NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 7.

ralle14

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With how the Pats and Steelers always end with low scores, the under 30.5 points felt like the obvious play for today.

This is probably the lowest total i've bet on this season, and hopefully, the trend doesn't fail us under backers.

Quote from: rdbase on December 07, 2023, 07:26:16 AM

The home team are the favorites because what I had heard about Belichick's side they just stink to high heaven with a record of 2-10.

Even though the Pats stink, i'm amazed they held the Chargers by only two field goals. Cheesy

rdbase

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Tonight for the TNF we have two teams I have not watched nor followed throughout the season so far:
Pittsburgh Steelers going against the New England Patriots

The home team are the favorites because what I had heard about Belichick's side they just stink to high heaven with a record of 2-10.

Here are the markets for Thursday Night Football for those who are not familiar with the terms of the American Football League:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-new-england-patriots-656645ca34ce9a00010a90c2

ralle14

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Quote from: morvillz7z on December 04, 2023, 07:54:33 PM

MNF Unders are 13/14 thus far if you are into that...

That's what I had in mind too, but the unders aren't treating me well recently.

Somehow i'm not too annoyed about the loss since the Bengals deserve it with the way they relentlessly scored back whenever the Jaguars tried to march their way down for a TD. That turnover in the second half made me think it was over for the Bengals, but their defense found a way to stop the Jaguars, and it only got worse when Lawrence got injured midway through the drive.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 04, 2023, 07:21:30 PM

<...>
In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.

MNF Unders are 13/14 thus far if you are into that...

Last MNF was rather painful to watch if you had anything on the Vikings. Dobbs was brilliant the first few games with the Vikings, but that was a lackluster performance with all those picks he threw. Losing one of my props by 1 yard (Addison rec yards) was not fun either.

Public all over the Jags tonight, as it should be. Bengals with Browning at QB have no chance. Main reason why i have Mixon's rushing yards under, only 8 rushes for 16 yards last week, teams gonna stack up the box knowing Browning ain't a threat, plus the Bengals are 10-point underdogs likely to play from behind. Love Engram and the Jag's slot receivers (namely Kirk), last week Bengals gave 9 recs for 120 yards to Pat Freiermuth, Bengals are also bottom 3 against the position on the season.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on December 04, 2023, 07:21:30 PM

The Chiefs' road loss yesterday against the Packers was surprising as their offense and defense underperformed. I thought it'd be similar to the Raiders match, where they start slow and then turn it up in the second half, but it never happened. The Packers played well and abused the Chiefs' defense that couldn't stop any of their plays.

In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.

Had 49ers to win that game yesterday when they were comeback in the 2nd quarter. They were 1.41x odds prematch and had them at 1.85x at that time. But as you mentioned they lost the game against the Eagles.

Tonight's matchup looks like a good one with Jacksonville against Cincinnati for this MNF game:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/jacksonville-jaguars-v-cincinnati-bengals-655cfa6a1650fc0001e3b422

Jaguars are the heavy favorites @1.22x with Trevor Lawrence at the helm .

ralle14

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The Chiefs' road loss yesterday against the Packers was surprising as their offense and defense underperformed. I thought it'd be similar to the Raiders match, where they start slow and then turn it up in the second half, but it never happened. The Packers played well and abused the Chiefs' defense that couldn't stop any of their plays.

In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: rdbase on November 30, 2023, 08:09:26 AM

Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

Hehehe Geno Smith is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. He is also not the Seahawks' real QB1, he was only a reserve quarterback. It was Russell Wilson who was their real QB1, however, he was traded to the Broncos and the Seahawks had no other choice but Geno.

I am quite certain the Seahawks will draft a quarterback for their first pick next year.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on November 30, 2023, 08:34:39 PM

Quote from: rohang on November 30, 2023, 12:01:27 PM

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play

That and the Cowboys team total over 28.5 points is the solid play for this week's TNF. I still think the Cowboys will steamroll the Seahawks and win by a lot, but i'd take the less sweaty alternative.

They haven't gone below 30 points at home and looking at the Seahawks' road results, they'd probably let the Cowboys hit the over when they allowed other teams like the Ravens and Lions that many points.

Good call to both of you on that matches scoreline. The Cowboys won the game in the end but it didn't look that way at the beginning. The Seahawks were just like a pest in their rearends for most of the match until the end 41-35.
High scoring as it ended well over 57.5 points if you had them to cover the spread.

Tomorrow's matches are looking like this:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Houston and Detroit being the heavy favorites for the early matches.
The matchup to look out for are the Eagles going against the 49ers for the later one.

ralle14

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Quote from: rohang on November 30, 2023, 12:01:27 PM

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play

That and the Cowboys team total over 28.5 points is the solid play for this week's TNF. I still think the Cowboys will steamroll the Seahawks and win by a lot, but i'd take the less sweaty alternative.

They haven't gone below 30 points at home and looking at the Seahawks' road results, they'd probably let the Cowboys hit the over when they allowed other teams like the Ravens and Lions that many points.

rohang

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Quote from: rdbase on November 30, 2023, 08:09:26 AM

Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play

Dont like betting big handicaps favorites on TNF but the recent form of both these teams does not give any confidence to bet any line in favor of seattle

rdbase

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Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on November 28, 2023, 08:41:40 AM

The Vikings on the other hand blew it last night for the MNF match losing to the Bears 12-10.
Not sure how they managed to lose as Jefferson was back in the lineup for last nights game.
Glad I missed it because from the score line it seemed like a boring match with only a couple of TDs.

True, the game was so slow and ugly that it started to become a defensive game. It's always a quick punt, and it's frustrating to watch the Vikings' offense because whenever Dobbs throws the ball, there's always a bigger chance that it'll get caught by the Bears' defense for an interception. The Bears had their fair share of turnovers as well, but it didn't have a big impact since the Vikings were consistently struggling to get 10 yards.

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on November 27, 2023, 08:40:37 PM

The SNF match yesterday was surprisingly close in the last quarter. Even with those several turnovers from the Chargers, they somehow kept it close and forced OT. At least the Ravens didn't crumble, unlike the Bills.

I have the Vikings for today as well, but only the match-winner. I think it's a good recovery match for them after falling short against the Broncos on the road. The Vikings don't have the best record at home, so i'm not too confident, but hopefully, they can edge them out for the second time.

Watched the end of the SNF match and those Bills are real chokers. Ravens held strong to win it 20-10.
The Vikings on the other hand blew it last night for the MNF match losing to the Bears 12-10.
Not sure how they managed to lose as Jefferson was back in the lineup for last nights game.
Glad I missed it because from the score line it seemed like a boring match with only a couple of TDs.

ralle14

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The SNF match yesterday was surprisingly close in the last quarter. Even with those several turnovers from the Chargers, they somehow kept it close and forced OT. At least the Ravens didn't crumble, unlike the Bills. Tongue

I have the Vikings for today as well, but only the match-winner. I think it's a good recovery match for them after falling short against the Broncos on the road. The Vikings don't have the best record at home, so i'm not too confident, but hopefully, they can edge them out for the second time.

morvillz7z

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I'm on the Vikings to cover the spread and make history. Important game for them nonetheless currently sitting 6th in the NFC. Can't see them top Detroit in the division but easy enough schedule (post their bye week with Justin Jefferson back in the squad) to make the playoffs.

source: https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/38990713/nfl-favorites-need-vikings-cover-historic-winning-week

Quote

Favorites have covered the spread in 12 of 15 games in Week 12, tying the record for most in a single week (Week 12 of 2017) in the Super Bowl era. According to ESPN Stats & Information, there has never been a week in the Super Bowl era in which favorites covered the spread in 13 games.

I'm also on DJ Moore, Hockenson, and Addison's alt rec lines to spice things up, they should dominate the receiving game and all get showered with targets.

edit; sighh, what a slugfest of a first-half

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on November 26, 2023, 07:52:58 PM

CJ Stroud and the Texans almost pulled off the late comeback against the hot Jaguars but doinked the field goal off the crossbar that would of sent the game into overtime.

Looking forward to the LA Chargers going against the Baltimore Ravens for tonight's last game of the Sunday matches.

The divisions are starting to shape out now for the NFL post season.

I'm lucky I skipped out on that division match because I would've backed the Texans when they were on the rise these past few weeks.

The odds providers are really giving respect to the Chargers today and i'm guessing it's due to the close loss they've had against the Lions the other week. I won't fall for their bait and will buy a point on the Ravens to push the handicap down to -2.5 in case it becomes a competitive match.

rdbase

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CJ Stroud and the Texans almost pulled off the late comeback against the hot Jaguars but doinked the field goal off the crossbar that would of sent the game into overtime.

Looking forward to the LA Chargers going against the Baltimore Ravens for tonight's last game of the Sunday matches.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-v-baltimore-ravens-6553d53234ce9a0001161335

The divisions are starting to shape out now for the NFL playoff picture.

rdbase

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Black Friday had only one game between Miami and the New York Jets.
Tua and the Dolphins controlled the match from beginning to the end winning with a dominating score of 34-13.

Atleast tomorrow we get back into the swing of things with the regular scheduled games on the weekend again.
So we have more variety to choose from on what to place our bets on for props.
Looking at the NCAAF games to put a wager on tonight before the Sunday games for tomorrow begin:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

ralle14

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Quote from: rohang on November 23, 2023, 03:47:21 PM

Wow and packers are up by 9 pts with just about 20 mins left, while they were 4.2 odds and 8 pt favorites!!

However way this goes i do think now its best to bet favorites next 2 matches as i expect lines to move towards underdogs

Most bettors probably got destroyed by that upset from the Packers since I saw so many predictions on the side of the Lions. I guess the moon curse is legit because I saw the others pointing out the losing streak of the Lions due to the moon phase. Wink

On the last match of the day, i'm sold on the 49ers spread now that they're back to winning and looking at their three road wins, they usually win by seven or more points.

rohang

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Quote from: rdbase on November 23, 2023, 01:01:14 PM

Was surprised to see the Chiefs lose as I watched until halftime and it was for certain looking like an easy KC win.

Today we have an early match since it is the Thanksgiving holidays and Americans love to watch football during the course of the day waiting for the turkey to finish cooking slowly in the oven:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Lions and Packers are up on tap first for the three matches being played for today.

Wow and packers are up by 9 pts with just about 20 mins left, while they were 4.2 odds and 8 pt favorites!!

However way this goes i do think now its best to bet favorites next 2 matches as i expect lines to move towards underdogs

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 7. (Read 6429 times)