NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 23.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on October 22, 2023, 08:18:48 PM

Almost forgot there was this huge matchup between these 5-1 teams happening tonight.
Just began watching the first quarter coming to an end but the score is quite low so far only 10-3 for the Eagles.
Things should get more interesting later in the second half as Philadelphia seem to always take sometime to get going in their games running up to week 7 of the season so far.
Tua seems to be not fairing to well in passing so we will see if he can get going later in 2nd quarter. As Tyreek Hill is his target for most of their offensive yardage and getting them close enough for their sole field goal.

So you betslip isn't dead yet. They usually turn it up in the second half of their games.

Close loss, they suddenly scored a bunch of touchdowns in the second and third, but when it came to the final quarter, the scoring slowed down because of that unfortunate turnover by Tua.

After that, the Dolphins got broken and failed to convert a first down, forcing a turnover to allow the Eagles to milk the last few minutes of the clock. I was praying the Eagles would've scored another TD as they were in the red zone during those final few minutes, but they chose to play it smart.

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Quote from: ralle14 on October 22, 2023, 07:06:25 PM

The underdogs covered nicely this week, and i'm lucky to avoid most of the matches after having a nice quick sleep.
With the Eagles losing last week, i'm starting to think they'll lose in this SNF match, but i'm still hesitating on the Dolphins because the teams they've mostly rolled over are on the mid to low side of the standings.

The over quickly caught my attention and I thought it was too low when these two don't have the best defense to hold one another below 20 or fewer points. Also, the Eagles gave up 30 points twice at home so it should hit again if the Dolphins can keep their offense going like in the previous weeks.

Almost forgot there was this huge matchup between these 5-1 teams happening tonight.
Just began watching the first quarter coming to an end but the score is quite low so far only 10-3 for the Eagles.
Things should get more interesting later in the second half as Philadelphia seem to always take sometime to get going in their games running up to week 7 of the season so far.
Tua seems to be not fairing to well in passing so we will see if he can get going later in 2nd quarter. As Tyreek Hill is his target for most of their offensive yardage and getting them close enough for their sole field goal.

So you betslip isn't dead yet. They usually turn it up in the second half of their games.

ralle14

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The underdogs covered nicely this week, and i'm lucky to avoid most of the matches after having a nice quick sleep. Grin

With the Eagles losing last week, i'm starting to think they'll lose in this SNF match, but i'm still hesitating on the Dolphins because the teams they've mostly rolled over are on the mid to low side of the standings.

The over quickly caught my attention and I thought it was too low when these two don't have the best defense to hold one another below 20 or fewer points. Also, the Eagles gave up 30 points twice at home so it should hit again if the Dolphins can keep their offense going like in the previous weeks.

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I think i'm going with Cooper Kupp's rec yards today. After returning from injury, he has over 100 receiving yards in both games. Kyren Williams is injured which will impact Ram's run game to some extent. I expect Stafford to air it out, relying on both Kupp and Nacua. Last week, Kupp had nearly a 50% target share (which is ridiculous) and played 100% of the Rams' pass plays. The Steelers have struggled to defend the pass and have given opposing WR1s monster games, with Aiyuk, Adams, and Collins all having 100+ rec performances against them.

source: https://www.pff.com/news/a-statistical-review-of-nfl-week-6-eagles-49ers-fall-as-favorites#12

rdbase

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NFL Sunday is here and we will see how well the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles come to play today after both falling off their unbeaten streaks with a loss.

San Francisco's match: https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/minnesota-vikings-v-san-francisco-49-ers-6525acc934ce9a0001a1ae10

Philadelphia Eagles match:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/philadelphia-eagles-v-miami-dolphins-6525acca1650fc000116edb8

Here is a rundown of all them being played today without an early game since the London matches are done for the season:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on October 17, 2023, 05:44:07 AM

Really good choice in your bet for MNF as I was backing the Chargers if I had put in a bet since the match from last week still left me doubting Dak and the Cowboys intentions this season.

So good call on the spread ralle14!

Thanks, I initially doubted the Cowboys as well, but I always remember the Chargers as the team that would do well half the time and struggle against teams that are slightly better than them due to their leaky defense.

We have another close game for today. This should be a win for the Jags if nothing happened last week, but Lawrence got injured. I don't know how he'll perform after the injury but i'm going for the under since both defenses are good enough and it's still the trend for most games.

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For those of you considering taking the Jags' ML, they last beat the Saints in 2003, yeah it's been a while. 👀

I don't know, it seems like a must-win game for the Saints. Before the start of the season, i felt they were the overwhelming favorite to run away and win the NFC South, but after six weeks they are 3-3, dropping three of the last four...it's not a position they want to be in. Either way, i'm avoiding any spreads and totals and going with Kamara's rec props instead.

Kamara has 23 receptions for 76 yards L3
This is what the Jags have given to opposing RBs L3:

Colts: J. Taylor 5rec for 46yards
Bills: J.Cook 3rec for 25yards
Falcons: Bijan 5rec for 35yards

edit; early second quarter winner

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Quote from: ralle14 on October 15, 2023, 07:01:25 PM

Quote from: morvillz7z on October 15, 2023, 06:31:02 PM

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

Good job on avoiding a bullet from the 49ers. The bookies are probably cashing in on that upset when i've seen so many bettors share their parlays that include the 49ers.
I'm still going for the same betbuilder play (alternate handicap+ total) because I still like the under for this match but on a slightly higher number in case the Bills' offense can't be stopped.

If the Bills won then people were thinking all this was going according to some sort of script for the NFL or something. Just kidding of course.
But having the two only undefeated teams lose on the some day and then the best team in the east going down the following evening match would make any bettor who had nearly dead even odds on these matches question what was going on over the weekend in the NFL.

Really good choice in your bet for MNF as I was backing the Chargers if I had put in a bet since the match from last week still left me doubting Dak and the Cowboys intentions this season.

So good call on the spread ralle14!

ralle14

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on October 15, 2023, 09:16:07 PM

How much points did you give? I speculate it might be -10 points? It might be difficult, however, it is not impossible.

I only went for -6.5, but the missed field goal in the first half killed my chances.

I have the Cowboys -1.5 for this week's MNF. The public and the sharps are all on the Chargers, but I think this is a recovery game for the Cowboys after losing badly to the 49ers last week. I also thought of adding the under, but with the defense of these two teams, it could still go over.

Edit: Winner, even with the Cowboys taking the lead you can't be too comfortable. lol

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@ralle14. It is very ugly if you are a Bills fan or if you have James Cook placed as one of the running backs in your fantasy league instead of using Derrick Henry heheehheehe. Also, this type of performance is very much assumed for the Giants on the road against the Bills. This is a very shocking performance for the Bills.

How much points did you give? I speculate it might be -10 points? It might be difficult, however, it is not impossible.

ralle14

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on October 15, 2023, 08:35:42 PM

@ralle14. However, it appears that it will be the Bills that are having difficulties on winning against the Giants. I am sharing @morvillz7z's frustration because I have James Cook in my fantasy league and on a very important week hehehe.

It also appears that Josh Allen is not the same player when he was written by sports news outlets to be an MVP for the last 2 seasons before this.

The game is a bit ugly as both teams struggle when they start to go near the end zone. The Bills don't look like a favorite atm with a turnover at the start and then that missed field goal attempt.

I'm starting to think my bet is already dead because I don't think they can cover the spread with this type of performance.

Edit: They gave the ball back again as I was posting this. Tongue

I thought this would be an easy win but I guess we're in for a ride and maybe even an upset if the Bills don't wake up in the second half.

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@ralle14. However, it appears that it will be the Bills that are having difficulties on winning against the Giants. I am sharing @morvillz7z's frustration because I have James Cook in my fantasy league and on a very important week hehehe.

It also appears that Josh Allen is not the same player when he was written by sports news outlets to be an MVP for the last 2 seasons before this.

ralle14

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Quote from: morvillz7z on October 15, 2023, 06:31:02 PM

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

Good job on avoiding a bullet from the 49ers. Cheesy

The bookies are probably cashing in on that upset when i've seen so many bettors share their parlays that include the 49ers.

I'm still going for the same betbuilder play (alternate handicap+ total) because I still like the under for this match but on a slightly higher number in case the Bills' offense can't be stopped.

rdbase

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^^ Nice looking betslip and it looks like it will win cause the Bills are looking solid just like the Dolphins.

You were lucky enough to leave off the 49ers and now the Eagles who just lost to the Jets after Hurts had another interception with under 2 minutes left in the 4th quarter.
So now there are no undefeated teams in the NFL anymore after the New York Jets beating them for the first time in franchise history. Which found it hard to believe when I first heard it but there you have it.

morvillz7z

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My only play this week...waiting on the Bills to take care of business. Barkley playing shouldn't really matter much, Giants have one of the worst offensive lines in the league, also the worst points differential coming into Week 6.

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

rdbase

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Have another NFL early game for week 6 with the Baltimore Ravens going against the Tennessee Titans in London.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/tennessee-titans-v-baltimore-ravens-645ba89ac45a0fd5a84fc19d

The heavy favorites are the San Francisco 49ers @1.20x against the second string quarterback of the Cleveland Browns as ralle14 had mentioned with Deshaun Watson being ruled out to play for Sunday.

And Miami Dolphins @1.10x going against the Carolina Panthers @7.91x should be a clear win in taking the handicap.

ralle14

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on October 13, 2023, 03:54:01 PM

That games was pretty bad. Kansas city didn't even play good and it never really was in doubt. Not sure what happened to russ but ever since he collected his bag he seems disinterested at times. He had a swagger with the cheifs that he is missing. Something tells me there is a lot going on on that clubhouse. I'm gonna be betting against Denver a lot this year lol.

After he moved to the side of the Broncos, I agree that he doesn't look like the same threatening quarterback who used to play with the Seahawks.

Looking at their next couple of matches, I might also hop in on the fade train as they face the Chiefs again.

The only confident play I have in mind for this week is the 49ers alternate handicap (-5 or 6) and combine it with the alternate under (45 or 46) to push the odds close to even.

Both teams have a solid defense, but the Browns will struggle to score with their QB (Watson) out.

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Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:59:30 PM

Quote from: wheelz1200 on October 12, 2023, 02:23:31 PM

Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:32:55 AM

Doesn't anybody else think Kansas City odds are deceiving or are the Denver Broncos just that bad to have them heavy underdogs priced at 5.54x?
Chiefs at 1.17x is even a bet to make because the profit margin is a sliver.
Maybe a betbuilder or even a high odds spreadline is worth it but not the ML on the Chiefs.

Here are the markets so you can make your selections and pick something resembling a valuable play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-denver-broncos-651c6b52f2779c0001b80a36

I hate betting those lower odds, you win barely anything and super exposed to an upset. Denver is terrible but any given Sunday anyone can win its the nfl. Those odds seem about right not sure how the books can offer more money on kc straight up this game should be over by the third quarter.

Well the odds did increase just a bit an hour ago to 1.18x so a micro movement on the lines but everybody is on the Chiefs to win and by a large margin.
Broncos are terrible and there was even talk about Jeudy trade rumors right before the game is not a good look for Denver's chances either.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/jerry-jeudy-trade-rumors-five-potential-landing-spots-for-broncos-wr-as-2023-deadline-looms

Quote from: ralle14 on October 12, 2023, 06:39:14 PM

Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:32:55 AM

Doesn't anybody else think Kansas City odds are deceiving or are the Denver Broncos just that bad to have them heavy underdogs priced at 5.54x?
Chiefs at 1.17x is even a bet to make because the profit margin is a sliver.
Maybe a betbuilder or even a high odds spreadline is worth it but not the ML on the Chiefs.

Here are the markets so you can make your selections and pick something resembling a valuable play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-denver-broncos-651c6b52f2779c0001b80a36

I somehow think the same after the Chiefs looked shaky in their last two matches, but I don't see them being bad enough to lose against one of the worst teams like the Broncos.

The spread on the Chiefs felt too much for me and after watching the Jets game, i'd better buy some points to avoid stressing out on the spread, so I whipped up a bet builder and took the -3.5 spread together with the under 51.5 @2.10 (odds boost). I imagine the scoreline for this game would look similar to the Bears game and pray that the Chiefs' defense would hold the Broncos to maybe a couple of TD or field goals.

I also took a betbuilder bet on this match but went with the passing and running yardage for Kansas City instead. Ended up with a 7.00x odds betslip so it is good enough for me to take the risk.
Was going to also add the over on points for this match to tack on there but then I remembered the last time I put too much confident in a Chiefs domination earlier in the season and that was the only thing not to hit on that betslip.

That games was pretty bad. Kansas city didn't even play good and it never really was in doubt. Not sure what happened to russ but ever since he collected his bag he seems disinterested at times. He had a swagger with the cheifs that he is missing. Something tells me there is a lot going on on that clubhouse. I'm gonna be betting against Denver a lot this year lol.

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on October 12, 2023, 02:23:31 PM

Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:32:55 AM

Doesn't anybody else think Kansas City odds are deceiving or are the Denver Broncos just that bad to have them heavy underdogs priced at 5.54x?
Chiefs at 1.17x is even a bet to make because the profit margin is a sliver.
Maybe a betbuilder or even a high odds spreadline is worth it but not the ML on the Chiefs.

Here are the markets so you can make your selections and pick something resembling a valuable play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-denver-broncos-651c6b52f2779c0001b80a36

I hate betting those lower odds, you win barely anything and super exposed to an upset. Denver is terrible but any given Sunday anyone can win its the nfl. Those odds seem about right not sure how the books can offer more money on kc straight up this game should be over by the third quarter.

Well the odds did increase just a bit an hour ago to 1.18x so a micro movement on the lines but everybody is on the Chiefs to win and by a large margin.
Broncos are terrible and there was even talk about Jeudy trade rumors right before the game is not a good look for Denver's chances either.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/jerry-jeudy-trade-rumors-five-potential-landing-spots-for-broncos-wr-as-2023-deadline-looms

Quote from: ralle14 on October 12, 2023, 06:39:14 PM

Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:32:55 AM

Doesn't anybody else think Kansas City odds are deceiving or are the Denver Broncos just that bad to have them heavy underdogs priced at 5.54x?
Chiefs at 1.17x is even a bet to make because the profit margin is a sliver.
Maybe a betbuilder or even a high odds spreadline is worth it but not the ML on the Chiefs.

Here are the markets so you can make your selections and pick something resembling a valuable play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-denver-broncos-651c6b52f2779c0001b80a36

I somehow think the same after the Chiefs looked shaky in their last two matches, but I don't see them being bad enough to lose against one of the worst teams like the Broncos.

The spread on the Chiefs felt too much for me and after watching the Jets game, i'd better buy some points to avoid stressing out on the spread, so I whipped up a bet builder and took the -3.5 spread together with the under 51.5 @2.10 (odds boost). I imagine the scoreline for this game would look similar to the Bears game and pray that the Chiefs' defense would hold the Broncos to maybe a couple of TD or field goals.

I also took a betbuilder bet on this match but went with the passing and running yardage for Kansas City instead. Ended up with a 7.00x odds betslip so it is good enough for me to take the risk.
Was going to also add the over on points for this match to tack on there but then I remembered the last time I put too much confident in a Chiefs domination earlier in the season and that was the only thing not to hit on that betslip.

ralle14

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Quote from: rdbase on October 12, 2023, 06:32:55 AM

Doesn't anybody else think Kansas City odds are deceiving or are the Denver Broncos just that bad to have them heavy underdogs priced at 5.54x?
Chiefs at 1.17x is even a bet to make because the profit margin is a sliver.
Maybe a betbuilder or even a high odds spreadline is worth it but not the ML on the Chiefs.

Here are the markets so you can make your selections and pick something resembling a valuable play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-denver-broncos-651c6b52f2779c0001b80a36

I somehow think the same after the Chiefs looked shaky in their last two matches, but I don't see them being bad enough to lose against one of the worst teams like the Broncos.

The spread on the Chiefs felt too much for me and after watching the Jets game, i'd better buy some points to avoid stressing out on the spread, so I whipped up a bet builder and took the -3.5 spread together with the under 51.5 @2.10 (odds boost). I imagine the scoreline for this game would look similar to the Bears game and pray that the Chiefs' defense would hold the Broncos to maybe a couple of TD or field goals.

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 23. (Read 10665 times)