Topic: ★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★ - page 14. (Read 28772 times)

Interesting thread Xiao. I'm a big NBA fan and this thread prompted me to sign up for this forum.



I've heard people say this about the NBA betting. You seem to have a lot of experience. What sports would you think are the most profitable/easiest to bet on?

Wow this makes me mad.  I'm out for blood from now on.

Combined Odds    28.00    14.62    409.36    Lost    49582       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    10.00    9.63    96.30    Lost    49580       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 2:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    10.00    16.27    162.70    Lost    49578       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    15.00    5.12    76.80    Lost    49577       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    15.00    41.98    629.70    Lost    49576       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    10.00    14.69    146.90    Lost    49575       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    10.00    15.97    159.70    Lost    49573       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    10.00    16.57    165.70    Lost    49572       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    5.00    14.67    73.35    Pending    49571       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    20.00    17.78    355.60    Lost    49570       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    20.00    17.69    353.80    Lost    49568       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    20.00    9.60    192.00    Lost    49564       
12/10/2014    Combined odds    12/10/2014 3:05:00 AM    Combined Odds    20.00    10.19    203.80    Lost    49562       
12/09/2014    Combined odds    12/9/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    5.00    13.17    65.85    Lost    49294       
12/09/2014    Combined odds    12/9/2014 4:35:00 AM    Combined Odds    13.00    6.93    90.09    Lost    49293       

just a 1 page of parlays the CLE has costed me... still 3 more pages... rofl!!!!

And then the NEXT possession, up 4 points, TOR miss, Tristant gets the rebound, but then gets it STOLEN, so no 2 freethrows again.  HAHA!

HOW DO YOU GET A 5 sec violation inbounding the ball CAVS?  wow, up 4 points 14 seconds left.... and its your ball... 2 freethrows waiting....

TOR miss, and CAV rebound and gets it STOLEN rofl... no 2 freethrows... unreal. 

LMFAOOO 5 sec violation, cavs up 4... lol just enough to screw me over

102-99 CAVS.  Need toronto miss and then cavs make free throws and it will cover or tie.

Gosh CAVS, why do you think you're all Hollywood not trying entire game and giving only 90-100% effort last 5 min?  If they gave 90% effort from the start, they'd be up 10-30 points right now.  TOR gave 100% effort from the get go.

I tried to evaluate all the predictions and yes my conclusion is the same - bad luck. But even bad luck has to end sooner or later. So more than enough time to kill that NBA  

Lebron has not tried the ENTIRE game.  FACT.  take this to overtime and blow them out, come on.

97-97 tied.... if they had just played 2% harder ... they'd be up 15 points by now.

97-94 TOR

I know I can beat the NBA.  Only 4 days into it.  Vig has already taken up 10% of 20+ games, so vig is ~2.0.  I'm just getting incredibly unlucky so far in December.

Plus this stupid game CAV vs TOR.  CAV is barely even trying.  You'd think they'd try harder since it is against a tough opponent.  They're probably going to win it, but not cover.  It is 97-92 TOR right now.  

I've got about 1000000 units on Cavs right now -5.

I'm good with my calculator on my desktop

But a serious note now: I read all the messages in the mail and I can tell to all the people that read this thread that Xia puts a lot of work to doing all of this. He knows a lot of NBA and basketball. So it also a learning experience for me. NBA is the only league that I can't make a profit. On all the other sports and leagues I do very well. But NBA is a pain for me. My last ~150 NBA predictions gave a break even, so it was waste of time for me.

I'm thinking about to start a service myself next year, but I underestimated all the energy that you need to run a service. The feeling that others following your predictions (with their money) can be stressful. So I need to think again. I like my health (quit smoking 2 years ago) and I hate stress.

Last day was unlucky. I watched most of the games and small but important differences - like for example a normal referee in the nuggets game - had made a profitable (or a better) day for us.

TOR shooting 68% from the field, that is not real.  It is pure luck.  Last night they should have lost to DEN, but shot like 65% from the field in 1st half again and got EVERY single call in favor of them.

This team is the most inflated team in the NBA.  They are not elite in anyway.  They will crash and burn, it's a matter of time.

Total day 4 (8 December)
-1.372 units



vani's calculations look good, I trust he knows how to add/subtract

Xia will fight back. I already ordered a new plasma television

Day 4 (8 December)

1 unit
Atlanta Hawks v Indiana Pacers Game: Atlanta Hawks +1 1.915 (-109) W
Boston Celtics v Washington Wizards under 204.5 1.924 (-108) L
Utah Jazz v Sacramento Kings over 198 1.952 (-105) L

Total 1 unit
(-1.085)

1.5 unit
Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors Game: Denver Nuggets +9.5 1.942 (-106) W
Suns v Los Angeles Clippers Game: Los Angeles Clippers -7.5 1.942 (-106) L

Total 1.5 units
(-0.087)

0.2 unit
Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors Game: Denver Nuggets ML 5.007 (+401) L

Total 0.2 unit
(-0.200)

-----------------------------------------------
Total day 4 (8 December)
-1.372 units


day 1 - (5 December): -1.622 units
day 2 - (6 December): +0.657 units
day 3 - (7 December): -1.000 units
day 4 - (8 December): -1.372 units

Total since subscription: -3.337 units

Record of predictions: 9-12

Correction this was subscription day 3.


day 1 - 5 December: -1.622 units
day 2 - 6 December: +0.657 units
day 3 - 7 December: -1.000 units
day 4 - 8 December: pending

Just be patient, the NBA season is a marathon, not a 10 yard dash.