NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 6.

ralle14

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on December 21, 2023, 01:32:15 AM

On the the Patriots vs. the Broncos, what does everyone think of +6.5 for the Patriots? The Broncos cannot score +6 vs. the Patriots, I reckon.

Also the Chiefs -10 in Kansas against the Raiders might cover, I reckon.

The weather might cause some issues for the Broncos, but I still like the -6.5 if it stays that way until the weekend.

Between the Chiefs and Raiders spread, I would take the Chiefs -10 and maybe buy it down to -9.5 because they already won by 11 in their previous meeting.

After a quick check between the Rams and Raiders, the Rams spread felt like it should be slightly higher, as they've been beating a few good teams, while their only recent loss came from one of the best teams in the league.

If it's this close, maybe the Raiders will pull something unexpected to cover the spread. Tongue

rdbase

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Tonight we have Thursday Night Football with the heavy favorites Los Angeles Rams going up against the New Orleans Saints.
Rams are in the hunt to make it to the post season, and with this win they should punch their ticket.

Here are the markets for the TNF starting in around an hour and a half in L.A:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-rams-v-new-orleans-saints-6578cf38b14b99000195cfe9

Looking at the line for player props with Kupp to record a touchdown since he scored one in his last three games played.
Stafford going over on passing and having three TD looks doable for this hot streaking wins team.

bbc.reporter

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@ChiBitCTy. Agreed on the Browns and the Colts, however, not on the Vikings especially now Justin Jefferson is healthy. He and Addison will be difficult to defend for the Lions and the spread on +3.5 might be enough to win a bet. They are also playing in their home stadium.

On the the Patriots vs. the Broncos, what does everyone think of +6.5 for the Patriots? The Broncos cannot score +6 vs. the Patriots, I reckon.

Also the Chiefs -10 in Kansas against the Raiders might cover, I reckon.

ChiBitCTy

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Quote from: rdbase on December 20, 2023, 08:43:55 AM

Do not know anybody who had Drew Lock and the Seahawks to win that game especially after the announcement of Geno Smith being out of the game.
The face of Jalen when the camera panned over to him with around a minute left sitting on the sidelines told the entire story: "It Hurts so much!"

We have some good matches coming up for the week with the playoff picture smoothing out a bit more.

Geno has really been overrated IMO. I knew that last year was mainly a fluke. Don't get me wrong he's a good player, but he's not a star.

Some great matchups this week. I will reevaluate these as the week goes on, but as of right now here's my top picks..

Colts +1 versus Falcons Aruther Smith is a JOKE , losing to Carolina last week. Even if Pittman is out, ATL is a joke
Lions -3.5 versus Vikings
Browns -2.5 versus Texans Now if Nico and Stroud play, I'd swap this bet. But no Stroud I'm smashing the Browns at -2.5

Not much else I like spread wise.

rdbase

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Do not know anybody who had Drew Lock and the Seahawks to win that game especially after the announcement of Geno Smith being out of the game.
The face of Jalen when the camera panned over to him with around a minute left sitting on the sidelines told the entire story: "It Hurts so much!"

We have some good matches coming up for the week with the playoff picture smoothing out a bit more.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on December 18, 2023, 09:09:39 PM

Game time change of quarterback for the Seahawks: Geno Smith is out and Drew Lock is in!

My bet got cooked, but what a turnaround for the Seahawks in the fourth quarter as they somehow scored a TD to take back the lead with only two minutes remaining.

The Seahawks' defense also came in clutch in the fourth quarter for getting those two INTs, specifically the second interception to seal the game and extend the Eagle's losing streak.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 18, 2023, 06:54:14 PM

Quote from: rdbase on December 18, 2023, 10:01:26 AM

Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

Same. Several weeks ago, I had a prop bet on the NBA and it's one of my worst losses after it lost by a point.

Is it weird to like the Seahawks today? Both faced the same opponents recently and the Eagles don't seem as threatening when they're starting to bottle. The Seahawks are in a worse spot, but their losses are much closer than the Eagles.

Game time change of quarterback for the Seahawks: Geno Smith is out and Drew Lock is in!

Don't know how this game is going to play out now.
Was watching the pre-game show and Hurts has an illness so won't be 100% but still playing. Geno was dressed and still able to play tonight but decided to go with the second string QB instead.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on December 18, 2023, 10:01:26 AM

Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

Same. Several weeks ago, I had a prop bet on the NBA and it's one of my worst losses after it lost by a point.

Is it weird to like the Seahawks today? Both faced the same opponents recently and the Eagles don't seem as threatening when they're starting to bottle. The Seahawks are in a worse spot, but their losses are much closer than the Eagles.

rdbase

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Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

We have Monday Night Football on tap for tonight to try our luck again!

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/seattle-seahawks-v-philadelphia-eagles-656f7b141650fc0001c87288

Can the Eagles fly higher tonight with the Cowboys falling so badly yesterday.

morvillz7z

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image source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQ0LRWjffzI&t

This right there cost me a nice 6-acca Anytime TD Scorer @ over 220 total odds which also included (a.cooper, j. reed*, c. kupp, r. mostert, j. mckinnon and of course d. henry). All of them scored today, except for Henry.

He was first stopped on 1 & goal at the 1-yard line and then what you see in the screenshot, Will Levis kept the ball and scored himself even though there were two big gaps left by the Titans' OLine, no way Henry wouldn't score. Soo close this... Undecided

Not to mention Henry had like 1k+ yards on 10TDs in his last 4-5 meetings against the Texans. Such a bummer!

*not sure why j. reed is marked red in my ticket, he 100% scored today...not that it matters though.

ralle14

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We have another TNF match with a low total because both teams are expected to play their backup QBs.

Others say it's a trap because a win for these two doesn't affect anything when their playoff chances are close to impossible, but i'll still take that under, even though it can quickly backfire like that Patriots and Steelers match. Tongue

Edit: It's only the first half and the Raiders alone scored 40+ points. Tongue

rdbase

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For the Thursday Night Football match up tonight we have two teams that are very much equal in the offensive and defensive department, hence the way the bookies view it aswell.
This would reflect in both their 5-8 records for the season's Raiders and Chargers sides.

Here are the markets for TNF for this evening:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

rdbase

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Ouch!
Both favorites lost last night by 1-2 score games.
Nobody saw that coming having both massive underdogs winning their match on the same Monday night football where there were two games being played at the sametime.

Tuned in late into both games and the favorites were leading then nodded off.
There were a few minutes left so thought these strong teams had it all notched up so left the games!
Must of been some patented NFL drama and some last second field goal action for them to be that close.

With that loss by Green bay this means the 49ers are the first team to clinch a play-off spot despite the Cowboys having the exact same 10-3 record.

ralle14

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With two matches playing at the same time later today, i've tried making an alternative teaser/multi with GB -2.5 and MIA -6.5 @1.88. I assume the Dolphins will win, but covering the original spread might be questionable, so I pushed it down to a touchdown since it's available. The Packers' leg is another obvious pick, and I can't count out the Giants in keeping this a tight match, so I had to take the alternative spread as well.

wheelz1200

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Quote from: morvillz7z on December 10, 2023, 07:40:27 PM

Quote from: ralle14 on December 10, 2023, 12:42:39 PM

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets. Lips sealed

Tough break right there...Jets putting up 30 points in a single game is crazy though, they had six straight under 14 before today's game.

I barely hit my two-game parlay in the early window, glad i shaved off a few points of the Bears/Lions Over.

Eagles/Cowboys should be a good one, my main ticket is on the Tush Push Grin

, have one more on CeeDee Lamb and AJ Brown alt receiving yards. Cowboys struggled last week with Metcalf, while Brown went over 100 rec against a very good 49ers defense. Hoping for a high-scoring game i guess.

I had aj and ceedee on yards too. I though easily ceedee would have shredded them. Came up 16 yards short. He had his chances just couldn't get that big breakthrough. Another sneaky one I took amd will be taking the rest of the year is Michael Pittman, so long as minster is the qb. Minster looks for him every play. The volume is always there so the yards tend to come.

rdbase

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Dak is Bak!
The Cowboys just destroyed the Eagles and their tush push, which can only go so far if they can't produce anything from getting the first down out of it.
Dallas were 1.59x prematch and priced by the bookies accordingly for this match.
Had -3.5 points which was 1.96x was the easiest win of an NFL you could possibly ask for all year.
Couldn't believe the score 33-13 with the Eagles offense being laughed off the field.
Just Incredible!

For Monday Night Football, we have two matchups for tonight:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

morvillz7z

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 10, 2023, 12:42:39 PM

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets. Lips sealed

Tough break right there...Jets putting up 30 points in a single game is crazy though, they had six straight under 14 before today's game.

I barely hit my two-game parlay in the early window, glad i shaved off a few points of the Bears/Lions Over.

Eagles/Cowboys should be a good one, my main ticket is on the Tush Push Grin

, have one more on CeeDee Lamb and AJ Brown alt receiving yards. Cowboys struggled last week with Metcalf, while Brown went over 100 rec against a very good 49ers defense. Hoping for a high-scoring game i guess.

ralle14

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After that bitter loss from the Patriots vs. Steelers match, i'll take a stab at another under ticket and it'll be for the Jets vs. Texans match. I expect the weather to be a huge factor in holding the total below 30 and it's probably why the line is this low, even though the Texans are capable of scoring.

The Texans' @1.61 would've been a solid bet, but it looks so easy that it's giving off some trap vibes because the pressure will probably start to mount on their side when every win matters more in their hunt for the playoffs.

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets. Lips sealed

rdbase

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So Patriots managed to keep the Steelers at bay and actually win the game. Think I saw both quarterbacks getting switched out this game from what I remember when I turned it on while watching another sports team of mine playing at the sametime.

For this NFL Sunday we have some really good matchups.
Here are those markets for all of the American Football matches:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

The ones that I am placing bets on are the Texans, Jags and Ravens. Good odds for Jacksonville in my books!
Just hope Trevor Lawrence is alright today and cleared to play as I seen him practicing on Thursday right before the airing of TNF: Steelers/Pats match.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 07, 2023, 07:56:44 PM

<...>
This is probably the lowest total i've bet on this season, and hopefully, the trend doesn't fail us under backers.
<...>

I've read somewhere it's the lowest total in 30 years...

That being said, i've also hammered the under, probably the only market that makes sense tonight.

Didn't even bother looking for player props. JuJu Smith-Schuster's revenge game would have been nice, but then again you've B. Zappe at QB. Lol

I've several Steeler players in a few of my fantasy leagues, so i'll still end up watching the game. It's annoying Steelers got rid of Matt Canada (one of the worst offensive coordinators in the league), and now Pickett is injured...

Anyways, there could still be drama in a 7-3 final score. Cheesy

edit; Safe to say our Unders are cooked!

Everytime i shit on a mediocre qb it backfires immediately, i'm forced to watch their legacy game. Zappe turns into freaking Joe Montana after getting shut out with like 5 first downs the week before. Lol

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 6. (Read 6429 times)