Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 72.

midnightlightning

member

Activity: 68

Merit: 10

Quote from: dooglus on August 14, 2012, 04:32:33 PM

Enough trivial stats?

Gratzi! That's definitely a great amount of trivial stats.

nibor

sr. member

Activity: 438

Merit: 291

dooglus - what proportion of bets are over 4? Just interested to know if they are taking a lot of large bets or not.

mrvision

sr. member

Activity: 527

Merit: 250

Quote from: dooglus on August 14, 2012, 03:12:01 PM

Quote from: mrvision on August 12, 2012, 07:08:23 PM

Can your script count how often satoshidice gives 1x Lose in a row, 2x Lose in a row, 3x Lose in a row... and so on, in order to know if a martingale scheeme would be aplicable?

That's kind of tricky. Because you mean "3 times in a row for the same player" I expect. But I can't tell which bets are from which players, since some people use a different address each time they bet. I also can't tell for sure what order the bets were placed in - all I see is which block they are in.

One thing I can tell you for sure though is that the martingale scheme is never applicable for any game where the odds are in the house's favour... All martingale betting will do is change the odds so that instead of having a large (1 in 2) chance of losing a little ($1), you have a little (1 in 2048) chance of losing a lot ($1024).

Also, we know the exact odds for each of the SatoshiDice bets, and so can work out how often we get N losses in a row:

For the "under X" game, where X is a number between 1 and 64000, the probability of winning an individual bet is X/65536.

So the probability of losing an individual bet is (65536-X)/65536.

And so the probability of losing N bets in a row is ((65536-X)/65536)^N.

To give a concrete example, the probability of losing 3 times in a row (N=3) when betting 'under 32000' (X=32000) is:

((65536-X)/65536)^N
= ((65536-32000)/65536)^3
= 0.134

that's about 1 in 7.46287 times.

Another example: the probabiliy of losing 3 times in a row (N=3) when betting 'under 32768' (X=32768) is:

((65536-X)/65536)^N
= ((65536-32768)/65536)^3
= 0.125

that's exactly 1 in 8 times. Which is what you would expect; 'under 32768' is exactly a 50/50 bet, so there's 8 possible outcomes when you play 3 times, and only 1 of those 8 is "lose, lose, lose".

Wow.. thanks!!! by the way.. yesterday i saw satoshidice giving the same lucky number 3 times in a row to the same bitcoinaddress for diferent amounts (some of them losing because they were diferent bets) that made me forget the martingale thing.

Thanks anyway for the info!

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote from: dooglus on August 14, 2012, 03:14:10 PM

Quote from: midnightlightning on August 13, 2012, 08:23:34 AM

I see there's never been a "less than 1" winner (magic number of zero); could you check and see if there's ever been a magic number that came up zero (a bet in another category that could have won big if it had been bet on less than 1)?

That's non-trivial to check, but I'll give it a go. The magic numbers aren't stored in the blockchain, so I'll need to grab a copy of the daily secrets from SD's site and calculate the lucky number for each bet. I'll report back when I've done it.

There's an added complication in that SD uses whatever secret is valid for the date they first see your bet, but I don't know when they saw each bet. All I know is the timestamp on the block which contains the bet, which might be different, and so I may be using a different secret than SD are using.

Given that, here are the bets with magic number 0 that I've found (and also those with magic number 65535). Check out the scary animated gif on the 0 pages! Cheesy

Quote

0 2012.05.20 00:38:47 91eebe57e96563a62e8cfdba4b8262da5ddaf427dd164dd06ecbdce4ba5923ce
   0 2012.06.04 12:31:47 d935b75ad8dedd05d9962affb9b42cd710b4804bc5717025959fdb7932f8e20b
   0 2012.06.04 21:48:09 d2c7accaab92feabfa75d11b47518170956ead2800b373fe99089e3f973baa32
   0 2012.06.11 04:50:40 047bb988b484ece0f5b8165b1b1ffd66af33f23e49eab7521d869a23b2d03e9a
   0 2012.06.21 04:18:40 d2d774835facecd3256421af1a02f4a3413e7f1a9cd2e0fea6a45477bcd4e697
   0 2012.06.30 20:40:28 3b449844a6ecc55f480b36d12a2ad694924dacea2b012dc1a331494762352a49
   0 2012.07.15 04:54:38 5599e3ee15946b0fad1c499322cf42b5dd584eed8c8b2f4fb7dccbbc1aed3a94
   0 2012.07.16 03:56:35 365488ebd12a94600d2026290dfd0b80975c20ede652524d536836e67be8f131
   0 2012.07.30 23:28:27 e87613114d452943bff4a6bde35e7159f0c3b5ab358248b2766635eabc34457f
   0 2012.08.08 08:28:43 00364704781c5f09c0642831198852fa717b5268b3a2134cf834da551201577d

65535 2012.05.09 01:42:46 56900c43043f3557273c34de529fa94bfcacb68ee56d876fe2a4600cece9d3ae
65535 2012.05.12 21:45:03 eae73ae1e8aaa2a94d34d63997c6a2df6c0b20eb0b696f6f64e1bd35d4bb76ad
65535 2012.05.29 12:22:08 7a1e02a2f93fb613a69b6b9fa32ea4cf8297b2a815dce0d23faf7597488e1024
65535 2012.06.03 01:28:13 0e323744468226bfae02ba45020ba6923ea671e0546e297dcec42fe197b46d20
65535 2012.06.15 10:21:40 40c751bc56c280652a960c3e81037c5207dd9890d5fdf2cfda2b2d16b7144471
65535 2012.07.07 02:10:24 d192c983630efb1fe37be0a0a281d9a22322f7b4e76715566d2a972c4659d46b
65535 2012.08.06 11:49:15 dbcdaa7c9bb9e1143e15b0a3e8b442b5733304175798bab54980ae38a272e673
65535 2012.08.06 21:52:08 8d4dce5a18434c55d4644f3788ed0ba66ab22cee74097a6aedf42a30376f3617
65535 2012.08.09 13:45:29 10eb3bbb3245d9f05801a0410b3ee31bf419ff5cfa4672ba59398d9e40012434
65535 2012.08.11 14:59:23 749cd255c67810a8d5f242639db65ad1fe4f6772f113ade00071d3e52cb53219

Some random facts, taken from the 817734 rolls I analysed. Bear in mind that it may be slightly wrong since I can't be sure what date SD considers bets to have happened on:

All 65536 different lucky numbers have come up at least once each.
817734 / 65536 is about 12.5. An averagely lucky number will have come up 12 or 13 times so far.
14777 is the luckiest number - it has come up 31 times.
62143 is 2nd luckiest - it has come up 30 times.
10470, 17257, and 26725 have come up 29 times each.

2436, 23243, and 60872 have each only come up once each.
14 different numbers have only come up twice each.
84 different numbers have only come up thrice each.

Number 0 has come up 10 times, as has 65535.
1 has come up 16 times.
2 and 3 have come up 7 times each.
4 has come up 11 times.
5 has come up 8 times.
6 has come up 21 times.
7 has come up 10 times.
8 has come up 16 times.
9 and 10 have come up 13 times each. And so have 15, 18, 28, 29, 37, and many many more.

Enough trivial stats?

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

My Internet was cut off suddenly a few days ago. I'm back online at least part of the time now, so here it is...

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-14 11:59am (up to block 193899)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 13695 | 0 (0.00000) | 13400 | 295 | 85.54 | 0.01 | 20.81 | 85.52 | 0.023
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1203 | 0 (0.00000) | 1133 | 70 | 18.35 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 18.35 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1775 | 0 (0.00000) | 1741 | 34 | 21.78 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 21.76 | 0.100
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1820 | 1 (0.00056) | 1778 | 41 | 37.99 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 29.94 | 21.199
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 2010 | 1 (0.00051) | 1975 | 34 | 71.08 | 4.20 | 7.40 | 66.88 | 5.914
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4522 | 2 (0.00044) | 4509 | 11 | 345.02 | 103.35 | 1.29 | 241.67 | 29.955
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 6383 | 8 (0.00126) | 6358 | 17 | 477.26 | 123.82 | 55.64 | 353.43 | 25.945
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 7767 | 18 (0.00233) | 7699 | 50 | 1375.20 | 1224.04 | 44.25 | 151.16 | 89.008
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 7136 | 38 (0.00534) | 7084 | 14 | 792.68 | 949.70 | 13.11 | -157.02 | 119.810
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 10298 | 77 (0.00748) | 10214 | 7 | 1876.53 | 1276.43 | 9.35 | 600.09 | 68.021
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 19983 | 301 (0.01507) | 19677 | 5 | 5368.64 | 5554.03 | 1.80 | -185.39 | 103.453
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 10069 | 237 (0.02355) | 9826 | 6 | 3372.00 | 3781.72 | 15.00 | -409.72 | 112.151
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 18787 | 593 (0.03157) | 18191 | 3 | 4168.11 | 3606.48 | 9.24 | 561.63 | 86.525
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 10457 | 494 (0.04727) | 9956 | 7 | 5528.48 | 7013.31 | 24.99 | -1484.83 | 126.858
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 12237 | 766 (0.06261) | 11468 | 3 | 3806.96 | 3452.39 | 31.20 | 354.56 | 90.686
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17876 | 1686 (0.09437) | 16180 | 10 | 9217.35 | 9378.37 | 7.01 | -161.02 | 101.747
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 66910 | 8200 (0.12258) | 58694 | 16 | 7800.94 | 6889.62 | 0.00 | 911.31 | 88.318
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17960 | 3394 (0.18905) | 14559 | 7 | 7377.97 | 7502.93 | 14.50 | -124.96 | 101.694
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 50663 | 12294 (0.24270) | 38361 | 8 | 20807.22 | 21054.65 | 347.79 | -247.42 | 101.189
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 36267 | 13386 (0.36944) | 22847 | 34 | 16767.77 | 16762.60 | 212.63 | 5.16 | 99.969
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 371308 | 181021 (0.48774) | 190125 | 162 | 162822.30 | 164030.82 | 2173.21 | -1208.51 | 100.742
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 150041 | 74722 (0.49832) | 75225 | 94 | 70265.59 | 68443.91 | 789.20 | 1821.68 | 97.407
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 121186 | 89165 (0.73618) | 31954 | 67 | 112702.31 | 110919.59 | 467.98 | 1782.72 | 98.418
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 5831 | 4645 (0.79701) | 1183 | 3 | 15841.95 | 15732.04 | 400.00 | 109.91 | 99.306
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 4101 | 3513 (0.85767) | 583 | 5 | 4937.68 | 4907.82 | 400.00 | 29.85 | 99.395
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 1799 | 1652 (0.92033) | 143 | 4 | 2390.68 | 2383.98 | 0.00 | 6.70 | 99.720
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6477 | 6216 (0.97936) | 131 | 130 | 14701.69 | 14424.53 | 239.20 | 277.16 | 98.115
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 978561 | 402430 | 574994 | 1137 | 472979.21 | 469528.56 | 5297.66 | 3450.65 | 99.270
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 3450.65317360 BTC (0.730%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 492.73067500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 2957.92249860 BTC (0.625%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 3080464 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1803823 (58.6%)
Blockchain MB: 1286.1 : SatoshiDice Tx: 737.9 (57.4%)

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote from: midnightlightning on August 13, 2012, 08:23:34 AM

I see there's never been a "less than 1" winner (magic number of zero); could you check and see if there's ever been a magic number that came up zero (a bet in another category that could have won big if it had been bet on less than 1)?

That's non-trivial to check, but I'll give it a go. The magic numbers aren't stored in the blockchain, so I'll need to grab a copy of the daily secrets from SD's site and calculate the lucky number for each bet. I'll report back when I've done it.

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote from: mrvision on August 12, 2012, 07:08:23 PM

Can your script count how often satoshidice gives 1x Lose in a row, 2x Lose in a row, 3x Lose in a row... and so on, in order to know if a martingale scheeme would be aplicable?

That's kind of tricky. Because you mean "3 times in a row for the same player" I expect. But I can't tell which bets are from which players, since some people use a different address each time they bet. I also can't tell for sure what order the bets were placed in - all I see is which block they are in.

One thing I can tell you for sure though is that the martingale scheme is never applicable for any game where the odds are in the house's favour... All martingale betting will do is change the odds so that instead of having a large (1 in 2) chance of losing a little ($1), you have a little (1 in 2048) chance of losing a lot ($1024).

Also, we know the exact odds for each of the SatoshiDice bets, and so can work out how often we get N losses in a row:

For the "under X" game, where X is a number between 1 and 64000, the probability of winning an individual bet is X/65536.

So the probability of losing an individual bet is (65536-X)/65536.

And so the probability of losing N bets in a row is ((65536-X)/65536)^N.

To give a concrete example, the probability of losing 3 times in a row (N=3) when betting 'under 32000' (X=32000) is:

((65536-X)/65536)^N
= ((65536-32000)/65536)^3
= 0.134

that's about 1 in 7.46287 times.

Another example: the probabiliy of losing 3 times in a row (N=3) when betting 'under 32768' (X=32768) is:

((65536-X)/65536)^N
= ((65536-32768)/65536)^3
= 0.125

that's exactly 1 in 8 times. Which is what you would expect; 'under 32768' is exactly a 50/50 bet, so there's 8 possible outcomes when you play 3 times, and only 1 of those 8 is "lose, lose, lose".

zvs

legendary

Activity: 1680

Merit: 1000

https://web.archive.org/web/*/nogleg.com

Quote from: midnightlightning on August 13, 2012, 08:23:34 AM

I see there's never been a "less than 1" winner (magic number of zero); could you check and see if there's ever been a magic number that came up zero (a bet in another category that could have won big if it had been bet on less than 1)?

I check the latest bets and what not semi-frequently and have never seen a '0'. I have seen at least two 1's

midnightlightning

member

Activity: 68

Merit: 10

I see there's never been a "less than 1" winner (magic number of zero); could you check and see if there's ever been a magic number that came up zero (a bet in another category that could have won big if it had been bet on less than 1)?

mrvision

sr. member

Activity: 527

Merit: 250

Can your script count how often satoshidice gives 1x Lose in a row, 2x Lose in a row, 3x Lose in a row... and so on, in order to know if a martingale scheeme would be aplicable?

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-08 06:36pm (up to block 192949)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 13149 | 0 (0.00000) | 12859 | 290 | 83.07 | 0.01 | 18.79 | 83.05 | 0.023
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1171 | 0 (0.00000) | 1101 | 70 | 17.60 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 17.60 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1730 | 0 (0.00000) | 1696 | 34 | 20.76 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.74 | 0.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1476 | 1 (0.00070) | 1434 | 41 | 34.40 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 26.34 | 23.409
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1715 | 1 (0.00059) | 1681 | 33 | 67.45 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 63.25 | 6.225
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4156 | 2 (0.00048) | 4143 | 11 | 300.84 | 103.17 | 1.29 | 197.66 | 34.296
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5995 | 8 (0.00134) | 5970 | 17 | 468.34 | 123.82 | 55.64 | 344.52 | 26.438
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6979 | 17 (0.00245) | 6912 | 50 | 1324.63 | 1174.06 | 44.25 | 150.56 | 88.633
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6159 | 30 (0.00488) | 6115 | 14 | 690.19 | 797.15 | 13.11 | -106.95 | 115.497
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9251 | 67 (0.00725) | 9177 | 7 | 1779.82 | 1185.14 | 9.35 | 594.68 | 66.588
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 18493 | 277 (0.01498) | 18212 | 4 | 5189.58 | 5420.17 | 1.80 | -230.59 | 104.443
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 9083 | 213 (0.02347) | 8864 | 6 | 3262.74 | 3674.52 | 15.00 | -411.77 | 112.621
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 17517 | 553 (0.03157) | 16961 | 3 | 3926.09 | 3438.71 | 9.24 | 487.38 | 87.586
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9171 | 436 (0.04758) | 8728 | 7 | 5319.25 | 6813.92 | 24.99 | -1494.67 | 128.099
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10492 | 651 (0.06207) | 9838 | 3 | 3608.59 | 3263.60 | 31.20 | 344.98 | 90.440
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17343 | 1641 (0.09467) | 15692 | 10 | 9115.34 | 9286.02 | 7.01 | -170.68 | 101.872
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 52728 | 6496 (0.12324) | 46216 | 16 | 7381.08 | 6498.92 | 0.00 | 882.16 | 88.048
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17715 | 3362 (0.18985) | 14347 | 6 | 7195.82 | 7439.00 | 14.50 | -243.17 | 103.379
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 49730 | 12079 (0.24293) | 37643 | 8 | 20580.97 | 20886.13 | 347.79 | -305.16 | 101.483
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 35323 | 13045 (0.36966) | 22244 | 34 | 16168.38 | 16096.02 | 212.63 | 72.35 | 99.553
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 355781 | 173417 (0.48764) | 182205 | 159 | 149956.85 | 150937.67 | 2173.21 | -980.82 | 100.654
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 145954 | 72752 (0.49878) | 73109 | 93 | 65012.04 | 63191.38 | 789.20 | 1820.65 | 97.200
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 113801 | 83715 (0.73605) | 30021 | 65 | 105920.36 | 104439.85 | 467.98 | 1480.50 | 98.602
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 3326 | 2638 (0.79386) | 685 | 3 | 11836.88 | 11995.66 | 400.00 | -158.77 | 101.341
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2638 | 2232 (0.84770) | 401 | 5 | 3971.97 | 3976.34 | 400.00 | -4.36 | 100.110
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 1006 | 915 (0.91317) | 87 | 4 | 779.16 | 765.95 | 0.00 | 13.21 | 98.304
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6296 | 6037 (0.97908) | 129 | 130 | 11012.15 | 10830.59 | 239.20 | 181.55 | 98.351
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 918178 | 380585 | 536470 | 1123 | 435024.47 | 432350.19 | 5295.64 | 2674.28 | 99.385
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 2674.28017103 BTC (0.615%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 462.35527500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 2211.92489603 BTC (0.508%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2873560 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1694871 (59.0%)
Blockchain MB: 1204.5 : SatoshiDice Tx: 694.8 (57.7%)

zvs

legendary

Activity: 1680

Merit: 1000

https://web.archive.org/web/*/nogleg.com

I like what this guy is doing:

http://blockchain.info/address/15tcsumFPsrw2p9Egmk7wGszFJVxpw7UiD?offset=2200

note, that the 2200 is the current 'starting point', it'll probably be higher for ppl that click on this after more than a minute or two.

it'd take some pretty incredible odds to bust out like that. looks like initial funding was 15BTC

(*if i had that bot, i'd give that a go myself)

(ed to add that it's at 51.46 currently)

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-07 10:25am (up to block 192749)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 13026 | 0 (0.00000) | 12736 | 290 | 82.87 | 0.01 | 18.79 | 82.85 | 0.023
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1167 | 0 (0.00000) | 1097 | 70 | 17.49 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 17.49 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1729 | 0 (0.00000) | 1695 | 34 | 20.76 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.74 | 0.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1470 | 1 (0.00070) | 1428 | 41 | 34.30 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 26.24 | 23.478
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1714 | 1 (0.00059) | 1680 | 33 | 67.45 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 63.25 | 6.225
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4154 | 2 (0.00048) | 4141 | 11 | 299.24 | 103.16 | 1.29 | 196.07 | 34.477
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5984 | 8 (0.00134) | 5959 | 17 | 460.78 | 123.78 | 55.64 | 336.99 | 26.864
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6948 | 17 (0.00246) | 6881 | 50 | 1323.10 | 1174.05 | 44.25 | 149.04 | 88.735
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6150 | 30 (0.00489) | 6106 | 14 | 688.63 | 797.14 | 13.11 | -108.51 | 115.758
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9225 | 66 (0.00716) | 9152 | 7 | 1775.51 | 1185.00 | 9.35 | 590.51 | 66.741
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 18323 | 274 (0.01496) | 18045 | 4 | 5134.94 | 5355.48 | 1.80 | -220.53 | 104.295
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 9078 | 213 (0.02348) | 8859 | 6 | 3262.56 | 3674.52 | 15.00 | -411.95 | 112.627
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 17504 | 552 (0.03154) | 16949 | 3 | 3923.82 | 3438.06 | 9.24 | 485.76 | 87.620
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9163 | 436 (0.04762) | 8720 | 7 | 5318.30 | 6813.92 | 24.99 | -1495.62 | 128.122
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10481 | 649 (0.06194) | 9829 | 3 | 3608.17 | 3262.48 | 31.20 | 345.68 | 90.419
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17322 | 1640 (0.09473) | 15672 | 10 | 9113.99 | 9285.49 | 7.01 | -171.49 | 101.882
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 48414 | 5955 (0.12304) | 42444 | 15 | 7296.07 | 6389.87 | 0.00 | 906.19 | 87.580
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17694 | 3359 (0.18990) | 14329 | 6 | 7195.07 | 7438.72 | 14.50 | -243.65 | 103.386
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 49593 | 12050 (0.24302) | 37535 | 8 | 20577.23 | 20883.81 | 347.79 | -306.57 | 101.490
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 35232 | 13017 (0.36982) | 22181 | 34 | 16162.38 | 16089.79 | 212.63 | 72.58 | 99.551
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 351399 | 171260 (0.48759) | 179981 | 158 | 147814.47 | 148798.10 | 2173.21 | -983.62 | 100.665
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 144654 | 72099 (0.49874) | 72462 | 93 | 63834.05 | 61894.62 | 789.20 | 1939.42 | 96.962
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 112600 | 82835 (0.73608) | 29700 | 65 | 104631.94 | 103195.29 | 467.98 | 1436.64 | 98.627
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 3040 | 2422 (0.79750) | 615 | 3 | 11401.07 | 11592.72 | 400.00 | -191.65 | 101.681
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2532 | 2152 (0.85127) | 376 | 4 | 3570.83 | 3565.69 | 400.00 | 5.13 | 99.856
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 890 | 810 (0.91422) | 76 | 4 | 565.67 | 551.34 | 0.00 | 14.33 | 97.466
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6242 | 5983 (0.97889) | 129 | 130 | 9332.45 | 9143.49 | 239.20 | 188.95 | 97.975
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 905728 | 375831 | 528777 | 1120 | 427513.25 | 424768.94 | 5295.64 | 2744.31 | 99.358
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 2744.31743519 BTC (0.642%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 456.10755000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 2288.20988519 BTC (0.535%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2828360 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1670696 (59.1%)
Blockchain MB: 1186.9 : SatoshiDice Tx: 685.7 (57.8%)

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-06 01:45am (up to block 192544)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 12920 | 0 (0.00000) | 12630 | 290 | 81.60 | 0.01 | 18.79 | 81.58 | 0.024
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1164 | 0 (0.00000) | 1094 | 70 | 17.38 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 17.37 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1723 | 0 (0.00000) | 1689 | 34 | 20.66 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.64 | 0.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1467 | 1 (0.00070) | 1425 | 41 | 34.29 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 26.24 | 23.482
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1710 | 1 (0.00060) | 1676 | 33 | 67.42 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 63.22 | 6.228
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4147 | 2 (0.00048) | 4134 | 11 | 299.18 | 103.16 | 1.29 | 196.01 | 34.484
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5977 | 8 (0.00134) | 5952 | 17 | 451.16 | 123.74 | 55.64 | 327.42 | 27.427
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6944 | 17 (0.00247) | 6877 | 50 | 1323.08 | 1174.05 | 44.25 | 149.02 | 88.737
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6147 | 30 (0.00489) | 6103 | 14 | 688.51 | 797.14 | 13.11 | -108.63 | 115.778
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9213 | 66 (0.00717) | 9141 | 6 | 1775.47 | 1185.00 | 9.35 | 590.47 | 66.743
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 18247 | 273 (0.01496) | 17970 | 4 | 5124.84 | 5352.24 | 1.80 | -227.40 | 104.437
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 9063 | 213 (0.02352) | 8844 | 6 | 3262.45 | 3674.52 | 15.00 | -412.07 | 112.631
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 17493 | 552 (0.03156) | 16938 | 3 | 3919.64 | 3438.04 | 9.24 | 481.60 | 87.713
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9150 | 436 (0.04769) | 8707 | 7 | 5317.21 | 6813.92 | 24.99 | -1496.70 | 128.148
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10476 | 649 (0.06197) | 9824 | 3 | 3608.04 | 3262.48 | 31.20 | 345.55 | 90.423
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17292 | 1639 (0.09484) | 15643 | 10 | 9111.90 | 9282.82 | 7.01 | -170.91 | 101.876
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 44139 | 5438 (0.12324) | 38686 | 15 | 7143.14 | 6316.10 | 0.00 | 827.04 | 88.422
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17640 | 3353 (0.19014) | 14281 | 6 | 7190.69 | 7437.73 | 14.50 | -247.04 | 103.436
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 49212 | 11959 (0.24305) | 37245 | 8 | 19306.88 | 19815.59 | 347.79 | -508.71 | 102.635
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 35078 | 12960 (0.36982) | 22084 | 34 | 16054.77 | 16016.06 | 212.63 | 38.71 | 99.759
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 349050 | 170134 (0.48764) | 178758 | 158 | 143712.97 | 145149.28 | 2173.21 | -1436.31 | 100.999
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 143495 | 71535 (0.49883) | 71870 | 90 | 62532.13 | 60586.41 | 789.20 | 1945.71 | 96.888
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 112031 | 82414 (0.73604) | 29555 | 62 | 104296.60 | 102844.95 | 467.98 | 1451.65 | 98.608
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 2730 | 2175 (0.79729) | 553 | 2 | 10428.72 | 10516.91 | 0.00 | -88.18 | 100.846
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2279 | 1933 (0.84892) | 344 | 2 | 3041.60 | 3034.68 | 0.00 | 6.92 | 99.772
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 824 | 748 (0.91220) | 72 | 4 | 497.92 | 480.05 | 0.00 | 17.86 | 96.411
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6195 | 5937 (0.97890) | 128 | 130 | 6759.11 | 6568.78 | 239.20 | 190.32 | 97.184
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 895806 | 372473 | 522223 | 1110 | 416067.48 | 413986.07 | 4495.63 | 2081.41 | 99.500
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 2081.41050452 BTC (0.500%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 451.09597500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 1630.31452952 BTC (0.392%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2785943 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1651311 (59.3%)
Blockchain MB: 1170.6 : SatoshiDice Tx: 678.2 (57.9%)

byronbb

legendary

Activity: 1414

Merit: 1000

HODL OR DIE

Quote from: jamesg on August 03, 2012, 12:51:34 PM

Ouch. 2k btc down in a week.

Gambling with small edges is soul crushing.

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-04 09:52am (up to block 192308)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 12726 | 0 (0.00000) | 12441 | 285 | 80.15 | 0.01 | 18.39 | 80.13 | 0.024
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1153 | 0 (0.00000) | 1083 | 70 | 17.25 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 17.25 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1704 | 0 (0.00000) | 1670 | 34 | 20.62 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.60 | 0.103
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1439 | 1 (0.00072) | 1397 | 41 | 33.96 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 25.91 | 23.711
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1706 | 1 (0.00060) | 1672 | 33 | 66.75 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 62.55 | 6.286
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4138 | 2 (0.00048) | 4125 | 11 | 298.94 | 103.16 | 1.29 | 195.77 | 34.511
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5939 | 8 (0.00135) | 5914 | 17 | 365.96 | 123.33 | 55.64 | 242.62 | 33.701
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6925 | 17 (0.00247) | 6859 | 49 | 1316.73 | 1174.03 | 44.25 | 142.70 | 89.162
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6087 | 30 (0.00494) | 6043 | 14 | 664.90 | 797.04 | 13.11 | -132.14 | 119.874
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9175 | 65 (0.00709) | 9104 | 6 | 1773.29 | 1184.87 | 9.35 | 588.42 | 66.818
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 18012 | 272 (0.01510) | 17736 | 4 | 5102.75 | 5351.99 | 1.80 | -249.24 | 104.884
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 9041 | 212 (0.02346) | 8823 | 6 | 3258.95 | 3670.25 | 15.00 | -411.29 | 112.620
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 17448 | 552 (0.03164) | 16893 | 3 | 3899.44 | 3437.95 | 9.24 | 461.48 | 88.165
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9136 | 436 (0.04776) | 8693 | 7 | 5313.08 | 6813.90 | 24.99 | -1500.82 | 128.248
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10430 | 646 (0.06195) | 9781 | 3 | 3588.99 | 3180.85 | 31.20 | 408.13 | 88.628
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17269 | 1634 (0.09468) | 15625 | 10 | 9107.15 | 9268.52 | 7.01 | -161.36 | 101.772
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 40370 | 4976 (0.12331) | 35379 | 15 | 7099.84 | 6288.93 | 0.00 | 810.90 | 88.579
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17596 | 3340 (0.18988) | 14250 | 6 | 7171.77 | 7397.36 | 14.50 | -225.58 | 103.145
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 48724 | 11856 (0.24337) | 36860 | 8 | 18305.17 | 19504.91 | 347.79 | -1199.73 | 106.554
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 35007 | 12939 (0.36997) | 22034 | 34 | 15984.43 | 16012.78 | 212.63 | -28.34 | 100.177
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 344170 | 167778 (0.48771) | 176234 | 158 | 137193.46 | 138474.46 | 2173.21 | -1281.00 | 100.934
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 142029 | 70824 (0.49897) | 71115 | 90 | 61723.30 | 59759.11 | 789.20 | 1964.18 | 96.818
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 109057 | 80227 (0.73605) | 28769 | 61 | 99837.53 | 98332.61 | 467.98 | 1504.91 | 98.493
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 2558 | 2045 (0.80008) | 511 | 2 | 7692.46 | 7939.47 | 0.00 | -247.01 | 103.211
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2214 | 1879 (0.84946) | 333 | 2 | 3005.98 | 2998.72 | 0.00 | 7.25 | 99.759
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 750 | 683 (0.91555) | 63 | 4 | 440.17 | 427.42 | 0.00 | 12.74 | 97.105
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6149 | 5892 (0.97890) | 127 | 130 | 5199.85 | 5002.66 | 239.20 | 197.19 | 96.208
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 880952 | 366315 | 513534 | 1103 | 398562.99 | 397256.72 | 4495.23 | 1306.27 | 99.672
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 1306.27359556 BTC (0.328%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 443.62750000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 862.64609556 BTC (0.216%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2730069 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1622605 (59.4%)
Blockchain MB: 1148.7 : SatoshiDice Tx: 667.0 (58.1%)

jamesg

vip

Activity: 1358

Merit: 1000

AKA: gigavps

Ouch. 2k btc down in a week.

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

More bad results for SatoshiDice. And they seem to have stopped responding to users with payment issues too (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/satoshidicecom-please-pay-my-bitcoins-96664, https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/satoshidicecom-the-worlds-most-popular-bitcoin-game-77870)

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-03 09:32am (up to block 192158)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 12426 | 0 (0.00000) | 12141 | 285 | 78.33 | 0.01 | 18.39 | 78.31 | 0.025
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1144 | 0 (0.00000) | 1074 | 70 | 17.19 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 17.19 | 0.010
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1691 | 0 (0.00000) | 1657 | 34 | 20.56 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.54 | 0.104
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1427 | 1 (0.00072) | 1385 | 41 | 33.70 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 25.65 | 23.894
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1697 | 1 (0.00060) | 1663 | 33 | 66.72 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 62.52 | 6.289
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4130 | 2 (0.00049) | 4117 | 11 | 298.93 | 103.16 | 1.29 | 195.76 | 34.512
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5931 | 8 (0.00135) | 5906 | 17 | 365.95 | 123.33 | 55.64 | 242.62 | 33.701
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6916 | 17 (0.00248) | 6850 | 49 | 1316.72 | 1174.03 | 44.25 | 142.69 | 89.163
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6083 | 30 (0.00494) | 6039 | 14 | 664.75 | 797.04 | 13.11 | -132.29 | 119.901
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9169 | 65 (0.00709) | 9099 | 5 | 1773.18 | 1184.87 | 9.35 | 588.31 | 66.822
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 17847 | 270 (0.01513) | 17573 | 4 | 5075.12 | 5329.51 | 1.80 | -254.39 | 105.013
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 9031 | 212 (0.02349) | 8813 | 6 | 3258.33 | 3670.25 | 15.00 | -411.91 | 112.642
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 17435 | 552 (0.03167) | 16880 | 3 | 3899.21 | 3437.95 | 9.24 | 461.25 | 88.171
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9127 | 436 (0.04781) | 8684 | 7 | 5313.00 | 6813.90 | 24.99 | -1500.90 | 128.250
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10406 | 645 (0.06200) | 9758 | 3 | 3585.61 | 3179.24 | 31.20 | 406.36 | 88.667
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17205 | 1631 (0.09485) | 15565 | 9 | 9102.68 | 9262.59 | 7.01 | -159.90 | 101.757
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 39347 | 4847 (0.12323) | 34485 | 15 | 7092.18 | 6283.95 | 0.00 | 808.23 | 88.604
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17571 | 3337 (0.18998) | 14228 | 6 | 7149.07 | 7383.88 | 14.50 | -234.80 | 103.284
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 48514 | 11806 (0.24339) | 36700 | 8 | 18134.74 | 19337.33 | 347.79 | -1202.59 | 106.631
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 34886 | 12900 (0.37014) | 21952 | 34 | 15838.13 | 15832.20 | 212.63 | 5.93 | 99.963
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 341907 | 166673 (0.48770) | 175081 | 153 | 134470.80 | 135865.93 | 2173.21 | -1395.12 | 101.037
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 141492 | 70579 (0.49913) | 70825 | 88 | 60545.43 | 58873.73 | 789.20 | 1671.70 | 97.239
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 108148 | 79546 (0.73594) | 28542 | 60 | 98663.72 | 97111.92 | 467.98 | 1551.79 | 98.427
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 2514 | 2011 (0.80024) | 502 | 1 | 6939.36 | 7160.55 | 0.00 | -221.19 | 103.188
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2175 | 1846 (0.84952) | 327 | 2 | 2961.91 | 2950.07 | 0.00 | 11.84 | 99.600
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 736 | 670 (0.91530) | 62 | 4 | 436.95 | 424.04 | 0.00 | 12.91 | 97.045
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6117 | 5860 (0.97879) | 127 | 130 | 5188.65 | 4991.42 | 239.20 | 197.22 | 96.199
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 875072 | 363945 | 510035 | 1092 | 392291.03 | 391303.27 | 4495.23 | 987.75 | 99.748
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 987.75913595 BTC (0.252%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 440.67125000 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 547.08788595 BTC (0.139%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2702068 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1611343 (59.6%)
Blockchain MB: 1137.0 : SatoshiDice Tx: 662.5 (58.3%)

The follow 12 bets are pending still:

Code:

72b97a20c5cee0b9f05b5203d0361263edb41b752a15e2838ac2b3b6789f74c2   1 191241 11:31:37 Jul-28-12        32.00000000 1dice97E 1BCgHiW4jhUN1vggaeR3aSQpWhRxMLXjRg
18455d8b2020cef49579fa2f024375a43e242f4bb0c303cba526327944c65e46   0 191269 17:47:08 Jul-28-12         1.00000000 1dicegEA 14q94SKrm8W3yBzhi2BZ8xm8VJvPWcXAMG
6071357b4e24964f398de274e55c85cadaf33e1f54acaa284a7dfc23933feff3   0 191269 17:47:08 Jul-28-12         1.00000000 1dicegEA 14q94SKrm8W3yBzhi2BZ8xm8VJvPWcXAMG
802455195c92092bf863c82f77baec33e6f21fd8de2aa604826918d56e76d205   0 191343 07:15:28 Jul-29-12         0.05000000 1dice8EM 1GfDEVE4g5ghVp1e3v2Q1VqEMvG9FVVPio
555cc5382acc939178dcb81cd83172984eec99b767f78bf05389c94657d01020   1 191344 07:21:21 Jul-29-12         1.00000000 1dice8EM 1HcUSJNPJtP69ajpnUmFoU3WKDxssdNjMi
bb8d9eca3e807622e92472c4043a3573d4521c02927e563b58b8ad4a3d9d9173   1 191345 07:28:15 Jul-29-12         3.00000000 1dice8EM 1LQh4yvTW552ibohytuzLV9V8dbfieVdea
eb3ee5f086b285fa40208257b59091b065d4f1f76b240a15d965da3790baa062   1 191486 23:01:51 Jul-29-12         0.80000000 1dice97E 1FjvstaGAGyCXBMP8u2PkDk9tm1dkRhpm7
434cb9541a56d496e2d0a240f7ee75b4119317a5e32f79a71e5c5511289f1ebc   1 191486 23:01:51 Jul-29-12         0.20000000 1dice8EM 1LTMipT8ebJ1MNFRP9BdfkDYzW3RzLXoit
e7fe8ae530f9beaee6c0d8b89fb5d5aeee0a1a49a03be743e1bf796d66306c82   0 191521 04:29:24 Jul-30-12         0.20000000 1dice8EM 1ArM4VrvgiKExHYKFHwytjFusmr633ZjCU
c508831ed64c7f4ff0d261d2971e38dab61e550e445ee3eb8f476d47cea0c12c   0 191521 04:29:24 Jul-30-12         2.00000000 1dice9wc 17CzCQobrCofVnB8FYSn4suvYuT7g8Woxw
7bac881cf5bd745b944f3d1bec3934df70ef5b29a991b3ad8f6772ab853aa42a   1 191642 22:47:06 Jul-30-12         0.05000000 1dice6wB 19Jjrd4ue3uCcXYJrVwx7PhxTm4MZdC4YY
e838d3a4494e91c747a3704fd3ee0f05840c576e960bd97a5947b54a301e364a   1 191642 22:47:06 Jul-30-12         0.05000000 1dice6wB 1FoejzNLBRLQiewgyQmP3PJAipbmaScXii

byronbb

legendary

Activity: 1414

Merit: 1000

HODL OR DIE

Quote from: dooglus on August 01, 2012, 01:43:05 AM

Quote from: byronbb on July 31, 2012, 05:28:36 PM

Too much risk is only relative to bankroll, but yes, they have it backwards.

I think you must have pawed the wrong buttons on your spreadsheet. There's no way Kelly would recommend risking more than your bankroll on any bet, like your suggested max bet on lessthan 1 would be doing. No matter how favourable the odds (SD wins 65535 in 65536 cases), they're still betting 64000 times max bet on them winning - so max bet should better be less than 1/64000th of their bankroll.

Yes I think the function breaks because I input the house odds of -6399900 (lay 6399900 to win 1) and it is much too large. I believe the rest are correct. Here is a kelly calculator http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/kelly-calculator/ if anyone wants to play with it.

dooglus

legendary

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1333

Quote

Results: 2012-Aug-01 10:47am (up to block 191840)

Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 12128 | 0 (0.00000) | 11844 | 284 | 73.22 | 0.01 | 18.39 | 73.20 | 0.026
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 1106 | 0 (0.00000) | 1036 | 70 | 16.69 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 16.68 | 0.011
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 1656 | 0 (0.00000) | 1622 | 34 | 20.31 | 0.02 | 2.22 | 20.29 | 0.105
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 1365 | 1 (0.00076) | 1323 | 41 | 32.61 | 8.05 | 4.15 | 24.56 | 24.693
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 1669 | 1 (0.00061) | 1635 | 33 | 66.64 | 4.19 | 7.40 | 62.44 | 6.296
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 4088 | 2 (0.00049) | 4075 | 11 | 279.44 | 103.07 | 1.29 | 176.36 | 36.887
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 5861 | 8 (0.00137) | 5836 | 17 | 298.52 | 123.01 | 55.64 | 175.51 | 41.206
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 6866 | 17 (0.00249) | 6801 | 48 | 1287.22 | 1173.89 | 40.25 | 113.32 | 91.196
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 6031 | 29 (0.00482) | 5988 | 14 | 630.00 | 572.02 | 13.11 | 57.98 | 90.795
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 9084 | 65 (0.00716) | 9014 | 5 | 1752.58 | 1184.79 | 9.35 | 567.79 | 67.603
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 17246 | 263 (0.01525) | 16979 | 4 | 4194.47 | 4557.80 | 1.80 | -363.32 | 108.662
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 8986 | 211 (0.02350) | 8769 | 6 | 3257.16 | 3669.82 | 15.00 | -412.66 | 112.669
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 14110 | 441 (0.03126) | 13666 | 3 | 3692.13 | 3410.03 | 9.24 | 282.10 | 92.359
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 9034 | 434 (0.04808) | 8593 | 7 | 5311.55 | 6813.67 | 24.99 | -1502.11 | 128.280
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 10336 | 642 (0.06213) | 9691 | 3 | 3579.01 | 3178.72 | 31.20 | 400.28 | 88.816
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 17137 | 1623 (0.09476) | 15505 | 9 | 9096.03 | 9252.83 | 7.01 | -156.80 | 101.724
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 38906 | 4802 (0.12347) | 34089 | 15 | 7052.62 | 6276.49 | 0.00 | 776.12 | 88.995
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 17481 | 3319 (0.18993) | 14156 | 6 | 7074.36 | 7258.83 | 14.50 | -184.47 | 102.608
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 47546 | 11554 (0.24305) | 35984 | 8 | 16490.17 | 17125.87 | 347.79 | -635.69 | 103.855
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 34702 | 12830 (0.37008) | 21838 | 34 | 15779.02 | 15752.11 | 212.63 | 26.91 | 99.829
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 337748 | 164618 (0.48762) | 172977 | 153 | 124220.31 | 125045.39 | 2173.21 | -825.07 | 100.664
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 139303 | 69498 (0.49921) | 69717 | 88 | 57282.04 | 55445.16 | 789.20 | 1836.88 | 96.793
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 106598 | 78412 (0.73599) | 28127 | 59 | 96518.18 | 94807.08 | 467.98 | 1711.09 | 98.227
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 2352 | 1891 (0.80400) | 461 | 0 | 6379.34 | 6598.82 | 0.00 | -219.47 | 103.440
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 2074 | 1765 (0.85183) | 307 | 2 | 2412.50 | 2412.63 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 100.005
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 678 | 623 (0.92296) | 52 | 3 | 408.63 | 400.03 | 0.00 | 8.60 | 97.895
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 6083 | 5827 (0.97883) | 126 | 130 | 5178.49 | 4981.24 | 239.20 | 197.25 | 96.191
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| 860174 | 358876 | 500211 | 1087 | 372383.39 | 370155.69 | 4491.23 | 2227.69 | 99.402
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees: 2227.69536869 BTC (0.598%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 433.11497500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 1794.58039369 BTC (0.482%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 2642435 : SatoshiDice Tx: 1583590 (59.9%)
Blockchain MB: 1112.8 : SatoshiDice Tx: 651.2 (58.5%)

Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 72. (Read 192889 times)