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Topic: Ryans' log - page 13. (Read 50747 times)

sr. member
Activity: 427
Merit: 250
September 13, 2014, 01:24:41 PM


Do you mean ending diagonal in wave C here? But they only happen in 5th, C must be impulse.

Edit: Looking at it now it may be C with extended third.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 13, 2014, 12:54:40 PM
The 535 (534 to be correct) happened on August 21st.

Oh, ok
You snipped all the dates off the bottom of your chart, so I had no points of reference.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
September 13, 2014, 12:50:58 PM
The 535 (534 to be correct) happened on August 21st.

I thought that the bulls will be able to test something higher, but they seem weak, and time is running out for them.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 13, 2014, 12:46:53 PM
Sometimes it's difficult to see the forest because of the trees. Here is my favorite wave C count:



There's a lot of overlap in that count Tongue
So we're on our way to 535 by your chart?
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
September 13, 2014, 12:35:25 PM
Sometimes it's difficult to see the forest because of the trees. Here is my favorite wave C count:

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 13, 2014, 12:12:09 PM
If the ending diagonal is the wrong assumption, There is one more up to come.

This will move the target in my update up by a negligible amount.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 13, 2014, 11:42:51 AM
Thanks for the feedback on the issues at hand, but I am going to have to delete a few posts just to limit the argumentative text so we can focus on the the more important things. Nothing personal, to those who's posts I delete, just trying to keep it on topic Wink

Bitstamp had 5  waves lower and 3 waves up nearly making it to the 61.8% retrace of the 5 down. There is nothing currently that tells me this rise is impulsive. Even more so because of the ending diagonal. So, for now, I leave a chart with another nested 1 down making the count either (i) of 3 of V and we are in the (ii) (nearing the top if it's not already in) OR (i) of 3 of (5) of III and we are in the (ii) (same situation as the other)
[img]

Edit:
On second thought, I'll just leave the posts, but try to keep it OT, thanks!

Thanks for the update, much appreciated as always.

Care to give a very brief rundown on what "study subgraph difference" is? A quick Google search gives me the idea it might be a MACD-like momentum indicator, but based on Hull MA instead of SMA/EMA? Yes/No?

Study subgraph is just a generic term for one of the custom indicators (called studies in Sierrachart). Difference is exactly as it sounds... It's the difference between two inputs of choice. In this case, it's the difference between two moving averages.
This can also be done using MACD and the histogram would act as the "Difference".
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
September 13, 2014, 11:40:32 AM

Care to give a very brief rundown on what "study subgraph difference" is? A quick Google search gives me the idea it might be a MACD-like momentum indicator, but based on Hull MA instead of SMA/EMA? Yes/No?

Yes, the Elliot Wave Oscillator is a fast moving momentum indicator that can be replicated by adjusting the parameters on MACD and looking at the histogram. 5/34 appear to give approx the same results as Ryan, but I am not sure if that is the exact parameters he is using.

http://www.tradingfives.com/articles/elliott_oscillator.htm
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
September 13, 2014, 09:36:43 AM
Thanks for the feedback on the issues at hand, but I am going to have to delete a few posts just to limit the argumentative text so we can focus on the the more important things. Nothing personal, to those who's posts I delete, just trying to keep it on topic Wink

Bitstamp had 5  waves lower and 3 waves up nearly making it to the 61.8% retrace of the 5 down. There is nothing currently that tells me this rise is impulsive. Even more so because of the ending diagonal. So, for now, I leave a chart with another nested 1 down making the count either (i) of 3 of V and we are in the (ii) (nearing the top if it's not already in) OR (i) of 3 of (5) of III and we are in the (ii) (same situation as the other)


Edit:
On second thought, I'll just leave the posts, but try to keep it OT, thanks!

Thanks for the update, much appreciated as always.

Care to give a very brief rundown on what "study subgraph difference" is? A quick Google search gives me the idea it might be a MACD-like momentum indicator, but based on Hull MA instead of SMA/EMA? Yes/No?
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 13, 2014, 08:44:38 AM
Thanks for the feedback on the issues at hand, but I am going to have to delete a few posts just to limit the argumentative text so we can focus on the the more important things. Nothing personal, to those who's posts I delete, just trying to keep it on topic Wink

Bitstamp had 5  waves lower and 3 waves up nearly making it to the 61.8% retrace of the 5 down. There is nothing currently that tells me this rise is impulsive. Even more so because of the ending diagonal. So, for now, I leave a chart with another nested 1 down making the count either (i) of 3 of V and we are in the (ii) (nearing the top if it's not already in) OR (i) of 3 of (5) of III and we are in the (ii) (same situation as the other)


Edit:
On second thought, I'll just leave the posts, but try to keep it OT, thanks!
full member
Activity: 189
Merit: 100
September 13, 2014, 03:15:05 AM
@ myself, surely some people do. And some of us just want to learn. Other counts can be interesting to see what progress is being made with that   Smiley
The Wave IV triangle was an interesting post as it is something I've been watching. Interesting that Ryan is seeing the same thing as an option.
Kinda ironic that you're the one asking for a PAMM  Wink
I said earlier that looks like we are not going to break 500 so I'm too leaning more to option like that triangle, there's some indecision going on that makes it hard to guess that are we seeing correction to 530-550 or do we go down from here. Looks like daily ma20 is important.

It's true that I'm not familiar with EW, but I think It's better to learn from more probable counts than if Ryan posts many more options and doesn't write long explanations with them and long explanations takes time so I figured it would be better that he concentrates just to few most probable counts.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
September 13, 2014, 12:02:00 AM
Kinda ironic that you're the one asking for a PAMM  Wink
is not ironic because on a PAMM ryn get a cut here he gets nothing
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
September 12, 2014, 03:25:47 PM
@ myself, surely some people do. And some of us just want to learn. Other counts can be interesting to see what progress is being made with that   Smiley
The Wave IV triangle was an interesting post as it is something I've been watching. Interesting that Ryan is seeing the same thing as an option.
Kinda ironic that you're the one asking for a PAMM  Wink

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
September 12, 2014, 02:48:17 PM
Hey Ryan, your posts have been really insightful and educational - thank you. One thing I think that would be really helpful would be some more focus on the alternate counts on shorter time frames - from my limited experience of EW counts, 'it is until it isn't' and that can result in a 'loss of centre' when a count is invalidated. Personally I find the shorter time frames extremely difficult to count and would appreciate any help you can give.

That's a suggestion, not a criticism - you are already giving a huge amount here and you surely have a large amount of eager pupils already  Wink

Are you asking me to just start spewing counts all over the place? 99% of which will just end up invalidated? I can do that, I'm just not sure if that is the most productive way to keep this thread. I mean, if that's what people want (more choices/ideas, and by default, more chance for error) I can do that. I don't have a problem with that. I have a ton of possible counts. Smiley

nah man simply some people do not want to use the examples you post here read about this make their own analysis and trades, some people want to be spoon feed with trade ideas so if X happen do Y if Z happen do W and if G happen do R
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
September 12, 2014, 11:39:39 AM
Hey Ryan, your posts have been really insightful and educational - thank you. One thing I think that would be really helpful would be some more focus on the alternate counts on shorter time frames - from my limited experience of EW counts, 'it is until it isn't' and that can result in a 'loss of centre' when a count is invalidated. Personally I find the shorter time frames extremely difficult to count and would appreciate any help you can give.

That's a suggestion, not a criticism - you are already giving a huge amount here and you surely have a large amount of eager pupils already  Wink

Are you asking me to just start spewing counts all over the place? 99% of which will just end up invalidated? I can do that, I'm just not sure if that is the most productive way to keep this thread. I mean, if that's what people want (more choices/ideas, and by default, more chance for error) I can do that. I don't have a problem with that. I have a ton of possible counts. Smiley

I hear you, though I was not suggesting 'spewing' ad infinitum  Cheesy. It seems from other responses, that is no what people want  Wink
But I was very interested to see the alt IV triangle count. I think knowing that these other very real possibilities exist can help with trading and risk management and also helps with the education process. But there is a happy medium and it seems you are hitting it Wink
full member
Activity: 189
Merit: 100
September 12, 2014, 08:51:56 AM
Hey Ryan, your posts have been really insightful and educational - thank you. One thing I think that would be really helpful would be some more focus on the alternate counts on shorter time frames - from my limited experience of EW counts, 'it is until it isn't' and that can result in a 'loss of centre' when a count is invalidated. Personally I find the shorter time frames extremely difficult to count and would appreciate any help you can give.

That's a suggestion, not a criticism - you are already giving a huge amount here and you surely have a large amount of eager pupils already  Wink

Are you asking me to just start spewing counts all over the place? 99% of which will just end up invalidated? I can do that, I'm just not sure if that is the most productive way to keep this thread. I mean, if that's what people want (more choices/ideas, and by default, more chance for error) I can do that. I don't have a problem with that. I have a ton of possible counts. Smiley

i would prefer that you show us just few most, what you think is the most probable counts, or at least say that this count is not very probable if you post not so probable counts, thank you =)

We should pay attention to not to overstress Ryan with our desires. Let him organize this thread how he prefers it to do. This is one of the most valuable threads if not the most valuable in this subforum and there are very few thread here with more value than at most entertainment, to not to say: trash.

agreed, my point was that how ryan has done this to this moment has been great, no reason to change that
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
September 12, 2014, 08:24:42 AM
Hey Ryan, your posts have been really insightful and educational - thank you. One thing I think that would be really helpful would be some more focus on the alternate counts on shorter time frames - from my limited experience of EW counts, 'it is until it isn't' and that can result in a 'loss of centre' when a count is invalidated. Personally I find the shorter time frames extremely difficult to count and would appreciate any help you can give.

That's a suggestion, not a criticism - you are already giving a huge amount here and you surely have a large amount of eager pupils already  Wink

Are you asking me to just start spewing counts all over the place? 99% of which will just end up invalidated? I can do that, I'm just not sure if that is the most productive way to keep this thread. I mean, if that's what people want (more choices/ideas, and by default, more chance for error) I can do that. I don't have a problem with that. I have a ton of possible counts. Smiley

i would prefer that you show us just few most, what you think is the most probable counts, or at least say that this count is not very probable if you post not so probable counts, thank you =)

We should pay attention to not to overstress Ryan with our desires. Let him organize this thread how he prefers it to do. This is one of the most valuable threads if not even the most valuable in this subforum and there are very few threads here with more value than at most entertainment, to not to say: trash.
full member
Activity: 189
Merit: 100
September 12, 2014, 02:23:26 AM
Hey Ryan, your posts have been really insightful and educational - thank you. One thing I think that would be really helpful would be some more focus on the alternate counts on shorter time frames - from my limited experience of EW counts, 'it is until it isn't' and that can result in a 'loss of centre' when a count is invalidated. Personally I find the shorter time frames extremely difficult to count and would appreciate any help you can give.

That's a suggestion, not a criticism - you are already giving a huge amount here and you surely have a large amount of eager pupils already  Wink

Are you asking me to just start spewing counts all over the place? 99% of which will just end up invalidated? I can do that, I'm just not sure if that is the most productive way to keep this thread. I mean, if that's what people want (more choices/ideas, and by default, more chance for error) I can do that. I don't have a problem with that. I have a ton of possible counts. Smiley

i would prefer that you show us just few most, what you think is the most probable counts, or at least say that this count is not very probable if you post not so probable counts, thank you =)
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 12, 2014, 12:08:17 AM
Another wave-IV alternate count
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
September 11, 2014, 11:22:32 PM
Add it to first post if you can or at least link from it.

Added a paragraph about market psychology and the link
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