Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 48. (Read 192896 times)
Woah, Max bets have been raised. You can now bet BTC500 on alot of bets.... anyone want to loan me BTC10000? I swear I'll gamble it away and make things interesting in here for atleast a little bit.
Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-06 02:46pm (up to block 215473)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 62395 | 0 (0.00000) | 61284 | 1111 | 533.84 | 0.01 | 85.94 | 533.82 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3164 | 0 (0.00000) | 2672 | 492 | 46.38 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 46.38 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5133 | 1 (0.00021) | 4714 | 418 | 68.27 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -91.68 | 234.279
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7717 | 2 (0.00027) | 7295 | 420 | 111.59 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.50 | 14.419
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9426 | 1 (0.00011) | 9018 | 407 | 249.67 | 4.43 | 18.65 | 245.23 | 1.778
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9498 | 3 (0.00033) | 9106 | 389 | 539.06 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 235.55 | 56.302
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12344 | 12 (0.00100) | 11934 | 398 | 810.09 | 155.68 | 55.70 | 654.40 | 19.218
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15277 | 28 (0.00189) | 14822 | 427 | 1864.10 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 545.16 | 70.755
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 17229 | 73 (0.00433) | 16781 | 375 | 2173.31 | 3209.54 | 13.16 | -1036.23 | 147.680
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25209 | 186 (0.00758) | 24355 | 668 | 4295.54 | 3955.64 | 9.94 | 339.89 | 92.087
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 74566 | 1147 (0.01547) | 72982 | 437 | 19250.01 | 17119.07 | 1.91 | 2130.94 | 88.930
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19741 | 461 (0.02377) | 18932 | 348 | 6389.90 | 6445.80 | 15.06 | -55.90 | 100.875
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 44015 | 1365 (0.03128) | 42274 | 376 | 20495.34 | 17696.45 | 9.31 | 2798.88 | 86.344
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22695 | 1031 (0.04626) | 21257 | 407 | 8375.60 | 9432.40 | 25.08 | -1056.79 | 112.618
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28432 | 1728 (0.06156) | 26343 | 361 | 6160.80 | 5678.90 | 31.25 | 481.89 | 92.178
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32531 | 3016 (0.09382) | 29131 | 384 | 13119.58 | 14677.64 | 7.11 | -1558.05 | 111.876
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 134019 | 16442 (0.12308) | 117145 | 432 | 52171.42 | 50664.06 | 100.18 | 1507.36 | 97.111
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 50645 | 9318 (0.18554) | 40904 | 423 | 83689.14 | 82450.96 | 3314.63 | 1238.17 | 98.521
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 157849 | 38334 (0.24356) | 119059 | 456 | 176226.72 | 176449.36 | 1617.02 | -222.63 | 100.126
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 131447 | 48233 (0.36828) | 82734 | 480 | 172535.80 | 169292.01 | 1012.86 | 3243.78 | 98.120
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 830117 | 404824 (0.48846) | 423955 | 1338 | 554276.92 | 545583.85 | 2923.90 | 8693.07 | 98.432
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 359541 | 179084 (0.49918) | 179675 | 782 | 391799.92 | 382927.35 | 5720.12 | 8872.56 | 97.735
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 240445 | 176584 (0.73594) | 63358 | 503 | 244200.16 | 238667.14 | 5454.76 | 5533.01 | 97.734
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 43198 | 34023 (0.79484) | 8782 | 393 | 48633.26 | 47687.04 | 1187.12 | 946.22 | 98.054
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32565 | 27527 (0.85663) | 4607 | 431 | 44690.71 | 44055.50 | 400.12 | 635.20 | 98.579
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 39569 | 35851 (0.91538) | 3314 | 404 | 49736.99 | 49411.33 | 0.10 | 325.65 | 99.345
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11601 | 10769 (0.98105) | 208 | 624 | 21356.39 | 21007.76 | 239.42 | 348.63 | 98.368
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2341410 | 951657 | 1376357 | 13396 | 540958.80 | 529573.42 | 204.16 | 11385.38 | 97.895
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78958 | 38386 | 40284 | 288 | 1382841.85 | 1358797.13 | 22123.70 | 24044.71 | 98.261
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2420368 | 990043 | 1416641 | 13684 | 1923800.66 | 1888370.55 | 22327.86 | 35430.10 | 98.158
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35430.10370197 BTC (1.842%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1615.81567500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 33814.28802697 BTC (1.758%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.63098455 BTC
Final SD Profit: 33813.65704242 BTC (1.758%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7922239 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4444261 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3372.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 1826.4 (54.2%)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 62395 | 0 (0.00000) | 61284 | 1111 | 533.84 | 0.01 | 85.94 | 533.82 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3164 | 0 (0.00000) | 2672 | 492 | 46.38 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 46.38 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5133 | 1 (0.00021) | 4714 | 418 | 68.27 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -91.68 | 234.279
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7717 | 2 (0.00027) | 7295 | 420 | 111.59 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.50 | 14.419
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9426 | 1 (0.00011) | 9018 | 407 | 249.67 | 4.43 | 18.65 | 245.23 | 1.778
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9498 | 3 (0.00033) | 9106 | 389 | 539.06 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 235.55 | 56.302
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12344 | 12 (0.00100) | 11934 | 398 | 810.09 | 155.68 | 55.70 | 654.40 | 19.218
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15277 | 28 (0.00189) | 14822 | 427 | 1864.10 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 545.16 | 70.755
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 17229 | 73 (0.00433) | 16781 | 375 | 2173.31 | 3209.54 | 13.16 | -1036.23 | 147.680
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25209 | 186 (0.00758) | 24355 | 668 | 4295.54 | 3955.64 | 9.94 | 339.89 | 92.087
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 74566 | 1147 (0.01547) | 72982 | 437 | 19250.01 | 17119.07 | 1.91 | 2130.94 | 88.930
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19741 | 461 (0.02377) | 18932 | 348 | 6389.90 | 6445.80 | 15.06 | -55.90 | 100.875
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 44015 | 1365 (0.03128) | 42274 | 376 | 20495.34 | 17696.45 | 9.31 | 2798.88 | 86.344
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22695 | 1031 (0.04626) | 21257 | 407 | 8375.60 | 9432.40 | 25.08 | -1056.79 | 112.618
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28432 | 1728 (0.06156) | 26343 | 361 | 6160.80 | 5678.90 | 31.25 | 481.89 | 92.178
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32531 | 3016 (0.09382) | 29131 | 384 | 13119.58 | 14677.64 | 7.11 | -1558.05 | 111.876
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 134019 | 16442 (0.12308) | 117145 | 432 | 52171.42 | 50664.06 | 100.18 | 1507.36 | 97.111
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 50645 | 9318 (0.18554) | 40904 | 423 | 83689.14 | 82450.96 | 3314.63 | 1238.17 | 98.521
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 157849 | 38334 (0.24356) | 119059 | 456 | 176226.72 | 176449.36 | 1617.02 | -222.63 | 100.126
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 131447 | 48233 (0.36828) | 82734 | 480 | 172535.80 | 169292.01 | 1012.86 | 3243.78 | 98.120
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 830117 | 404824 (0.48846) | 423955 | 1338 | 554276.92 | 545583.85 | 2923.90 | 8693.07 | 98.432
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 359541 | 179084 (0.49918) | 179675 | 782 | 391799.92 | 382927.35 | 5720.12 | 8872.56 | 97.735
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 240445 | 176584 (0.73594) | 63358 | 503 | 244200.16 | 238667.14 | 5454.76 | 5533.01 | 97.734
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 43198 | 34023 (0.79484) | 8782 | 393 | 48633.26 | 47687.04 | 1187.12 | 946.22 | 98.054
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32565 | 27527 (0.85663) | 4607 | 431 | 44690.71 | 44055.50 | 400.12 | 635.20 | 98.579
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 39569 | 35851 (0.91538) | 3314 | 404 | 49736.99 | 49411.33 | 0.10 | 325.65 | 99.345
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11601 | 10769 (0.98105) | 208 | 624 | 21356.39 | 21007.76 | 239.42 | 348.63 | 98.368
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2341410 | 951657 | 1376357 | 13396 | 540958.80 | 529573.42 | 204.16 | 11385.38 | 97.895
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78958 | 38386 | 40284 | 288 | 1382841.85 | 1358797.13 | 22123.70 | 24044.71 | 98.261
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2420368 | 990043 | 1416641 | 13684 | 1923800.66 | 1888370.55 | 22327.86 | 35430.10 | 98.158
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35430.10370197 BTC (1.842%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1615.81567500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 33814.28802697 BTC (1.758%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.63098455 BTC
Final SD Profit: 33813.65704242 BTC (1.758%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7922239 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4444261 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3372.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 1826.4 (54.2%)
Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-05 10:43am (up to block 215298)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 62099 | 0 (0.00000) | 60993 | 1106 | 530.40 | 0.01 | 85.47 | 530.38 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3142 | 0 (0.00000) | 2650 | 492 | 46.04 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 46.03 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5116 | 1 (0.00021) | 4697 | 418 | 67.91 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -92.04 | 235.538
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7708 | 2 (0.00027) | 7286 | 420 | 111.41 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.32 | 14.442
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9324 | 1 (0.00011) | 8916 | 407 | 231.78 | 4.39 | 18.65 | 227.39 | 1.897
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9412 | 3 (0.00033) | 9020 | 389 | 534.40 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 230.89 | 56.793
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12257 | 12 (0.00101) | 11847 | 398 | 806.52 | 155.68 | 55.70 | 650.83 | 19.303
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15259 | 28 (0.00189) | 14804 | 427 | 1862.88 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 543.95 | 70.801
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16962 | 71 (0.00428) | 16516 | 375 | 2017.59 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -891.47 | 144.185
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25092 | 184 (0.00753) | 24240 | 668 | 4284.37 | 3941.88 | 9.94 | 342.48 | 92.006
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 73807 | 1134 (0.01546) | 72236 | 437 | 19195.57 | 16982.65 | 1.91 | 2212.91 | 88.472
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19718 | 461 (0.02380) | 18909 | 348 | 6388.43 | 6445.80 | 15.06 | -57.37 | 100.898
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 43580 | 1344 (0.03111) | 41860 | 376 | 20452.79 | 17621.95 | 9.31 | 2830.84 | 86.159
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22672 | 1030 (0.04626) | 21235 | 407 | 8364.65 | 9417.42 | 25.08 | -1052.77 | 112.586
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28416 | 1727 (0.06156) | 26328 | 361 | 6157.32 | 5675.69 | 31.25 | 481.62 | 92.178
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32451 | 3011 (0.09390) | 29056 | 384 | 13070.09 | 14626.68 | 7.11 | -1556.59 | 111.910
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 133429 | 16378 (0.12315) | 116619 | 432 | 52060.12 | 50569.22 | 100.18 | 1490.90 | 97.136
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 50094 | 9208 (0.18538) | 40463 | 423 | 83649.94 | 82407.32 | 3314.63 | 1242.61 | 98.515
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 157392 | 38223 (0.24356) | 118713 | 456 | 176118.27 | 176325.79 | 1617.02 | -207.51 | 100.118
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 129814 | 47635 (0.36831) | 81699 | 480 | 172184.82 | 168905.35 | 1012.86 | 3279.46 | 98.095
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 827324 | 403444 (0.48844) | 422542 | 1338 | 552537.34 | 543825.80 | 2923.90 | 8711.53 | 98.423
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 357837 | 178231 (0.49917) | 178824 | 782 | 390104.68 | 380959.60 | 5720.12 | 9145.07 | 97.656
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 239439 | 175848 (0.73596) | 63088 | 503 | 243748.60 | 238226.33 | 5454.76 | 5522.26 | 97.734
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 43085 | 33932 (0.79481) | 8760 | 393 | 48616.03 | 47669.06 | 1187.12 | 946.97 | 98.052
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32379 | 27372 (0.85677) | 4576 | 431 | 44640.83 | 44003.11 | 400.12 | 637.71 | 98.571
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 39072 | 35407 (0.91567) | 3261 | 404 | 48768.82 | 48572.87 | 0.10 | 195.94 | 99.598
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11576 | 10744 (0.98101) | 208 | 624 | 21305.44 | 20956.59 | 239.42 | 348.84 | 98.363
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2329723 | 947169 | 1369163 | 13391 | 538204.11 | 526533.86 | 203.69 | 11670.25 | 97.832
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78733 | 38262 | 40183 | 288 | 1379653.04 | 1355467.00 | 22123.70 | 24186.04 | 98.247
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2408456 | 985431 | 1409346 | 13679 | 1917857.16 | 1882000.87 | 22327.39 | 35856.29 | 98.130
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35856.29460173 BTC (1.870%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1603.88207500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34252.41252673 BTC (1.786%)
Pending Liabilities: -3.88524394 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34256.29777067 BTC (1.786%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7881500 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4422350 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3355.2 : SatoshiDice MB: 1817.4 (54.2%)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 62099 | 0 (0.00000) | 60993 | 1106 | 530.40 | 0.01 | 85.47 | 530.38 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3142 | 0 (0.00000) | 2650 | 492 | 46.04 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 46.03 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5116 | 1 (0.00021) | 4697 | 418 | 67.91 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -92.04 | 235.538
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7708 | 2 (0.00027) | 7286 | 420 | 111.41 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.32 | 14.442
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9324 | 1 (0.00011) | 8916 | 407 | 231.78 | 4.39 | 18.65 | 227.39 | 1.897
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9412 | 3 (0.00033) | 9020 | 389 | 534.40 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 230.89 | 56.793
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12257 | 12 (0.00101) | 11847 | 398 | 806.52 | 155.68 | 55.70 | 650.83 | 19.303
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15259 | 28 (0.00189) | 14804 | 427 | 1862.88 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 543.95 | 70.801
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16962 | 71 (0.00428) | 16516 | 375 | 2017.59 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -891.47 | 144.185
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25092 | 184 (0.00753) | 24240 | 668 | 4284.37 | 3941.88 | 9.94 | 342.48 | 92.006
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 73807 | 1134 (0.01546) | 72236 | 437 | 19195.57 | 16982.65 | 1.91 | 2212.91 | 88.472
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19718 | 461 (0.02380) | 18909 | 348 | 6388.43 | 6445.80 | 15.06 | -57.37 | 100.898
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 43580 | 1344 (0.03111) | 41860 | 376 | 20452.79 | 17621.95 | 9.31 | 2830.84 | 86.159
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22672 | 1030 (0.04626) | 21235 | 407 | 8364.65 | 9417.42 | 25.08 | -1052.77 | 112.586
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28416 | 1727 (0.06156) | 26328 | 361 | 6157.32 | 5675.69 | 31.25 | 481.62 | 92.178
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32451 | 3011 (0.09390) | 29056 | 384 | 13070.09 | 14626.68 | 7.11 | -1556.59 | 111.910
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 133429 | 16378 (0.12315) | 116619 | 432 | 52060.12 | 50569.22 | 100.18 | 1490.90 | 97.136
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 50094 | 9208 (0.18538) | 40463 | 423 | 83649.94 | 82407.32 | 3314.63 | 1242.61 | 98.515
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 157392 | 38223 (0.24356) | 118713 | 456 | 176118.27 | 176325.79 | 1617.02 | -207.51 | 100.118
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 129814 | 47635 (0.36831) | 81699 | 480 | 172184.82 | 168905.35 | 1012.86 | 3279.46 | 98.095
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 827324 | 403444 (0.48844) | 422542 | 1338 | 552537.34 | 543825.80 | 2923.90 | 8711.53 | 98.423
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 357837 | 178231 (0.49917) | 178824 | 782 | 390104.68 | 380959.60 | 5720.12 | 9145.07 | 97.656
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 239439 | 175848 (0.73596) | 63088 | 503 | 243748.60 | 238226.33 | 5454.76 | 5522.26 | 97.734
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 43085 | 33932 (0.79481) | 8760 | 393 | 48616.03 | 47669.06 | 1187.12 | 946.97 | 98.052
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32379 | 27372 (0.85677) | 4576 | 431 | 44640.83 | 44003.11 | 400.12 | 637.71 | 98.571
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 39072 | 35407 (0.91567) | 3261 | 404 | 48768.82 | 48572.87 | 0.10 | 195.94 | 99.598
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11576 | 10744 (0.98101) | 208 | 624 | 21305.44 | 20956.59 | 239.42 | 348.84 | 98.363
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2329723 | 947169 | 1369163 | 13391 | 538204.11 | 526533.86 | 203.69 | 11670.25 | 97.832
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78733 | 38262 | 40183 | 288 | 1379653.04 | 1355467.00 | 22123.70 | 24186.04 | 98.247
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2408456 | 985431 | 1409346 | 13679 | 1917857.16 | 1882000.87 | 22327.39 | 35856.29 | 98.130
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35856.29460173 BTC (1.870%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1603.88207500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34252.41252673 BTC (1.786%)
Pending Liabilities: -3.88524394 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34256.29777067 BTC (1.786%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7881500 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4422350 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3355.2 : SatoshiDice MB: 1817.4 (54.2%)
I hope the whales are satisfied with this new setup. Maybe we can get some higher max bets then, up to 1000BTC for less than 64000, and 500 for less than 32000? We know there should be sufficient house capital to handle it now.
At 2013-01-03 00:00 GMT (In about an hour) the logic for calculating the bet hash which was hmac512(secret, bet_transaction_id) will be changed to hmac512(secret, bet_transaction_id + ":" + bet_output_index)
The change happened on the 3rd. The betting has really dropped off since then. I guess time will tell whether the change has scared the whale off or not. It's not like he was constantly betting before the change.
Here's a chart showing the bet volume over the last couple of months. The whale activity is around the same time each week, and never around the weekends. The labels on the X axis are Saturdays:
Just an update that's hasn't been mentioned here: evoorhees says that they just switched to the per-TxOut method of computing lucky numbers, instead of per-transaction. That means that bets on SD are no longer correlated: you get a different lucky number for each output in a single transaction. If betting continues exactly the same way, SD will have the exact same expected profit, but with much lower overall variance. It will cut down quite a bit on those enormous swings.
I hope the whales are satisfied with this new setup. Maybe we can get some higher max bets then, up to 1000BTC for less than 64000, and 500 for less than 32000? We know there should be sufficient house capital to handle it now.
Just an update that's hasn't been mentioned here: evoorhees says that they just switched to the per-TxOut method of computing lucky numbers, instead of per-transaction. That means that bets on SD are no longer correlated: you get a different lucky number for each output in a single transaction. If betting continues exactly the same way, SD will have the exact same expected profit, but with much lower overall variance. It will cut down quite a bit on those enormous swings.
Oh, and dooglus, thanks for keeping up the analysis. It's especially useful to have those current month charts 
You're welcome. Today's report is a little later than usual, but here it is:
Quote
Total of 4 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-Jan-04 04:21pm (up to block 215196)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 61688 | 0 (0.00000) | 60582 | 1106 | 521.76 | 0.01 | 85.47 | 521.74 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3129 | 0 (0.00000) | 2637 | 492 | 45.91 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 45.90 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5113 | 1 (0.00021) | 4694 | 418 | 67.88 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -92.07 | 235.642
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7706 | 2 (0.00027) | 7284 | 420 | 111.39 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.30 | 14.445
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9321 | 1 (0.00011) | 8913 | 407 | 231.62 | 4.39 | 18.65 | 227.23 | 1.898
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9393 | 3 (0.00033) | 9001 | 389 | 534.00 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 230.49 | 56.836
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12249 | 12 (0.00101) | 11839 | 398 | 805.35 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 649.67 | 19.330
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15249 | 28 (0.00189) | 14794 | 427 | 1862.30 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 543.36 | 70.823
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16951 | 71 (0.00428) | 16505 | 375 | 2017.32 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -891.74 | 144.205
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25079 | 183 (0.00750) | 24228 | 668 | 4283.68 | 3929.39 | 9.94 | 354.29 | 91.729
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 73573 | 1132 (0.01548) | 72004 | 437 | 19187.01 | 16975.60 | 1.91 | 2211.41 | 88.474
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19700 | 461 (0.02382) | 18891 | 348 | 6386.73 | 6445.79 | 15.06 | -59.06 | 100.925
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 43386 | 1341 (0.03118) | 41669 | 376 | 20449.30 | 17618.11 | 9.31 | 2831.19 | 86.155
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22660 | 1030 (0.04629) | 21223 | 407 | 8364.31 | 9417.42 | 25.08 | -1053.11 | 112.591
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28397 | 1725 (0.06153) | 26311 | 361 | 6155.78 | 5670.90 | 31.25 | 484.88 | 92.123
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32391 | 3008 (0.09398) | 28999 | 384 | 13062.40 | 14621.86 | 7.11 | -1559.46 | 111.939
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 133225 | 16351 (0.12313) | 116443 | 431 | 52047.40 | 50562.91 | 100.18 | 1484.48 | 97.148
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 49859 | 9169 (0.18547) | 40267 | 423 | 83630.16 | 82390.71 | 3314.63 | 1239.44 | 98.518
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 156905 | 38117 (0.24364) | 118332 | 456 | 176065.51 | 176285.68 | 1617.02 | -220.17 | 100.125
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 129086 | 47361 (0.36826) | 81246 | 479 | 172067.32 | 168793.04 | 1012.85 | 3274.27 | 98.097
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 824185 | 401957 (0.48850) | 420890 | 1338 | 549893.39 | 541052.14 | 2923.90 | 8841.25 | 98.392
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 356741 | 177702 (0.49922) | 178257 | 782 | 389166.79 | 380144.06 | 5720.12 | 9022.73 | 97.682
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 239032 | 175545 (0.73595) | 62984 | 503 | 243277.31 | 237788.01 | 5454.76 | 5489.30 | 97.744
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42929 | 33809 (0.79483) | 8727 | 393 | 48583.24 | 47635.97 | 1187.12 | 947.27 | 98.050
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32303 | 27307 (0.85677) | 4565 | 431 | 44547.03 | 43898.65 | 400.12 | 648.38 | 98.544
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 38841 | 35197 (0.91568) | 3241 | 403 | 48643.47 | 48444.10 | 0.09 | 199.36 | 99.590
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11560 | 10728 (0.98098) | 208 | 624 | 21300.30 | 20951.43 | 239.42 | 348.86 | 98.362
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2322145 | 944100 | 1364657 | 13388 | 537213.00 | 525605.43 | 203.68 | 11607.56 | 97.839
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78506 | 38141 | 40077 | 288 | 1376095.78 | 1351888.06 | 22123.70 | 24207.71 | 98.241
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2400651 | 982241 | 1404734 | 13676 | 1913308.78 | 1877493.50 | 22327.38 | 35815.27 | 98.128
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35815.27597646 BTC (1.872%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1596.06607500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34219.20990146 BTC (1.788%)
Pending Liabilities: -1.96051998 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34221.17042144 BTC (1.789%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7852791 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4407687 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3343.6 : SatoshiDice MB: 1811.4 (54.2%)
Results: 2013-Jan-04 04:21pm (up to block 215196)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 61688 | 0 (0.00000) | 60582 | 1106 | 521.76 | 0.01 | 85.47 | 521.74 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3129 | 0 (0.00000) | 2637 | 492 | 45.91 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 45.90 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5113 | 1 (0.00021) | 4694 | 418 | 67.88 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -92.07 | 235.642
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7706 | 2 (0.00027) | 7284 | 420 | 111.39 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 95.30 | 14.445
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9321 | 1 (0.00011) | 8913 | 407 | 231.62 | 4.39 | 18.65 | 227.23 | 1.898
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9393 | 3 (0.00033) | 9001 | 389 | 534.00 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 230.49 | 56.836
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12249 | 12 (0.00101) | 11839 | 398 | 805.35 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 649.67 | 19.330
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15249 | 28 (0.00189) | 14794 | 427 | 1862.30 | 1318.93 | 48.31 | 543.36 | 70.823
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16951 | 71 (0.00428) | 16505 | 375 | 2017.32 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -891.74 | 144.205
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25079 | 183 (0.00750) | 24228 | 668 | 4283.68 | 3929.39 | 9.94 | 354.29 | 91.729
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 73573 | 1132 (0.01548) | 72004 | 437 | 19187.01 | 16975.60 | 1.91 | 2211.41 | 88.474
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19700 | 461 (0.02382) | 18891 | 348 | 6386.73 | 6445.79 | 15.06 | -59.06 | 100.925
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 43386 | 1341 (0.03118) | 41669 | 376 | 20449.30 | 17618.11 | 9.31 | 2831.19 | 86.155
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22660 | 1030 (0.04629) | 21223 | 407 | 8364.31 | 9417.42 | 25.08 | -1053.11 | 112.591
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28397 | 1725 (0.06153) | 26311 | 361 | 6155.78 | 5670.90 | 31.25 | 484.88 | 92.123
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32391 | 3008 (0.09398) | 28999 | 384 | 13062.40 | 14621.86 | 7.11 | -1559.46 | 111.939
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 133225 | 16351 (0.12313) | 116443 | 431 | 52047.40 | 50562.91 | 100.18 | 1484.48 | 97.148
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 49859 | 9169 (0.18547) | 40267 | 423 | 83630.16 | 82390.71 | 3314.63 | 1239.44 | 98.518
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 156905 | 38117 (0.24364) | 118332 | 456 | 176065.51 | 176285.68 | 1617.02 | -220.17 | 100.125
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 129086 | 47361 (0.36826) | 81246 | 479 | 172067.32 | 168793.04 | 1012.85 | 3274.27 | 98.097
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 824185 | 401957 (0.48850) | 420890 | 1338 | 549893.39 | 541052.14 | 2923.90 | 8841.25 | 98.392
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 356741 | 177702 (0.49922) | 178257 | 782 | 389166.79 | 380144.06 | 5720.12 | 9022.73 | 97.682
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 239032 | 175545 (0.73595) | 62984 | 503 | 243277.31 | 237788.01 | 5454.76 | 5489.30 | 97.744
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42929 | 33809 (0.79483) | 8727 | 393 | 48583.24 | 47635.97 | 1187.12 | 947.27 | 98.050
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32303 | 27307 (0.85677) | 4565 | 431 | 44547.03 | 43898.65 | 400.12 | 648.38 | 98.544
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 38841 | 35197 (0.91568) | 3241 | 403 | 48643.47 | 48444.10 | 0.09 | 199.36 | 99.590
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11560 | 10728 (0.98098) | 208 | 624 | 21300.30 | 20951.43 | 239.42 | 348.86 | 98.362
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2322145 | 944100 | 1364657 | 13388 | 537213.00 | 525605.43 | 203.68 | 11607.56 | 97.839
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78506 | 38141 | 40077 | 288 | 1376095.78 | 1351888.06 | 22123.70 | 24207.71 | 98.241
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2400651 | 982241 | 1404734 | 13676 | 1913308.78 | 1877493.50 | 22327.38 | 35815.27 | 98.128
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 35815.27597646 BTC (1.872%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1596.06607500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34219.20990146 BTC (1.788%)
Pending Liabilities: -1.96051998 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34221.17042144 BTC (1.789%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7852791 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4407687 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3343.6 : SatoshiDice MB: 1811.4 (54.2%)
Oh, and dooglus, thanks for keeping up the analysis. It's especially useful to have those current month charts
I always thought the point of an IPO would be to increase the size of their bankroll. Essentially borrowing btc and paying interest at a rate just below that of expected earnings. Whales love to gamble big in low edge games. The asian market for high limits low edge is very real. Baccarat (1 % house edge "coin flip" game) is commonly dealt in Macau for 100k a hand.
Heh, well, as I understood it, most of the btc from the public offering was earmarked for Mr. Voorhees wallet. The rest was for advertising and such. 
I always thought the point of an IPO would be to increase the size of their bankroll. Essentially borrowing btc and paying interest at a rate just below that of expected earnings. Whales love to gamble big in low edge games. The asian market for high limits low edge is very real. Baccarat (1 % house edge "coin flip" game) is commonly dealt in Macau for 100k a hand.
I just realised the 'edge' lines on my charts have been wrong since they first appeared. They were showing 1.9% of the total amount received, including amounts which were refunded for being over max-bet or under min-bet (minus fees paid).
I've fixed the bug now, and so in future the 'edge' lines will be a little lower.
Here's a fixed version of this month's graph. The edge lines show the expected profits after fees for the given house edge. Note that the current profit-before-fees is 1.913%, slightly higher than expected, but in the previous graph the edge line was higher than the actual profit. That's what tipped me off to the bug. Now the profit line is slightly higher than the 1.9% edge line, as it should be:
I've fixed the bug now, and so in future the 'edge' lines will be a little lower.
Here's a fixed version of this month's graph. The edge lines show the expected profits after fees for the given house edge. Note that the current profit-before-fees is 1.913%, slightly higher than expected, but in the previous graph the edge line was higher than the actual profit. That's what tipped me off to the bug. Now the profit line is slightly higher than the 1.9% edge line, as it should be:
Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-03 11:38am (up to block 215013)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 61238 | 0 (0.00000) | 60153 | 1085 | 514.95 | 0.01 | 83.62 | 514.93 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3108 | 0 (0.00000) | 2616 | 492 | 44.72 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 44.71 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5079 | 1 (0.00021) | 4660 | 418 | 66.89 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -93.07 | 239.137
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7692 | 2 (0.00028) | 7270 | 420 | 110.26 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 94.17 | 14.593
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9253 | 1 (0.00011) | 8845 | 407 | 227.62 | 4.38 | 18.65 | 223.23 | 1.928
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9320 | 3 (0.00034) | 8928 | 389 | 530.80 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 227.29 | 57.178
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12213 | 12 (0.00102) | 11804 | 397 | 804.31 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 648.63 | 19.355
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15087 | 28 (0.00191) | 14633 | 426 | 1765.92 | 1318.51 | 48.31 | 447.40 | 74.664
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16926 | 71 (0.00429) | 16480 | 375 | 2016.67 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -892.39 | 144.251
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25024 | 183 (0.00751) | 24173 | 668 | 4281.67 | 3929.39 | 9.94 | 352.28 | 91.772
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 72975 | 1122 (0.01547) | 71418 | 435 | 19072.37 | 16505.67 | 1.91 | 2566.69 | 86.542
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19588 | 458 (0.02380) | 18782 | 348 | 6325.85 | 6334.66 | 15.06 | -8.81 | 100.139
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 42678 | 1323 (0.03128) | 40979 | 376 | 20333.61 | 17599.93 | 9.31 | 2733.68 | 86.556
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22568 | 1028 (0.04639) | 21133 | 407 | 8353.56 | 9416.33 | 25.08 | -1062.76 | 112.722
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28308 | 1721 (0.06158) | 26226 | 361 | 6142.17 | 5667.82 | 31.25 | 474.35 | 92.277
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32157 | 2984 (0.09391) | 28790 | 383 | 12999.30 | 14554.28 | 7.11 | -1554.97 | 111.962
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 131754 | 16159 (0.12304) | 115167 | 428 | 51872.46 | 50313.35 | 100.17 | 1559.11 | 96.994
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 49254 | 9050 (0.18533) | 39781 | 423 | 83557.73 | 82321.67 | 3314.63 | 1236.06 | 98.521
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 155976 | 37869 (0.24350) | 117651 | 456 | 175853.42 | 176042.96 | 1617.02 | -189.53 | 100.108
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 127685 | 46846 (0.36826) | 80362 | 477 | 171734.47 | 168467.75 | 1012.85 | 3266.72 | 98.098
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 819696 | 399755 (0.48848) | 418605 | 1336 | 547005.48 | 538157.80 | 2923.90 | 8847.68 | 98.383
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 351990 | 175342 (0.49925) | 175870 | 778 | 387774.08 | 378362.22 | 5320.11 | 9411.85 | 97.573
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 237721 | 174583 (0.73596) | 62636 | 502 | 242631.45 | 237143.08 | 5454.75 | 5488.36 | 97.738
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42274 | 33282 (0.79462) | 8602 | 390 | 48220.01 | 47272.05 | 1187.12 | 947.96 | 98.034
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32114 | 27152 (0.85699) | 4531 | 431 | 44402.80 | 43753.24 | 400.12 | 649.55 | 98.537
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 38261 | 34679 (0.91596) | 3182 | 400 | 48434.43 | 48248.73 | 0.08 | 185.70 | 99.617
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11497 | 10672 (0.98106) | 206 | 619 | 21255.38 | 20910.34 | 239.42 | 345.03 | 98.377
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2303260 | 936381 | 1353539 | 13340 | 533690.06 | 522212.25 | 201.77 | 11477.81 | 97.849
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78176 | 37945 | 39944 | 287 | 1372642.43 | 1347656.33 | 21723.70 | 24986.10 | 98.180
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2381436 | 974326 | 1393483 | 13627 | 1906332.50 | 1869868.58 | 21925.47 | 36463.91 | 98.087
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 36463.91896943 BTC (1.913%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1576.87037500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34887.04859443 BTC (1.830%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.00000000 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34887.04859443 BTC (1.830%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7793274 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4371926 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3318.5 : SatoshiDice MB: 1796.8 (54.1%)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 61238 | 0 (0.00000) | 60153 | 1085 | 514.95 | 0.01 | 83.62 | 514.93 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3108 | 0 (0.00000) | 2616 | 492 | 44.72 | 0.00 | 16.23 | 44.71 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5079 | 1 (0.00021) | 4660 | 418 | 66.89 | 159.96 | 8.45 | -93.07 | 239.137
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7692 | 2 (0.00028) | 7270 | 420 | 110.26 | 16.09 | 10.02 | 94.17 | 14.593
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9253 | 1 (0.00011) | 8845 | 407 | 227.62 | 4.38 | 18.65 | 223.23 | 1.928
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9320 | 3 (0.00034) | 8928 | 389 | 530.80 | 303.50 | 1.36 | 227.29 | 57.178
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12213 | 12 (0.00102) | 11804 | 397 | 804.31 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 648.63 | 19.355
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15087 | 28 (0.00191) | 14633 | 426 | 1765.92 | 1318.51 | 48.31 | 447.40 | 74.664
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16926 | 71 (0.00429) | 16480 | 375 | 2016.67 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -892.39 | 144.251
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 25024 | 183 (0.00751) | 24173 | 668 | 4281.67 | 3929.39 | 9.94 | 352.28 | 91.772
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 72975 | 1122 (0.01547) | 71418 | 435 | 19072.37 | 16505.67 | 1.91 | 2566.69 | 86.542
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19588 | 458 (0.02380) | 18782 | 348 | 6325.85 | 6334.66 | 15.06 | -8.81 | 100.139
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 42678 | 1323 (0.03128) | 40979 | 376 | 20333.61 | 17599.93 | 9.31 | 2733.68 | 86.556
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22568 | 1028 (0.04639) | 21133 | 407 | 8353.56 | 9416.33 | 25.08 | -1062.76 | 112.722
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28308 | 1721 (0.06158) | 26226 | 361 | 6142.17 | 5667.82 | 31.25 | 474.35 | 92.277
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32157 | 2984 (0.09391) | 28790 | 383 | 12999.30 | 14554.28 | 7.11 | -1554.97 | 111.962
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 131754 | 16159 (0.12304) | 115167 | 428 | 51872.46 | 50313.35 | 100.17 | 1559.11 | 96.994
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 49254 | 9050 (0.18533) | 39781 | 423 | 83557.73 | 82321.67 | 3314.63 | 1236.06 | 98.521
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 155976 | 37869 (0.24350) | 117651 | 456 | 175853.42 | 176042.96 | 1617.02 | -189.53 | 100.108
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 127685 | 46846 (0.36826) | 80362 | 477 | 171734.47 | 168467.75 | 1012.85 | 3266.72 | 98.098
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 819696 | 399755 (0.48848) | 418605 | 1336 | 547005.48 | 538157.80 | 2923.90 | 8847.68 | 98.383
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 351990 | 175342 (0.49925) | 175870 | 778 | 387774.08 | 378362.22 | 5320.11 | 9411.85 | 97.573
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 237721 | 174583 (0.73596) | 62636 | 502 | 242631.45 | 237143.08 | 5454.75 | 5488.36 | 97.738
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42274 | 33282 (0.79462) | 8602 | 390 | 48220.01 | 47272.05 | 1187.12 | 947.96 | 98.034
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 32114 | 27152 (0.85699) | 4531 | 431 | 44402.80 | 43753.24 | 400.12 | 649.55 | 98.537
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 38261 | 34679 (0.91596) | 3182 | 400 | 48434.43 | 48248.73 | 0.08 | 185.70 | 99.617
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11497 | 10672 (0.98106) | 206 | 619 | 21255.38 | 20910.34 | 239.42 | 345.03 | 98.377
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2303260 | 936381 | 1353539 | 13340 | 533690.06 | 522212.25 | 201.77 | 11477.81 | 97.849
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 78176 | 37945 | 39944 | 287 | 1372642.43 | 1347656.33 | 21723.70 | 24986.10 | 98.180
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2381436 | 974326 | 1393483 | 13627 | 1906332.50 | 1869868.58 | 21925.47 | 36463.91 | 98.087
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 36463.91896943 BTC (1.913%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1576.87037500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 34887.04859443 BTC (1.830%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.00000000 BTC
Final SD Profit: 34887.04859443 BTC (1.830%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7793274 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4371926 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3318.5 : SatoshiDice MB: 1796.8 (54.1%)
Looking on the bright side... at least the betting volume is still high. 120,000 BTC in two days..... jeeze.
And... the whale(s) still have bitcoins left now.
And... the whale(s) still have bitcoins left now.
Quote
Results: 2013-Jan-02 12:43pm (up to block 214861)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 60356 | 0 (0.00000) | 59279 | 1077 | 504.85 | 0.01 | 82.12 | 504.83 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3106 | 0 (0.00000) | 2615 | 491 | 44.71 | 0.00 | 15.23 | 44.70 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5051 | 1 (0.00022) | 4635 | 415 | 66.34 | 159.96 | 7.44 | -93.61 | 241.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7660 | 2 (0.00028) | 7239 | 419 | 107.64 | 16.08 | 10.02 | 91.55 | 14.946
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9211 | 1 (0.00011) | 8804 | 406 | 221.64 | 4.37 | 18.65 | 217.26 | 1.973
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9304 | 3 (0.00034) | 8912 | 389 | 523.45 | 303.47 | 1.36 | 219.97 | 57.976
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12196 | 12 (0.00102) | 11789 | 395 | 804.15 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 648.48 | 19.359
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15082 | 28 (0.00191) | 14628 | 426 | 1764.87 | 1318.50 | 48.31 | 446.36 | 74.708
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16921 | 71 (0.00429) | 16475 | 375 | 2015.21 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -893.84 | 144.355
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 24957 | 183 (0.00753) | 24107 | 667 | 4279.94 | 3929.38 | 9.94 | 350.55 | 91.809
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 72782 | 1119 (0.01547) | 71229 | 434 | 19067.10 | 16498.44 | 1.91 | 2568.65 | 86.528
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19580 | 458 (0.02381) | 18775 | 347 | 6325.54 | 6334.66 | 15.06 | -9.12 | 100.144
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 42557 | 1320 (0.03129) | 40861 | 376 | 20329.02 | 17598.96 | 9.31 | 2730.06 | 86.571
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22558 | 1028 (0.04641) | 21123 | 407 | 8353.23 | 9416.33 | 25.08 | -1063.09 | 112.727
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28265 | 1719 (0.06160) | 26186 | 360 | 6082.05 | 5507.31 | 31.25 | 574.73 | 90.550
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32112 | 2978 (0.09385) | 28752 | 382 | 12973.39 | 14485.36 | 7.11 | -1511.96 | 111.654
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 131410 | 16108 (0.12297) | 114878 | 424 | 51832.22 | 50280.20 | 100.16 | 1552.02 | 97.006
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 48809 | 8971 (0.18540) | 39415 | 423 | 83357.23 | 82311.73 | 3314.63 | 1045.49 | 98.746
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 155448 | 37741 (0.24350) | 117253 | 454 | 175697.80 | 175764.34 | 1617.02 | -66.54 | 100.038
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 126711 | 46469 (0.36812) | 79766 | 476 | 171554.92 | 168172.66 | 1012.85 | 3382.26 | 98.028
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 815659 | 397813 (0.48852) | 416514 | 1332 | 543105.76 | 535234.76 | 2923.89 | 7870.99 | 98.551
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 350121 | 174413 (0.49926) | 174932 | 776 | 383261.12 | 374143.40 | 5320.10 | 9117.72 | 97.621
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 236953 | 174016 (0.73595) | 62436 | 501 | 240128.87 | 235211.09 | 5454.75 | 4917.78 | 97.952
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42167 | 33208 (0.79481) | 8573 | 386 | 45930.18 | 45691.04 | 1187.12 | 239.14 | 99.479
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 31863 | 26949 (0.85735) | 4484 | 430 | 44349.92 | 43701.70 | 400.12 | 648.22 | 98.538
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 37881 | 34335 (0.91602) | 3148 | 398 | 48253.68 | 48065.36 | 0.08 | 188.32 | 99.610
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11470 | 10647 (0.98111) | 205 | 618 | 21248.69 | 20903.65 | 239.41 | 345.04 | 98.376
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2292326 | 931791 | 1347238 | 13297 | 531805.39 | 520486.00 | 198.19 | 11319.39 | 97.872
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 77864 | 37802 | 39775 | 287 | 1360378.24 | 1337631.60 | 21723.70 | 22746.64 | 98.328
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2370190 | 969593 | 1387013 | 13584 | 1892183.64 | 1858117.60 | 21921.89 | 34066.04 | 98.200
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 34066.04412687 BTC (1.800%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1565.62607500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 32500.41805187 BTC (1.718%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.00000000 BTC
Final SD Profit: 32500.41805187 BTC (1.718%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7754386 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4350646 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3303.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 1788.3 (54.1%)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 60356 | 0 (0.00000) | 59279 | 1077 | 504.85 | 0.01 | 82.12 | 504.83 | 0.004
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 3106 | 0 (0.00000) | 2615 | 491 | 44.71 | 0.00 | 15.23 | 44.70 | 0.008
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 5051 | 1 (0.00022) | 4635 | 415 | 66.34 | 159.96 | 7.44 | -93.61 | 241.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 7660 | 2 (0.00028) | 7239 | 419 | 107.64 | 16.08 | 10.02 | 91.55 | 14.946
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 9211 | 1 (0.00011) | 8804 | 406 | 221.64 | 4.37 | 18.65 | 217.26 | 1.973
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 9304 | 3 (0.00034) | 8912 | 389 | 523.45 | 303.47 | 1.36 | 219.97 | 57.976
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 12196 | 12 (0.00102) | 11789 | 395 | 804.15 | 155.67 | 55.70 | 648.48 | 19.359
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 15082 | 28 (0.00191) | 14628 | 426 | 1764.87 | 1318.50 | 48.31 | 446.36 | 74.708
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 16921 | 71 (0.00429) | 16475 | 375 | 2015.21 | 2909.06 | 13.16 | -893.84 | 144.355
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 24957 | 183 (0.00753) | 24107 | 667 | 4279.94 | 3929.38 | 9.94 | 350.55 | 91.809
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 72782 | 1119 (0.01547) | 71229 | 434 | 19067.10 | 16498.44 | 1.91 | 2568.65 | 86.528
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 19580 | 458 (0.02381) | 18775 | 347 | 6325.54 | 6334.66 | 15.06 | -9.12 | 100.144
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 42557 | 1320 (0.03129) | 40861 | 376 | 20329.02 | 17598.96 | 9.31 | 2730.06 | 86.571
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 22558 | 1028 (0.04641) | 21123 | 407 | 8353.23 | 9416.33 | 25.08 | -1063.09 | 112.727
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 28265 | 1719 (0.06160) | 26186 | 360 | 6082.05 | 5507.31 | 31.25 | 574.73 | 90.550
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 32112 | 2978 (0.09385) | 28752 | 382 | 12973.39 | 14485.36 | 7.11 | -1511.96 | 111.654
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 131410 | 16108 (0.12297) | 114878 | 424 | 51832.22 | 50280.20 | 100.16 | 1552.02 | 97.006
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 48809 | 8971 (0.18540) | 39415 | 423 | 83357.23 | 82311.73 | 3314.63 | 1045.49 | 98.746
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 155448 | 37741 (0.24350) | 117253 | 454 | 175697.80 | 175764.34 | 1617.02 | -66.54 | 100.038
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 126711 | 46469 (0.36812) | 79766 | 476 | 171554.92 | 168172.66 | 1012.85 | 3382.26 | 98.028
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 815659 | 397813 (0.48852) | 416514 | 1332 | 543105.76 | 535234.76 | 2923.89 | 7870.99 | 98.551
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 350121 | 174413 (0.49926) | 174932 | 776 | 383261.12 | 374143.40 | 5320.10 | 9117.72 | 97.621
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 236953 | 174016 (0.73595) | 62436 | 501 | 240128.87 | 235211.09 | 5454.75 | 4917.78 | 97.952
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 42167 | 33208 (0.79481) | 8573 | 386 | 45930.18 | 45691.04 | 1187.12 | 239.14 | 99.479
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 31863 | 26949 (0.85735) | 4484 | 430 | 44349.92 | 43701.70 | 400.12 | 648.22 | 98.538
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 37881 | 34335 (0.91602) | 3148 | 398 | 48253.68 | 48065.36 | 0.08 | 188.32 | 99.610
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 11470 | 10647 (0.98111) | 205 | 618 | 21248.69 | 20903.65 | 239.41 | 345.04 | 98.376
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 2292326 | 931791 | 1347238 | 13297 | 531805.39 | 520486.00 | 198.19 | 11319.39 | 97.872
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 77864 | 37802 | 39775 | 287 | 1360378.24 | 1337631.60 | 21723.70 | 22746.64 | 98.328
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 2370190 | 969593 | 1387013 | 13584 | 1892183.64 | 1858117.60 | 21921.89 | 34066.04 | 98.200
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 34066.04412687 BTC (1.800%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 1565.62607500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 32500.41805187 BTC (1.718%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.00000000 BTC
Final SD Profit: 32500.41805187 BTC (1.718%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 7754386 : SatoshiDice Tx: 4350646 (56.1%)
Blockchain MB: 3303.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 1788.3 (54.1%)
Max bets are back to 250 again on <16000 and up...
Wow - really dropped their max bets for sure...
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Yeah, maybe the system didn't assume that people would be betting max on 8 addresses at once (which the whales have be doing), effectively increasing the max bet to ~1250.
>110,000 BTC bet since the new year.
They could fix that by using a different 'lucky number' for each bet. Use the output number as well as the txid to determine the lucky number. Then they can allow lots of max bets on the same game in a single transaction, without increasing their risk of ruin.
I've actually made that suggestion directly to the operator -- I already told him that 250 BTC bets are insane given the apparent bankroll (well, it was when the site only had 2k BTC profit, but even at 30k it's "high"). But not separating bets out using TxOutIndex lets someone change the effective bet-size to far more than 250 BTC. It would be quite scary (for SD), to see their entire profit disappear in a day because someone was able to makes bets in excess of 4% of the entire site's bankroll.
So, he responded saying he'll investigate what it would take to make the change... apparently they haven't taken it too seriously, yet... but maybe these ridiculous swings will change their minds.
Wow - really dropped their max bets for sure...
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Yeah, maybe the system didn't assume that people would be betting max on 8 addresses at once (which the whales have be doing), effectively increasing the max bet to ~1250.
>110,000 BTC bet since the new year.
They could fix that by using a different 'lucky number' for each bet. Use the output number as well as the txid to determine the lucky number. Then they can allow lots of max bets on the same game in a single transaction, without increasing their risk of ruin.
Wow - really dropped their max bets for sure...
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Yeah, maybe the system didn't assume that people would be betting max on 8 addresses at once (which the whales have be doing), effectively increasing the max bet to ~1250.
>110,000 BTC bet since the new year.
Wow - really dropped their max bets for sure...
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
Only one still at 250 maximum is <64,000
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