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Topic: rpietila Altcoin Observer - page 159. (Read 387493 times)

legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 18, 2014, 11:03:46 AM
This is not regulation only for btc but for all "virtual" currencies.  It applies not only to btc exchanges but to the alt exchanges as well.  Yes this is NYS regulation (for now) but never the less it will have significant and immediate impact far beyond NY.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
July 18, 2014, 09:17:33 AM
Ben Lawsky's comments yesterday really are going to push the anonymous coins to the forefront imo, but I think we all saw that coming.

Indeed. After reading it, the scenario where bitcoin and an anon coin will exist side by side, both fulfilling different requirements became more probable than ever.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
July 18, 2014, 09:03:19 AM
Ben Lawsky's comments yesterday really are going to push the anonymous coins to the forefront imo, but I think we all saw that coming.

Strongly suggest reading Eric Voorhees article regarding that here. (Glad this guy has a ton of BTC)
http://moneyandstate.com/reflections-right-privacy-response-nydfs-bitcoin-proposal/
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 500
July 18, 2014, 08:39:38 AM
Here's my (kind of obvious, I'd say) explanation for why Monero goes through these pump and dump cycles. If the price begins to go up, mining becomes more profitable. Botnets or other big miners move in. They dump when the price is high, thus the price falls until the cycle repeats.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
July 18, 2014, 08:21:26 AM
Not sure the downtrend/consolidation will last several days. For me we're more likely to go >0.0055 again within 24h than not.



i have the same feeling. The attention on monero is rising.

I would be positively surprised, if there's coming a longer consolidation or even lower lows.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
July 18, 2014, 08:17:16 AM
Not sure the downtrend/consolidation will last several days. For me we're more likely to go >0.0055 again within 24h than not.



i have the same feeling. The attention on monero is rising.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1012
Still wild and free
July 18, 2014, 08:11:01 AM
Not sure the downtrend/consolidation will last several days. For me we're more likely to go >0.0055 again within 24h than not.

sr. member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 254
July 18, 2014, 08:03:37 AM
Risto have you ever looked into protoshares - angelshares - bitshares?

Thanks
Not directed at me but I hold a good amount in those. My problem with the whole ecosystem is the screwed up distribution system:
Quote
It was actually supposed to be:
1 PTS = 1.28 BTS

Dev's incompetence meant 3I couldn't mine as many as PTS they wanted. So, the new plan became:
1 PTS ~ 2 AGS = 2 BTS for you (rough estimate)

and
1 PTS = 1.28 BTS for 3I (what the f**)

So basically creating 1 share out of thin air.

1 PTS = 2 BTS for you + 1.28 BTS for 3I

Say I open an IPO asking you to donate BTC to me. Each BTC will be awarded 1000 coins each. So basically you would think:
1 BTC = 1000 N coins

but then I say, I too have a BTC which you donated so from the same BTC,

Donate BTC = 1000 N coins to me as well
that is,
1 BTC = 2000 coins = 1000 to you and 1000 to me

That doesn't sound correct.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
July 18, 2014, 08:03:15 AM
and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)

Can we just let anything grow organically? people or manipulators like you are the plague which will prove to be the fall of crypto

Is not better to follow manipulation and make your deal with it? In most cases I can't find any manipulation and most of this as well as all these conspiracies (government attacks against bitcoin etc.) are not more than normal market development. But sure, where people can manipulate, they'll do.

If (a) crypto would fall effected by manipulation it was to weak to survive, economic evolution.

Futhermore:

Quote
- It's important IMO that 0.00365 (2nd fibonacci from 0.00231->0.00581) is not violated, because that would question the legitimacy of the uptrend, and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)

I can't find any manipulation in that. There's no mandatory level to catch up selling pressure.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
July 18, 2014, 07:53:25 AM
and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)

Can we just let anything grow organically? people or manipulators like you are the plague which will prove to be the fall of crypto

Nope. Manipulators have been manipulating since the very beginning and it seems to me we are doing fairly well in spite of this.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1002
amarha
July 18, 2014, 07:50:08 AM
and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)

Can we just let anything grow organically? people or manipulators like you are the plague which will prove to be the fall of crypto

If manipulators alone are going to be the downfall of crypto then it never really had a chance anyway.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
July 18, 2014, 07:44:41 AM
and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)

Can we just let anything grow organically? people or manipulators like you are the plague which will prove to be the fall of crypto
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1002
amarha
July 18, 2014, 07:27:25 AM
I had to get out at 0.0039 anyway for non-trading related reasons so if I decide to get back in this works out quite well for me. Sounds like I might have a little bit of time to decide whether or not to get back in. Despite the sell of I'd probably expect to see it bounce back soon as a lot of people who were just taking notice of the recent run up and planning on getting in now have a chance to get in cheaper than they would have anyway. And I doubt this sell off alone would be enough to shake the average person's confidence since as far as I know there is no bad news.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
July 18, 2014, 06:44:36 AM
Just a small update on Monero (XMR):

- I had been buying it during the uptrend so that my buying represented about 5% of the total volume.
- It went a little parabolic 2 days ago, but yesterday failed the expectations so the price collapsed.
- I am in a retreat (not Malla this time Wink ) a few days, hardly online.
- Because of a large number of bagholders whose destiny is to buy high and sell cheap, I expect the consolidation to continue a few days also.
- It's important IMO that 0.00365 (2nd fibonacci from 0.00231->0.00581) is not violated, because that would question the legitimacy of the uptrend, and lead to increased selling towards lower lows - something which us whales can prevent (but do we want?)
- I am a long term supporter of Monero, which is a great coin.
sr. member
Activity: 283
Merit: 250
July 18, 2014, 06:24:12 AM
Risto have you ever looked into protoshares - angelshares - bitshares?

Thanks

Screw it - I sold them all and bought moar xmr.
sr. member
Activity: 283
Merit: 250
July 18, 2014, 06:10:06 AM
Risto have you ever looked into protoshares - angelshares - bitshares?

Thanks
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
July 18, 2014, 05:56:32 AM
We are getting close to the xmr price/difficulty level where spot instances can profitably mine. If that happens a lot of hash can be brought online quickly with nothing but a credit card - perhaps as much as 10 mhps. This dilutes the rest of the miners, so that if the new miners hoard then  supply declines, such that price rises.  If someone with a lot of confidence were willing to take the risk (and given the degree of support between 45 and 50 the downside risk holding time is probably less than 40 days - they might actually be able to accumulate at a discount with a large enough cloud mine, within a day or two.  I won't attempt it, mostly because I am too streched already.

I need to redo some of my numbers in regards to profitability (there are some newer miners appearing that are quicker) but I think with the diff increase and price decrease 0.005+ to 0.004+ it isn't profitable to mine ec2 again. I have some scripts that will fire up more instances quickly if needed but to be honest I dont see it being worth it in the near future from a profitability pov.

Yes its not particuarly easy to buy 8k but if your patient there is. Ive managed to accrue a decent number more in the last few days by just letting people dump. The daily volume is enough so that buying that many could be done without too much slippage. Just gotta hope no whales are trying the same at the same time Wink
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1002
amarha
July 18, 2014, 04:59:50 AM
We are getting close to the xmr price/difficulty level where spot instances can profitably mine. If that happens a lot of hash can be brought online quickly with nothing but a credit card - perhaps as much as 10 mhps. This dilutes the rest of the miners, so that if the new miners hoard then  supply declines, such that price rises.  If someone with a lot of confidence were willing to take the risk (and given the degree of support between 45 and 50 the downside risk holding time is probably less than 40 days - they might actually be able to accumulate at a discount with a large enough cloud mine, within a day or two.  I won't attempt it, mostly because I am too streched already.
just wondering which miner are you referring to? cause the gpu miners for CN are not that gud. cpu mining is just too painful on spots.

What do you mean by painful when using spots? Isn't it just a simple matter of whether it's profitable to spin up as many as you can afford or not?
what I meant is spots require too much monitoring -- price and availability-wise because once it becomes apparent about the mining profitability, everyone jumps the gun. just too many whipsaws is what I have felt.

And still I am confused about the first statement - 10mhs gives you 24 XMR as per the calculator located here:
https://minergate.com/calc
which really might not be a good bet.

Ah. I see what you mean about the process being painful now.

And still I am confused about the first statement - 10mhs gives you 24 XMR as per the calculator located here:
https://minergate.com/calc
which really might not be a good bet.

Actually about 8000 xmr/diem.  10/28 share of 15.5/minute.
If you ever tried to buy 8000 xmr on an exchange you would understand the attraction of the idea instantly.

If someone were to choose to do this to accumulate and hold XMR instead of buying it then yeah we should see some upward pressure. I see your point.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
July 18, 2014, 04:54:12 AM
And still I am confused about the first statement - 10mhs gives you 24 XMR as per the calculator located here:
https://minergate.com/calc
which really might not be a good bet.

Actually about 8000 xmr/diem.  10/28 share of 15.5/minute.
If you ever tried to buy 8000 xmr on an exchange you would understand the attraction of the idea instantly.
sr. member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 254
July 18, 2014, 04:44:35 AM
We are getting close to the xmr price/difficulty level where spot instances can profitably mine. If that happens a lot of hash can be brought online quickly with nothing but a credit card - perhaps as much as 10 mhps. This dilutes the rest of the miners, so that if the new miners hoard then  supply declines, such that price rises.  If someone with a lot of confidence were willing to take the risk (and given the degree of support between 45 and 50 the downside risk holding time is probably less than 40 days - they might actually be able to accumulate at a discount with a large enough cloud mine, within a day or two.  I won't attempt it, mostly because I am too streched already.
just wondering which miner are you referring to? cause the gpu miners for CN are not that gud. cpu mining is just too painful on spots.

What do you mean by painful when using spots? Isn't it just a simple matter of whether it's profitable to spin up as many as you can afford or not?
what I meant is spots require too much monitoring -- price and availability-wise because once it becomes apparent about the mining profitability, everyone jumps the gun. just too many whipsaws is what I have felt.

And still I am confused about the first statement - 10mhs gives you 24 XMR as per the calculator located here:
https://minergate.com/calc
which really might not be a good bet.
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