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Topic: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 214. (Read 140758 times)

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Nice!  I love it when a weekend starts out with an exact prediction, and a winning bet!

I wasn't as concerned as Welsh the lineup, I don't mind seeing Saliba defending.  But, specifically Gabriel Jesus has been a great addition to bolster the attack.  The Gunners are looking like the real deal.  I don't want to jinx it but it's been a pretty exciting season so far.


I'm also torn about Chelsea @ Crystal Palace.  Chelsea is obviously the better club, but CP can be so unpredictable.  They took a point from Anfield, and even scored two goals against City.  I might take a tie for this one just because I can really see it going either way.
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Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
I mean, United are definitely on the rise. However, I'm not too convinced. Their best win was probably against us, but everyone knows how abysmal we were at the time. City on the other hand as been pretty consistent, and are by far the best team in the league right now. Especially with Haaland  who's basically scoring for fun.
They had a good game against Arsenal as well I hate to admit.

Why does the Chelsea odd keep rising like Bitcoin? It's interesting to note that Chelsea's odd increased by 15% as a result of Cucurella's illness. If you're planning to build a mansion, you can get the Chelsea game at 1.90 right now. Ladies and gentlemen, our days of kicking asses is about to begin.  I'm hoping that a victory over Crystal Palace will provide the players with the motivation they need to reclaim their winning attitude.

I think it is because Chelsea is yet to show their transformation under the new coach which up until now they haven't.I disagree with these rising odds as for me Chelsea is a better team than Crystal Palace and most likely today they are going to win the game.I think that 1.90 is a bit high when the real odd Chelsea should have is a maximum of 1.60-1.65 based on the quality players they have.

For me also is worth risking money on the Chelsea game but I would be cautious as even Crystal Palace is not a team that should be heavily underestimated,most probably the best bet is both teams to score here seeing the recent games of both teams.
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I'm guessing it's because Chelsea are going through a rough patch, whereas Crystal Palace have been on a decent run, not always getting the results they want, but have looked decent. Palace are also a good defensive team that has some quick players for the counter attack. So, with Chelsea struggling at the moment, especially on the goal scoring front, they could potentially get counter attacked a lot due to having most of the possession.

I'd probably fancy Chelsea at those odds though. It's only a matter of time before they find their form again. They've got too much quality to be playing this poor all season. The Liverpool odds on the other hand I'm a little surprised by, especially when you compare it to the Chelsea odds. One could say, that Liverpool have performed worse than Chelsea, since we've actually been pretty bad against lesser opposition than they have. Liverpool are hovering around the 1.30 mark right now.
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Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
I mean, United are definitely on the rise. However, I'm not too convinced. Their best win was probably against us, but everyone knows how abysmal we were at the time. City on the other hand as been pretty consistent, and are by far the best team in the league right now. Especially with Haaland  who's basically scoring for fun.
They had a good game against Arsenal as well I hate to admit.

Why does the Chelsea odd keep rising like Bitcoin? It's interesting to note that Chelsea's odd increased by 15% as a result of Cucurella's illness. If you're planning to build a mansion, you can get the Chelsea game at 1.90 right now. Ladies and gentlemen, our days of kicking asses is about to begin.  I'm hoping that a victory over Crystal Palace will provide the players with the motivation they need to reclaim their winning attitude.
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BTTS at 1.65 is a lock, imo it's the pick of the weekend and the easiest money we'll make in this matchweek  Cheesy  There's gonna be a lot of firepower upfront from both sides (Jesus, Kane, Son, Saka, Martinelli, Richarlison), but the BTTS and Over combo at those odds is too good to pass up
Definitely fancying that Spurs line up more than Arsenal though. Even though, I'd say that Arsenal are the better team if you look at both teams overall. As far as I'm aware both teams haven't really been the best at keeping clean sheets so both teams to score is probably a decent bet to make. Also, worth noting for your predictions in the pool.

I'm thinking of going for a draw personally, maybe a high scoring one at that.
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So what do you guys think of Spurs or draw double chance and BTTS combo at 2.55 and BTTS and over 2.5 goals combo at 1.92? 
BTTS at 1.65 is a lock, imo it's the pick of the weekend and the easiest money we'll make in this matchweek  Cheesy  There's gonna be a lot of firepower upfront from both sides (Jesus, Kane, Son, Saka, Martinelli, Richarlison), but the BTTS and Over combo at those odds is too good to pass up

Fun fact: the last time the away team won the north london derby in the EPL was 8 years ago 👀 Spurs 0 - 1 Arsenal
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Our (LFC’s) season starts Saturday, we are going to tear Brighton apart. Thiago ball about to be unleashed Cheesy
Our injured players are coming back now, I think we’ll start winning now. Been a tough start to the season but hopefully now we’ll become the team we’ve been for the last 4 years.

Predictions submitted & ready for the PL to restart, I hate international breaks.
Yeah, and I wouldn't be surprised if we go on a unbeaten run when we actually start that run. I'm not hundred percent sure that'll be this weekend, as Brighton are a decent team. What I will say though, we've conceded a lot recently, and usually first. I find that Brighton at times can actually struggle to score even when in decent position to do so. Hopefully, that helps us settle some nerves, get on the score sheet first, and sort out business. I do think I'll be predicting something that isn't a win for Liverpool in an attempt to leapfrog my way up the table though.
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The match I have my eye on is Arsenal vs the Spurs.  Why is the Spurs such a big dog here?  Arsenal had a soft set of fixtures before their big test vs United...  And failed.  :/  And the Spurs hasn't lost a match this season so far.  So what do you guys think of Spurs or draw double chance and BTTS combo at 2.55 and BTTS and over 2.5 goals combo at 1.92? 
Exactly my thoughts, I already wrote about both to score few post before and that will be on my ticket for sure. I am also thinking Spurs can get at least a point from this game. Spurs were quite good while Son was was totally out of form, or maybe it would be better to say out of confidence. After he scored that first goal he looked like totally different player and scored 2 more. Then he continued and scored in both games for Korea. IMHO Son is even better than Kane when he plays at his best and Spurs will be super dangerous now.

Can't wait for PL to start, will have to get into the club football mood by watching Bayern tonight Smiley
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^  Yup but they had a good manager who I think has the potential to be great in Graham Potter tho.  I don't think they would've had decent results without him.  But with the line at 1.37 for Liverpool, it's a pass.

The match I have my eye on is Arsenal vs the Spurs.  Why is the Spurs such a big dog here?  Arsenal had a soft set of fixtures before their big test vs United...  And failed.  :/  And the Spurs hasn't lost a match this season so far.  So what do you guys think of Spurs or draw double chance and BTTS combo at 2.55 and BTTS and over 2.5 goals combo at 1.92? 
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Our (LFC’s) season starts Saturday, we are going to tear Brighton apart. Thiago ball about to be unleashed Cheesy
Our injured players are coming back now, I think we’ll start winning now. Been a tough start to the season but hopefully now we’ll become the team we’ve been for the last 4 years.

Predictions submitted & ready for the PL to restart, I hate international breaks.

Fully agree here, but this one came to us at a perfect time - combined with delayed PL games.
I really hope it was enough for a restart - Brighton is a dangerous team. Last season they were fantastic away from home and I really hope we don't expect an easy game.

Last year they won at the Emirates and Old Trafford and drew at Anfield and Stamford bridge.
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Our (LFC’s) season starts Saturday, we are going to tear Brighton apart. Thiago ball about to be unleashed Cheesy
Our injured players are coming back now, I think we’ll start winning now. Been a tough start to the season but hopefully now we’ll become the team we’ve been for the last 4 years.

Predictions submitted & ready for the PL to restart, I hate international breaks.
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Anyway, the Premier League is finally back. I don't know about anyone else, but I don't really follow international football so have no idea what went on the last few weeks. Just checking though, it doesn't seem like we have any major injuries so that's something new.

Liverpool are against Brighton which I'm actually not confident in. I might be going for something that isn't a win for the first time. Knowing my luck, Liverpool will likely blow Brighton away, which isn't out of the realms of possibility since we've had a small break now,and we should be a little more tactically adept with some of our injured players getting sharper every day.

Southgate not going for TAA was the best piece of news for me. Same as Salah, released early by Egypt, but we had only 12 players called up, some didn't play, and no one got injured I think. Funny enough Jota who wasn't fully fit playing his last game for us played all Portugal minutes so I was worried all the time for him.

Brighton new manager but I don't expect a bounce... they didn't fire a shit one hoping for better fortunes, they'll probably be still hung up over losing him.

3-0, come on, now Wink

Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
IMO, it is a value bet on United, not sure that it is going to make it, but @1.33 I would skip City bet for sure

To be fair, the last time I recall winning betting on United vs City was 10/1 when Pogba was still there, 3 seasons ago? United are actually that bad that I think odds now (under 8/1) isn't good enough value, but then again I agree it's not bad being the derby, you never know who shows up and who doesn't.
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I guess they are this low since bookie algorithms favor home sides a lot, but City isn't a home team, and without looking at the stats I sort of feel they have it easier when playing away.

Most other teams are home dependant and then they just park the bus when playing away while they try to open up a bit more and actually play on home turf. That extra space is golden for City.

it is a two way street I would say
true that City is having more space to attack when playing aside, but smaller teams are counting on possibility to get some points when playing home, and do not give up at any point, and when they come to City turf, they already count on zero points, and eventually change mind after 60-70 minutes, if the match is still open, or even later

IMO, United has value, but the match could end-up goalless as well
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Agreed, it's a derby after all. City has started strong but we had a long break now - so maybe it has slowed them down a bit.

It is weird to see that the odds on a City's home win against United are higher than Brighton's win at Anfield. I will try something on United for sure.
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Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
I mean, United are definitely on the rise. However, I'm not too convinced. Their best win was probably against us, but everyone knows how abysmal we were at the time. City on the other hand as been pretty consistent, and are by far the best team in the league right now. Especially with Haaland  who's basically scoring for fun.


So, while I don't think the odds should be that bad for United, I do agree with City being a sizeable favourite going into the match. I'd say City at around 1.4-1.5 would've been more align with current from, considering United are definitely on the up, and morale is starting to pick up from a terrible few seasons.

It looks like a really low odd for Manchester City vs United,whatever the form of the squads this game is a derby and it does not matter that much,even in situations when a team has been near the bottom of the standings and one team fighting for the title,in a derby game there are quite some cases where the team which was suffering in the bottom to have won the game.

Manchester United comes from quite some consecutive victories and two against important teams in the Premier League which is Liverpool and Arsenal,they won both games so the real true odd should be like 1.80-1.90 for Manchester City.
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Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
I mean, United are definitely on the rise. However, I'm not too convinced. Their best win was probably against us, but everyone knows how abysmal we were at the time. City on the other hand as been pretty consistent, and are by far the best team in the league right now. Especially with Haaland  who's basically scoring for fun.


So, while I don't think the odds should be that bad for United, I do agree with City being a sizeable favourite going into the match. I'd say City at around 1.4-1.5 would've been more align with current from, considering United are definitely on the up, and morale is starting to pick up from a terrible few seasons.
Yeah, those odds would be much more realistic. I guess they are this low since bookie algorithms favor home sides a lot, but City isn't a home team, and without looking at the stats I sort of feel they have it easier when playing away.

Most other teams are home dependant and then they just park the bus when playing away while they try to open up a bit more and actually play on home turf. That extra space is golden for City.
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Why is Manchester City at 1.35 against Manchester United? Is it really this bad?
I mean, United are definitely on the rise. However, I'm not too convinced. Their best win was probably against us, but everyone knows how abysmal we were at the time. City on the other hand as been pretty consistent, and are by far the best team in the league right now. Especially with Haaland  who's basically scoring for fun.


So, while I don't think the odds should be that bad for United, I do agree with City being a sizeable favourite going into the match. I'd say City at around 1.4-1.5 would've been more align with current from, considering United are definitely on the up, and morale is starting to pick up from a terrible few seasons.
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BTTTS looks like a value bet @1.40 but games after the international break are always unpredictable, I'm sticking with Arsenal @2.20 for the weekend as my value bet.
What is BTTTS? If you mean both to score than the odds are not correct. I did not check them before but now that you wrote 1.4  I was thinking that cannot be right. Both to score on Manchester derby has odds over 1.7 on most bookies. That is acceptable, I would never play it for just 1.4.

Don't trust Arsenal against Spurs with Son back in form. Both to score for me as well.

I personally would trust both teams to score in the Manchester Derby to be honest, It could all end up being a one sided affair or a bore fest, and for the fact that my bias would be on the side of Man City, I still couldn't justify the ML odds at ~ 1.38 for Man City, so that fixture's only value to me is to spectate.

London Derby is actually of a much more interest to me, and both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals here would be highly probable from my perspective, Arsenal still have lots of work to do defensively and Tottenham counter attacking football could be of real damage to Arsenal should Arsenal concede the first goal of the game. It's tough to pick a side though, but Arsenal would be my call here I'm to pick one.
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BTTTS looks like a value bet @1.40 but games after the international break are always unpredictable, I'm sticking with Arsenal @2.20 for the weekend as my value bet.
What is BTTTSBTTS? If you mean both to score than the odds are not correct. I did not check them before but now that you wrote 1.4  I was thinking that cannot be right. Both to score on Manchester derby has odds over 1.7 on most bookies. That is acceptable, I would never play it for just 1.4.
Yes, both teams to score, it was a typo, and you are correct about the odd of 1.70; I was on another fixture from the championship BTTS page when I dropped that post, so that's where the error came from. It's likely to end 0-0 or 1-0 at halftime, so I'm going with 2HT most scoring half at 1.95.

Don't trust Arsenal against Spurs with Son back in form. Both to score for me as well.
It's an important London derby and I'm not going to go into too much detail on this one because too much in-depth analysis hasn't served me well this season. I'm only going to pick a side because I know it's a 50-50 game and the chances of it ending goalless are slim.
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BTTTS looks like a value bet @1.40 but games after the international break are always unpredictable, I'm sticking with Arsenal @2.20 for the weekend as my value bet.
What is BTTTS? If you mean both to score than the odds are not correct. I did not check them before but now that you wrote 1.4  I was thinking that cannot be right. Both to score on Manchester derby has odds over 1.7 on most bookies. That is acceptable, I would never play it for just 1.4.

Don't trust Arsenal against Spurs with Son back in form. Both to score for me as well.
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