Topic: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 262. (Read 145620 times)

I can assume that it will be the same as in another pool that is held on the suprebru:


In addition, it is difficult to imagine that at such a distance and such a large number of points played (38 rounds of 10 games, this is the total from 0 to 1140 points), someone will have the identical indicators. Although it is more likely for a yellow cap.

~
This brings up an interesting question,what if it was the end of the pool and so many people with the same amount of points,how will that be decided who get the prizes,based on overall performance like last pool which I would agree or in another format?

Remarks:
*There is no sharing of the prizes, Superbru has implemented tie breakers and I will use their final table as basis to pay out rewards

I agree that it will be easier to be in the top 20 position 1/3 chance than to win a yellow cap 1/60...

That said, I have my money on the Gunners to start the season on better note this season than they did against Brentford last season.

The lineups are available, and Arsenal look great from an attacking perspective, but the defense line looks not so convincing so they could really concede a goal here even if they win the game, but I don't intend to change my pick from the initial 2-0 pick I've had over 2 weeks ago.

Great observations, and I think I couldn't have said it better, I feel like the median table goes for scores in between 2-0 to 3-1, and they'll generally do well, and our Captain is a draw specialist

I must admit that betting-wise, I bet every game against City it's been profitable for 4 seasons already, and from the odds I see so far, it's the only advice I'd give on betting. I also did it on the pool for the first 3 seasons (also, many games against the Big Six), but last season I played a completely different strategy (no more blind predictions on the underdogs) and I did significantly better (in fact, same improvements across all the pools I played).

Don't trust anyone to keep the same strat this season

agree, it will be very difficult to get yellow cap in this pool
but it will be easier to end up in paying positions, since there is 20 paying position, a third from pool participant number

Arsenal is close to start against Palace, with this pool, now I have several Fantasy leagues to play, and Zaha is in my team, so cheering for Arsenal to win, but without clean sheet, since I would like Zaha to score as well

~snip
But damn, this season it will be even more difficult to get yellow cap.

So, today is the day! Folks, congratulations with a start of new season. Wish luck for your supported teams and don't lose too much in betting 
Almost 60 participants, not bad. I see many new names and seems that not everyone already joined Superbru. But damn, this season it will be even more difficult to get yellow cap.

One more point. I did gamble on the first match day last season on brentford to win their first game, incidentally against Arsenal who also opens the season. If I were not a Liverpool supporter I would take Fulham any day. Value odds!

West Ham over 8/1 and Brighton over 5/1 also feel value to me wink nudge.

it is completely different to play in a pool and to bet
in the pool, consistency matters, and few downs on favorites would not make you and bad (while on betting you need six wins from City for one lost match, if you bet on a single game, City to win (on a average 1.16 odds))
, so basically it is probably 6 or 7 from the pool, while break even on bets

on the other hand, betting on underdogs, you need one in seven to break even (on a average odds 7), and you would end up with 1 from 7 points in the pool, probably with a bat

personally, I do not look on other picks in the pool for any betting

-snip
I must admit that betting-wise, I bet every game against City it's been profitable for 4 seasons already, and from the odds I see so far, it's the only advice I'd give on betting. I also did it on the pool for the first 3 seasons (also, many games against the Big Six), but last season I played a completely different strategy (no more blind predictions on the underdogs) and I did significantly better (in fact, same improvements across all the pools I played).

Don't trust anyone to keep the same strat this season

This is my first time in the pool, so I want to clarify some things: what is the forecast deadline? Crystal Palace vs Arsenal are playing tomorrow at 21:00, what is the latest time I can make a prediction? And what does "Lock" mean in the forecast interface? Until I press the lock can I change my prediction?

Okay, thanks for the explanations. I don't really see much point in peeking at other people's predictions, but I agree that when I bet I often need "approving" opinions or similar predictions in order to be more courageous in betting. Often, some odds seem too good and it's hard to believe that there's no catch in them.

A piece of advice when you're looking to pick opinion from the pool to place a bet, just know that the pool can often be evenly divided especially in games with no distinct favorites and following users having tendency to have the following prediction pattern or you could say bias and you might not want to include them in your sample sizes; buwaytress (Sojourner) hates Man City to the guts so you are likely to see him go for upsets against them more often, Hhampuz often is very unpredictable, this is probably the guy I'm very less familiar with his way of making picks, times I tend to think he just does them randomly, and Hilarious is the draw guy in my opinion, when I can't make clear cut decisions about games, I'd say to myself Hilarious has probably gone for a draw here, I doubt there is game week where he wouldn't have picked a draw or two at least., and LFC Bitcoin tends to go for a wider winning margins when it comes to clear favorites vs underdogs games, If the whole season should end with score like 5-1, 4-1, 4-0, Trofo and myself would probably be at the bottom of the table, but LFC_Bitcoin would be at one of the top spots, I'm certain!, I often share the same picks pattern with Trofo and Halab, more than anyone other set of individuals in the pool.


I've not locked any of my picks yet, but I can guess that LFC Bitcoin would likely have a 4-0 or 4-1 Liverpool to win over Fulham, Trofo and Halab are more of the 3-0 guys there, Hilarious is very likely to have gone for a draw in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa, and If anyone would go for West Ham to win over Man City, Hhampuz and Buwaytress are your guys...

Harko analysing our PL pool users, looking for patterns and calculating probabilities