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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 44. (Read 40042 times)

hero member
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Udinese just sucked today  Angry
it's good that I had Atalanta and Inter on a separate ticket, but my main one was almost the same as yours.... simply can't believe it...
legendary
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^ And so did Chelski in the end. Spurs handicap was an option but this just cements the opinion that Chelsea's star-studded team still need a LOT of work if they can't even pick apart a second-rate Spurs. Mourinho will savour this draw-penalty-win. Classic Jose in the end.

Costly victory for Valencia though. All those yellows, tired legs, and almost allowed the game to draw.

Going for another stupid 5-leg. Insurance gets me addicted.

Game 1: Udinese Calcio - Spezia Calcio. Udinese WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 2: SD Huesca - Atletico Madrid. Over 2 @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 3: Real Madrid - Real Valladolid. Real HT WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Game 4: Lazio Roma - Atalanta BC. Atalanta +0.5 @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 5: Benevento Calcio - Inter Milano. Inter HT WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.82
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @13.36. Betcoin parlay: 12.51
Bet ID: 5f741f4eec86b8162178c5ab

Odds advantage: 85

And my traditional upset pick. Salzburg are a good, good team and yes they have been playing well, drew with Liverpool B-team pre season more like and won every game since but they stand on a lead and could trip up? 100 units at Fairlay on Maccabi Tel Aviv to WIN vs Salzburg @17.91. Sportsbet odds: 17.00

Odds advantage: 91

EDIT: Add Burnley to WIN vs Manchester City, because, why not? 100 units at Sportsbet @11.00. Fairlay: 10.38
Odds advantage: 62

Total odds advantage: 236

Running advantage after 28 bets: +3,440 (+236)
All-time cumulative: +40,411
Running units after 25 bets (6W|19L): +2,382 (-100)
hero member
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Honestly, I had a bad feeling that Valencia could ruin that ticket  Angry
legendary
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And Thursday is Europa qualifiers you bet he needs to win that one more than tonight's clash.

This is the info I was missing. I forgot they are playing again on Thursday. Which gives them a game every 2 days when players are far from optimal form. Also agree that Chelsea has much more rotation players and no game on Thursday, this should be an easy one for Chelsea. Placing one bet now and maybe another one when line ups are confirmed.

I would still have bet Spurs IF the odds were 10/1 or higher haha but no such luck. No interesting 10+ odds tonight either that I can see so yeah, that explains my idiotic 5-leg parlay, but let's see how it goes.

What do you think of Israeli teams tomorrow and Thursday night? Potential upsets over 10/1? I always fancy the way they play these ties, but yeah, all depends on lineups and form. Spurs have been unlucky with first team is all.

I got Liverpool to win and both to score yesterday for my daily single, wuhu!

today I have Dyn. Kiev, Olympiakos and Real Sociedad to win on my ticket

Same as me then, woohoo! Europe qualifiers so far generally big on favourites so yeah, hoping for more of the same!
hero member
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~

was offline for 2 days  Cool

I got Liverpool to win and both to score yesterday for my daily single, wuhu!

today I have Dyn. Kiev, Olympiakos and Real Sociedad to win on my ticket
legendary
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And Thursday is Europa qualifiers you bet he needs to win that one more than tonight's clash.

This is the info I was missing. I forgot they are playing again on Thursday. Which gives them a game every 2 days when players are far from optimal form. Also agree that Chelsea has much more rotation players and no game on Thursday, this should be an easy one for Chelsea. Placing one bet now and maybe another one when line ups are confirmed.
legendary
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I see you played Chelsea on your ticket - why?

I am sure I am missing something but can't find any news. How is it possible that odds on Spurs are @5 against Chelsea? I was sure that you would rather pick Spurs for value bet here. Has Mou come out and said that only juniors will play? Really don't see the reason for odds like that.

Sociedad is my main pick tonight since Valencia is awful this season. Not sure about CL games, will go for both to score on some multi.

Because Mou says he has to give up Carabao cup and yes, I know he could be playing mind games, but I suspect he's too worried about league position to risk all of his senior squad. And Thursday is Europa qualifiers you bet he needs to win that one more than tonight's clash.

Chelski on the other hand have lots of potential first-11 players to give starts to and no Thursday game to worry about.

Valencia are shocking. Not worth the team they were.
legendary
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I see you played Chelsea on your ticket - why?

I am sure I am missing something but can't find any news. How is it possible that odds on Spurs are @5 against Chelsea? I was sure that you would rather pick Spurs for value bet here. Has Mou come out and said that only juniors will play? Really don't see the reason for odds like that.

Sociedad is my main pick tonight since Valencia is awful this season. Not sure about CL games, will go for both to score on some multi.
legendary
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Well, at least I won back the 500 unit bet I lost against Chelsea (thanks Mane and Robbo). Tough win despite how it looked, Jota for the gloss, have to say I like what I'm seeing even if VVD isn't quite the rock he's been, blame the super high line!

Not certain about the games tonight but worth backing the Europe qualifiers, where the tight favourites have been doing well.

Real Sociedad - Valencia CF. Socieded WIN @1.60. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Tottenham Hotspur FC - Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.66
AC Omonia Nicosia - Olympiacos Piraeus. Piraues WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.81
FC Dynamo Kiev - KAA Gent. Kiev WIN @1.88. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Getafe CF - Real Betis Balompie. Over 2 @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.80
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @17.51. Betcoin parlay: 16.27
Bet ID: 5f72d2db8ac389918ef242cb

Odds advantage: 124

Running advantage after 25 bets: +3,204 (+124)
All-time cumulative: +40,175
Running units after 24 bets (6W|18L): +2,482 (+500)

legendary
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First 2 legs lost. So we're out. I don't feel complete without a bet on Liverpool to ride. We did terrible with 500 units on the Chelsea HT. Can we do it with Arsenal? The gambler in me says yes.

500 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to lead against Arsenal at HT @2.01. Betcoin: 2.02

Hmm. As soon as I placed. odds changed. Oops. 2.08 right now.

Odds advantage: -1

Running advantage after 24 bets: +3,080 (-1)
All-time cumulative: +40,051
Running units after 23 bets (5W|18L): +1,982 (-100)
legendary
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What a day yesterday, I need to stop throwing away money won on impulse but hey, that's sort of why we're all here right?

Nice Leicester win. Such a pity that City keeps losing like this and bookies keep adjusting the odds. Can you believe it was not even 10/1 for Leicester?

Have edited all the info in yesterday's numbers.

Anyway, can't stay away from boosts and insures so:

Game 1: Liverpool FC - Arsenal FC. Pool WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 2: Real Sociedad - Valencia CF. Sociedad WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 3: Chongqing Lifan - Shanghai SIPG. Shanghai WIN @1.91. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 4: Tianjin Teda - Wuhan Zall FC. Wuhan WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 5: Nordsjaelland - Lyngby BK. Nordsjaelland WIN @1.74. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @17.54. Betcoin parlay: 16.18
Bet ID: 5f718770d621a42c1896de46

Odds advantage: 136

Running advantage after 23 bets: +3,081 (+136)
All-time cumulative: +40,052
Running units after 22 bets (5W|17L): +2,082 (+681)
legendary
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@Trofo: Indeed, Steve's MM is absolutely not my style of play BUT it's really always about value and boosted by 10-20% does make me feel good (plus, he's way over in profit actually, he should get 1/6 right at the current odds but he's already had 4 I can recall). You're right though, not sustainable. And Liverpool is always in it so it makes me also sentimental.

The 5-leg promo is definitely a killer I've won so many "freebets" and this season only won 1 so far (but hey, still positive too).

Anyway, I'm so happy Leicester result, putting in a Wolves/Juve/Barca parlay at 8.04 at FJ (only one I could do mobile on): bet ID 17827977

Updating all this tomorrow. Seems not possible to get my connections working.
legendary
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I will follow the Steve’s multi magic as well, it seems to be an easy one, but  Grin
I almost never take Steve's multimagic since it goes against almost all my betting principles. To name just a few of them:
1. never bet with the herd
2. never bet on odds less 1.5
3. never play more then 3 games on serious ticket

Damn that Sportsbet, they have so many promos targeted at casual gamblers that they even suckered me into some of them. That insured & boosted 5x multi is a thing of beauty and I play it often even though I always end up loosing. I get that free bet most of the times and then I lose that free bet. I think I will soon have to limit myself to just regular single boosted match.


@buwaytress
Don't know what to say for yours ticket today. It all looks very nice but nothing that I will play. I have Wolves win @2.2 & Sevilla win @1.8 as my main picks today and following on different multi tickets, writing odds from my head so sorry if something is a bit off, those bets came from SB (some with boosts), Stake and local fiat bookie:
Milan ML @1.6
Vilareal to score @1.45, both to score @1.65
City - both to score & over 2.5 @1.9
Leeds to win and both to score @5.5
Korda to win against Seppi @1.5
Rublrv to win against Tsitsi @1.8
Kawasaki -2.5 @2.2
legendary
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I will follow the Steve’s multi magic as well, it seems to be an easy one, but  Grin

I wasn't confident on any of it except Liverpool though, but the huge 20% boost in value made it very worthwhile. As it turned out, United needed a after-full-time penalty to win, and Chelski's Thiago gave away a silly captain's goal. Lampard must have been blue in the head at half time. I'm really glad I didn't bet anything else on them.

Also, missed the final leg of my parlay yesterday, damn you Marseille. Need to stop relying on them French teams to get me home. Was a freebet so no insurance either heh.

New parlay, very very fancy haha:

Game 1: Sheffield United FC - Leeds United. Over 2 goals @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 2: Tottenham Hotspur FC - Newcastle United FC. Newcastle +1.75 @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.48
Game 3: Manchester City FC - Leicester City FC. City HT WIN @1.85. Betcoin odds: 1.82
Game 4: West Ham United FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC. Over 2 @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 5: Barcelona - Villarreal CF. Barca WIN @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.54
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @11.79. Betcoin parlay: 10.09
Bet ID: 5f704b9ad621a468e5969754

Odds advantage: 170

Lost already so lets do doubledown on Foxes to win against Citizens 9.81 at Fairlay. 8.8 best else. Will add links later.

Add Wolves, Barca and Juve for 8.04 on FortuneJack (bet ID: bet ID 17827977). Didn't see other odds so just this one.

Total odds advantage = 271

Running advantage after 22 bets: +2,945 (+271)
All-time cumulative: +39,916
Running units after 19 bets (4W|15L): +1,401 (-300)
hero member
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I will follow the Steve’s multi magic as well, it seems to be an easy one, but  Grin
legendary
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Very nice! Yesterday's parlay still alive and three legs to go =)

Inter and Lazio are on my ticket too
There is a great odd tomorrow on M.Utd

Brighton was defeated in the first round playing at home and few important players will not be able to play against Manchester United, the history is showing 3 previous winnings and after the bad game played against Palace they have to show a much bettet football, the odd is trending at ~1.75

I hope you're right, because they're in my parlay pick today too. Very simple one, it's a boosted "Multi Magic" from Sportsbet:
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet: Man Utd, Chelsea, Spurs, Liverpool all to win @6.20. Betcoin parlay: 5.67
Bet ID 5f6d88bf439e9c13eeab2084

Odds advantage: 53

Hedging this all with 100 units at Sportsbet on Brighton to WIN vs Man United @5.67. Betcoin odds: 5.24

Odds advantage: 33

Total odds advantage: 86

Running advantage after 19 bets: +2,674 (+86)
All-time cumulative: +39,645
Running units after 16 bets (4W|12L): +1,701
hero member
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Inter and Lazio are on my ticket too
There is a great odd tomorrow on M.Utd

Brighton was defeated in the first round playing at home and few important players will not be able to play against Manchester United, the history is showing 3 previous winnings and after the bad game played against Palace they have to show a much bettet football, the odd is trending at ~1.75
legendary
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You were right Trofo, I got my insurance thanks to bloody Celtic haha. Everyone else got off to a blazing start as expected, scoring 2/3 goals by HT. Lokomotiv Tbilisi only lost 2-0 even with 10 men, it would have been over 10/1 each half with -1.5!

Anyway, that's what I get. Putting in a parlay that ends on the weekend with the freebet today, starting with tonight's should-be-easy win against Wien youth.

Game 1: SK Austria Klagenfurt - Young Violets FK Austria Wien. Klagenfurt WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 2: Olympique Marseille - FC Metz. Marseille WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 3: Inter Milano - ACF Fiorentina. Inter WIN @1.56. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Cagliari Calcio - Lazio Roma. Roma WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 5: LOSC Lille - FC Nantes. Lille WIN @1.73. Betcoin odds: 1.75
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @12.09. Betcoin parlay: 11.21
Bet ID: 5f6d88a1d621a44a0895f8f8

Odds advantage: 88

Running advantage after 17 bets: +2,588 (+88)
All-time cumulative: +39,559
Running units after 16 bets (4W|12L): +1,701 (-100)
legendary
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Hey man, you sure about those odds or tip on Rangers? Just looked at some games myself and I have those odds for Rangers ML Smiley Did not played anything yet I will be waiting for line ups and then playing a double or treble on those favorites that start with best 11. Like your multi today, should at least net you another free bet if one of the favorites has a slow start to the game.

Used my daily insured 5x multi on mostly tennis today. Boosted combined odds 17.93
Lajovic ML
Titsipas 2:0
Altmaier 2:0
Martinez 2:0
JSuning - Guangzhou Ev. both to score

Ah crap you're right! Nice catch, I just checked my betslip and I made a ML Rangers leg, whoops! Edited;)

Really hard to tell on the teams tbh, but the odds look good value to me, I think they all will be eager to come out strong and win this leg as fast as possible, so yeah, hoping for a good performance. I'm so out of tennis these days also, but I actually think you got nice ones in a row too =) you already got the Chinese game done.

I will follow the AC Milan HT win adding that pair to Galatasaray to win, PSV to win and Tottenham to win

You guys make me feel so special =p
hero member
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I will follow the AC Milan HT win adding that pair to Galatasaray to win, PSV to win and Tottenham to win
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