I think that the Ukrainian military strategically has been mostly intelligent and technically well prepared. When Putin stated over and over that he would not invade Ukraine, they did not prepare for the best case, but for the worst scenario and they were right.
Ukraine has been actively preparing for its attack on the Donbass all winter. There was a lot of talk about the possibility of a Russian invasion, but however, it turned out to be a complete surprise for Ukraine, NATO intelligence simply overslept it. The genius of Putin's strategy lies precisely in the fact that, according to the military canons current as of February 2022, it was technically impossible - too small forces participated in Russian military exercises near the border with Ukraine and NATO intelligence did not take this threat seriously. This gave Russia at the start of the operation the staggering advantage of a surprise strike from which Ukraine still seems to be in shock.
I love how you flip-flop between "Putin's army is invincible" and "Ukrainians are so many and so mean", sometimes in the same post.
As Francis Scott Fitzgerald said, "The mark of a first-class brain is the ability to keep two mutually exclusive thoughts in mind at the same time without losing the ability to think". There are rumors that I am the best analyst of the Russian locale, but this is not certain.
LOL... so Ukrainians couldn't move from Kyiv to Donbas in the ~3 weeks while Russians were retreating through Belarus. Nonsense.
Well, why didn't they do it? Why didn't they decide to de-blockade Mariupol or to strengthen the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the East in order to avoid closing the boiler? The Russians left the north, but the grouping of the Ukrainian army near Kyiv remained, what are they doing there? Eliminate the imaginary Russian threat, as if there were not enough real threats in the east and south?
And then they gave the control back to allow Ukraine to do the "provocations"?
It seems that success in the north could not be sustained with the approach of the spring thaw and the growth of leaves on the trees. The risk of being cut off from supplies and the complete loss of the northern group outweighed the risk of a possible provocation at Chernobyl. Today, IAEA specialists are to arrive there and assess the situation on the spot. I hope Ukraine has enough remnants of common sense not to turn its country into a radioactive garbage dump, will see.
I can't diagnose disease from photo, but do you think that Putin is looking OK in this photo?
I think Putin is quite healthy, perhaps at that moment he was more tense than usual.
And where these long tables is gone?
Putin’s famous long table, which has already become a meme, was used by him only for face-to-face dialogue with those politicians who refused to take a test for covid-19 to Putin’s doctors (apparently out of fear of giving Russia their DNA sample). This is a common precaution during a pandemic, if you have not forgotten about this word. Politicians who agree to and successfully pass this test are much closer to Putin, including direct physical contact through a handshake when appropriate.
And it's also not often thing to see Shoigu wearing civilian clothes.
You may be very surprised, but the Minister of Defense of Russia, General of the Army Shoigu, did not serve military service and does not have a military education. Perhaps his public appearance in civilian clothes means that the military operations of the Russian army in Ukraine are now rather led by General of the Army Alexander Dvornikov. Although Putin is still the supreme commander in chief, and Shoigu is still the minister of defense, of course. But Dvornikov seems to have a big operational carte blanche and he is the one who draws arrows on the map.
Especially Mariupol.
Mariupol is a show of force. The attackers' lack of numerical superiority, the use by Ukraine of dominant heights in urban development and civilians as a human shield - did not stop the Chechen assault battalions and the people's militia of Donbass. The city will be restored, with the exception of Azovstal.
If there is an order to clean up Nikolaev, Kharkov, Odessa, Lvov or Kyiv, they will do it again, now you know about it and all of Ukraine now knows and all of the World now knows. Russians fight not by numbers, but by skill, and for them there are no impossible combat missions.
I know that in Russia you're not allowed to use word war for this, but sorry, that's war. One country armoured invasion into another country is war. Yes, there is no martial law and mass mobilization in Russia, but these things happening in Ukraine is war. But Russia sometimes don't like call thing with real their names.
You are right, a real civil war has been going on in Ukraine for 8 years, the genocide of the Russian-speaking population of Donbass. Russia is not at war, she came to stop it. I call a spade a spade.
Your reenactment of 1984..
In the meantime, the
EU is censoring the internet lol. I hope no one gets arrested for reading my post. Take care of yourself there in the stronghold of the victorious democracy.
ps A
video bonus of the military chronicle from Andrey Filatov, now he is wounded in the hospital and uploads footage from the last days of the cleansing of Mariupol to the network. Here is the work of the rather exotic Russian wunderwaffe UR-77 of the engineering troops, which is usually used to clear a passage in minefields. One shot contains about 800kg of explosives, a harsh thing.