NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 21.

buwaytress

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@ralle14 Bengals were 125/1 at the start of the season, wish I'd had the wisdom to pick them *sobs* and they're the keen underdogs here so I might end up putting a freebet or two on them.

Can't believe I'm actually reading more and more about this Superbowl. Even the BBC is covering it quite a bit, 3 articles on landing page. Here's a bit of background on why crypto ads will dominate: https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-us-canada-60356210

An ominous word of caution though, a SB spot doesn't always guarantee commercial success Wink

Enjoy the game, those watching!

ralle14

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The Gatorade color prop seems tempting, I kind of want to take orange but it'll probably end up being blue or clear.

Anyway, I got the Bengals to win @2.75 might add another bet for Bengals +4.5 since I really like the spread now that it moved a bit on their side. I must say it's also tough to bet against the Rams but if they continue to make mistakes just like what happened against the 49ers then we could see the Bengals catapult themselves to a Superbowl win.

rdbase

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Thanks for putting the link up to the Superbowl Specials.
Those are a wide variety of selections to choose from and the WR & RB are different from year to year due to the teams which are in the SB.

Just go with the QB as those are usually the MVP most of the time if they have a stellar game. ie. More passing yards and higher number of touchdowns.

The commercials being aired are mostly about crypto so keep an eye out for those.

buwaytress

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Quite a few pretty looking specials on Sportsbet for Superbowl LVI, and if you take a boost every day, you can up the odds and get some good value:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/super-bowl-special/matches

My thinking the best value bet here is 18/10++ on "Who does MVP thank first" market. Surely, his teammates, right?

Quarterback to win MVP... seems good value at 14/10++ . From history, 1 in 3 MVPs is a QB... What are WBs and RBs listed on ESPN as past winners? As the other betting options are wide receivers, running back fullbacks, and defensive players.

rdbase

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There is a Superbowl 56 props challenge so don't forget to enter in for your chance to win those prizes.
Here is the thread:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-super-bowl-56-prop-party-15-mbtc-in-prizes-5384394

I am favoring the Bengals because I really would like to see Burrow win it and putting the underdogs as champions.
Less than a week away so really close to see the game and those famous commercials.

buwaytress

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Nice read, rdbase, and yeah, I knew Super Bowl was big -- it's always mentioned in movies and film -- but it's still pretty ridiculous to get ticket prices that high. Average of 8500 per ticket? Is there no backlash from fans? You hear Arsenal fans complaining about tickets, I've to say even Man United tickets which I bought for a kid were priced way out of his earning range, and that was a regular weekend footie against a midtable team.

Anyway, don't forget to check out the Sportsbet Multimaster -- $100,000 cash prize for 10 yes/no Rams/Bengal questions. Easy, right? Haha.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/4-3-free

Who else misses Multimaster? Wink

rdbase

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Superbowl ticket prices are very insane as one article I was reading said just one seat could get you a box seat at dodgers stadium for all 81 games.
That is how much these are selling for and well... It is in Los Angles so they can price them at these celebrity prices and people will still buy them just for the half-time show.
https://www.latimes.com/sports/story/2022-01-31/super-bowl-ticket-prices-rams-bengals-sofi-stadium

Here is a screenshot of another article describing how much they are pricing them at:

buwaytress

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Quote from: ralle14 on February 01, 2022, 08:33:06 PM

Congrats on the prediction win, I got the first match correct but I failed on the Bengals as I got too confident on the Rams thinking they'd win by a touchdown.

Yeah, thanks! I'm not sure now if I've got a good record in that line of predictions, but the way this season has been going, at least closer to the playoffs, it's been tight wins for the favourites or huge upsets -- and that theme continued. Perhaps it's also the way my mind works, I don't like betting on Asian Handicap more than just to avoid a draw situation so wide spreads look very unattractive to me. So much stakes too for all teams.

P.S. I just saw the massive massive prices for tickets... and rdbase explained elsewhere to me why they're so expensive. I had no idea! Year of the Tiger indeed huh!

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 31, 2022, 10:34:21 PM

For now, i'm leaning on the Bengals, I still think the Rams are the better team but at the same time I feel like they got lucky against the 49ers and maybe include a prop bet on the interceptions as all QBs got an interception yesterday.

I am liking the Bengals chances more and more now. Burrows is hard to bet against as I seen some stat right after their Kansas City match that he was 7-0 in post season including his NCAA record which is fairly amazing to deny.
And why not go with them this year even if it is in LA. After all..
It is the year of the Tiger! Wink

ralle14

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Quote from: Hydrogen on February 01, 2022, 10:07:00 AM

That said, this has been a strange season for the NFL and for the NBA as well. The normal skill gap which normally separates players and teams, appears to have narrowed considerably.

I couldn't agree more, some teams get hit by injuries then bookies will quickly shift the odds by a couple of points and once the game is in play you'll see them perform above expectations where it doesn't make much sense.

Quote from: buwaytress on February 01, 2022, 05:45:15 AM

Another seemingly random outcome to my eyes, but I did count on them both not making their spreads even if they won, so took a nice slice of the freebet action on jeremypwr's prediction thread, so a happy camper here!

Congrats on the prediction win, I got the first match correct but I failed on the Bengals as I got too confident on the Rams thinking they'd win by a touchdown.

Hydrogen

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 31, 2022, 10:34:21 PM

Both underdogs covered again , when the Chiefs were up big I knew it's not over as their defense tends to loosen up in the second half.

To cut down on injuries, teams apply the bare minimum needed to win. Then coast to preserve their player's health.

Kansas City has such a powerful and overwhelming offense. Their defensive line is prone towards falling asleep thinking its ok if they lose focus, their offense will bail them out.

Chiefs might have peaked in their game with the buffalo bills and began celebrating too early. They didn't prepare for the bengals the way they would if they were facing a bigger name team. They probably thought they would defeat the bengals easily and be in superbowl 2022 guaranteed.

All of these failings combined can converge to form the perfect storm necessary for underdogs to overcome the odds.

That said, this has been a strange season for the NFL and for the NBA as well. The normal skill gap which normally separates players and teams, appears to have narrowed considerably.

buwaytress

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Another seemingly random outcome to my eyes, but I did count on them both not making their spreads even if they won, so took a nice slice of the freebet action on jeremypwr's prediction thread, so a happy camper here!

Quote from: OgNasty on January 31, 2022, 02:54:32 PM

Rough day for those picks. Honestly, I would have chosen the same. I didn't watch anything but highlights from the Bengals and Chiefs, but I used to date a girl from Kansas City and she left a lasting impression on me, so I never bet against KC.

A person of culture. I have something of a similar nature here, except that because of my lasting impression, I make an occasional bet on the country the girl came from (New Zealand) on football. It was a weird period where Flight of the Conchords was running, and I had a personal run-in with the prime minister too heh.

ralle14

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Both underdogs covered again , when the Chiefs were up big I knew it's not over as their defense tends to loosen up in the second half.

On the other match, it's the battle of the defense, I feel like the 49ers should've had that win instead of the Rams but their defense pulled through late in the fourth getting crucial stops then that INT from Jimmy at the end to seal the deal.

For now, i'm leaning on the Bengals, I still think the Rams are the better team but at the same time I feel like they got lucky against the 49ers and maybe include a prop bet on the interceptions as all QBs got an interception yesterday.

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on January 30, 2022, 10:53:20 AM

Quote from: ralle14 on January 30, 2022, 08:36:32 AM

Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

I like the Chiefs here. No way the Chiefs let chase beat them over the top and don't think bengles can win a shootout with Chiefs without that. But I'm taking the 49ers. They dominated them the first game and then the second came back from way down to get in the playoffs. As long as Deborah is healthy he will be the best weapon on the field all day. Niners in a grind out game. Enjoy the games!

Rough day for those picks. Honestly, I would have chosen the same. I didn't watch anything but highlights from the Bengals and Chiefs, but I used to date a girl from Kansas City and she left a lasting impression on me, so I never bet against KC.

The 49ers game was a great one also. At the end of the 3rd quarter I was even texting some friends who adamantly hate the 49ers just to stir them up a bit. It worked but then everything in the game changed. When that 49ers defender dropped the pass that literally went right to him with nobody else around, it felt like it was only a matter of time before the Rams won. I know that guy is going to spend his offseason wishing he made that catch... I know you can't blame a loss on one guy and it isn't solely his fault, but if he makes that catch (99 out of 100 times he probably would have) then the game is over and they're going to the Super Bowl. I'm sure he had a rough morning today.

Great games though. What we all love to see. Hopefully the Super Bowl doesn't disappoint.

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 30, 2022, 08:36:32 AM

Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

I like the Chiefs here. No way the Chiefs let chase beat them over the top and don't think bengles can win a shootout with Chiefs without that. But I'm taking the 49ers. They dominated them the first game and then the second came back from way down to get in the playoffs. As long as Deborah is healthy he will be the best weapon on the field all day. Niners in a grind out game. Enjoy the games!

ralle14

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Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

Hydrogen

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I'm observing and learning about the NFL.

It seems prep and study time can make a difference. The green bay packers may have spent all their time studying and preparing to face the dallas cowboys. When the san francisco 49ers defeated the cowboys in a big upset victory, that could have thrown off all their plans and preparations. Leaving them only 1 week to prepare for the game with san francisco.

On the opposite end, san francisco could have had more than 2 weeks to prepare to face green bay, who was expected to win that initial play off game.

Perhaps the results we're seeing relate to whether or not the expected team wins, and the amount of preparation and planning they're able to implement.

jeremypwr

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Quote from: rdbase on January 27, 2022, 11:37:54 AM

Because anyone can win on any given day.
They made a movie about american football with a similar name.

You're referring to "Any Given Sunday" (sorry rdbase, didn't want to correct you; but I couldn't watch you butcher the name of this Oliver Stone classic).

Speaking of the NFL @ Sportsbet.io 🏈 NFL Championship Weekend 🏈 (Sunday) @ https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-nfl-championship-weekend-sunday-5383287

rdbase

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^^
The playoffs are crazy time in the NFL and no matter how much research you do and think you know of the teams before they play, it won't really matter.
Because anyone can win on any given day.
They made a movie about american football with a similar name.

buwaytress

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Yeesh guys, I'm really not sure I enjoy this more now that I'm following it. I still honestly can't shake the feeling that results are just looking more and more random and less and less because a team's actually pretty good. I thought this was true after following baseball a bit (MLB) and now I'm almost sure of it looking at NFL.

Now, I know people say the same about football anyway, but because it's such a low-scoring game, the difference in team quality almost always is good enough for the edge needed to win.

Sorry if I sound like a whiner. Not at all. Now maybe next season my mission is to actually WATCH a game.

Anyway, good luck to you guys but this is about it for me in terms of betting!

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 21. (Read 6514 times)