Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 16. (Read 192914 times)
This thread is going a little off the rails. No one here should be making claims about the psychology of child rearing. Pun intended.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Bwhahahaha, I love random statistics! Did you know that 95% of all people who have "rational" in their username aren't really rational at all? I like to visit the Bureau of Made Up Statistics to get my credible information as well....
Euhm... so you debunk a statistic I quote with what exactly?
I will give you a source where I get this from:
http://fatherhood.hhs.gov/charting02/Parenting.htm
I'm not debunking your statistics, those seem fine. What I'm actually finding immense humor in is your "logical" process:
- Compulsive smoking and gambling is caused by unhappiness.
- Abuse is a source of unhappiness.
- Spanking can be considered abuse.
- Therefore: Spanking = unhappiness = compulsive smoking and gambling.
To compare:
- Large ships are made of metal.
- The hammer in my toolbox is also made of metal.
- Therefore: Hammer = Large ship
Good god this is off topic...
I think you are misrepresenting my position. I did not say 'Spanking = unhappiness = compulsive smoking and gambling'. I used spanking as an example to illustrate that abuse is still widespread. Although the average parent still finds it acceptable to 'spank' children, it is abuse by any rational definition. Dysfunctional behavior, such as compulsive addictions, are much higher with people who have had a poor childhood, lacking love, support, care. There are many statistical scientific studies about this.
I consider this an important topic for people interested to invest in sdice because society dissaproves of people/companies offering these services: cigarettes, drugs, gambling as society blames these addictions to be the cause of misery. However, the cause of misery is the abuse in childhood. The addictions are coping methods to cope with pain. The ones offering these services are helping these people cope with their problems, helping to feel them better. The abuse of our children is widespread and taboo. Just like 'spanking' women used to be normal only 50/100 years ago, today it is called 'beating', is considered outright abuse and unacceptable. The same is true for 'spanking' children. It's beating, outright abuse, and to me, unacceptable.
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Bwhahahaha, I love random statistics! Did you know that 95% of all people who have "rational" in their username aren't really rational at all? I like to visit the Bureau of Made Up Statistics to get my credible information as well....
Euhm... so you debunk a statistic I quote with what exactly?
I will give you a source where I get this from:
http://fatherhood.hhs.gov/charting02/Parenting.htm
I'm not debunking your statistics, those seem fine. What I'm actually finding immense humor in is your "logical" process:
- Compulsive smoking and gambling is caused by unhappiness.
- Abuse is a source of unhappiness.
- Spanking can be considered abuse.
- Therefore: Spanking = unhappiness = compulsive smoking and gambling.
To compare:
- Large ships are made of metal.
- The hammer in my toolbox is also made of metal.
- Therefore: Hammer = Large ship
Good god this is off topic...
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Bwhahahaha, I love random statistics! Did you know that 95% of all people who have "rational" in their username aren't really rational at all? I like to visit the Bureau of Made Up Statistics to get my credible information as well....
Euhm... so you debunk a statistic I quote with what exactly?
I will give you a source where I get this from:
http://fatherhood.hhs.gov/charting02/Parenting.htm
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Bwhahahaha, I love random statistics! Did you know that 95% of all people who have "rational" in their username aren't really rational at all? I like to visit the Bureau of Made Up Statistics to get my credible information as well....
Did you know that that one-in-a-million chances happen nine times out of ten?
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Bwhahahaha, I love random statistics! Did you know that 95% of all people who have "rational" in their username aren't really rational at all? I like to visit the Bureau of Made Up Statistics to get my credible information as well....
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
You can barely even notice the increase in the expected profit anymore..
Poor Satoshi Dice. I guess people are getting smarter now & not gambling
Poor Satoshi Dice. I guess people are getting smarter now & not gambling
That would be like saying, I guess people are actually stopping with smoking.
I don't think so because the source of compulsive smoking and gambling is unhappiness, and the source of unhappiness is being abused in child raising. Since today an astonishing 90% of mothers in the West still spank their children, I think compulsive smoking and gambling is here to stay.
Logically there should also be a great inflow of new gamblers as sdice offers much better service than the old gambling world.
So, I'm guessing the current slow growth, is to be explained by the recent bitcoin bubble.
It is logical that bubbles attract gamblers. As they can get the same easy rush of winning without investing much energy.
I think many gamblers figured, 'better stop playing sdice and just hold onto my bitcoins', and were enjoying the winnings.
Now that the bubble is bursting they are getting less and less winning kicks from just holding bitcoins and will likely soon turn to the tables again.
We will discover the coming month whether my theory is true.
You can barely even notice the increase in the expected profit anymore..
Poor Satoshi Dice. I guess people are getting smarter now & not gambling
Poor Satoshi Dice. I guess people are getting smarter now & not gambling
Most of the recent profit seems to be the result of a failed martingale progression:
Edit: and who knows - maybe the recent slow decline in profits was the result of a sequence of successful martingale progressions, maybe even by the same player.
Quote
Tue May 7 15:26:00 2013 <32000 234999 c147128be6fdda3e:1 1Hx1WXVC2pxePX64vGtNSFxa8rSbusjR4K BET 22.00000000 LOSE -21.89000000
Tue May 7 15:32:44 2013 <32000 235001 bda7674f62de0208:0 1KevcTrG9vCqskLvBQNBeStvPqSTDmXHp2 BET 44.00000000 LOSE -43.78000000
Tue May 7 15:36:42 2013 <32000 235003 2dea536e1d5873ac:1 1CcQd35vZoTGZrNzv6PQZuQL3SbTjSvt82 BET 88.00000000 LOSE -87.56000000
Tue May 7 16:00:20 2013 <32000 235004 90e65f73a3fe18c2:0 18xY7aPb9wbGhQQqBArJTwdhfCpvhUubzw BET 154.00000000 LOSE -153.23000000
Tue May 7 15:32:44 2013 <32000 235001 bda7674f62de0208:0 1KevcTrG9vCqskLvBQNBeStvPqSTDmXHp2 BET 44.00000000 LOSE -43.78000000
Tue May 7 15:36:42 2013 <32000 235003 2dea536e1d5873ac:1 1CcQd35vZoTGZrNzv6PQZuQL3SbTjSvt82 BET 88.00000000 LOSE -87.56000000
Tue May 7 16:00:20 2013 <32000 235004 90e65f73a3fe18c2:0 18xY7aPb9wbGhQQqBArJTwdhfCpvhUubzw BET 154.00000000 LOSE -153.23000000
Edit: and who knows - maybe the recent slow decline in profits was the result of a sequence of successful martingale progressions, maybe even by the same player.
Quote
Total of 47 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-07 06:33pm (up to block 235057)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 140898 | 3 (0.00002) | 138535 | 2360 | 1783.45 | 3843.39 | 170.74 | -2059.93 | 215.502
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13065 | 0 (0.00000) | 12485 | 580 | 178.31 | 0.48 | 27.45 | 177.82 | 0.270
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14680 | 2 (0.00014) | 14180 | 498 | 207.34 | 320.36 | 17.49 | -113.02 | 154.508
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25428 | 5 (0.00020) | 24888 | 535 | 611.26 | 433.91 | 14.63 | 177.35 | 70.986
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24642 | 5 (0.00021) | 24151 | 486 | 876.50 | 606.61 | 22.20 | 269.88 | 69.208
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30609 | 13 (0.00043) | 30149 | 447 | 1667.43 | 1830.95 | 1.57 | -163.52 | 109.807
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31030 | 35 (0.00115) | 30470 | 525 | 2197.34 | 1740.45 | 116.99 | 456.89 | 79.207
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22376 | 41 (0.00188) | 21820 | 515 | 2426.79 | 1578.14 | 48.56 | 848.65 | 65.030
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27345 | 116 (0.00431) | 26807 | 422 | 6078.70 | 8662.03 | 13.31 | -2583.32 | 142.498
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39947 | 314 (0.00802) | 38848 | 785 | 8463.44 | 6951.79 | 10.31 | 1511.65 | 82.139
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 153888 | 2378 (0.01552) | 150854 | 656 | 43243.28 | 37573.49 | 2.58 | 5669.79 | 86.889
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26919 | 618 (0.02330) | 25906 | 395 | 8009.10 | 8619.67 | 15.21 | -610.56 | 107.623
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 98114 | 3005 (0.03076) | 94677 | 432 | 43634.48 | 38878.90 | 9.51 | 4755.57 | 89.101
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31990 | 1462 (0.04644) | 30021 | 507 | 9898.08 | 10710.65 | 25.46 | -812.56 | 108.209
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39662 | 2435 (0.06205) | 36809 | 418 | 7967.45 | 7909.69 | 31.44 | 57.75 | 99.275
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56677 | 5133 (0.09145) | 50997 | 547 | 17179.11 | 18720.41 | 7.65 | -1541.30 | 108.972
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 221791 | 27199 (0.12298) | 193967 | 625 | 101539.76 | 100803.85 | 101.01 | 735.90 | 99.275
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 125156 | 22837 (0.18343) | 101661 | 658 | 180159.36 | 181596.94 | 3315.34 | -1437.58 | 100.798
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 301722 | 73431 (0.24398) | 227546 | 745 | 380655.78 | 366718.43 | 2323.10 | 13937.35 | 96.339
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 293406 | 107578 (0.36753) | 185127 | 701 | 596371.23 | 587607.23 | 1013.71 | 8763.99 | 98.530
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1248163 | 608192 (0.48805) | 637982 | 1989 | 922004.53 | 903538.27 | 2926.30 | 18466.26 | 97.997
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 720052 | 358959 (0.49970) | 359395 | 1698 | 704638.33 | 687334.04 | 6523.42 | 17304.29 | 97.544
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 415380 | 304571 (0.73488) | 109881 | 928 | 313137.78 | 305749.62 | 6172.98 | 7388.16 | 97.641
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94692 | 74642 (0.79404) | 19361 | 689 | 66534.56 | 64909.97 | 1188.14 | 1624.59 | 97.558
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 89183 | 75785 (0.85721) | 12624 | 774 | 83889.41 | 83120.64 | 401.26 | 768.76 | 99.084
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 140337 | 127679 (0.91572) | 11751 | 907 | 78263.00 | 77096.64 | 2.05 | 1166.36 | 98.510
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 23028 | 20795 (0.97840) | 459 | 1774 | 25157.94 | 24735.60 | 241.22 | 422.34 | 98.321
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4326519 | 1761485 | 2543732 | 21302 | 856192.63 | 841213.68 | 337.58 | 14978.95 | 98.251
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123661 | 55748 | 67619 | 294 | 2750581.23 | 2690378.56 | 24406.21 | 60202.66 | 97.811
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4450180 | 1817233 | 2611351 | 21596 | 3606773.86 | 3531592.25 | 24743.79 | 75181.61 | 97.916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 75181.61839869 BTC (2.084%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3684.85097500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71496.76742369 BTC (1.982%)
Pending Liabilities: 9.40307656 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71487.36434713 BTC (1.982%)
Profit This Month: -116.04399749 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14492750 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8156771 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6353.0 : SatoshiDice MB: 3367.4 (53.0%)
Results: 2013-May-07 06:33pm (up to block 235057)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 140898 | 3 (0.00002) | 138535 | 2360 | 1783.45 | 3843.39 | 170.74 | -2059.93 | 215.502
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13065 | 0 (0.00000) | 12485 | 580 | 178.31 | 0.48 | 27.45 | 177.82 | 0.270
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14680 | 2 (0.00014) | 14180 | 498 | 207.34 | 320.36 | 17.49 | -113.02 | 154.508
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25428 | 5 (0.00020) | 24888 | 535 | 611.26 | 433.91 | 14.63 | 177.35 | 70.986
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24642 | 5 (0.00021) | 24151 | 486 | 876.50 | 606.61 | 22.20 | 269.88 | 69.208
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30609 | 13 (0.00043) | 30149 | 447 | 1667.43 | 1830.95 | 1.57 | -163.52 | 109.807
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31030 | 35 (0.00115) | 30470 | 525 | 2197.34 | 1740.45 | 116.99 | 456.89 | 79.207
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22376 | 41 (0.00188) | 21820 | 515 | 2426.79 | 1578.14 | 48.56 | 848.65 | 65.030
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27345 | 116 (0.00431) | 26807 | 422 | 6078.70 | 8662.03 | 13.31 | -2583.32 | 142.498
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39947 | 314 (0.00802) | 38848 | 785 | 8463.44 | 6951.79 | 10.31 | 1511.65 | 82.139
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 153888 | 2378 (0.01552) | 150854 | 656 | 43243.28 | 37573.49 | 2.58 | 5669.79 | 86.889
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26919 | 618 (0.02330) | 25906 | 395 | 8009.10 | 8619.67 | 15.21 | -610.56 | 107.623
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 98114 | 3005 (0.03076) | 94677 | 432 | 43634.48 | 38878.90 | 9.51 | 4755.57 | 89.101
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31990 | 1462 (0.04644) | 30021 | 507 | 9898.08 | 10710.65 | 25.46 | -812.56 | 108.209
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39662 | 2435 (0.06205) | 36809 | 418 | 7967.45 | 7909.69 | 31.44 | 57.75 | 99.275
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56677 | 5133 (0.09145) | 50997 | 547 | 17179.11 | 18720.41 | 7.65 | -1541.30 | 108.972
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 221791 | 27199 (0.12298) | 193967 | 625 | 101539.76 | 100803.85 | 101.01 | 735.90 | 99.275
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 125156 | 22837 (0.18343) | 101661 | 658 | 180159.36 | 181596.94 | 3315.34 | -1437.58 | 100.798
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 301722 | 73431 (0.24398) | 227546 | 745 | 380655.78 | 366718.43 | 2323.10 | 13937.35 | 96.339
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 293406 | 107578 (0.36753) | 185127 | 701 | 596371.23 | 587607.23 | 1013.71 | 8763.99 | 98.530
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1248163 | 608192 (0.48805) | 637982 | 1989 | 922004.53 | 903538.27 | 2926.30 | 18466.26 | 97.997
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 720052 | 358959 (0.49970) | 359395 | 1698 | 704638.33 | 687334.04 | 6523.42 | 17304.29 | 97.544
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 415380 | 304571 (0.73488) | 109881 | 928 | 313137.78 | 305749.62 | 6172.98 | 7388.16 | 97.641
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94692 | 74642 (0.79404) | 19361 | 689 | 66534.56 | 64909.97 | 1188.14 | 1624.59 | 97.558
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 89183 | 75785 (0.85721) | 12624 | 774 | 83889.41 | 83120.64 | 401.26 | 768.76 | 99.084
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 140337 | 127679 (0.91572) | 11751 | 907 | 78263.00 | 77096.64 | 2.05 | 1166.36 | 98.510
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 23028 | 20795 (0.97840) | 459 | 1774 | 25157.94 | 24735.60 | 241.22 | 422.34 | 98.321
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4326519 | 1761485 | 2543732 | 21302 | 856192.63 | 841213.68 | 337.58 | 14978.95 | 98.251
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123661 | 55748 | 67619 | 294 | 2750581.23 | 2690378.56 | 24406.21 | 60202.66 | 97.811
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4450180 | 1817233 | 2611351 | 21596 | 3606773.86 | 3531592.25 | 24743.79 | 75181.61 | 97.916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 75181.61839869 BTC (2.084%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3684.85097500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71496.76742369 BTC (1.982%)
Pending Liabilities: 9.40307656 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71487.36434713 BTC (1.982%)
Profit This Month: -116.04399749 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14492750 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8156771 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6353.0 : SatoshiDice MB: 3367.4 (53.0%)
Quote
Total of 78 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-06 11:15pm (up to block 234926)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 140387 | 3 (0.00002) | 138032 | 2352 | 1774.89 | 3843.35 | 170.70 | -2068.46 | 216.540
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12946 | 0 (0.00000) | 12367 | 579 | 176.87 | 0.47 | 27.44 | 176.40 | 0.268
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14315 | 2 (0.00014) | 13815 | 498 | 202.96 | 320.34 | 17.49 | -117.37 | 157.831
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25389 | 5 (0.00020) | 24849 | 535 | 610.75 | 433.90 | 14.63 | 176.84 | 71.044
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24633 | 5 (0.00021) | 24143 | 485 | 876.24 | 606.61 | 22.19 | 269.63 | 69.229
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30585 | 13 (0.00043) | 30125 | 447 | 1666.86 | 1830.95 | 1.57 | -164.09 | 109.845
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30996 | 35 (0.00115) | 30437 | 524 | 2196.74 | 1740.44 | 116.99 | 456.29 | 79.228
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22360 | 41 (0.00188) | 21804 | 515 | 2423.65 | 1578.12 | 48.56 | 845.52 | 65.114
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27332 | 116 (0.00431) | 26795 | 421 | 6078.45 | 8662.02 | 13.30 | -2583.56 | 142.504
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39928 | 313 (0.00800) | 38830 | 785 | 8463.21 | 6950.54 | 10.31 | 1512.66 | 82.127
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 153213 | 2359 (0.01546) | 150199 | 655 | 43211.80 | 37541.67 | 2.58 | 5670.13 | 86.878
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26911 | 618 (0.02331) | 25898 | 395 | 8009.00 | 8619.67 | 15.21 | -610.66 | 107.625
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 97759 | 3003 (0.03085) | 94325 | 431 | 43626.08 | 38878.22 | 9.50 | 4747.85 | 89.117
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31940 | 1460 (0.04645) | 29975 | 505 | 9892.14 | 10689.30 | 25.45 | -797.15 | 108.058
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39604 | 2431 (0.06204) | 36755 | 418 | 7960.50 | 7901.26 | 31.44 | 59.24 | 99.256
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56629 | 5126 (0.09140) | 50957 | 546 | 17174.44 | 18708.21 | 7.65 | -1533.77 | 108.931
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 220404 | 27018 (0.12293) | 192761 | 625 | 101428.38 | 100719.26 | 101.01 | 709.12 | 99.301
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 124794 | 22782 (0.18352) | 101354 | 658 | 180130.64 | 181564.37 | 3315.34 | -1433.72 | 100.796
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 300913 | 73247 (0.24402) | 226923 | 743 | 380429.25 | 366626.93 | 2323.09 | 13802.32 | 96.372
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 292663 | 107288 (0.36747) | 184679 | 696 | 596290.96 | 587543.57 | 1013.69 | 8747.38 | 98.533
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1245673 | 606961 (0.48803) | 636725 | 1987 | 921005.03 | 902784.84 | 2926.29 | 18220.19 | 98.022
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 717655 | 357778 (0.49971) | 358192 | 1685 | 703959.03 | 686653.46 | 6523.38 | 17305.57 | 97.542
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 414167 | 303686 (0.73489) | 109554 | 927 | 313006.34 | 305635.55 | 6172.97 | 7370.79 | 97.645
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94565 | 74545 (0.79407) | 19332 | 688 | 66475.82 | 64843.45 | 1188.14 | 1632.36 | 97.544
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 88945 | 75588 (0.85728) | 12584 | 773 | 83859.42 | 83093.79 | 401.26 | 765.62 | 99.087
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 139909 | 127292 (0.91575) | 11711 | 906 | 78234.02 | 77067.72 | 2.05 | 1166.30 | 98.509
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22968 | 20744 (0.97840) | 458 | 1766 | 25144.14 | 24721.86 | 241.21 | 422.27 | 98.321
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4314018 | 1756753 | 2536014 | 21251 | 855010.77 | 840141.41 | 337.38 | 14869.36 | 98.261
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123565 | 55706 | 67565 | 294 | 2749296.98 | 2689418.61 | 24406.21 | 59878.37 | 97.822
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4437583 | 1812459 | 2603579 | 21545 | 3604307.76 | 3529560.02 | 24743.59 | 74747.73 | 97.926
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74747.73901096 BTC (2.074%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3671.62437500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71076.11463596 BTC (1.972%)
Pending Liabilities: -10.79555814 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71086.91019410 BTC (1.972%)
Profit This Month: -516.49815052 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14448006 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8133691 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6331.4 : SatoshiDice MB: 3357.8 (53.0%)
Results: 2013-May-06 11:15pm (up to block 234926)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 140387 | 3 (0.00002) | 138032 | 2352 | 1774.89 | 3843.35 | 170.70 | -2068.46 | 216.540
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12946 | 0 (0.00000) | 12367 | 579 | 176.87 | 0.47 | 27.44 | 176.40 | 0.268
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14315 | 2 (0.00014) | 13815 | 498 | 202.96 | 320.34 | 17.49 | -117.37 | 157.831
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25389 | 5 (0.00020) | 24849 | 535 | 610.75 | 433.90 | 14.63 | 176.84 | 71.044
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24633 | 5 (0.00021) | 24143 | 485 | 876.24 | 606.61 | 22.19 | 269.63 | 69.229
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30585 | 13 (0.00043) | 30125 | 447 | 1666.86 | 1830.95 | 1.57 | -164.09 | 109.845
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30996 | 35 (0.00115) | 30437 | 524 | 2196.74 | 1740.44 | 116.99 | 456.29 | 79.228
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22360 | 41 (0.00188) | 21804 | 515 | 2423.65 | 1578.12 | 48.56 | 845.52 | 65.114
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27332 | 116 (0.00431) | 26795 | 421 | 6078.45 | 8662.02 | 13.30 | -2583.56 | 142.504
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39928 | 313 (0.00800) | 38830 | 785 | 8463.21 | 6950.54 | 10.31 | 1512.66 | 82.127
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 153213 | 2359 (0.01546) | 150199 | 655 | 43211.80 | 37541.67 | 2.58 | 5670.13 | 86.878
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26911 | 618 (0.02331) | 25898 | 395 | 8009.00 | 8619.67 | 15.21 | -610.66 | 107.625
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 97759 | 3003 (0.03085) | 94325 | 431 | 43626.08 | 38878.22 | 9.50 | 4747.85 | 89.117
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31940 | 1460 (0.04645) | 29975 | 505 | 9892.14 | 10689.30 | 25.45 | -797.15 | 108.058
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39604 | 2431 (0.06204) | 36755 | 418 | 7960.50 | 7901.26 | 31.44 | 59.24 | 99.256
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56629 | 5126 (0.09140) | 50957 | 546 | 17174.44 | 18708.21 | 7.65 | -1533.77 | 108.931
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 220404 | 27018 (0.12293) | 192761 | 625 | 101428.38 | 100719.26 | 101.01 | 709.12 | 99.301
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 124794 | 22782 (0.18352) | 101354 | 658 | 180130.64 | 181564.37 | 3315.34 | -1433.72 | 100.796
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 300913 | 73247 (0.24402) | 226923 | 743 | 380429.25 | 366626.93 | 2323.09 | 13802.32 | 96.372
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 292663 | 107288 (0.36747) | 184679 | 696 | 596290.96 | 587543.57 | 1013.69 | 8747.38 | 98.533
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1245673 | 606961 (0.48803) | 636725 | 1987 | 921005.03 | 902784.84 | 2926.29 | 18220.19 | 98.022
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 717655 | 357778 (0.49971) | 358192 | 1685 | 703959.03 | 686653.46 | 6523.38 | 17305.57 | 97.542
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 414167 | 303686 (0.73489) | 109554 | 927 | 313006.34 | 305635.55 | 6172.97 | 7370.79 | 97.645
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94565 | 74545 (0.79407) | 19332 | 688 | 66475.82 | 64843.45 | 1188.14 | 1632.36 | 97.544
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 88945 | 75588 (0.85728) | 12584 | 773 | 83859.42 | 83093.79 | 401.26 | 765.62 | 99.087
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 139909 | 127292 (0.91575) | 11711 | 906 | 78234.02 | 77067.72 | 2.05 | 1166.30 | 98.509
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22968 | 20744 (0.97840) | 458 | 1766 | 25144.14 | 24721.86 | 241.21 | 422.27 | 98.321
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4314018 | 1756753 | 2536014 | 21251 | 855010.77 | 840141.41 | 337.38 | 14869.36 | 98.261
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123565 | 55706 | 67565 | 294 | 2749296.98 | 2689418.61 | 24406.21 | 59878.37 | 97.822
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4437583 | 1812459 | 2603579 | 21545 | 3604307.76 | 3529560.02 | 24743.59 | 74747.73 | 97.926
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74747.73901096 BTC (2.074%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3671.62437500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71076.11463596 BTC (1.972%)
Pending Liabilities: -10.79555814 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71086.91019410 BTC (1.972%)
Profit This Month: -516.49815052 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14448006 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8133691 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6331.4 : SatoshiDice MB: 3357.8 (53.0%)
Quote
Total of 55 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-05 02:55pm (up to block 234700)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 139424 | 3 (0.00002) | 137111 | 2310 | 1763.01 | 3843.29 | 168.33 | -2080.28 | 217.996
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12682 | 0 (0.00000) | 12105 | 577 | 173.71 | 0.45 | 27.14 | 173.25 | 0.264
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14181 | 2 (0.00015) | 13682 | 497 | 201.36 | 320.33 | 17.49 | -118.97 | 159.085
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25335 | 5 (0.00020) | 24797 | 533 | 609.79 | 433.90 | 14.62 | 175.89 | 71.156
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24583 | 5 (0.00021) | 24093 | 485 | 875.01 | 606.60 | 22.19 | 268.40 | 69.325
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30522 | 13 (0.00043) | 30063 | 446 | 1665.54 | 1830.95 | 1.56 | -165.40 | 109.931
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30921 | 35 (0.00115) | 30363 | 523 | 2195.21 | 1740.44 | 116.99 | 454.77 | 79.283
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22294 | 41 (0.00188) | 21738 | 515 | 2422.13 | 1578.11 | 48.56 | 844.01 | 65.154
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27287 | 116 (0.00432) | 26750 | 421 | 6076.66 | 8662.02 | 13.30 | -2585.35 | 142.546
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39847 | 313 (0.00801) | 38750 | 784 | 8461.37 | 6950.53 | 10.31 | 1510.84 | 82.144
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 152348 | 2349 (0.01548) | 149349 | 650 | 43163.07 | 37510.08 | 2.56 | 5652.99 | 86.903
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26864 | 617 (0.02331) | 25853 | 394 | 8006.79 | 8613.69 | 15.21 | -606.89 | 107.580
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 97329 | 2991 (0.03087) | 93910 | 428 | 43606.57 | 38871.73 | 9.48 | 4734.84 | 89.142
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31895 | 1458 (0.04645) | 29932 | 505 | 9889.34 | 10685.23 | 25.45 | -795.89 | 108.048
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39524 | 2424 (0.06198) | 36683 | 417 | 7954.91 | 7896.76 | 31.44 | 58.15 | 99.269
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56539 | 5120 (0.09144) | 50875 | 544 | 17168.84 | 18707.44 | 7.64 | -1538.59 | 108.962
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 218637 | 26780 (0.12284) | 191234 | 623 | 101332.17 | 100600.98 | 101.00 | 731.18 | 99.278
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 124195 | 22667 (0.18348) | 100870 | 658 | 180103.57 | 181534.40 | 3315.34 | -1430.82 | 100.794
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 299348 | 72868 (0.24403) | 225737 | 743 | 380130.10 | 366358.65 | 2323.09 | 13771.44 | 96.377
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 291861 | 107002 (0.36749) | 184167 | 692 | 596213.82 | 587472.13 | 1013.67 | 8741.69 | 98.534
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1242354 | 605377 (0.48806) | 634997 | 1980 | 920155.74 | 901998.28 | 2926.28 | 18157.46 | 98.027
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 713084 | 355477 (0.49968) | 355937 | 1670 | 702421.70 | 684987.68 | 6523.31 | 17434.01 | 97.518
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 412662 | 302574 (0.73487) | 109166 | 922 | 312819.31 | 305442.92 | 6172.95 | 7376.39 | 97.642
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94306 | 74345 (0.79411) | 19276 | 685 | 66116.77 | 64589.32 | 1188.12 | 1527.45 | 97.690
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 88453 | 75173 (0.85730) | 12513 | 767 | 83795.58 | 83027.30 | 401.23 | 768.27 | 99.083
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 139157 | 126613 (0.91579) | 11643 | 901 | 78156.37 | 76993.48 | 2.04 | 1162.89 | 98.512
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22875 | 20658 (0.97831) | 458 | 1759 | 25134.47 | 24712.16 | 241.20 | 422.31 | 98.320
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4295067 | 1749371 | 2524561 | 21135 | 853272.37 | 838460.58 | 334.44 | 14811.79 | 98.264
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123440 | 55655 | 67491 | 294 | 2747340.68 | 2687508.37 | 24406.21 | 59832.30 | 97.822
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4418507 | 1805026 | 2592052 | 21429 | 3600613.05 | 3525968.95 | 24740.65 | 74644.09 | 97.927
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74644.09877505 BTC (2.073%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3651.60777500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 70992.49100005 BTC (1.972%)
Pending Liabilities: -12.39521804 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71004.88621809 BTC (1.972%)
Profit This Month: -598.52212653 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14376431 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8097694 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6296.4 : SatoshiDice MB: 3343.0 (53.1%)
Results: 2013-May-05 02:55pm (up to block 234700)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 139424 | 3 (0.00002) | 137111 | 2310 | 1763.01 | 3843.29 | 168.33 | -2080.28 | 217.996
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12682 | 0 (0.00000) | 12105 | 577 | 173.71 | 0.45 | 27.14 | 173.25 | 0.264
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14181 | 2 (0.00015) | 13682 | 497 | 201.36 | 320.33 | 17.49 | -118.97 | 159.085
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25335 | 5 (0.00020) | 24797 | 533 | 609.79 | 433.90 | 14.62 | 175.89 | 71.156
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24583 | 5 (0.00021) | 24093 | 485 | 875.01 | 606.60 | 22.19 | 268.40 | 69.325
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30522 | 13 (0.00043) | 30063 | 446 | 1665.54 | 1830.95 | 1.56 | -165.40 | 109.931
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30921 | 35 (0.00115) | 30363 | 523 | 2195.21 | 1740.44 | 116.99 | 454.77 | 79.283
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22294 | 41 (0.00188) | 21738 | 515 | 2422.13 | 1578.11 | 48.56 | 844.01 | 65.154
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27287 | 116 (0.00432) | 26750 | 421 | 6076.66 | 8662.02 | 13.30 | -2585.35 | 142.546
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39847 | 313 (0.00801) | 38750 | 784 | 8461.37 | 6950.53 | 10.31 | 1510.84 | 82.144
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 152348 | 2349 (0.01548) | 149349 | 650 | 43163.07 | 37510.08 | 2.56 | 5652.99 | 86.903
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26864 | 617 (0.02331) | 25853 | 394 | 8006.79 | 8613.69 | 15.21 | -606.89 | 107.580
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 97329 | 2991 (0.03087) | 93910 | 428 | 43606.57 | 38871.73 | 9.48 | 4734.84 | 89.142
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31895 | 1458 (0.04645) | 29932 | 505 | 9889.34 | 10685.23 | 25.45 | -795.89 | 108.048
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39524 | 2424 (0.06198) | 36683 | 417 | 7954.91 | 7896.76 | 31.44 | 58.15 | 99.269
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56539 | 5120 (0.09144) | 50875 | 544 | 17168.84 | 18707.44 | 7.64 | -1538.59 | 108.962
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 218637 | 26780 (0.12284) | 191234 | 623 | 101332.17 | 100600.98 | 101.00 | 731.18 | 99.278
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 124195 | 22667 (0.18348) | 100870 | 658 | 180103.57 | 181534.40 | 3315.34 | -1430.82 | 100.794
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 299348 | 72868 (0.24403) | 225737 | 743 | 380130.10 | 366358.65 | 2323.09 | 13771.44 | 96.377
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 291861 | 107002 (0.36749) | 184167 | 692 | 596213.82 | 587472.13 | 1013.67 | 8741.69 | 98.534
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1242354 | 605377 (0.48806) | 634997 | 1980 | 920155.74 | 901998.28 | 2926.28 | 18157.46 | 98.027
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 713084 | 355477 (0.49968) | 355937 | 1670 | 702421.70 | 684987.68 | 6523.31 | 17434.01 | 97.518
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 412662 | 302574 (0.73487) | 109166 | 922 | 312819.31 | 305442.92 | 6172.95 | 7376.39 | 97.642
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 94306 | 74345 (0.79411) | 19276 | 685 | 66116.77 | 64589.32 | 1188.12 | 1527.45 | 97.690
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 88453 | 75173 (0.85730) | 12513 | 767 | 83795.58 | 83027.30 | 401.23 | 768.27 | 99.083
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 139157 | 126613 (0.91579) | 11643 | 901 | 78156.37 | 76993.48 | 2.04 | 1162.89 | 98.512
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22875 | 20658 (0.97831) | 458 | 1759 | 25134.47 | 24712.16 | 241.20 | 422.31 | 98.320
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4295067 | 1749371 | 2524561 | 21135 | 853272.37 | 838460.58 | 334.44 | 14811.79 | 98.264
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123440 | 55655 | 67491 | 294 | 2747340.68 | 2687508.37 | 24406.21 | 59832.30 | 97.822
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4418507 | 1805026 | 2592052 | 21429 | 3600613.05 | 3525968.95 | 24740.65 | 74644.09 | 97.927
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74644.09877505 BTC (2.073%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3651.60777500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 70992.49100005 BTC (1.972%)
Pending Liabilities: -12.39521804 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71004.88621809 BTC (1.972%)
Profit This Month: -598.52212653 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14376431 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8097694 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6296.4 : SatoshiDice MB: 3343.0 (53.1%)
I was told (by someone who apparently had a LOT more statistics knowledge than me) that this is a common misconception.
That's right. The actual profit line doesn't feel any need to get closer to the expected profit line.
But, being 1000 BTC above the line when the expected profit is 10k means it's 10% higher than it 'should be', but later, when it's 1000 BTC above the expected profit of 100k it's only 1% higher than it should be. So in that sense it tends to get closer to the expected value. The 1000 BTC gap will remain, on average, but it will become less significant as profits increase.
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers
Stop the madness!
Technically we're still well above the expected 1.9% edge, and not to mention December through February were fantastic months financially. At some point math will win and we'll dip down to match what's expected.
I was told (by someone who apparently had a LOT more statistics knowledge than me) that this is a common misconception. IIRC once a random-walk "wanders off" the expected line it is likely to parallel the original curve IF luck remained 100% consistent. Of course it will not, so there will be both upward and downward random influences, but there is supposedly "no particular reason" for the real data to "seek out" the original curve and stick to it.
This was from a discussion on Martingale techniques where it was pointed out that the number of losses in a row were independent from each other and therefore much longer streaks than expected could happen (to the win or to the loss side of the ledger.)
Because of this discussion I don't really expect this to "correct" back to the line either, but again IANAS (...Statistician)
Stop the madness!
Technically we're still well above the expected 1.9% edge, and not to mention December through February were fantastic months financially. At some point math will win and we'll dip down to match what's expected.
Stop the madness!
Quote
Total of 118 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-03 11:46am (up to block 234372)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 137903 | 3 (0.00002) | 135655 | 2245 | 1741.97 | 3843.19 | 164.62 | -2101.21 | 220.623
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12629 | 0 (0.00000) | 12062 | 567 | 172.61 | 0.45 | 22.84 | 172.15 | 0.262
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14058 | 2 (0.00015) | 13559 | 497 | 195.42 | 320.30 | 17.49 | -124.88 | 163.906
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25273 | 5 (0.00020) | 24740 | 528 | 603.80 | 433.87 | 14.62 | 169.93 | 71.856
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24481 | 5 (0.00021) | 23992 | 484 | 867.55 | 606.57 | 22.19 | 260.98 | 69.917
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30344 | 13 (0.00043) | 29887 | 444 | 1662.56 | 1830.93 | 1.55 | -168.37 | 110.127
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30813 | 35 (0.00116) | 30255 | 523 | 2190.94 | 1740.41 | 116.99 | 450.52 | 79.437
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22179 | 41 (0.00189) | 21623 | 515 | 2419.99 | 1578.10 | 48.56 | 841.89 | 65.211
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27243 | 116 (0.00432) | 26708 | 419 | 6074.08 | 8662.00 | 13.29 | -2587.92 | 142.606
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39728 | 312 (0.00801) | 38632 | 784 | 8456.54 | 6949.26 | 10.31 | 1507.28 | 82.176
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 149403 | 2301 (0.01547) | 146456 | 646 | 43049.98 | 37362.97 | 2.55 | 5687.01 | 86.790
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26761 | 611 (0.02317) | 25756 | 394 | 7999.08 | 8590.20 | 15.21 | -591.11 | 107.390
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 96219 | 2957 (0.03087) | 92836 | 426 | 43555.01 | 38808.36 | 9.47 | 4746.64 | 89.102
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31806 | 1451 (0.04636) | 29850 | 505 | 9876.30 | 10672.80 | 25.45 | -796.50 | 108.065
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39416 | 2413 (0.06187) | 36586 | 417 | 7938.14 | 7869.23 | 31.44 | 68.90 | 99.132
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56295 | 5101 (0.09149) | 50651 | 543 | 17151.03 | 18687.25 | 7.64 | -1536.21 | 108.957
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 215879 | 26424 (0.12275) | 188835 | 620 | 101209.90 | 100503.38 | 100.97 | 706.52 | 99.302
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 123398 | 22521 (0.18348) | 100223 | 654 | 179907.72 | 181490.91 | 3315.33 | -1583.18 | 100.880
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 297065 | 72301 (0.24399) | 224024 | 740 | 379924.22 | 366148.67 | 2323.08 | 13775.55 | 96.374
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 290158 | 106358 (0.36742) | 183113 | 687 | 596080.49 | 587323.11 | 1013.65 | 8757.38 | 98.531
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1235277 | 601931 (0.48806) | 631389 | 1957 | 918845.33 | 900710.87 | 2926.19 | 18134.46 | 98.026
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 706831 | 352304 (0.49959) | 352878 | 1649 | 700018.66 | 682213.98 | 6523.22 | 17804.68 | 97.457
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 410103 | 300728 (0.73493) | 108464 | 911 | 312185.80 | 304733.24 | 6172.92 | 7452.55 | 97.613
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 93933 | 74059 (0.79413) | 19199 | 675 | 66059.08 | 64524.95 | 1188.08 | 1534.13 | 97.678
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 87845 | 74655 (0.85729) | 12428 | 762 | 83698.03 | 82925.80 | 401.22 | 772.23 | 99.077
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 137743 | 125340 (0.91583) | 11519 | 884 | 77983.23 | 76831.73 | 1.96 | 1151.50 | 98.523
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22764 | 20571 (0.97855) | 451 | 1742 | 25116.01 | 24694.96 | 241.17 | 421.04 | 98.324
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4262264 | 1736992 | 2504348 | 20924 | 850330.97 | 835566.68 | 325.92 | 14764.29 | 98.264
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123283 | 55566 | 67423 | 294 | 2744652.64 | 2684490.92 | 24406.21 | 60161.71 | 97.808
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4385547 | 1792558 | 2571771 | 21218 | 3594983.62 | 3520057.61 | 24732.13 | 74926.01 | 97.916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74926.01183211 BTC (2.084%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3617.00717500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71309.00465711 BTC (1.984%)
Pending Liabilities: 2.57068290 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71306.43397421 BTC (1.983%)
Profit This Month: -296.97437041 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14271041 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8036621 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6247.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 3317.6 (53.1%)
Results: 2013-May-03 11:46am (up to block 234372)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 137903 | 3 (0.00002) | 135655 | 2245 | 1741.97 | 3843.19 | 164.62 | -2101.21 | 220.623
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12629 | 0 (0.00000) | 12062 | 567 | 172.61 | 0.45 | 22.84 | 172.15 | 0.262
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14058 | 2 (0.00015) | 13559 | 497 | 195.42 | 320.30 | 17.49 | -124.88 | 163.906
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25273 | 5 (0.00020) | 24740 | 528 | 603.80 | 433.87 | 14.62 | 169.93 | 71.856
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24481 | 5 (0.00021) | 23992 | 484 | 867.55 | 606.57 | 22.19 | 260.98 | 69.917
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30344 | 13 (0.00043) | 29887 | 444 | 1662.56 | 1830.93 | 1.55 | -168.37 | 110.127
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30813 | 35 (0.00116) | 30255 | 523 | 2190.94 | 1740.41 | 116.99 | 450.52 | 79.437
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22179 | 41 (0.00189) | 21623 | 515 | 2419.99 | 1578.10 | 48.56 | 841.89 | 65.211
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27243 | 116 (0.00432) | 26708 | 419 | 6074.08 | 8662.00 | 13.29 | -2587.92 | 142.606
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39728 | 312 (0.00801) | 38632 | 784 | 8456.54 | 6949.26 | 10.31 | 1507.28 | 82.176
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 149403 | 2301 (0.01547) | 146456 | 646 | 43049.98 | 37362.97 | 2.55 | 5687.01 | 86.790
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26761 | 611 (0.02317) | 25756 | 394 | 7999.08 | 8590.20 | 15.21 | -591.11 | 107.390
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 96219 | 2957 (0.03087) | 92836 | 426 | 43555.01 | 38808.36 | 9.47 | 4746.64 | 89.102
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31806 | 1451 (0.04636) | 29850 | 505 | 9876.30 | 10672.80 | 25.45 | -796.50 | 108.065
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39416 | 2413 (0.06187) | 36586 | 417 | 7938.14 | 7869.23 | 31.44 | 68.90 | 99.132
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56295 | 5101 (0.09149) | 50651 | 543 | 17151.03 | 18687.25 | 7.64 | -1536.21 | 108.957
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 215879 | 26424 (0.12275) | 188835 | 620 | 101209.90 | 100503.38 | 100.97 | 706.52 | 99.302
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 123398 | 22521 (0.18348) | 100223 | 654 | 179907.72 | 181490.91 | 3315.33 | -1583.18 | 100.880
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 297065 | 72301 (0.24399) | 224024 | 740 | 379924.22 | 366148.67 | 2323.08 | 13775.55 | 96.374
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 290158 | 106358 (0.36742) | 183113 | 687 | 596080.49 | 587323.11 | 1013.65 | 8757.38 | 98.531
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1235277 | 601931 (0.48806) | 631389 | 1957 | 918845.33 | 900710.87 | 2926.19 | 18134.46 | 98.026
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 706831 | 352304 (0.49959) | 352878 | 1649 | 700018.66 | 682213.98 | 6523.22 | 17804.68 | 97.457
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 410103 | 300728 (0.73493) | 108464 | 911 | 312185.80 | 304733.24 | 6172.92 | 7452.55 | 97.613
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 93933 | 74059 (0.79413) | 19199 | 675 | 66059.08 | 64524.95 | 1188.08 | 1534.13 | 97.678
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 87845 | 74655 (0.85729) | 12428 | 762 | 83698.03 | 82925.80 | 401.22 | 772.23 | 99.077
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 137743 | 125340 (0.91583) | 11519 | 884 | 77983.23 | 76831.73 | 1.96 | 1151.50 | 98.523
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22764 | 20571 (0.97855) | 451 | 1742 | 25116.01 | 24694.96 | 241.17 | 421.04 | 98.324
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4262264 | 1736992 | 2504348 | 20924 | 850330.97 | 835566.68 | 325.92 | 14764.29 | 98.264
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123283 | 55566 | 67423 | 294 | 2744652.64 | 2684490.92 | 24406.21 | 60161.71 | 97.808
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4385547 | 1792558 | 2571771 | 21218 | 3594983.62 | 3520057.61 | 24732.13 | 74926.01 | 97.916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 74926.01183211 BTC (2.084%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3617.00717500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71309.00465711 BTC (1.984%)
Pending Liabilities: 2.57068290 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71306.43397421 BTC (1.983%)
Profit This Month: -296.97437041 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14271041 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8036621 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6247.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 3317.6 (53.1%)
13% of total april profit = 466BTC to public shareholders
37% of total april profit = 1329BTC to john doe the mysterious
Total paid on MPEX by S.dice = 1795BTC
37% of total april profit = 1329BTC to john doe the mysterious
Total paid on MPEX by S.dice = 1795BTC
I am trying to figure out what the dividend should be for April, but I am running into different numbers in different places. The Google Docs spreadsheet says the profits for shareholders for April was 466.8455515763, but the MPEX website says total dividends of 1`795.55981337 will be paid. What factor am I missing here and where does that 1`795.55981337 number come from?
Quote
Total of 33 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-02 12:33pm (up to block 234232)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 137272 | 3 (0.00002) | 135071 | 2198 | 1733.01 | 3843.14 | 161.57 | -2110.13 | 221.761
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12607 | 0 (0.00000) | 12040 | 567 | 172.37 | 0.45 | 22.84 | 171.91 | 0.262
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14044 | 2 (0.00015) | 13545 | 497 | 195.12 | 320.30 | 17.49 | -125.18 | 164.157
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25250 | 5 (0.00020) | 24718 | 527 | 603.36 | 433.87 | 13.37 | 169.49 | 71.909
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24463 | 5 (0.00021) | 23974 | 484 | 866.97 | 606.56 | 22.19 | 260.40 | 69.964
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30293 | 13 (0.00044) | 29838 | 442 | 1661.82 | 1830.93 | 1.53 | -169.10 | 110.176
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30783 | 35 (0.00116) | 30227 | 521 | 2190.08 | 1740.41 | 116.99 | 449.66 | 79.468
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22134 | 41 (0.00190) | 21578 | 515 | 2418.40 | 1578.09 | 48.56 | 840.30 | 65.254
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27229 | 116 (0.00433) | 26694 | 419 | 6072.36 | 8661.99 | 13.29 | -2589.63 | 142.646
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39634 | 311 (0.00801) | 38539 | 784 | 8455.39 | 6948.00 | 10.31 | 1507.38 | 82.173
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 148245 | 2287 (0.01549) | 145314 | 644 | 42999.28 | 37323.70 | 2.54 | 5675.58 | 86.801
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26736 | 609 (0.02312) | 25733 | 394 | 7998.64 | 8589.34 | 15.21 | -590.69 | 107.385
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 95797 | 2940 (0.03083) | 92431 | 426 | 43532.35 | 38773.83 | 9.47 | 4758.51 | 89.069
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31756 | 1445 (0.04624) | 29806 | 505 | 9875.41 | 10670.13 | 25.45 | -794.71 | 108.047
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39316 | 2404 (0.06180) | 36495 | 417 | 7880.47 | 7676.58 | 31.44 | 203.89 | 97.413
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56178 | 5092 (0.09152) | 50545 | 541 | 17146.72 | 18683.02 | 7.63 | -1536.29 | 108.960
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 213802 | 26177 (0.12279) | 187008 | 617 | 101064.96 | 100371.63 | 100.94 | 693.33 | 99.314
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 123033 | 22446 (0.18341) | 99933 | 654 | 179881.52 | 181454.68 | 3315.33 | -1573.16 | 100.875
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 296256 | 72090 (0.24395) | 223427 | 739 | 379868.41 | 366069.19 | 2323.08 | 13799.21 | 96.367
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 289578 | 106144 (0.36742) | 182748 | 686 | 595944.34 | 587173.27 | 1013.65 | 8771.07 | 98.528
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1231675 | 600196 (0.48807) | 629530 | 1949 | 918380.85 | 900219.55 | 2926.15 | 18161.30 | 98.022
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 704581 | 351180 (0.49959) | 351759 | 1642 | 699377.62 | 681500.47 | 6523.18 | 17877.14 | 97.444
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 409059 | 299986 (0.73499) | 108165 | 908 | 312074.88 | 304634.06 | 6172.90 | 7440.82 | 97.616
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 93666 | 73859 (0.79423) | 19135 | 672 | 66015.54 | 64476.70 | 1188.07 | 1538.84 | 97.669
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 87625 | 74478 (0.85740) | 12387 | 760 | 83658.82 | 82885.78 | 401.21 | 773.04 | 99.076
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 137292 | 124936 (0.91584) | 11481 | 875 | 77915.62 | 76764.90 | 1.91 | 1150.72 | 98.523
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22685 | 20504 (0.97866) | 447 | 1734 | 25107.19 | 24686.16 | 241.16 | 421.03 | 98.323
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4247773 | 1731777 | 2495173 | 20823 | 848919.12 | 834064.80 | 321.40 | 14854.31 | 98.250
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123216 | 55527 | 67395 | 294 | 2744172.50 | 2683852.04 | 24406.21 | 60320.45 | 97.802
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4370989 | 1787304 | 2562568 | 21117 | 3593091.63 | 3517916.85 | 24727.61 | 75174.77 | 97.908
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 75174.77270254 BTC (2.092%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3601.71957500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71573.05312754 BTC (1.992%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.04513489 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71573.00799265 BTC (1.992%)
Profit This Month: -30.40035197 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14217696 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8009669 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6222.5 : SatoshiDice MB: 3306.5 (53.1%)
Results: 2013-May-02 12:33pm (up to block 234232)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 137272 | 3 (0.00002) | 135071 | 2198 | 1733.01 | 3843.14 | 161.57 | -2110.13 | 221.761
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 12607 | 0 (0.00000) | 12040 | 567 | 172.37 | 0.45 | 22.84 | 171.91 | 0.262
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 14044 | 2 (0.00015) | 13545 | 497 | 195.12 | 320.30 | 17.49 | -125.18 | 164.157
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25250 | 5 (0.00020) | 24718 | 527 | 603.36 | 433.87 | 13.37 | 169.49 | 71.909
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 24463 | 5 (0.00021) | 23974 | 484 | 866.97 | 606.56 | 22.19 | 260.40 | 69.964
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 30293 | 13 (0.00044) | 29838 | 442 | 1661.82 | 1830.93 | 1.53 | -169.10 | 110.176
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 30783 | 35 (0.00116) | 30227 | 521 | 2190.08 | 1740.41 | 116.99 | 449.66 | 79.468
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 22134 | 41 (0.00190) | 21578 | 515 | 2418.40 | 1578.09 | 48.56 | 840.30 | 65.254
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27229 | 116 (0.00433) | 26694 | 419 | 6072.36 | 8661.99 | 13.29 | -2589.63 | 142.646
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 39634 | 311 (0.00801) | 38539 | 784 | 8455.39 | 6948.00 | 10.31 | 1507.38 | 82.173
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 148245 | 2287 (0.01549) | 145314 | 644 | 42999.28 | 37323.70 | 2.54 | 5675.58 | 86.801
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 26736 | 609 (0.02312) | 25733 | 394 | 7998.64 | 8589.34 | 15.21 | -590.69 | 107.385
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 95797 | 2940 (0.03083) | 92431 | 426 | 43532.35 | 38773.83 | 9.47 | 4758.51 | 89.069
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 31756 | 1445 (0.04624) | 29806 | 505 | 9875.41 | 10670.13 | 25.45 | -794.71 | 108.047
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 39316 | 2404 (0.06180) | 36495 | 417 | 7880.47 | 7676.58 | 31.44 | 203.89 | 97.413
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 56178 | 5092 (0.09152) | 50545 | 541 | 17146.72 | 18683.02 | 7.63 | -1536.29 | 108.960
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 213802 | 26177 (0.12279) | 187008 | 617 | 101064.96 | 100371.63 | 100.94 | 693.33 | 99.314
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 123033 | 22446 (0.18341) | 99933 | 654 | 179881.52 | 181454.68 | 3315.33 | -1573.16 | 100.875
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 296256 | 72090 (0.24395) | 223427 | 739 | 379868.41 | 366069.19 | 2323.08 | 13799.21 | 96.367
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 289578 | 106144 (0.36742) | 182748 | 686 | 595944.34 | 587173.27 | 1013.65 | 8771.07 | 98.528
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1231675 | 600196 (0.48807) | 629530 | 1949 | 918380.85 | 900219.55 | 2926.15 | 18161.30 | 98.022
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 704581 | 351180 (0.49959) | 351759 | 1642 | 699377.62 | 681500.47 | 6523.18 | 17877.14 | 97.444
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 409059 | 299986 (0.73499) | 108165 | 908 | 312074.88 | 304634.06 | 6172.90 | 7440.82 | 97.616
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 93666 | 73859 (0.79423) | 19135 | 672 | 66015.54 | 64476.70 | 1188.07 | 1538.84 | 97.669
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 87625 | 74478 (0.85740) | 12387 | 760 | 83658.82 | 82885.78 | 401.21 | 773.04 | 99.076
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 137292 | 124936 (0.91584) | 11481 | 875 | 77915.62 | 76764.90 | 1.91 | 1150.72 | 98.523
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 22685 | 20504 (0.97866) | 447 | 1734 | 25107.19 | 24686.16 | 241.16 | 421.03 | 98.323
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4247773 | 1731777 | 2495173 | 20823 | 848919.12 | 834064.80 | 321.40 | 14854.31 | 98.250
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 123216 | 55527 | 67395 | 294 | 2744172.50 | 2683852.04 | 24406.21 | 60320.45 | 97.802
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4370989 | 1787304 | 2562568 | 21117 | 3593091.63 | 3517916.85 | 24727.61 | 75174.77 | 97.908
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 75174.77270254 BTC (2.092%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3601.71957500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71573.05312754 BTC (1.992%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.04513489 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71573.00799265 BTC (1.992%)
Profit This Month: -30.40035197 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 14217696 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8009669 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6222.5 : SatoshiDice MB: 3306.5 (53.1%)
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