NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 11.

morvillz7z

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This is what i'm on today, expect both Josh Jacobs and Romeo Doubs to have solid outputs. Raiders have their oline ranked top 5 in pass block win rate on the season and Jacobs is coming off 8 receptions 81 rec yards game. Doubs has been the guy for Green Bay so far, leading the team in targets, receptions, and yards...I would've added Davante Adams to my slip as i like the "revenge game" angle but he hasn't practiced all week nursing an injury, which is kinda risky.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on October 07, 2023, 09:53:24 PM

Big win for the Bears and they were inspired to do it for their fellow fallen solider Dick Butkus who was a well known football player for Chicago.

So this weekend we have another early match in London with Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills.

Yup, and their close loss last week against the Broncos fired them up. The Commanders during that match didn't look like the same team that pressured the Eagles.

I'm glad I forgot about the early London match because I would've bet on the Bills like most bettors did and started my day with a loss. Tongue

Earlier, almost half of the matches ended up in the way of the underdogs, and the impressive one was probably the Saints holding off the Patriots to zero points. For the MNF, i'm leaning on the plus points for the Packers and I don't buy the home advantage when this looks similar to the Steelers match a couple of weeks ago.

rdbase

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Big win for the Bears and they were inspired to do it for their fellow fallen solider Dick Butkus who was a well known football player for Chicago.

So this weekend we have another early match in London with Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/buffalo-bills-v-jacksonville-jaguars-645ba8ea76e9d5391c4755cc

Rest of the matches after this one are listed here:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

ralle14

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We also have a MOTD special(link is in the image) for this match, and I immediately hopped on the Commanders' special because they were close to beating the Eagles last week.

Quote from: rdbase on October 05, 2023, 06:57:05 PM

TNF is happening in less than and hour and a half and everyone is saying there is a lock on this match up tonight!

It's scary to say they're a lock, but I agree they should win against the Bears.

There's a bit of movement on the spread (from 6.5 to 5.5) and maybe it's a hint that the public or the sharps are going ham on the Bears.

rdbase

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TNF is happening in less than and hour and a half and everyone is saying there is a lock on this match up tonight!

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/washington-football-team-v-chicago-bears-65133e73f2779c0001de9c48

This is going by the name of the worst game all year with the Chicago Bears team being in massive disarray from the defense all the way to the offense. This is why they are 0-4 on the season so far.
Then we have a struggling Washington Commanders squad which to me didn't look too bad in the last game I watched them play.
Sam Howell could toss them into the endzone, so they have hope to salvage something still being 2-2 still early on in the season.

But the lines all towards a successful Commanders win being 1.39x odds last I checked.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on October 02, 2023, 09:12:53 PM

With watching the first quarter it was just a sea of yellow from all the penalties being given out by the referees.
There were no points put up on the scoreboard yet while I tuned into the game, but Seattle were at their own 30 yard line and was 1st and 20 then another flag thrown during the play and set back to 1st and 25.
So this seems to be a reoccurring theme for this Monday night match and possibly make it a low scoring one if more flags get thrown throughout the rest of the game.
Geno Smith was the favored quarterback to take the Seahawks on to victory against a poorly performing Daniel Jones and Giants team.
If I did have a bet on this match up tonight, I would of picked the exactly same as you did backing the Seahawks and probably put it as a combo bet with the points spread just to make it a bit more appealing to me.

Yup, the first half was so scrappy from both sides there is always a flag being thrown on every play and the Giants' QB was the real MVP of this match. Whenever they start to gain some yardage and close in on the red zone they somehow find a way to give it back to the Seahawks. Cheesy

I thought my Seahawks bet was in trouble when Geno Smith was having issues during the second quarter but the Giants still can't get their shit together.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on October 02, 2023, 08:08:07 PM

We get another fishy odds, but i'll ride with the Seahawks @1.76 (price boost). The Giants look like one of the weakest teams after facing a couple of good teams, while the Seahawks are better on paper and want to extend their win streak to three. The bookies are testing the Giants here since this is the second time they'll face a team (the first was against the Cardinals) they can potentially beat.

With watching the first quarter it was just a sea of yellow from all the penalties being given out by the referees.
There were no points put up on the scoreboard yet while I tuned into the game, but Seattle were at their own 30 yard line and was 1st and 20 then another flag thrown during the play and set back to 1st and 25.
So this seems to be a reoccurring theme for this Monday night match and possibly make it a low scoring one if more flags get thrown throughout the rest of the game.
Geno Smith was the favored quarterback to take the Seahawks on to victory against a poorly performing Daniel Jones and Giants team.
If I did have a bet on this match up tonight, I would of picked the exactly same as you did backing the Seahawks and probably put it as a combo bet with the points spread just to make it a bit more appealing to me.

ralle14

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We get another fishy odds, but i'll ride with the Seahawks @1.76 (price boost). The Giants look like one of the weakest teams after facing a couple of good teams, while the Seahawks are better on paper and want to extend their win streak to three. The bookies are testing the Giants here since this is the second time they'll face a team (the first was against the Cardinals) they can potentially beat.

Quote from: rdbase on October 02, 2023, 06:47:14 AM

Yes, it ended 23-20 for the Chiefs which they didn't deserve to win. Mahomes had 2 interceptions from what I witnessed while watching the game and Kelce didn't get going in this one with his usual performance.
Not the same Chiefs team who won the Super Bowl last season that's for sure against a struggling and recovering offensive line-up including Zach Wilson.
Who hasn't got into the leading role of being the starting QB yet.

I agree the Chiefs performed like they were the underdogs in this matchup and I regret not buying a few extra points for my under as I wasn't expecting a lackluster second half from these two teams.

Quote from: acroman08 on October 02, 2023, 09:08:33 AM

I am really curious, near the end of the 4th quarter of the match, why did Patrick Mahomes stop near the goal instead of going for the Touchdown? I've read some comments on YouTube that it was to waste time and guarantee their win and others said that the Chiefs would still win if Patrick Mahomes went for the Touchdown.

Crazy things can happen even if there's only a minute and a half left and with their defense performing inconsistently, there's a possibility of it going to OT if they went for a TD.

rohang

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Quote from: acroman08 on October 02, 2023, 09:08:33 AM

I just started watching American Football(because of Jason Kelce, the dude is a wholesome guy) and watched the Jets vs. Chiefs match. I am really curious, near the end of the 4th quarter of the match, why did Patrick Mahomes stop near the goal instead of going for the Touchdown? I've read some comments on YouTube that it was to waste time and guarantee their win and others said that the Chiefs would still win if Patrick Mahomes went for the Touchdown.

sorry if this is a dumb question or if it is off-topic, I am still very new to American football.

Hey, thats absolutely right!

Its to waste time i.e. run out the clock

This is done when the leading team has possession and there is less then 2 mins left AND the opposing team has no time outs,

Since if they kneel, the clock keeps running and they get 40 seconds for the next play, that way they can kill 120 seconds easily in 3 plays (again,assuming no timeout from other team)

While it is right that they were in a really good spot to score a touchdown, but things like fumble/interceptions happen and no team risks that when the win is guaranteed if they just dont put the ball in play.

acroman08

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I just started watching American Football(because of Jason Kelce, the dude is a wholesome guy) and watched the Jets vs. Chiefs match. I am really curious, near the end of the 4th quarter of the match, why did Patrick Mahomes stop near the goal instead of going for the Touchdown? I've read some comments on YouTube that it was to waste time and guarantee their win and others said that the Chiefs would still win if Patrick Mahomes went for the Touchdown.

sorry if this is a dumb question or if it is off-topic, I am still very new to American football.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on October 01, 2023, 08:03:52 PM

Quote from: morvillz7z on October 01, 2023, 05:10:58 PM

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

That is brutal, but it's still impressive to see every leg hitting, including the other ATTD props. I guess they didn't want to switch things up when the passing game kept working for them.

I'm thinking of buying some points for the Chiefs match but I decided to scrap that play and just go for the under 41, when the under trend remains hot. I'd imagine this match to be similar to the Jags vs. Chiefs a couple of weeks ago, where we won't see much scoring since the Jets still have a top-tier defense.

Edit: My under is a guaranteed loss at this point after the Chiefs scored way too fast and the Jets can't get a stop. Tongue

Yes, it ended 23-20 for the Chiefs which they didn't deserve to win. Mahomes had 2 interceptions from what I witnessed while watching the game and Kelce didn't get going in this one with his usual performance.
Not the same Chiefs team who won the Super Bowl last season that's for sure against a struggling and recovering offensive line-up including Zach Wilson.
Who hasn't got into the leading role of being the starting QB yet.

Those are huge shoes to fill and Aaron Rodgers was at the game on the sidelines.
They say he will be going in later this week to evaluate the surgery done to his injured leg. He wants to get into the bye week of the season, but that is being optimistic.

ralle14

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Quote from: morvillz7z on October 01, 2023, 05:10:58 PM

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

That is brutal, but it's still impressive to see every leg hitting, including the other ATTD props. I guess they didn't want to switch things up when the passing game kept working for them.

I'm thinking of buying some points for the Chiefs match but I decided to scrap that play and just go for the under 41, when the under trend remains hot. I'd imagine this match to be similar to the Jags vs. Chiefs a couple of weeks ago, where we won't see much scoring since the Jets still have a top-tier defense.

Edit: My under is a guaranteed loss at this point after the Chiefs scored way too fast and the Jets can't get a stop. Tongue

morvillz7z

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https://www.talkimg.com/images/2023/10/01/PLHwj.png

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

Broncos gave 350 rush yards and like 5 rush TDs last week, thought it was the perfect matchup for him and the Chicago running backs, instead Fields threw for a career-high 4 pass TD. Lol

Looking again at my ticket, really good calls on Pickett's interception, Texans ML and the Dolphins rookie Achane, the rest kind looks obvious.

Ahhh, so close... Lips sealed

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 28, 2023, 07:57:41 PM

The TNF match is closing in. I've locked my bet on the Lions -1.5 and think they'll get away with a close win against the Packers. The Lions look like the better team in this matchup but their passing defense is a bit concerning. The Packers could abuse that struggling defense and keep this one tight.

The under 45 is also an alternative play when the trend keeps pushing and I was close to taking it if only the odds on the Lions weren't this close.

Your bet won easily as Detroit cover the spread and then some. People were already saying Lions had won even after the first half had ended with a score as rohang described it as 27-3.
Then like always the losing team comes roaring back in the second half to make it look as if they will make a comeback to win the game. But it ended 34-20. So good decision in not taking the under on this one.
So many interceptions as Goff's first drive had been just that to start the Thursday night off with.
The Lions running was what got them the win as Montgomery had three touchdowns all of them staying on the ground.

@rohang
That was a bad one since they could of kicked a field goal within the last minute of the match but of course teams don't do that if they are leading by so much even if they are within range to do it.
It is a show of respect to the other team for some reason or another so not to be unsportsman-like in a way.

rohang

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Really nice win for Detroit lions today
Unfortunately for me i woke up at half time, saw the score 27-3

Total odds for lions were o/u 34.5 few mins into third quarter, surely lions score 8 more points in 25+ mins right ?
Nope.

rdbase

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Thursday Night Football has two teams which are equally matched up for this game tonight.

We have the Detroit Lions going up against the Green Bay Packers. Goff vs Love.
Watched the Packers last week and have to say I was impressed with his performance even though he hasn't been playing that long.
And everybody knows Goff from his days with the LA Rams and who could of won the championship when they went on to win the Superbowl that year.

Here are the markets for this game which begins in about 15 minutes:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/green-bay-packers-v-detroit-lions-6509e07d127408000109bab5

ralle14

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The TNF match is closing in. I've locked my bet on the Lions -1.5 and think they'll get away with a close win against the Packers. The Lions look like the better team in this matchup but their passing defense is a bit concerning. The Packers could abuse that struggling defense and keep this one tight.

The under 45 is also an alternative play when the trend keeps pushing and I was close to taking it if only the odds on the Lions weren't this close.

rdbase

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 26, 2023, 11:02:50 PM

Quote from: rdbase on September 26, 2023, 09:48:07 AM

Quote from: ralle14 on September 24, 2023, 11:37:13 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 24, 2023, 11:16:30 PM

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.
However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.
Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Was this the thread where the bettor was asking for $50k to help hedge his bet? If he took his own thread down, I speculate that he might have cashed out.
In any case, agreed. I wish he did not cash out and he did not find $50k to hedge the bet and went away to hide from his wife with the whole amount hehehe.

From what I recall about the thread, they were asking for a loan from anyone on the forum so to hedge their bet.
So if the very last leg on their betslip did manage to lose, which were the Steelers, then he would still secure the win no matter what the outcome.
They put up the way to contact them (which is a major mistake due to alot wanting to scam him one way or another via sim swap or whatever the sophisticated ways hackers do it nowadays) and a discord server from what I understood was a gambling tips channel. They have since took both the thread's OP and that discord channel even before the match began.

So they either secured the requested loan and hedged their bet or just let it play out and made the $214k on the betslip as a win.
Which they probably would be on that very thread posting right now.

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Quote from: rdbase on September 26, 2023, 09:48:07 AM

Quote from: ralle14 on September 24, 2023, 11:37:13 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 24, 2023, 11:16:30 PM

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win. Cheesy

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Was this the thread where the bettor was asking for $50k to help hedge his bet? If he took his own thread down, I speculate that he might have cashed out.

In any case, agreed. I wish he did not cash out and he did not find $50k to hedge the bet and went away to hide from his wife with the whole amount hehehe.

rohang

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Quote from: rdbase on September 26, 2023, 09:48:07 AM

Quote from: ralle14 on September 24, 2023, 11:37:13 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 24, 2023, 11:16:30 PM

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win. Cheesy

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Ya i really hope he didnt cashout , but even if he did he got around 100k which isnt too bad either TBH

Eagles win over buccaneers was all over the news due to the score being unique, never seen before in NFL - 25-11
Such scores usually happen very rarely and mostly due to 'safety' being scored for 2 points, which are super rare itself in the hyper competitive NFL!

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 11. (Read 6482 times)