Someone knows something. Think it might be Sam or Andreas? If I were them and I knew we'd be hitting our target, I'd place that bet. Heck ya. That's the whole purpose of an information market, to monetize sharing expectations. And only someone really confident or with insider info is gonna spend
(damn, bitcoin being worth more than $100 is really screwing with my estimated math these days )
Or someone's either a gambling addict or they've got a massive amount of BTC and 15BTC isn't a lot to them. I would have put more in but right now I'm doing all my bitcoin "gambling" with labcoin stock Paying off a lot better then this bet will, so far.
I did put in a yes bet earlier when the odds were better.
Even if they had working prototype it would be hard to assembly+ship all preordered units in time - look at BFL
Heard of automated manufacturing lines (as opposed to BFL's manual labour crew)?
Actually, my guess would be they're doing manual assembly. The thing is - unlike what BFL tried to do with insourcing that, there are actually companies out there you can hire to do your box building for you. Foxconn is the well known example, but companies like that exist everywhere. Here in the U.S as well as sweeden, I'm sure.
The cost and time to setup an automated line aren't insubstantial, and for a small run of a few hundred to a thousand units it might be cheaper to hire humans to do it, even at sweedish rates. You can see their system will be quite simple to install. You just take a metal frame, stick in 2-5 circuit boards (depending on the thing thing) Connect a few wires, and then screw in the heatsinks. It shouldn't take more then 5 minutes. They don't even need to attach the PSU.