Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 44.

buwaytress

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OK, out of character today after yesterday's loss... which we would have won if Sydney had scored the goal 10 minutes earlier! Bloody AET wins.

So we'll go for one tough nut in Chinese Super League, followed by should-be-easy wins in friendlies and youth games:

Game 1: Cercle Brugge vs Kmsk Deinze U21. Brugge WIN @1.21. Betcoin odds: 1.22
Game 2: RSC Anderlecht vs KAS Eupen. Anderlecht WIN @1.33. Betcoin odds: 1.30
Game 3: Lierse SK vs Jeugd Antwerp. Antwerp WIN @1.48. Betcoin odds: 1.45
Game 4: Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor AS. Fenerbahce WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.56
Game 5: Shijiazhuang Ever Bright vs Hebei China Fortune FC. Hebei WIN @2.61. Betcoin odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @9.23. Betcoin parlay: 8.97
Bet ID: 5f4c9fe613349c634a820c81

Odds advantage: 26

Running advantage after 425 bets: +14,125.78 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +36,125
Running units after 424 bets (72W|351L): +13,216.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

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Not so simple after all, though the draw was never what I'd have predicted. Oh well! Also, Portland drew so the parlay from the day before is also out, even though the Columbus game was called off.

I got a nice parlay here with the cup final in Australia, for some fairly conservative odds.

Game 1: Sydney FC - Melbourne City FC. Sydney WIN @2.60. Betcoin odds: 2.52
Game 2 Jiangsu Suning FC vs Henan Jianye. Jiangsu WIN @1.47. Betcoin odds: 1.45
Game 3: Shanghai Shenhua vs Guangzhou Evergrande. Guangzhou WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.81. Betcoin parlay: 5.48
Bet ID: 5f4b5bfc10df7a11c920a6f5

Odds advantage: 33

Running advantage after 424 bets: +14,099.78 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +36,099
Running units after 423 bets (72W|351L): +13,316.15 (-200)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Ouch Dijon. False hopes for me in the end har har.

Simple one for me today first:

Game 1: Arsenal FC - Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 2: RC Strasbourg Alsace - OGC Nice. Strasbourg WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.21
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @3.66. Betcoin parlay: 3.54
Bet ID: 5f48c18013349c6de5814acc

Odds advantage: 12

Running advantage after 423 bets: +14,066.78 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +36,066
Running units after 421 bets (72W|349L): +13,516.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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I'm hoping for Lyon to have a sort of hangover from getting to the UCL semis and then losing the way they did, so could Dijon spring an unlikely upset tonight? I got a good one.

100 units at FortuneJack on Dijon to WIN vs Lyon @12.00. Sportset odds: 11.00
Bet ID: 10470646

Odds advantage: 100

Running advantage after 422 bets: +14,054.78 (+100)
All-time cumulative: +36,054
Running units after 420 bets (72W|348L): +13,616.15 (-0)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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The Poles killed me. Should have taken the cashout option at half time, after booking the first 4 legs nicely, but since I like riding to the end, I watched Warsaw get the red card and then it all went downhill... to the 6th placed team in Cyprus!

No problem, we got our bet back as insurance, and place it on tonight:

Sportsbet parlay boosted is good: 100 units @10.0 at Sportsbet: NYC FC, Philadelphia Union, Portland Timbers, Columbus Crew to WIN.
Betcoin parlay: 9.82
Bet ID: 5f47bd25df6cf800b4634227

Odds advantage: 18

Running advantage after 421 bets: +13,954.78 (+18)
All-time cumulative: +35,954
Running units after 420 bets (72W|348L): +13,616.15 (-0)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Damn it, if Liverpool had at least won, we'd have got our insurance back, and how about that, typical our underdog picks win and the favourites don't! That's what I get for betting on friendlies. And Derry lost, but they weren't necessarily expected to win anyway.

So heads up then.

Game 1: NK Celje - Molde FK. Molde WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.83
Game 2: Qarabag FK - FC Sheriff Tiraspol. Qarabag WIN @1.58. Betcoin odds: 1.56
Game 3: Legia Warszawa - AC Omonia Nicosia. Warsaw WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 4: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - SK Rapid Wien. Wien WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.80
Game 5: FK Suduva Marijampole - Maccabi Tel Aviv FC. Tel Aviv WIN @1.78. Betcoin odds: 1.79
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @17.11 Betcoin parlay: 15.27
Bet ID: 5f463b0bdf6cf837b062eec4

Odds advantage: 184

Running advantage after 420 bets: +13,936.78 (+184)
All-time cumulative: +35,936
Running units after 419 bets (72W|347L): +13,616.15 (-200)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Looking good so far, NYC won that just about, so we now hope the friendlies and youth matches give us the upset we deserve;) I could be tempted to cash out if all the friendlies hit!

Simple parlay today on CL qualifications, just about to kick off!

Game 1: Tirana vs Red Star Belgrade: RS WIN @1.29. Betcoin odds: 1.21
Game 2: Riteriai vs Derry. Derry WIN @2.49. Betcoin odds: 2.39
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @3.21 Betcoin parlay: 2.89
Bet ID: 5f45107244d1fd983d348eca

Odds advantage: 32

Running advantage after 419 bets: +13,752.78 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +35,752
Running units after 417 bets (72W|345L): +13,816.15 (+-0)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Oops Neymar, but hey we got our Bayern win in, so that's nice no?

I've got an ambitious one here today with plenty of risk and 3 friendlies in there, couldn't ignore Real Madrid youth odds!

1 leg miss = insurance too;)

Game 1: New York City FC - Columbus Crew. NY WIN @2.55. Betcoin odds: 2.52
Game 2: FC Salzburg - Liverpool FC. Liverpool WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Tranmere Rovers - Preston North End. Preston WIN @1.61. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 4: Erzgebirge Aue - 1. FC Magdeburg. Erzgebirge WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.69
Game 5: SL Benfica - Real Madrid. Real WIN @3.20. Betcoin odds: 3.18
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @36.59 Betcoin parlay: 32.94
Bet ID: 5f43ee5bd2cd710943660fc9

Odds advantage: 434

Running advantage after 417 bets: +13,720.78 (+434)
All-time cumulative: +35,720
Running units after 417 bets (72W|345L): +13,816.15 (+699)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Damn Lille, but yay Angers! Too late right now to bet on Monaco, and live is annoying with timing me out even though the match's still young, but I've got 2 specials on Sportsbet I think are worth taking!

100 units each at Sportsbet:
Neymar to score and PSG win @10.00. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. PSG win: 8.06
Bet ID: 5f3e125847a86bec604a48f2
Neymar to score and Bayern win @7.50. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. Bayern win win: 2.08 = 5.10
Bet ID: 5f410038c1067e112831e55d

Total odds advantage: 194+240 = 434

Loads of Ligue 1 and 2 action, I'd like to double down on Bayern AND parlay them with some home wins, please!
Game 1: PSG vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 2: Olympique Nimes vs Stade Brestois 29. Nimes WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.23
Game 3: OGC Nice vs RC Lens. Nice WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Sportset @9.99. Betcoin parlay: 9.51
Bet ID: 5f4251c2c1067e844b322e50

Odds advantage: 48

Running advantage after 417 bets: +13,286.78 (434+48=+482)
All-time cumulative: +35,286
Running units after 414 bets (71W|343L): +13,117.15 (+200)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, that was a bummer. Thought they might have had it in them after levelling to 2-2 but then the last 10 minutes of the first half wasn't the best of the game.

Early bet on Champs League with Ligue 1 games:
Game 1: Lille vs Rennes. Lille WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.29
Game 2: Monaco vs Reims. Monaco WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: PSG vs Bayern Munich. Bayern WIN @2.08. Betcoin odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @9.32. Betcoin parlay: 8.97
Bet ID: 07798848

Add in another Ligue 1 today, parlay with a couple of live play games and a boost just to get the odds to 4/1 haha:
Game 1: Busan Park vs Pohang Steelers. Busan WIN in-play at 58 mins @1.57. no odds
Game 2: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Huanghau. Qingdao WIN in-play at 68 mins @1.04. no odds.
Game 3: Dijon vs Angers. Angers WIN @2.55. Betcoin odds: 2.42
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @4.00. Betcoin odds: 3.95
Bet ID: 5f410137911f80a667d1207e

Odds advantage: 3.9%
Total units advantage: 35

Running advantage after 413 bets: +12,804.78 (+35)
All-time cumulative: +34,804
Running units after 412 bets (70W|342L): +12,917.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, they did take it to extra time, but it was not to be for the Armenian champs.

I don't have a good bet to take tonight but here's an early one booking in my boost. I like Inter's chances, but you never know with a team like Sevilla, and I will remember Inter has this habit of late collapses, so a boosted bet at HT:

100 units at Sportsbet on Inter to WIN vs Sevilla at HT @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.69
Bet ID: 5f3e1386e18c8e19a48814ad

Odds advantage: 10.78%
Total units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 412 bets: +12,769.78 (+29)
All-time cumulative: +34,769
Running units after 411 bets (70W|341L): +13,017.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, I missed the upset, which happened to Astana last night, hammered almost surely out of contention (and then you remember United barely beat them in Europa!).

Still, great fun for freebets.

I'll make a far less risky bet on Armenian champions, 100 units at Sportsbet on Ararat to WIN vs Omonia Nicosia @4.40 (Betcoin odds: 4.30). Cyprus teams aren't to laugh at but I think the Caucasus team will want to progress badly.
Bet ID: 5f3cb55d5d33d01babc49bbd

I'll come back later for more bets, parlays maybe.

Odds advantage: 2.33%
Total units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 411 bets: +12,740.78 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +34,740
Running units after 410 bets (70W|340L): +13,117.15 (+- 0 due to freebets)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, that's right, Inter smashed Shakhtar and made it all happen for us. booked us a win on the Sevilla/Inter parlay, and rescued our two 5-leg parlays that both missed by one leg (damn you Dallas and Sundowns) so we got back insurance, which I'll put down today on two bets as freebets!

I love an upset, and I want Rangers to win in Scotland, so this is a sentimental bet but with a huge margin difference at Sportsbet!
100 units at Sportsbet on Rejkjavik to WIN vs Celtic @37.38. Betcoin odds: 27.98
Bet ID: 5f3b6d32e18c8e7431877a1e

And Qarabag may have a lot of experience but they are not match fit, whereas Sileks from N Macedonia have been on a hot streak domestically. Another upset, 100 units at Sportsbet on Sileks Kratovo to WIN vs Qarabag @12.00. Betcoin odds: 12.13. It's a freebet, so I don't mind the slight odds difference.
Bet ID: 5f3b751ac9e46b662d665a2d

Total units advantage: +927

Running advantage after 410 bets: +12,730.78 (+927)
All-time cumulative: +34,730
Running units after 408 bets (70W|338L): +13,117.15 (+472 -100 -100 = +272)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Damn Dallas couldn't score, almost lost judging by the number of shots against too. If Inter win then at least we get the bet back so all eyes on Inter.

For tonight, another 5-parlay putting down even more on Inter:
Game 1: Waasland-Beveren - Standard Liege. Liege WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Game 2: Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 3: Hebei China Fortune FC - Tianjin Teda. Hebei WIN @1.77. Betcoin odds: 1.75
Game 4: Cape Town City FC - Mamelodi Sundowns. Sundowns WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Club Leon - Club Tijuana de Caliente. Leon WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.65
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.78. Betcoin parlay: 11.86
Bet ID: 5f3a41e1c27a8b415085cdec

Odds advantage: 7.76%
Total units advantage: 92

Running advantage after 408 bets: +11,803.78 (+92)
All-time cumulative: +33,803
Running units after 405 bets (69W|336L): +12,845.15 (+-0)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Oh my sweet, sweet Sterling. If you felt bad last year seeing Liverpool lift the trophy, but felt assuaged with the English treble, then I have no idea how you feel this year with the league cup alone and falling yet again at the QFs. Thank you Lyon and Dembele!

Simple parlay, but I might add on a long parlay later. For now:
Game 1: Sevilla vs Man Utd. Sevilla WIN @3.25. Betcoin odds: 3.12
Game 2: Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.72. Betcoin parlay: 5.58
Bet ID: 5f391e25c9e46b085865e83c

Odds advantage: 2.51%
Total units advantage: 14

Our long parlay:
Game 1: Anderlecht - St. Truidense VV. Anderlecht WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.57
Game 2: Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara. Mineiro WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Sevilla vs Man UTd. Over 1.75 goals @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Inter Milano - FC Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 5: Dallas vs Nashville. Dallas WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.74
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.25. Betcoin parlay: 10.93
Bet ID: 5f391ed3031c6c44883780c8

Odds advantage: 12.08%
Total units advantage: 132

Running advantage after 407 bets: +11,711.78 (+146)
All-time cumulative: +33,711
Running units after 405 bets (69W|336L): +12,845.15 (+1,177)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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What a massacre. Thank goodness I didn't listen to myself and do a big bet on that. What I call a wipeout. End of the Messi era has been rung in. No matter, Lyon, could the French take us up a notch tonight to set up a legendary upset?

100 units at Sportsbet on Lyon to WIN vs Man City @12.77. Betcoin odds: 12.30
Bet ID: 5f379623c9e46b672b659969
Note: the odds have gone up past 13/1 too so I got unlucky haha.

Odds advantage: 3.82%
Total units advantage: 47

Running advantage after 405 bets: +11,565.78 (+47)
All-time cumulative: +33,565
Running units after 404 bets (68W|336L): +11,668.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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That's what I get for finally switching to a favourite. Damn me haha. Barcelona, we knocked you out of the last semifinal, but you can do yourselves justice and get this win. Don't fear the Germans, they will try to close Messi down but that leaves Suarez and Griezmann free!

100 units on Barca to WIN vs Bayern @3.78. Betcoin odds: 3.65
Bet ID: 5f36262747a86b97be489c1d

Odds advantage: 3.56%
Total units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 404 bets: +11,518.78 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +33,518
Running units after 403 bets (68W|335L): +11,768.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Well, that did not work out.

I accidentally added Hoffenheim to this parlay (oops) but anyway, seems like Europe is for the favourites now:

Game 1: Hoffenheim vs Wehen Wiesbaden. Hoffenheim WIN @1.21. Betcoin odds: 1.18
Game 2: Leipzig vs Atletico Madrid. Atleti WIN @2.29. Betcoin odds: 2.28
Game 3: Barcelona vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @1.99. Betcoin odds: 2.01
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.51. Betcoin parlay: 5.40
Bet ID: 5f3514f54d73311223fd5ba2

Odds advantage: 2.04%
Total units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 403 bets: +11,505.78 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +33,505
Running units after 402 bets (68W|334L): +11,868.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2800

Merit: 3443

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Quote from: Trofo on August 12, 2020, 11:08:17 AM

Now you managed to confuse me. Isn't Asian handicap -0.5 the same thing as win for Atalanta? They usually have marginally better odds and I always take them when that happens.

Asian handicap 0 is a draw no bet and Asian handicap 0.25 is half money on 0 and half on 0.5. Asians handicaps are a bit sketchy for me so I could be wrong.

Sorry, you're completely right. I meant -1.5 handicap which essentially means they have to win by 2 goals or more (and sometimes I mistakenly put it down when I mean European handicap 0:1, but I'm still stuck in my Asian handicaps because of the way I used to bet). So for Atalanta EH 0:1 the odds were almost 8/1 when I last checked. Which fits your 3-1 prediction scenario!

Quote from: Trofo on August 12, 2020, 11:08:17 AM

I don't trust Barca at all against Bayern. For me Bayern is much more serious squad and they are taking that game easily 8/10 times. Only thing in Barca favor is that this is one game only and they can pull off a surprise. I already wrote something very similar in one of CL threads but couldn't find it now on mobile to link it here.

Bayern's the true value bet at the moment for 2/1, like you say I think they win it far more than 5 out of 10. I'd use them in a parlay for sure but Messi seems to work best when he's used sparingly, and with Suarez him and Griezmann all fit and in form, I've to say Bayern could be quite shocked. I also have Barca already to win at 9/1 so I guess I'm being sentimental here.

Trofo

legendary

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Quote from: buwaytress on August 12, 2020, 11:02:04 AM

I was even considering a -0.5 handicap for even better odds but I think I'll be happy just to get the win tonight.

Now you managed to confuse me. Isn't Asian handicap -0.5 the same thing as win for Atalanta? They usually have marginally better odds and I always take them when that happens.

Asian handicap 0 is a draw no bet and Asian handicap 0.25 is half money on 0 and half on 0.5. Asians handicaps are a bit sketchy for me so I could be wrong.

Quote from: buwaytress on August 12, 2020, 11:02:04 AM

I will probably bet big on Barca next, but let's see how tonight turns out first!
I couldn't find any specials either that I liked. I've a feeling we'll get a load of action tonight! GL!

I don't trust Barca at all against Bayern. For me Bayern is much more serious squad and they are taking that game easily 8/10 times. Only thing in Barca favor is that this is one game only and they can pull off a surprise. I already wrote something very similar in one of CL threads but couldn't find it now on mobile to link it here.

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 44. (Read 38849 times)