★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★ - page 15.

btclegend

newbie

Activity: 14

Merit: 0

Quote from: Xiaoxiao on December 08, 2014, 04:56:37 PM

Last night's report:

Subscription Day 3:

Quote

Washington Wizards v Boston Celtics

Game: Washington Wizards -3.5 1.897 (-111) L

Record 7-8

- 1.965 units.

not a good result so far Sad

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Last night's report:

Subscription Day 4:

Quote

Washington Wizards v Boston Celtics

Game: Washington Wizards -3.5 1.897 (-111) L

Record 7-8

- 1.965 units.

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Notice folks, I never take big favorites ML in order to boast my W-L record. Especially for NBA, because any team may show up in one night. Plus, it is the coward's way out. Any expert tippers that do that is probably not skilled nor will be profitable in the long run. You can win 5 in a row, and lose 1 and you're negative.

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Get in now folks. $30 for 45 days is a steal. That's less than 70 cents per day for full picks and reports and commentary! And if I don't profit in units AFTER vig, you get 50% refunded to you! It's a win-win situation! That's how confident I am in my abilities.

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player. But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION ~~1 month~~ 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message forum member DebitMe profile: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/debitme-73438 for payment info. He will be escrowing funds and handling payments.

For any questions, please private message myself.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays. Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game. In that case, I will be emailing picks 1 hour before the start of the matinee game.

Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert. This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.
*Picks before subscription does not count towards a losing record for the month

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Subscription day 3

Quote

Last night's report/picks:

Last nights thoughts- No excuse for Sacramento to allow 10+ lead to slip away in 4th quarter at home against Indiana. Horrible defeinse, they should have lost in OT as well. Dissappointed at my MIA +1.5 pick. Other than that I liked all my other picks.

Tonight's picks:

1 Golden State Warriors v Chicago Bulls under 203 1.991 (-101) L

2 Orlando Magic v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings -5 1.780 (-128) L

1 the #'s say it should go over, but it is a heated match and I don't really see Bulls allowing GSW to score over 100 and don't see GSW allowing bulls to score over 100 either.

2 The consensus is that ORL will win ATS. But I think SAC is much better team even without Demarcus Cousins.

Taking Golden State -1.5 is very tempting, but not going to do it. They aren't used to scrappy teams like the Bulls yet this season.

Addition:

1 unit

Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons Game: Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 1.961 (-104) W

Good odds, and Detroit is offensively deficient.

.2 unit:

Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons Game: Philadelphia 76ers ML 5.480 (+448) W

Great odds, PHI definitely has a chance to win considering they have length to put Detroit in low scoring.

1 unit:

Golden State Warriors v Chicago Bulls Game: Golden State Warriors -1.5 1.800 (-125) W

Going to have to pull the trigger on Warriros here. Noah has problematic ankle, and he is the key to defense and rebounding. He will either not play or see limited minutes, and having a problematic ankle hurts real bad to one's lateral movement on defense, as well as rebounding.

No more bets tonight, it is 2200 GMT

Last night: 3-2 , +0.657 unit

Subscription record: 7-7

Units: -.965

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Btw- 50% promo refund obv doesnt count for picks before sub started.

Will post yesterdays results and report soon

arvindr

full member

Activity: 182

Merit: 100

Quote from: Vani on December 07, 2014, 06:42:12 AM

Quote from: GreatCoinBearer on December 07, 2014, 05:08:17 AM

If I subscribe, where should I place my bets?

Depends if you want to bet with BTC or Fiat. If you want to bet with BTC, I recommend Nitrogensports in combination with using this subscription. If you want to play with Fiat: there are hundreds of Fiat bookies. Depending where you live bookies can restrict your country. Read the terms and conditions or ask the costumer service to be sure your country has no restrictions for the bookie(s) of your choice. Be wise and read some reviews of other users of the bookies before you deposit your money.

XiaoXiao places hit bets at nitrogensports, and is that is where his bet slips are from. But you can pretty much chose any sports betting sites to bet on.

Vani

full member

Activity: 140

Merit: 100

Quote from: GreatCoinBearer on December 07, 2014, 05:08:17 AM

If I subscribe, where should I place my bets?

Depends if you want to bet with BTC or Fiat. If you want to bet with BTC, I recommend Nitrogensports in combination with using this subscription. If you want to play with Fiat: there are hundreds of Fiat bookies. Depending where you live bookies can restrict your country. Read the terms and conditions or ask the costumer service to be sure your country has no restrictions for the bookie(s) of your choice. Be wise and read some reviews of other users of the bookies before you deposit your money.

Vani

full member

Activity: 140

Merit: 100

Quote from: moneybat on December 07, 2014, 04:56:13 AM

So when are today's (yesterday's actually) picks being revealed. Seen a good ratio before the subscription service and was interested before the negative 2 days profit now. How did you do yesterday?

6 December was profitable. The picks and my calculations.

1 unit single bets (2-2)

Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons Game: Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 1.961 (-104) W
Golden State Warriors v Chicago Bulls Game: Golden State Warriors -1.5 1.800 (-125) W
Golden State Warriors v Chicago Bulls under 203 1.991 (-101) L
Orlando Magic v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings -5 1.780 (-128) L

Total 1 unit bets
-0.239 units

0.2 unit single bet (1-0)*
Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons Game: Philadelphia 76ers ML 5.480 (+448) W

*Only a win if your bookie included overtime with the bet, most of them do, but not all of them. With some bookies you can (or must) bet on win, lose or draw for the regular time only.

Total 0.2 unit bets
+0.896 units
--------------------------------------------------
Total 6 December picks
+0.657 units

Overview since the subscription picks
5 December: -1.622 units
6 December: +0.657 units
--------------------------------------------------
Total today since subscription 5 December
-0.965 units

Quote from: ratioxz on December 06, 2014, 07:16:28 AM

Tonight single picks 4 won 5 lost and two combos with 0.10 ant 0.20 so its -1.567 units for today and -8.29 units for this month

Total of December (free picks + subscription) - thanks to the calculations of the forum member ratioxz.

Free picks: 1-4 December
-6.723 units*

* I think it was calculated with the odds at the moment ratioxz placed the picks. The outcome can be slight different due the original odds that was given by Xia at the moment Xia placed his picks.

Subscription picks (since 5 December)
-0.965 units

--------------------------------------------------
Total December
-7.688 units

Congrats with the profitable day. The 0.2 bet was without a doubt the best pick of the day.

GreatCoinBearer

newbie

Activity: 42

Merit: 0

If I subscribe, where should I place my bets?

moneybat

full member

Activity: 239

Merit: 101

So when are today's (yesterday's actually) picks being revealed. Seen a good ratio before the subscription service and was interested before the negative 2 days profit now. How did you do yesterday?

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

I will be posting the subscription report the day after each time:

Subscription Day 1, Friday Dec 5

Record straight bets: 4-5 = -1.322 units

Parlays: 0-2 = -0.3 unit

Total = -1.622 unit

Quote

1 unit each:

1. Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics under 217.5 1.915 (-109) W

2. Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves Game: Houston Rockets -6 1.767 (-130) L

3. Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets Game: Atlanta Hawks -1.5 1.933 (-107) W

4. Indiana Pacers v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings -3.5 1.942 (-106) L

5. Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks Game: Dallas Mavericks -5 1.873 (-115) L

6. Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks Game: Miami Heat +1.5 1.942 (-106) L

Thoughts:

1. Competitive game. Laker's looking for blood and will not allow Celtics to score too much. I could only see this going over if Lakers blowout the Celtics. Will usually be under in very competitive game. Odds makers set line high because Celtics are always over this year. But I think the shooting will be a bit poor in this game.

2. Minnesota may start out playing very tough but I think they will run out of gas and Houston will go for the kill. But if Minnesota comes out playing real good and Houston is not giving a great effort, then I'd worry a bit. If Houston starts out real hot, game is over.

3. If Atlanta gives a good effort, they will beat Brooklyn. Brooklyn is a bit slow and old, but they are experienced. Atlanta is pretty fast and athletic. The key is which Atlanta team shows up and what kind of effort they give. And also how Brooklyn might get under Atlanta's skin. Also refs may butcher this game. But overall, Atlanta would beat Brooklyn 7 out of 10 times. So definitely good bet here.

4. Sacramento has been on a slump lately without Demarcus Cousins. However, they still have a lot of firing power. They are at home and they should be getting hungry now that they're record is 9-9 after getting to a great start on one of the toughest schedules.

5. The least confident of all the games I chose. But still profitable in the long run. Dallas has just come home from an emotional high of some sick wins on their recent road trip (vs Bulls and Mil). Hopefully they haven't run out of gas here against a high octane Suns team. But obviously Dallas is the better team then Suns.

6. Milwaukee is tough team at home, but look for Miami to play even tougher.

I am still researching the Denver vs Washington game. Besides that I don't like the lines for the the other games tonight, at least not yet.

Stay tuned!

Xiao

1 unit each:

Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards Game: Denver Nuggets +4.5 1.952 (-105) L

San Antonio Spurs v Memphis Grizzlies over 193 1.924 (-108) W

Reminder. picks will be sent out on or before 2200 GMT.

1 unit:

San Antonio Spurs v Memphis Grizzlies over 193 1.952 (-105) W

0.2 unit:

Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves Game: Houston Rockets -71.933 (-107)
Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks Game: Miami Heat +1.51.924 (-108)
PARLAY
2 Game Parlay 3.719 (+272)

0.1 unit:

Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics under 217.5 1.942 (-106)
Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets Game: Atlanta Hawks -1.5 1.933 (-107)
Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks Game: Dallas Mavericks -4.5 1.800 (-125)
Indiana Pacers v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings -2.5 1.767 (-130)
San Antonio Spurs v Memphis Grizzlies over 193 1.952 (-105)
PARLAY
5 Game Parlay 23.306 (+2231)

Just realized I posted a dupe for SA v MEM 193 over.

Ignore that. I meant to post this for 1 unit:

Please get your bets in for this game. You still have plenty of time.

San Antonio Spurs v Memphis Grizzlies
Game: San Antonio Spurs +1 1.906 (-1100 W

ratioxz

newbie

Activity: 19

Merit: 0

Yes I am going to continue,I have monthly subscription and it is just beginning,so results can change in profit very quickly.I do believe that he is good at making predictions you can just follow results and if you like them you start your own subscription.

johny08

legendary

Activity: 1045

Merit: 1000

Quote from: ratioxz on December 06, 2014, 07:16:28 AM

Tonight single picks 4 won 5 lost and two combos with 0.10 ant 0.20 so its -1.567 units for today and -8.29 units for this month

I love basketball. so far i was on the sideline with betting and reading the forum. So whats the deal here?

is it worth to make money for you? are you going to continue?

ratioxz

newbie

Activity: 19

Merit: 0

Tonight single picks 4 won 5 lost and two combos with 0.10 ant 0.20 so its -1.567 units for today and -8.29 units for this month

Vani

full member

Activity: 140

Merit: 100

Just received the first picks. Xia - I subscribed earlier this week. You are free to send them to the escrow or not. I have faith that you keep your promises we made on pm. Looking forward to the coming days and weeks.

Good luck Cool

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player. But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION ~~1 month~~ 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message trusted forum member DebitMe profile: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/debitme-73438 for payment info. He will be escrowing funds and handling records.

For any other questions, feel free to private message myself.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays. Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game. In that case, I will be emailing picks 1 hour before the start of the matinee game.

Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert. This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.

CoinTheCoin

newbie

Activity: 53

Merit: 0

Quote from: DebitMe on December 05, 2014, 12:02:34 PM

Quote from: Xiaoxiao on December 05, 2014, 11:53:18 AM

Quote from: jjc326 on December 05, 2014, 11:35:17 AM

There have been several fiascos on this site with people paying for subscriptions - I've seen people lose a lot while being "promised" by the person making the picks they would be positive ev at the end of the week. I've seen people just get shafted when they stop making picks too after they get a few subs or they start losing bets.

In other words guys, if you paid this guy for picks, it's not going to end well...I promise.

In terms of getting shafted, that will not happen. I'm not a scammer, lol. In terms of winning or losing, I can't promise winning but I am fairly confident I will win. A lot of paid services lose after the vig, and I'm probably going to be winning after the vig. We'll see. Stay tuned bud.

If there are issues or questions about anything, I would be willing to stand in as an escrow for membership fees between xiaoxiao and the customer. If Xiaoxiao also would like, I can help track his bets for him on a google shared spreadsheet, please refer to Stayeduptolate's thread where I do this service for him to see a sample of what the spreadsheet would look like. My payment would come in the form of free sports picks as long as they are put out.

Please let me know if your interested xiaoxiao.

+1

This would go a long way in reassuring customers... especially if an escrow is held for the full month's period before being released.

As it stands right now, it's pretty hard to keep track or verify your bets. Working with DebitMe will help keep your thread organized and make it easier for customer interaction.

From reading some of your posts, it seems that you're very passionate about basketball and definitely have some knowledge about the sport.

You've mentioned that you go over and study previous game tape. Can you take some time and provide some in-depth game analysis that includes what you saw that reconfirmed your thoughts about efficiencies or inefficiencies of offensive and defensive gameplans and matchups?

Are these capped games based mostly on observational analysis or do you take into consideration line movement, betting volume, and history as well?

I still don't understand your argument of parlays over straight wagers however. Usually gains are made by making multiple +EV (positive expected value) bets over the course of a long period. If it gets to the point of hedging out the last legs of the parlays, I believe this should be avoided as it is widely believed to be -EV unless you're working outside a proper bankroll.

Regardless, I wish you luck in your endeavours. Hope you have a great season

Xiaoxiao

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

The Golden Rule Rules

Quote from: DebitMe on December 05, 2014, 12:02:34 PM

Quote from: Xiaoxiao on December 05, 2014, 11:53:18 AM

Quote from: jjc326 on December 05, 2014, 11:35:17 AM

There have been several fiascos on this site with people paying for subscriptions - I've seen people lose a lot while being "promised" by the person making the picks they would be positive ev at the end of the week. I've seen people just get shafted when they stop making picks too after they get a few subs or they start losing bets.

In other words guys, if you paid this guy for picks, it's not going to end well...I promise.

In terms of getting shafted, that will not happen. I'm not a scammer, lol. In terms of winning or losing, I can't promise winning but I am fairly confident I will win. A lot of paid services lose after the vig, and I'm probably going to be winning after the vig. We'll see. Stay tuned bud.

If there are issues or questions about anything, I would be willing to stand in as an escrow for membership fees between xiaoxiao and the customer. If Xiaoxiao also would like, I can help track his bets for him on a google shared spreadsheet, please refer to Stayeduptolate's thread where I do this service for him to see a sample of what the spreadsheet would look like. My payment would come in the form of free sports picks as long as they are put out.

Please let me know if your interested xiaoxiao.

You seem like a great forum member and honest person. I'd be interested in your help and would gladly to add you to the subscription. May I have new subscribers send you the funds from now on? Let's talk via PM.

Topic: ★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★ - page 15. (Read 28772 times)