Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 43. (Read 40042 times)

1-1 at half time, decently balanced and Qatar's main man scoring, then boom Ghana 5-1.

Nations League has been crap for goals, but let's dive in stupidly:

Game 1: Latvia - Malta. Latvia WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.69
Game 2: Germany - Switzerland. Germany WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 3: Ukraine - Spain. Spain HT WIN @1.84. Betcoin odds: 1.84
Game 4: Faroe Islands - Andorra. HT over 0.5 @1.60. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 5: Liechtenstein - San Marino. Over 1.5 @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.58
100 units boosted, insured parlay at Sportsbet @12.80. Betcoin parlay: 12.34
Bet ID: 5f8580ac24fcdc25383717ba

Odds advantgae: 46

Worst performance ever. Lost on the first 4 legs (all draws) and a push on the last. Haven't picked a worst set of parlays for a really long time. Good thing we hit the 65/10 on Sportsbet brr.

Simple international/club friendlies today. Qatar good value?

Game 1: Ghana - Qatar. Qatar WIN @3.36. Betcoin odds: 3.1
Game 2: FC Shevardeni 1906 Tbilisi - FC Merani Tbilisi. Merani WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.33. Betcoin parlay: 4.96
Bet ID: 5f84008dc071be36c8d8642c

Odds advantage: 37

Goddamn Lichtenstein. Let in the early goal, Gibraltar proceeded to withstand 11 shots and got 7 yellows for their efforts but they won out at 0-1 and we lost our parlay.

Still, Spain and Germany did as expected so let's see if our remaining parlay stands strong. Going for a 5-strong parlay:

Game 1: Bosnia & Herzegovina - Netherlands. NL WIN @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.59
Game 2: Estonia - North Macedonia. N Macedonia WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.77
Game 3: France - Portugal. France WIN @2.43. Betcoin odds: 2.45
Game 4: Poland - Italy. Italy WIN @1.89. Betcoin odds: 1.91
Game 5: Greece - Moldova. Over 2 @1.60. Betcoin odds: 1.62
100 units boosted, insured parlay at Sportsbet @21.73. Betcoin parlay: 21.33
Bet ID: 5f82c77c025bfed9a9b0014d

Odds advantage: +40

Whoops yesterday. Not learning my lesson, I'll take a fancy shmancy few bets here for Nations League.

Game 1: Luxembourg - Cyprus. Lux WIN @2.07
Game 2: Montenegro - Azerbaijan. Montenegro WIN @1.85
Game 3: Liechtenstein - Gibraltar. Liechtenstein WIN @1.67
No odds diff at all on competitors I looked at, too lazy to check more than Betcoin and FortuneJack atm!
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @6.40
Bet ID: 5f816ea83094ca08879e2664

Boosted parlay at Sportsbet on Spain/Germany/Finland/Croatia @6.5. Betcoin odds: 6.91
Bet ID: 5f8006d5d9fb3d846f74099b
Seems like finland and croatia odds shot up since this offer was made, so we lose 41 units here for taking it early oops.

Hedge a bet on Switzerland to WIN vs Spain @8.04. Betcoin odds: 7.40
Bet ID: 5f816e5524fcdc864d365e17

Total odds advantage: 64-41 = 23

@Trofo @casper

This is my brain being dumb. I knew it and I forgot. No wonder the odds were that good. Still, I think team's strong enough to win on their own. Mane's a huge loss with his imperious form though.

Senegal (4-3-3): Edouard Mendy; Yassine Sabaly, Salif Sane, Kalidou Koulibaly, Saliou Ciss; Idrissa Gueye, Cheikhou Kouyate, Sidy Sarr; Ismaila Sarr, Famara Diedhiou, Krepin Diatta

Shaq btw tested negative today (he travelled actually and did 2nd round test).

i also think that he is not playing, even Shaqiri contracted Covid in LFC as well, and they could become the team with most contracted Covid cases, with Alcantaro already tested Covid positive
having that said, did not saw official squad information, but do not think that he will play

Is he even playing? He did tested positive for covid and was not playing for Liverpool. Did not check the news and line ups but I assumed he will not even travel for international games due to quarantine.

Was always going to be tight. Georgia won, but from a 7th min penalty. Scotland should have wrapped it up in 1st half but Mctominay man, damn. Thru on penalties but we lost.

Can our boy Mane do it for Senegal? Yes he can!

Game 1: Japan - Cameroon. Japan WIN @1.89. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: Morocco - Senegal. Senegal WIN @3.20. Betcoin odds: 3.00
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @6.05. Betcoin parlay: 5.70
Bet ID: 5f8004b8d9fb3dfe0b740941

Odds advantage: 35

Damn, another miss by one. That first leg 0-0 draw would have killed me even if I took the ML, but oh well, that's how life turns out. Keep missing by 1. Let's do some Euro, I've always liked Georgia even if the draw seems more likely, and then let's do it with the plucky Scottish.

I know, simple. Every selection's risky should see tight wins all around.

Game 1: Scotland - Israel. Scotland WIN @2.23. Betcoin odds: 2.23
Game 2: Georgia - Belarus. Georgia @IN @2.39. Betcoin odds: 2.26
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.33. Betcoin parlay: 5.04
Bet ID: 5f7eb298bb4a540e4a108d17

Odds advantage: 29

^Yeah I did! It's my third 2MBTC freebet from that promo (first 2 were from Instagram) so you can definitely say it's highly profitable so far. I just pick it all the time now as the value's hard to ignore. I used it on a 6/1 parlay, 3 legs already won last night (Braband/Copenhagen/Portsmouth) with Liverpool to play at Everton (bet ID 5f7c47a1c071bef0b0d6d7bd) to win left so 10.5 MBTC waiting if we win! Didn't put it here as a selection though so it won't count;) How did you do?

Shame about Wimbledon, if I left them out of last night's parlay would have been 11/1. I was in 2 minds about Leyton Orient, and they have been on form, and deserved to win last night, but at least we got insurance so the freebet goes in this MLS selection:

Game 1: Atlanta United FC - Orlando City SC. Over 2.5 goals @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 2: Philadelphia Union - FC Cincinnati. Philly WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.69
Game 3: Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire. Kansas City WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 4: Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake. Seattle WIN @1.57. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 5: San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps FC. San Jose WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.50
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @12.53. Betcoin parlay: 11.85
Bet ID: 5f7d8905bb4a5463d41044f8

Odds advantage: 68

We won the Steve’s special bet on EPL, and I got a bonus bet as well, you?
I made a bet with that bonus (free bet) right now on Croatia’s Cup playing today

Multi (3)
NK Dilj - HNK Rijeka
Handicap 2:0 HNK Rijeka (2:0) @1.48
NK Gaj Mace - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Handicap 1:0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1:0) @1.45
NK Sesvete - HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica @1.28

Hooray for EFL Trophy, some games to bet on. Feels so strange any time to be betting on or against teams you swear weren't too long ago playing in the Premier League. Tough games and literal roulette on some of these but we got insurance yay =p

Game 1: Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers. Shrewsbury WIN @2.12. Betcoin odds: 2.14
Game 2: Stevenage FC - Milton Keynes Dons. MK Dons WIN @2.29. Betcoin odds: 2.28
Game 3: Sunderland AFC - Carlisle United. Sunderland WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Fleetwood Town - Aston Villa FC U21. Fleetwood WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 5: Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon. Wimbledon WIN @2.22. Betcoin odds: 2.24
Bet ID: 5f7c012e38e6c04bec8ee508
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @27.17. Betcoin parlay: 25.92

Odds advantage: 125

^ reminds me how I made an entire successful campaign just betting on Daniel Sturridge to score (those days the odds were always about 2/1) and just martingaling if I lost. Haven't tried it this season but maybe time to try on Bobby Firmino;)

Anyway. Won 1 parlay and lost everything else, whoops.

No bets today, I don't have time and I can't see anything that strikes me as worthy, but just to have a clean calculation:

Running advantage after 35 bets: +4,202
All-time cumulative: +41,173
Running units after 35 bets (7W|28L): +2,082 (+500)

International fortnight coming up!

Yesterday I had my favourite bomber to score, and he did, well Hoffenheim has lost 2:1, but my bet is green 
I will bet on Andrej Kramaric to score for the whole Bundesliga season

Today I have Inter and Leicester as well on my ticket as a double

Damn. Didn't win the Leeds one, it very easily could have gone on to become a win though, but I'm happy City dropped even more points now. 3 games into the season and they're already 8 points behind everton haha (yeah game in hand but still!).

Anyway, so far so good. 2/5 on day before's parlay, 1/4 on yesterday's one. Should we triple down on Wolves and double down on Leicester? Why not?

Levante UD - Real Madrid. Real WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Lazio Roma - Inter Milano. Inter WIN @2.21. Betcoin odds: 2.22
Leicester City FC - West Ham United FC. Foxes WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - Fulham FC. Wolves WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Brentford FC - Preston North End. Brentford WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay, insured + boosted at Sportsbet @17.45. Betcoin parlay: 16.28
Bet ID: 5f798c19d9fb3de0d372aa02

Odds advantage: 117

Jesus Leicester. What a way to bomb.
Putting it again now on Spurs/Pool:

Aston Villa FC - Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.56. Betcoin odds: 1.48
Manchester United FC - Tottenham Hotspur FC. Spurs WIN @3.65. Betcoin odds: 3.62
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.69. Betcoin parlay: 5.36
Bet ID: 5f79bd1e38e6c043298e6c47

Odds advantage: 33

Total odds advantage: 150

Yup, me and my bad brain on dates. I swore yesterday was 3 October and then only looking for the match realised I screwed myself up. Sorry about Berlin Mainz =)

I thought I added a parlay to yesterday's post, 1 leg already played so too late but I did Bournemouth+Everton+Leicester+Wolves+Liverpool 1H at 188/10.

Anyway today isn't really straightforward but let's have a go: Steve's Multi Magic at Sportsbet Chelsea/Southampton/Arsenal/Wolves @7.00. Betcoin parlay: 6.2
Bet ID: 5f76cc9dc071be198fd5a8d6

Odds advantage: 80

Then well, we all want City to lose again haha. I caught this at really good value too I think. 100 units at Fairlay on Leeds to WIN vs Manchester City @12.14. Sportsbet boosted: 7.8

Odds advantage: 434

Total odds advantage: 514

it's tomorrow, not today 
today we have Union Berlin and FSV Mainz and I'm going for a BetBuilder Union+both to score @3.60

^ Yeah Sportsbet was down for me too but seems to have fixed itself today!

Simple parlay in Bundesliga today, Koln to beat Gladbach for a slight upset, and then, surely Bremen can beat new boys?

1. FC Cologne - Borussia Monchengladbach. Koln WIN @4.41. Betcoin odds: 4.1
Werder Bremen - Arminia Bielefeld. Bremen WIN @2.16. Betcoin odds: 2.16
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @9.53. Betcoin parlay: 8.93
Bet ID: 5f76c11bd9fb3d2666720d40

Odds advantage: 60

  oh, that's why I can't place any bets.... I'm trying to place a ticket for 2 hours from now 
I'll just wait them to fix that problem

Yeah, big ouchie for me. Serves me right for thinking Atletico would surprise us for the second time in a row. Well, they did, by not surprising us haha.

Anyway. Sportsbet down so I'll miss out on 5-legs today. Let's go simple for Liverpool, Barca and AC Milan!

100 units at Betcoin @4.48. No odds advantage

And upset of the day 100 units on Fairlay on Maccabi Haifa to WIN vs Spurs @14.87. Betcoin odds: 14.49

Odds advantage: 38