You hit the nail on the head. Yes, it sort of incentivizes people to tell others not to stake, but at the same time it incentivizes people to actively stake 24/7 and not store their funds at at an exchange. I doubt we will ever see anything more than 50%-75% of the coins actively staking, likely closer to 50%, this means that our individual effective rate will likely however around 10%. There are however 2 factors that work against your "negative incentive", first we need actively staking wallets to secure the network and keep it moving, this is achieved by onboarding others to the coin, the second is we need people buying the coin so that we have somewhere to sell our coin for those of us that can't spend it on weed or other merchandise like food
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Awesome, I've got a handle on it... So right now there's 211m potcoins total, so the interest up for grabs per day (assuming we're running at 5%) is ~29k... So when I make 1pot/day, it's because the other ~93 people who are staking (according to the block explorer) make up substantially larger holdings.
Right now that means my interest rate is closer to 1%, not 5% - but I also imagine just like with mining, there's variance that happens, so sometimes it's going to be higher, sometimes lower, but at the end of the year it will be ~5%.
I'm certainly interested to see how this plays out... One value of mining, even when they don't hold the coins is that they create transactions - even if it is just to sell. It also was substantially more 'fun' to solomine Pot before, because you'd find blocks and it would feel like you had accomplished something, whereas now I'm obviously doing substantially less 'work', but it also doesn't feel overly satisfying. But that's purely from a mining perspective, not a use perspective - so as people have pointed out before on the thread, now it's more about uses of the coin.
Yes, you have it nailed down 99%. Based on some tests I have done with varying the time between stakes on one of my wallets, I am 99% certain that I am right.
I will try and explain it the best I can, you seem like you can handle the "big" words so I won't simplify anything.
Why I think the stake rate isn't correct for some of us, yet.
The amount of coins earned from a staked block is based on several factors. The total money supply, the weight of your coins against the total actively staking coins and the coin age of that block. What I think is happening is that we are staking blocks too fast for the blocks to age enough to be paid what they should for a staked block. POSv has accelerated aging for the first 14 days, it appears that
The solution? More blocks/addresses staking. To average 2160 blocks/day we need 720 active blocks of coins trying to mint a block and get some coin in return, what we have is close to 800 actively staking addresses, we also have an 8 hour maturity based on 40s block times. If we had 2160 addresses trying to mint we would all stake once per day on average. I am actively increasing the time between my stakes by locking my wallet, I also have a sheet setup to track the stakes and give me metrics for tracking. My goal is to figure out exactly where the exponential growth stops/slows down/reverses/etc. I have also been discussion with redrhino about this, he actually brought it to me asking me to pull my coins for a few hours and see if the payout would increase for me like it did for him.
Ok, ranting reply over. More beer for me. Everyone in the states or elsewhere who celebrates labor day, have a beer or shot on me