Here are the questions which people are positing and have yet gone unanswered:
-Is Sia worth $500M? If so, why.
-The accounts on this thread claiming to "HODL" Sia have posited a $.50c/Sia price. No one has yet explained why Sia should be worth $25B, while Dropbox is speculated to have an actual value of $4B+/- with some thinking it's $10B.
-- Some actual underlying math would be highly helpful in this thread: ex: here is a projection of the necessary storage for outgoing years in the Sia target market, if Sia captures x% market share then $x/sia is justified.
The "more" technical analysis of Sia in the previous 2 pages has been scathing.
>What is the valuation of the current Sia holdings, + the cost of replicating the technology? I would imagine an extremely nominal amount compared to the market cap.
Perhaps I'm misunderstanding the fundamentals?
Very good points.
I think the most important to focus on is: Is Sia worth more than Dropbox?
At the moment, no. Lets be conservative, and say Dropbox's value is 4B.
Pretending Sia offers the same service as Dropbox, Sia's potential value can be 4B at best too.
But at worst...Well, I think 500M is reasonable. Someone said that's the current value? So @ 500M, Sia is 700sats.
To get to 4B, we just multiply by 8.
700sats * 8 = 5600sats
Again, AT BEST. Short of a miracle would be surpassing this 4B cap.
For Sia to reach 1400sats, it must reach 1B value I guess. That's already 1/4th the value of Dropbox...And Dropbox has been around for a looong time. To me that screams overvalue right now.
But, if Dropbox's value is 10B...We could see 1400sats no problem in the next couple months or even today based on the news coming out.