In the event of a dollar collapse type black swan, Bitcoin would either have to scale to petabyte levels and/or be relieved of less important transactions by XCN.
I see another possibility which is simply many separate blockchains, along with highly liquid and safe trading between them (probably decentralized). If bitcoin can't scale up and there is huge demand for crypto then what will happen is that some number of alts (and maybe that number is very high) will also gain in value and liquidity.
i.e. scale horizontally.
EDIT: regarding XCN, the people who actually understand the technology better than you and me have weighed in and said that it adds little if anything on top of bitcoin-type chains with SPV.
"Scale horizontally" means adding more nodes. I guess you are talking about a future where individual blockchains constitute nodes in a greater cryptomoney gestalt? We may already be there, but that's another topic. What's your pick for interoperability between chains? Ripple, Stellar, Counterparty, NXT, MaidSafe, or Other?
As for SPV, I disagree with these experts you mention. It's simple: would you rather use a 3rd party or the minichain being mined on your phone?
I prefer to trust (entropy generated by) minichains verified/mined by my own and millions of other peoples' phones/laptops/personal banking devices.
But I also know billions will prefer to use 3rd party Bit/Goo/QQ/FacebookCoin SPVs, so there is that, too. ('ZomG I get a gas+grocery discount plus cashback for using AmazonCoin's simple app that doesn't drain my battery like those complicated minichain clients do? Sign me up!')
If XCN truly "adds little if anything" to SPV, BitFreak wouldn't have gone through the trouble and expense of creating, launching, and nurturing it, nor gathered so much support along the way.
Have you read the XCN whitepaper? The proof chain, account tree, and master hash are arranged in a simple but extremely clever relationship. As with a superb stainless steel/no-oak Chardonnay, one is reminded of the elegant yet brutally effective technology behind BTC and XMR.
How can anybody read this
http://cryptonite.info/wiki/index.php?title=Mini-blockchain_schemeThe mini-blockchain scheme is a variant of the Bitcoin protocol which aims to eliminate the need for storing a full blockchain and overcome the "blockchain bloat" problem. The mini-blockchain is essentially like any other Bitcoin-based blockchain except that old blocks can be pruned from the chain. The block headers are kept as a PoW record but all old transactions can be discarded.
Address balances are managed separately in a hash tree structure called the account tree which is essentially a self-contained balance sheet designed to keep track of all non-empty addresses. New blocks act upon the entries in the account tree to perform transactions and the master hash of the account tree is embedded into the block headers to ensure consistency and agreement between nodes.
Since a proof-of-work is required for each new block, the account tree is updated in relatively periodic intervals of time. Since the master hash of the account tree is embedded into the block headers, the mini-blockchain helps to protect the account tree from malicious changes. However if we're discarding old blocks the mini-blockchain is not secure unless we keep the block headers.
So to secure the whole system from attackers, we use a chain of interlocking proof-of-work solutions termed the proof chain. The proof chain is simply a chain of block headers which encapsulate all the energy expended by the network on a given chain. The chain of block headers feeds into the mini-blockchain and acts to secure it and the account tree against attackers, even without old transactions.
The mini-blockchain, the account tree, and the proof chain, form the 3 core components of the overall scheme and work together to create a highly secure and robust P2P transaction system very much like the Bitcoin system but with a much better level of scalability, bandwidth, and speed. By optimizing each core component to perform a certain function of the blockchain we achieve unparalleled compression with a high level of security.
...and not be impressed by its brilliant optimization of Bitcoin? This makes SPV and POS obsolete!
XCN, in its own unique way, is an instantiation of another highly desired and much sought after 'Holy Grail' function, just like BTC and XMR.
IE: mini blockchains are the holy grail of pruning. And they are the perfect complement to XMR, which is headed in the opposite direction.