I read the
full indictment, and it looks pretty bad. The thing where he allegedly decided in 2016 to file a 2011 gift tax return saying that he had gifted bitcoins to his partner stood out as especially bad to me. (I wonder: why are they allowed to use quotes from emails between Ver and his lawyer?)
The indictment is just one side of the story, though. It seems to me that the best argument from Ver will be that it was an unintentional mistake. Ver apparently had a bunch of bitcoins floating around between himself-personally and mostly-disregarded-entity S-corps. Pre-expatriation, it may not have been important whether the bitcoins belonged to him or the corporations, so it may have been reasonable for him to not put much thought into the matter. But then it
does very much matter during the appraisal of the corporations, and it all gets even more complicated when the S-corps automatically become C-corps after expatriation. That's all very confusing. If I was in that situation, I could see making some sort of honest mistake regarding all of that mess. Though the indictment does try to provide a lot of evidence for intent, and it would've been an awfully big mistake, apparently.
An important detail to note is that this was a grand jury empaneled in June 2023, with the indictment filed in February, and then it was just recently unsealed after he was arrested. There clearly is a DoJ-wide mandate to target crypto, but I don't think that this was intentionally planned to coincide with the Samourai case, or with Ver's book, or anything like that.
I'm not a big fan of the guy overall, but since he's having a very bad day, I'd like to say some nice things about him for a second. He put a lot of effort into building the very-early Bitcoin ecosystem. He's a anarcho-capitalist like me, which is cool. I saw that he once made a large donation to antiwar.com. He's a free-thinker and a freedom-lover, somebody who recognizes that something is terribly wrong with the world, and wants to do something about it. If I had to rank all people on Earth from my favorite to least-favorite, I'd put Ver above where I'd put "every person I don't know anything about", since there are way more experiences/ideas/values I share with Ver than I share with eg. some random farmer in China. So I hope this legal situation turns out well for him, especially since this seems to be part of a larger "war on crypto".