Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 43.

buwaytress

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Our first win of the new season! Atalanta won comfortably, while Sevilla had to fight back from 2 goals down plus a last min goal, so there you have it with odds. Easy underdog win and tough favourite fightback. A comparatively modest win from a 3-leg parlay but that wipes out our losses and brings us back to par, while getting our wager numbers up across our books (yay).

Here's a traditional upset. Georgians vs Russians, both from the capital, and only based on form.

100 units at Sportset on Lokomotiv Tbilisi to WIN vs Dinamo Moskow @8.04. Fairlay odds: 7.44
Bet ID: 5f62fedffea8d0e073acb820

Odds advantage: 60

Running advantage after 6 bets: +313 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +37,284
Running units after 5 bets (1W|4L): +28 (+428)

buwaytress

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Seems like the Belgian regulars in Europe are having a shitty time this new season. The Gents and Genks losing, Antwerp and Brugge below qualification phases. Strange times in a way, and damn them for giving me a loss like this.

Game 1: US Pergolettese 1932 - Atalanta BC. Atalanta WIN @2.47. Betcoin odds: 2.48
Game 2: Sevilla FC - Levante UD. Sevilla WIN @1.38. Betcoin odds: 1.38
Game 3: AL Duhail SC - Sharjah FC. Al Duhail WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Bet ID: 5f6064ef41ed7ab63977e479
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.28. Betcoin parlay: 5.17

Odds advantage: 11

Running advantage after 5 bets: +253 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +37,224
Running units after 4 bets (4L): -400 (-100)

buwaytress

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Can't believe we missed out on another PSG upset haha,,, I thought Neymar would come in and win it all but 5 red frenzy hit the French leg. Villareal too, ugh, coulda won it many times.

Simpler, tougher parlay?

Game 1: Sheffield United FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC. Wolves WIN @2.65. Betcoin odds: 2.48
Game 2: Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 3: K Beerschot VA - KRC Genk. Genk WIN @2.03. Betcoin odds: 2.01
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @8.22. Betcoin parlay: 7.96
Bet ID: 5f5f4c48dd80bf5b195b00e9

Odds advantage: 26

Running advantage after 3 bets: +242 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +37,213
Running units after 3 bets (3L): -300 (-200)

buwaytress

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Mane could have scored, and Firmino should have pulled the trigger on two occasions, but Salah hattrick and a huge opening day win suits me just fine too. 4 disallowed goals on both sides too, phew! Nevertheless, still alive on our parlay!

Sportsbet always makes it worthwhile on these 5-leg parlays with free insurance and boost, so here we go (sorry Leg 1 is playing right now I thought I clicked post on this a whole while back!

Game 1: LOSC Lille - FC Metz. [email protected]. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 2: AS Monaco FC - FC Nantes. Monaco WIN @1.95. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: Paris Saint-Germain FC - Olympique Marseille. PSG WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.63
Game 4: Villarreal CF - SD Huesca. Villareal WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Los Angeles FC - Portland Timbers. LAFC WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Bet ID: 5f5de47a348a11714e09c0d2
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @13.80. Betcoin parlay: 12.94

Odds advantage: 86

Running advantage after 3 bets: +216 (+86)
All-time cumulative: +37,187
Running units after 1 bet (1L): -100 (-100)

buwaytress

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Watford were good for the win, but I took a quick look at their lineup and realised then why they were over 2/1 to win, almost a completely different team save Foster in goal. Tough, very tough, but I'll keep backing them to go up (7/1 to win Championship even!).

ANYWAY today is the first day of English Premier League, and a NEW SEASON begins for me!
So, final tally for Season 2 after yesterday's loss stands at:
435 bets
73W|362L (20% win haha)
+12,916.15 UNITS!

Final Numbers for Season 2 (25 June 2019 to 11 September 2020):
1. Starting bankroll: 10,000 units
2. Ending bankroll: 22,916 units (122.9% profit)
3. Total Bets: 435 (73W|362L) for a 20% win rate
4. Total Units Gained from Odds Advantage: 14,971 (An average of 34.41 units per bet!)

I'll update that into OP as well, but we keep a running tally of Cumulative units gained.
==============================================

And to kick it all off, Sportsbet have a great, great 10/1 parlay for Liverpool's front three to all net a goal so that's my pick for the day. Call me stupid but opening day and Klopp and Liverpool love each other.
100 units special at Sportsbet for Mane/Firmino/Salah all to score @10.0. Regular parlay: 9.45
Bet ID: 5f5b39d0a0ef9056c9f23c01

And another Sportsbet special:
100 units parlay on Spurs, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool to all win @7.0. Regular parlay: 6.25
Bet ID: 5f5872d0f307f5c7bd25df26

Total odds advantage: 130

Running advantage after 2 bets: +130 (+130)
All-time cumulative: +37,101
Running units: 0

buwaytress

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Quote from: big_daddy on September 10, 2020, 07:01:30 AM

^my eyes are on PSG today too, the price for this match is great, maybe caused by their problem with covid infected players, the self isolated are: Di Maria, Icardi, Marquinhos, Mbappe, Navas, Neymar and Paredes, but I still believe that PSG will win this one

Looks like we all missed out on a great upset from PSG. I did say after CL final that they could have a rocky start to their season (Teams either become very strong or very shaken by such a defeat, look at Spurs!). Too bad I totally missed the pick!

Anyway, Watford begin their season and I'm taking this lovely Sportsbet 5/1 pick:
Corners Over 7.5, Over 1.5 Goals, Yellow Cards Over 2.5, Handicap Watford -0.5
100 units parlay special at Sportsbet @5.00. Normal parlay: 4.28
Bet ID: 5f587242348a11b7c308862f

Odds advantage: 72

Running advantage after 435 bets: +14,971 (+72)
All-time cumulative: +36,971
Running units after 434 bets (73W|361L): +13,016.15 (-100)

big_daddy

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^my eyes are on PSG today too, the price for this match is great, maybe caused by their problem with covid infected players, the self isolated are: Di Maria, Icardi, Marquinhos, Mbappe, Navas, Neymar and Paredes, but I still believe that PSG will win this one

buwaytress

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Horrible parlay in the end, I have no idea what I'm doing, do I?

Mixing it up today with some 1st half over/unders, hoping for high-energy Chinese games and then pad it off with what should be an easy PSG win and Seattle thumping? Insurance!

Game 1: RC Lens - Paris Saint-Germain FC. PSG WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 2: Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes. Seattle WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 3: Shanghai SIPG - Qingdao Huanghai FC. HT over 1.5 @2.18. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Game 4: Beijing Guoan FC - Tianjin Teda. HT over 1.5 @1.95. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 5: SC Internacional RS - Ceara SC CE. HT over 0.5 @1.56. Betcoin odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Sportsbet boosted to @20.39. Betcoin parlay: 18.84

Odds advantage: 155

Running advantage after 434 bets: +14,899 (+155)
All-time cumulative: +36,899
Running units after 433 bets (73W|360L): +13,116.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Typical England. Would have got my bet back if you guys didn't do such a half-arsed job of it. And Georgia well, it was always a risk even if they led again in terms of creating chances.

We go again with nice boosts here:

Game 1: Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Luneng. Shandong WIN @1.66. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 2: Inter Miami CF - Atlanta United FC. Miami WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 3: Montreal Impact - Toronto FC. Toronto WIN @1.87. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Game 4: Frosinone Calcio - AS Roma. Roma WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 5: Cadiz CF - UD Almeria. Cadiz WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay boosted at Sportsbet @16.85. Betcoin parlay: 15.51
Bet ID: 5f58732db303a8f73807924d

Odds advantage: 134

Running advantage after 433 bets: +14,744 (+134)
All-time cumulative: +36,744
Running units after 432 bets (73W|359L): +13,216.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Right, so Nations League has been pretty kind, took a few good singles not posted here, including Italy at over 3/1, so let's try for an insured parlay. Betcoin seems to have some good odds but Sportsbet's boost works out even better.

The risk here is Georgia, but they were really good to me in first Nations League qualifiers anyway, so here goes.

Game 1: Georgia - North Macedonia. Georgia WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.41
Game 2: Denmark - England. England WIN @2.02. Betcoin odds: 2.02
Game 3: France - Croatia. France WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 4: Sweden - Portugal. Portugal WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.79
Game 5: Portsmouth FC - Colchester United. Portsmouth WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.66
100 units parlay at Sportsbet (boosted) @24.20. Betcoin parlay: 23.72
Bet ID: 5f571baff307f519e12594cd

Odds advantage: 48

Running advantage after 432 bets: +14,610 (+48)
All-time cumulative: +36,610
Running units after 431 bets (73W|358L): +13,316.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Well that Iceland match was in real danger of losing both our single and our hedge parlay, but in the end, Sterling's penalty saw us through -- though Gomez somehow conspired to almost let Iceland share the haul, phew!

I'm going for another "easy" one today.

Game 1: Switzerland vs Germany. Germany WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.84
Game 2: Spain vs Ukraine: Spain WIN @1.42. Betcoin odds: 1.40
Game 3: Malta vs Latvia. Latvia WIN @2.33. Betcoin odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @6.15. Betcoin parlay: 5.72
Bet ID: 11377534

Odds advantage: 43

Running advantage after 431 bets: +14,562 (+43)
All-time cumulative: +36,562
Running units after 430 bets (73W|357L): +13,416.15 (+600)

buwaytress

legendary

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Quote from: EdenHazard on September 05, 2020, 02:38:03 AM

I'm done with pro tipster or whatever .. in the end they are gambling just like us. They just had a lot more data than us which still it's not help much lol
That's why i rather picking other people's opinion and mix things up elicited from just guts! Cheesy

and yeah too bad about poland ... they just lucky to not get humiliated.

Iceland next? Hell yeah man , the last time both meets are on EURO 2016 where Iceland shock england in a 1-2 comeback , the odds stand around 11 i guese for the Iceland moneyline. I might going for handicap too this time. Let's do this.

Seriously, I no longer look at tips as well, except for those who actually give me a good analysis, as that's entertaining. Pro tipsters are ok, but the crypto ones especially don't even seem to be giving analysis or even an inkling of bankroll strategy. I'm happy with my niche personal space of doing big odds and hitting it with very low frequency.

Pity about Iceland too, but my "hedge" parlay shone through yay!

buwaytress

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Let's go for the favourites today and give them a parlay. Sportsbet's gone and done a nice one and I'm still way in profit for following them.

100 units at Sportsbet for England, Belgium, France & Georgia to win at 8.00. Betcoin odds: 7.78
Bet ID: 5f51da1644d1fd282f3720a6

Odds advantage: 12

100 units at Fairlay on Iceland to WIN vs England @11.68. Sportsbet odds: 9.80

Odds advantage: 188

Total odds advantage: 200 (so nicely rounded!)

Running advantage after 430 bets: +14,519 (+200)
All-time cumulative: +36,519
Running units after 428 bets (72W|356L): +12,816.15 (-100)

EdenHazard

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 05, 2020, 01:49:33 AM

Me too man, me too. I don't go 100x or even 50x but just love the matches where you know the ookies hugely overfavour the underdog! Remember, I'm not a good tipster at all, but I do love betting on those longshots.

Sportsbet has a weekly multi, on the favourites, boosted odds. That's always good value for me, for example.

Sorry about Poland. Iceland today? Hahahaha....

I'm done with pro tipster or whatever .. in the end they are gambling just like us. They just had a lot more data than us which still it's not help much lol
That's why i rather picking other people's opinion and mix things up elicited from just guts! Cheesy

and yeah too bad about poland ... they just lucky to not get humiliated.

Iceland next? Hell yeah man , the last time both meets are on EURO 2016 where Iceland shock england in a 1-2 comeback , the odds stand around 11 i guese for the Iceland moneyline. I might going for handicap too this time. Let's do this.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on September 04, 2020, 05:16:59 AM

Only problem Lewandowski is on extended leave after winning Champions League and there is no chance he is playing today

I wanted to play both to score on this game but after seeing this news I will probably opt for Netherlands win. Not so good odds but should be quite safe.

I am also looking at Norway-Austria both to score.

Eff me man, I really need to research shit before this. Especially games where the team lineups aren't even serious. To be fair, Netherlands BARELY won this one haha.

Quote from: EdenHazard on September 04, 2020, 05:40:41 AM

Whoops i never knew you are doing this during this time mate @buwaytress

You know that I'm a big fan of those crazy huge odds. Make it happen in the first week of EPL and LaLiga acca pls i might pick some from yours later Grin

.
About the Netherlands match .. they might in beast mode in the last couple of matches by consistently scoring multiple goals in a match but yeah the long covid19 break absolutely reset it all.
I'm with you straight for poland to moneyline.
Goodluck mate.

Me too man, me too. I don't go 100x or even 50x but just love the matches where you know the ookies hugely overfavour the underdog! Remember, I'm not a good tipster at all, but I do love betting on those longshots.

Sportsbet has a weekly multi, on the favourites, boosted odds. That's always good value for me, for example.

Sorry about Poland. Iceland today? Hahahaha....

EdenHazard

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Whoops i never knew you are doing this during this time mate @buwaytress

You know that I'm a big fan of those crazy huge odds. Make it happen in the first week of EPL and LaLiga acca pls i might pick some from yours later Grin

.
About the Netherlands match .. they might in beast mode in the last couple of matches by consistently scoring multiple goals in a match but yeah the long covid19 break absolutely reset it all.
I'm with you straight for poland to moneyline.
Goodluck mate.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 04, 2020, 03:05:34 AM

Um, thanks Latvia. You did try 10 shots on goal to none, but should have put in that penalty haha. Oh well.
OK so Netherlands should win nicely today but Lewandowski's had such a strong season, I think it's worth a punt for an upset by the Poles, yeah?

Only problem Lewandowski is on extended leave after winning Champions League and there is no chance he is playing today

I wanted to play both to score on this game but after seeing this news I will probably opt for Netherlands win. Not so good odds but should be quite safe.

I am also looking at Norway-Austria both to score.

buwaytress

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Um, thanks Latvia. You did try 10 shots on goal to none, but should have put in that penalty haha. Oh well.

OK so Netherlands should win nicely today but Lewandowski's had such a strong season, I think it's worth a punt for an upset by the Poles, yeah?

100 units at Sportsbet on Poland to WIN vs Netherlands @8.49. Fairlay is @8.45
Bet ID: 5f51d9fa44d1fd2d4837209f

Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 428 bets: +14,319 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +36,319
Running units after 427 bets (72W|355L): +12,916.15 (-100)

Note: I've now just rounded up decimals. Headache haha.

buwaytress

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Thanks Newcastle for ruining it all for us. I know, Besiktas lost too, but 5-1 to Middlesbrough? Really.

Anyway, here's something a little different, Nations League tomorrow but an early bet with presentable odds (sorry Robbo, I don't think your team can win).

Game 1: Latvia vs Andorra. Latvia WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 2: Scotland vs Israel. Israel WIN @4.80. Betcoin odds: 4.79
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @7.34. Betcoin parlay: 7.19
Bet ID: 12214917

Odds advantage: 15

Running advantage after 427 bets: +14,315.78 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +36,315
Running units after 426 bets (72W|354L): +13,016.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Serves me right, KO'd on the very first leg of the parlay. But here's another proper 5-leg one with insurance and boost courtesy Sportsbet. Friendlies!

Game 1: Middlesbrough FC - Newcastle United FC. Newcastle WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.67
Game 2: Millwall FC - Crystal Palace FC. Palace WIN @1.91. Betcoin odds: 1.89
Game 3: Birmingham City - Walsall FC. Birmingham WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 4: Derby County - Sheffield United FC. Sheffiled WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Besiktas JK - Sivasspor. Besiktas WIN @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.77
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @15.60. Betcoin parlay: 13.85
Bet ID: 5f4e18c610df7a44732126ad

Odds advantage: 175

Running advantage after 426 bets: +14,300.78 (+175)
All-time cumulative: +36,300
Running units after 425 bets (72W|353L): +13,116.15 (-100)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 43. (Read 38849 times)