It's a good time for a quick analysis of the remaining games of two teams still in the race for the title, Arsenal and Man City. Yes, I wrote Liverpool off already despite them still having mathematical chances. It's not going to happen for the Reds this season.
Arsenal PPGD* +0.24, 3 games left:
- Bournemouth PPGD +0.26 (currently 10th), Home
- Man United PPGD +0.35 (currently 6th), Away
- Everton PPGD +0.27 (currently 15th), Home
Man City PPGD +0.17, 4 games left:
- Wolves PPGD +0.38 (currently 11th), Away
- Fulham PPGD +0.79 (currently 13th), Away
- Tottenham PPGD +0.62 (currently 5th), Away
- West Ham PPGD +0.09 (currently 8th), Home
* PPGD: Points Per Game Difference. The difference between average points scored at home and the average points scored in away games. The higher the PPGD with a +, the better the team's performance at home as compared to away games. The PPGD of zero would mean the team is performing equally at home and away.
Source: https://www.soccerstats.com/homeaway.asp?league=englandBoth, Arsenal and the City, are performing only slightly better at home. Arsenal has only one away game to play against Man United, while Man City has 3 away matches, 2 of them against teams that performed notably better at home (Fulham and Tottenham).
Conclusion: still anyone's game and way too soon for the City fans to be popping champagnes. The game against Tottenham is potentially the toughest one. They can't really allow themselves to draw any of those 4 matches as Arsenal has a goal difference advantage of 7 over Man City, meaning they would snatch the title.