerous.  Look at Napoleon, there are many other good examples as well.  But at this point in American history, I think umpteen millions of Americans are ready for the right kind of change.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 15, 2015, 08:40:54 PM
Trump polling at 38% in Nevada. Jeb Bush at 6%. Trump, Carson, and Fiorina together have 68% of the vote in Nevada when none of them have ever held political office.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
If these polls are correct, then millions of people are essentially saying "Fuck it. Put a surgeon in the White House. Put a real estate guy in there. Anything's better than what we have."

Bernie Sanders still in the double-digits.

So loss of confidence in government here in America continues to accelerate.

The fact that Armstrong's model predicted that 2016 would be a peak in 3rd party, non-establishment people is pretty unreal.

If these polls are correct, then millions of people are essentially saying "Fuck it. Put a surgeon in the White House. Put a real estate guy in there. Anything's better than what we have."

LOL best thing I read all day
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 15, 2015, 08:37:23 PM
If the market stays below 17,735 then it will test the lows. Now this is fucking useless btw as he doesn't say in which period...

It is not useless and he means what he said precisely. If the market EVER (well Armstrong said by 1 quarter at latest) moves above 17,735 before having the false move to downside to create the slingshot effect, then there won't be a slingshot. But he also said that the absence of a slingshot won't rule out the phase transition to a 32 - 40K level by 2017.


a) If "EVER" is the time frame then it does not provide day traders (the majority of traders on the market) with lot of materials. I am a big fun of technicals, just like Armstrong is, for instance I am using Elliot Wave analyses frequently and we can't base our trades on the "EVER" time frame. It just doesn't work like that. I am sure Armstrong had a time frame in his mind - he just didn't spell it out. The Q1 was the end event, the  new lows will be in place then, so the slingshot as the result of not breaking the 17,735 resistance must be a lot sooner than Q1.

b) He said, if all conditions meets (i.e. stay below 17,735, then the market moves lower to have room for the slingshot, then the slingshot move up), then the collapse following the slingshot would be in Q1 2016. That means he must expect that slingshot pretty soon - if that happens at all. That's why I assumed that his time frame must be in the next few weeks with regards to that 17,735 resistance, whether it will be broken or not. This whole stuff must happen soon (if it happen at all) in order to get the slingshot move and get the highs and the collapse in Q1 2016.

So I believe the "EVER" was not in his mind with regards to that 17,735 criteria, and that's why said it would be more useful if he could provide a time frame for that criteria.


...

P.S. I am leaving the forum, but I do want you all to get better at reading Armstrong. I hope one of you can do this sort of introspection for me going forward.


What happened? You know, the crypto community need your exceptional intellect. Don't take to your heart disagreements with the community! It happens, but it is more important that we respect your knowledge and how smart you are, even if it is not always easy to deal with you temper.
Seriously, stay and lets build together a great crypto currency which has been your plan!



spill the beans tptb, we got you corned now there is no escape *surrounds tptb*
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
October 15, 2015, 02:25:38 PM
Trump polling at 38% in Nevada. Jeb Bush at 6%. Trump, Carson, and Fiorina together have 68% of the vote in Nevada when none of them have ever held political office.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
If these polls are correct, then millions of people are essentially saying "Fuck it. Put a surgeon in the White House. Put a real estate guy in there. Anything's better than what we have."

Bernie Sanders still in the double-digits.

So loss of confidence in government here in America continues to accelerate.

The fact that Armstrong's model predicted that 2016 would be a peak in 3rd party, non-establishment people is pretty unreal.
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
October 15, 2015, 11:13:27 AM
The only thing I'm watching out for is 32k dow.. ive been waiting a few years for that.

LoL You never know if the slingshot move takes the market there.
Dunno i just expect it.. thats when I know to start preparing

I am telling to friends (based on Armstrong) that the 32K DJI might coming. They look at me and ask, what the f@ck wrong with you?
Hah thats why its happening.. I didnt look at armstrong to come up with that number though.. Happened to come to same number(just felt right)
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
October 14, 2015, 09:08:37 PM
b) He said, if all conditions meets (i.e. stay below 17,735, then the market moves lower to have room for the slingshot, then the slingshot move up), then the collapse following the slingshot would be in Q1 2016.

There won't be any collapse of the slingshot as it will be the new bull market heading to 32,000. The collapse is the significant decline before the slingshot that will trap the current longs into going short at the bottom (the greater fools, the majority always has to be wrong) before the slingshot when the smart money covers their shorts which they opened at much higher levels where the current longs were long.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
October 14, 2015, 07:02:48 PM
If the market stays below 17,735 then it will test the lows. Now this is fucking useless btw as he doesn't say in which period...

It is not useless and he means what he said precisely. If the market EVER (well Armstrong said by 1 quarter at latest) moves above 17,735 before having the false move to downside to create the slingshot effect, then there won't be a slingshot. But he also said that the absence of a slingshot won't rule out the phase transition to a 32 - 40K level by 2017.


a) If "EVER" is the time frame then it does not provide day traders (the majority of traders on the market) with lot of materials. I am a big fun of technicals, just like Armstrong is, for instance I am using Elliot Wave analyses frequently and we can't base our trades on the "EVER" time frame. It just doesn't work like that. I am sure Armstrong had a time frame in his mind - he just didn't spell it out. The Q1 was the end event, the  new lows will be in place then, so the slingshot as the result of not breaking the 17,735 resistance must be a lot sooner than Q1.

b) He said, if all conditions meets (i.e. stay below 17,735, then the market moves lower to have room for the slingshot, then the slingshot move up), then the collapse following the slingshot would be in Q1 2016. That means he must expect that slingshot pretty soon - if that happens at all. That's why I assumed that his time frame must be in the next few weeks with regards to that 17,735 resistance, whether it will be broken or not. This whole stuff must happen soon (if it happen at all) in order to get the slingshot move and get the highs and the collapse in Q1 2016.

So I believe the "EVER" was not in his mind with regards to that 17,735 criteria, and that's why said it would be more useful if he could provide a time frame for that criteria.


...

P.S. I am leaving the forum, but I do want you all to get better at reading Armstrong. I hope one of you can do this sort of introspection for me going forward.


What happened? You know, the crypto community need your exceptional intellect. Don't take to your heart disagreements with the community! It happens, but it is more important that we respect your knowledge and how smart you are, even if it is not always easy to deal with you temper.
Seriously, stay and lets build together a great crypto currency which has been your plan!

full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 14, 2015, 06:19:28 PM
If the market stays below 17,735 then it will test the lows. Now this is fucking useless btw as he doesn't say in which period...

It is not useless and he means what he said precisely. If the market EVER (well Armstrong said by 1 quarter at latest) moves above 17,735 before having the false move to downside to create the slingshot effect, then there won't be a slingshot. But he also said that the absence of a slingshot won't rule out the phase transition to a 32 - 40K level by 2017.

The slingshot is the potential for a very significant false move to the downside (where shorts pile on before covering) and then a fast lurch back up moving to new highs very quickly.

The longs are trapped by the significant false move down and they go short right at the bottom.

It appears the potential for the slingshot might have been averted (or delayed?) when the Fed delayed raising rates or guidance thereof.

P.S. I am leaving the forum, but I do want you all to get better at reading Armstrong. I hope one of you can do this sort of introspection for me going forward.

suda, damn it, Armstrong spent $1 billion (inflation adjusted dollars) collecting archives of data. His model is accurate before no one else had ever spent that much on collecting vast data. The Pi correlation was discovered from the data, not chosen arbitrarily.

o, do you think stocks were always manipulated, or that came later?
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
October 14, 2015, 06:09:05 PM
If the market stays below 17,735 then it will test the lows. Now this is fucking useless btw as he doesn't say in which period...

It is not useless and he means what he said precisely. If the market EVER (well Armstrong said by 1 quarter at latest) moves above 17,735 before having the false move to downside to create the slingshot effect, then there won't be a slingshot. But he also said that the absence of a slingshot won't rule out the phase transition to a 32 - 40K level by 2017.

The slingshot is the potential for a very significant false move to the downside (where shorts pile on before covering) and then a fast lurch back up moving to new highs very quickly.

The longs are trapped by the significant false move down and they go short right at the bottom.

It appears the potential for the slingshot might have been averted (or delayed?) when the Fed delayed raising rates or guidance thereof.

P.S. I am leaving the forum, but I do want you all to get better at reading Armstrong. I hope one of you can do this sort of introspection for me going forward.

suda, damn it, Armstrong spent $1 billion (inflation adjusted dollars) collecting archives of data. His model is accurate before no one else had ever spent that much on collecting vast data. The Pi correlation was discovered from the data, not chosen arbitrarily.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
October 14, 2015, 05:58:00 PM

I think from day trading viewpoint, what he says very much on line what all traders feel right now: it is too late to open a long position for gold. A favourable risk/reward ratio is just not there any more. That's what Armstrong says as well, it needs to establish a really strong buy support to stay at this level.

I've been "out" since the January pop, waiting for the expected low next Spring (still?); though wondering if physical supply will still be available around spot by then - good supply currently remains near spot in UK.

I am not familiar with the physical supply, I am trading stocks and commodities, but never buy physical stuff.

On the note of the gold price, regardless what Armstrong says, I believe, if it goes lower any time in the next few days then probably that provides a window to open long positions. Hearing and reading from the market that the sentiment has completely changed and the bear market is gone, so I think that will be a low risk move.
full member
Activity: 208
Merit: 103
October 14, 2015, 05:08:06 PM

I think from day trading viewpoint, what he says very much on line what all traders feel right now: it is too late to open a long position for gold. A favourable risk/reward ratio is just not there any more. That's what Armstrong says as well, it needs to establish a really strong buy support to stay at this level.

I've been "out" since the January pop, waiting for the expected low next Spring (still?); though wondering if physical supply will still be available around spot by then - good supply currently remains near spot in UK.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
October 14, 2015, 04:56:13 PM
I do enjoy seeing a new Gold array from Armstrong:



"...Gold is rallying to test the first key Bullish Reversal at 1187. This is what these number do. That showed how far gold must rally to even get bullish on a sustainable basis. This is the Panic Cycle Target. We have a Directional Change Next week. We need a weekly closing above 1210 and a monthly closing above 1225 to show any sustainability here and now..."

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/38090

Interested to hear any interpretations...guesswork...wild speculation Cheesy

I think from day trading viewpoint, what he says very much on line what all traders feel right now: it is too late to open a long position for gold. A favourable risk/reward ratio is just not there any more. That's what Armstrong says as well, it needs to establish a really strong buy support to stay at this level.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
October 14, 2015, 04:50:27 PM
The only thing I'm watching out for is 32k dow.. ive been waiting a few years for that.

LoL You never know if the slingshot move takes the market there.
Dunno i just expect it.. thats when I know to start preparing

I am telling to friends (based on Armstrong) that the 32K DJI might coming. They look at me and ask, what the f@ck wrong with you?
full member
Activity: 208
Merit: 103
October 14, 2015, 04:38:43 PM
I do enjoy seeing a new Gold array from Armstrong:



"...Gold is rallying to test the first key Bullish Reversal at 1187. This is what these number do. That showed how far gold must rally to even get bullish on a sustainable basis. This is the Panic Cycle Target. We have a Directional Change Next week. We need a weekly closing above 1210 and a monthly closing above 1225 to show any sustainability here and now..."

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/38090

Interested to hear any interpretations...guesswork...wild speculation Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
October 14, 2015, 03:05:10 PM
The only thing I'm watching out for is 32k dow.. ive been waiting a few years for that.

LoL You never know if the slingshot move takes the market there.
Dunno i just expect it.. thats when I know to start preparing
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