Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 192. (Read 53942 times)

Here are the picks thus far for this week (rdbase where are yours ? You are normally not late^^):



Consensus found only for one game (Tottenham) There is a handful of other games, where there is a strong tendency, but a user here and there spoiled the fun. And people have picked the draw for Everton-ManU and Atalanta-Inter 50% of the time, which is a lot. Welcome @Indymoney

Thanks for the input/help @buwaytress with gs, I have uploaded my Excel file to gs and it just has some slight formatting errors, the formulas should be fine. I can't/won't make it editable for everyone/the public though, since there are always some weirdos, who like to destroy things. But if any of the regular posters in here wants to have editable access, just send me your email address via PM and I'll add you. You can find the table here, I will update it frequently, so you can follow (hope the link works, if not, just make a peep): Multimaster Week 45.

Sorry if this maybe makes your sheet obsolete @buwaytress.


Yep, thats what is my concern too

I'm ready with my picks:
Sassuolo had a chance to top Serie A two weeks ago, but they just couldn't beat Torino, now they have another opportunity, Berardi and Caputo could be back from injuries.
Looking at Man Utd to bounce back after two straight losses (vs Arsenal and @Istanbul), maybe they lose again and get rid of Solskjaer, who knows...
I'm sick of backing Flamengo to win, but i went with them once more i don't know why honestly..., other than that, i will be happy if three out of my five draws hit.

Sassuolo - Udinese
Southampton - Newcastle United
Everton - Manchester United
Watford - Coventry City
Barcelona - Real Betis
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München draw
Lazio - Juventus
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham
Leicester City - Wolverhampton draw
Atalanta - Inter
Manchester City - Liverpool draw
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Borussia M'gladbach
Arsenal - Aston Villa draw
Valencia - Real Madrid draw
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo

As for the free bet, i kinda don't like the idea and let me explain why.
People will be given free bets/money/whatever in return to be active in this thread which has incentivized posting undertone (against forum rules), i just don't want anyone to get in trouble. This little thread could also turn into mindless sharing of picks just to be eligible for the free bet, and we don't want that either, it's a discussion thread before anything else.

Sassuolo - Udinese                              Sassuolo
Southampton - Newcastle                    Southampton
Everton - Manchester United                 Draw               
Watford - Coventry                             Watford
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich        Bayern Munich
Lazio - Juventus                                 Juventus
Barcelona - Real Betis                          Barcelona
West Brom - Tottenham                       Tottenham
Leicester City - Wolves                        Leicester
Atalanta - Inter Milan                          Draw
Manchester City - Liverpool                  Liverpool
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia gladbach    Leverkusen
Arsenal - Aston Villa                            Arsenal
Valencia - Real Madrid                         Real Madrid
Atletico Mineiro - Flamengo                  Atletico Mineiro

This would be the best case scenario for now until we find another that is suitable and would accomodate every needs in this case. Well if you are ever in doubt, You can always put your hope in steve's multimagic pick

I probably would leave out Everton in this case and just put in Liverpool, as they are doing extremely good in Champions League or probably go for the safer option of Both team to score for Liverpool and City

here is my MM this week

Arsenal FC - Aston Villa FC - 1
Atalanta BC - Inter Milano - x
Atletico Mineiro MG - CR Flamengo RJ - x
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Monchengladbach - 2
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich - 2
Everton FC - Manchester United FC - X
FC Barcelona - Real Betis Balompie - 1
Lazio Roma - Juventus Turin - 2
Leicester City FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - 1
Manchester City FC - Liverpool FC - 2
Sassuolo Calcio - Udinese Calcio - 1
Southampton FC - Newcastle United FC - 1
Valencia CF - Real Madrid - 2
Watford FC - Coventry City - x
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham Hotspur FC - 2

Im probably going to hit around 5 this time, I messed up few selection by going with the draw option this time

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In case we need someone next in line for the freebets. I vote for rdbase for making this thread  .

Here is my entry to MM for this week, almost 30BTC to be won without those bonus 3BTC
Arsenal FC - Aston Villa FC - 1
Atalanta BC - Inter Milano - 1
Atletico Mineiro MG - CR Flamengo RJ - 2
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Monchengladbach - X
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich - X
Everton FC - Manchester United FC - X
FC Barcelona - Real Betis Balompie - 1
Lazio Roma - Juventus Turin - 2
Leicester City FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - 1
Manchester City FC - Liverpool FC - X
Sassuolo Calcio - Udinese Calcio - 1
Southampton FC - Newcastle United FC - 1
Valencia CF - Real Madrid - 2
Watford FC - Coventry City - 1
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham Hotspur FC - 2

I will now put them into that google sheet as well.

@buwaytress
I don't envy you man, to be first to receive this free bet. You know that quote "With great power comes great responsibility"
Whatever gets done with the free bet I am fine with it, if don't reach a consensus just do what you think is best.

Guys, yeah, endless discussions about how to use it, so maybe we just leave it to the guy who gets the freebet to use it as they best please? Would anyone have a problem with that? We just take turns receiving it, so eventually someone gets it. And they decide how best to use it. I promise I won't be mad if anyone bets it all on 1.1x payout, or 100x;)

Otherwise, tell me what to do with mine as I got the first one =D
My not-so-wise decision would be to use it this weekend on a parlay:
1. Saints win
2. Gunners win
3. Foxes win
around 83/10 odds.

Or, the Mersey parlay (haha). Everton+Liverpool win @9/1

And @ty: instead of copying to gsheets, try opening google drive instead, and upload your excel, and then open it as googlesheets, then save it as googlesheets. All your formulas should copy over!

I entered notblox into the sheet (you can do it too notblox1;) ).

I forgot to post my picks for MM a week ago, so here is my picks for MM this week:

Sassuolo - Udinese - 1
Southampton - Newcastle United - 1
Everton - Manchester United - 1
Watford - Coventry City - 1
Barcelona - Real Betis - 1
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München - 2
Lazio - Juventus - 2
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham - 2
Leicester City - Wolverhampton 1
Atalanta - Inter - 2
Manchester City - Liverpool - 2
Leverkusen - M'gladbach - X
Arsenal - Aston Villa - 1
Valencia - Real Madrid - 2
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo - X

Good luck!

Thanks Steve and sportsbet.io for exclusive reward in this thread!

OK guys, here are my picks for this week.
This is not going to be easy round and I don't expect to see results like it was last week, but we never know.
Good luck everyone and let the best man win

Sassuolo - Udinese - X
Southampton - Newcastle United - 2
Everton - Manchester United - X
Watford - Coventry City - 1
Barcelona - Real Betis - 1
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München - 2
Lazio - Juventus - 1
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham - 2
Leicester City - Wolverhampton 1
Atalanta - Inter - X
Manchester City - Liverpool - 2
Leverkusen - M'gladbach - 2
Arsenal - Aston Villa - X
Valencia - Real Madrid - 2
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo - 2

My picks for this week

Sassuolo - Udinese
Southampton - Newcastle United
Everton - Manchester United DRAW
Watford - Coventry City
Barcelona - Real Betis
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München
Lazio - Juventus
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham
Leicester City - Wolverhampton
Atalanta - Inter
Manchester City - Liverpool DRAW
Leverkusen - M'gladbach
Arsenal - Aston Villa
Valencia - Real Madrid
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo

Hope the away teams will have a great weekend, lol.

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As for this discussion about the freebets, I am fine with basically everything, since I can't receive the freebet anyway, so count me in for all stunts you are trying to do. My suggestion would have been to give the first freebet to rdbase for personal use, since he started this wonderful thread, which is now our MM living room

I would be careful with our consensus picks and better not parlay them Going back to the last MM tables, we nearly always have at least one of them going wrong; only in week 41 we hit all of them, the UNL weekend. And just quick-checking these ~75% consensus picks, they are even doing worse^^

I think it should be something connected to the MM games with clear rules, because otherwise you will have endless discussions in here about the picks and finding consensus will be hard Can also do over parlay always for the first 5 games on the official MM schedule. This would be Sassuolo/Southampton/Everton/Watford/Barca this week. Or the middle 5 or last 5

@buwaytress

I can pimp your googlesheet table a bit to have a better overview of picks made, but will wait for the final decision. I have my table in "normal" Excel and c&p'ing it into googlesheet messes up all the formulas.

Hmm right again about freebet, I think it doesn't work with insurance. Fine. 1.3 min odds it is. So far, here is consensus from 4 people. (Bitcoinhunt3r, you went my no-draw way!): Sassuolo, Watford, Spurs

Here's a googlesheet we can all try fill in ourselves 1, X or 2 after we share ok?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hhWbcAAhw8yVhOGWWsZ_z6S8lTuDVWDAnIbGXgj52qk/edit?usp=sharing

I am not sure you can use insurance with free bet. That is why I mentioned just the boost and 1.3 odds. If it works with insurance and you are willing to give yours to the cause than by all means we should go with odds over 1.5 and 5 games to use it.

In case we go for much more games (8+) I think it is better that you save your insurance, odds of us actually missing just one game drop very fast when we add more games.

here's my idea about the freebet:

what if, we all pick someone to receive the freebet every week, then this person has to place the freebet in a single or multi bet with odds close to the numbers of participants who submitted their MM picks the week before? for instance, last week, 11 users submitted their MM picks according to @tyKiwanuka 's table, so this week the user with the fb will have to place it in a 11.00 odds (or close to that) event. This way, if it hits, the user can split the winnings with the rest of the MM participants (5mbtc in 11 odds event = 55 or so mBtc. 55mbtc / 11 users = 0.005 mbtc to each users personal wallet).

anyways, will edit this post with MM picks in a little bit my picks:

Arsenal FC - Aston Villa FC - 1
Atalanta BC - Inter Milano - 2
Atletico Mineiro MG - CR Flamengo RJ - 1
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Monchengladbach - 1
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich - 2
Everton FC - Manchester United FC - X
FC Barcelona - Real Betis Balompie - 1
Lazio Roma - Juventus Turin - 2
Leicester City FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - 1
Manchester City FC - Liverpool FC - 1
Sassuolo Calcio - Udinese Calcio - 1
Southampton FC - Newcastle United FC - X
Valencia CF - Real Madrid - 2
Watford FC - Coventry City - 1
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham Hotspur FC - 2

man, this is why i like it when we have mBtc fixed prizes or rates for anything crypto related    edit* just read ur post and Trofo's about the freebet, i like it  

Ederson + MAtip to score will make us probably a million;)

Trofo great point. We go only for 1.5 odds and above, and 5-legs to enjoy free insurance, and keep it simple to 1x2 markets yeah? I'll reserve my insurance to make this bet...

I support 75% consensus. TY if you share your editable table on a googlesheet, we can help just fill in our own stuff to make your life easier! Tabs to keep track of every week too;)

You forgot to add Matip to score and Ederson to score on your bet builder. That should boost the odds nicely

We don't have to do the same thing every week so we can try something this week and then repeat or scrap it for the next.
I sort of like the idea to put money on the games we all find consensus in the table but that puts pressure on tyKiwanuka to make the table on time and you to play the ticket before first game starts.

If we decide to go that route I propose we say 75% is enough of consensus and remove all the games with odds lower than 1.3. That way we will capitalize on sportsbet boost and avoid loosing the ticket on some big favorite which is absolutely the worst way to loose ticket.
If we go this way we are limited with the games and we can only play 1x2 market but it sort of stays in the spirit of MM.

If we go with leagues tyKiwanuka is delegated to Bundesliga and we don't accept no for an answer If I have to choose something my game will be from Premier League.

Whoa Thank you Steve! Big responsibility, now that BITCOIN is $15,000 this is a $75 bet!

OK guys, so I put it down on a Liverpool vs City on Sunday bet builder:
- City to win 1st half, Liverpool to win 2nd half
- Liverpool to win and 2.5 goals
- 3.5 goals in match
- Salah to score any time
- Booking points under 69
- City over 3.5 corners
- Liverpool over 4.5 corners
Total odds: 120/1.

Just kidding. What do you guys want me to do with it? I like the idea of putting it on Watford/Arsenal/Southampton/Flamengo but also like the idea of picking one good match from each of the Big 4 leagues (Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga, EPL). Problem with me is I don't like anything below 1.5, and prefer to go for at least one underdog, so, tell me, gentlemen.

goodluck guys! cash it big!

Well done Steve and thanks.

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Okay guys!
I have an idea.

Select one or two users who we all trust. They will receive the free bet from sportsbet to bet for all of us. They will share the betslip with us to make everything transparent.

How we will select the markets?

With this free bet we will play a multibet together. Let's not take to much risk. We will have one team from following big leagues:
English premier league
Serie A
France Ligue 1
Germany Bundesliga and
LaLiga


In our group some are good at picking winners from EPL, some are good at Serie A etc. Those who are good at picking their own home leagues will nominate a team. For example: I will feel comfortable to pick a team from PL. So I will contribute on EPL. Like these other four guys will nominate their teams from their local leagues. The reason of picking local leagues for the users is because you will have much information than others about it. So hopefully the chance of winning the nomination will be higher too.

Not sure how you guys will like it but I think this way we will have everyone to have a good conversation and chances of winning some good money from the free bet is also possible.

There are a lot of great ideas suggested on what do we do with the Free Bet and I'm good with what the majority would choose in the end.

If we need to "vote" on something, I'd still go with buway's "$50 for the top/shared". Much simpler (thanks Trofo for pointing out the hole in "$25 $15 $10 to top 3 each week" option)  

Here's my MM picks for this week. If you need to check the betslip, link is here.

Sassuolo - Udinese
Southampton - Newcastle United
Everton - Manchester United
Watford - Coventry City
Barcelona - Real Betis
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München
Lazio - Juventus
West Bromwich Albion - Tottenham
Leicester City - Wolverhampton
Atalanta - Draw - Inter
Manchester City - Liverpool
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Borussia M'gladbach
Arsenal - Aston Villa
Valencia - Real Madrid
Atlético Mineiro - Draw - Flamengo

Hi Guys,

For the first week and to get kickstarted with this 50 euro / 5 mbtc free bet for the thread, Ill issue it to "buwaytress" and you guys can decide how best to use it..

Whether one person gets it each week on a rotating basis, or 6 of you put forward one pick and it ends up a 6-leg multi, it's up to you.  

Just let me know next week who is next in line to receive it on your threads behalf and Ill issue it accordingly.  

This is EXCLUSIVELY for you guys on this thread. Good luck and thanks again!  

regards,

Steve!
Sportsbet.io

Just a funny thought!
How about sharing the Free bet between the lowest scoring guys. I mean those who will have lowest correct number of picks they will share the free bet LOL. Think about a situation where a lot of users are making picks to lose their tickets 🤪

On a serious note, I am with the majority. Whatever you guys settle in, I will have no problem in it. Great work sportsbet.io


Nice addition! I missed it totally.