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Topic: Swedish ASIC miner company kncminer.com - page 401. (Read 3050076 times)

hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1004
buy silver!
Did anyone find someone that fixes these franken jupiter boards?
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
Quote
Completely disagree with you. They aren't going with a die shrink, they are improving their design and building it on a 20nm process.

Didn't know they changed the design. Got a source for that?

I have only heard that 20nm is not cost effective as you can see here:

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
I am waiting to see what KNC and Bitmain do in the next month or so before I commit any more money to equipment.
The SP30 could well be still born ...


I thought we are supposed to see what KNC will to THIS month, not next month! That means a nice 1 month delay for Neptune pre-orders. Very nice! Shill more for your fail company please!

Neptune this month, S3 next month dumb ass.

Just 15 days left for this month. Care to have a 0.5 bet on KnC delivering Neptune this month?
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1014
ex uno plures
So, the long and short of it is that we are getting to the point on the profitability curve where if a company hasn't already made the very large investments needed to stay competitive over the next few years, they are out of business. Its is clear to me that KNC, so far, has made all the correct strategic moves to ensure that they are a leader in this market for the foreseeable future.

Completely disagree. I think they are shooting themselves in the foot by going with a die shrink to 20nm instead of improving their design.

Completely disagree with you. They aren't going with a die shrink, they are improving their design and building it on a 20nm process.
This will provide the foundation for continuous future evolution via die shrinks of their products without additional large capital investments of the sort Neptune required. As mining profitability shrinks into the single digit % ROI, its going to be very hard for equipment companies to invest large sums in future R&D. Now is probably the last window of opportunity for major re-designs of equipment. KNC knows mining and they did the right thing at the right time.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1014
ex uno plures
I am waiting to see what KNC and Bitmain do in the next month or so before I commit any more money to equipment.
The SP30 could well be still born ...


I thought we are supposed to see what KNC will to THIS month, not next month! That means a nice 1 month delay for Neptune pre-orders. Very nice! Shill more for your fail company please!

Neptune this month, S3 next month dumb ass.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
I am waiting to see what KNC and Bitmain do in the next month or so before I commit any more money to equipment.
The SP30 could well be still born ...


I thought we are supposed to see what KNC will to THIS month, not next month! That means a nice 1 month delay for Neptune pre-orders. Very nice! Shill more for your fail company please!
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV

lol  Grin

ya, hard to see the dark side is

Still, I´m hoping, although I´m very thursty now
There's always the chance they are diverting a fater-fall... or a hefty storm coming....(very small chance) fingers crossed
Frustrating all this secrecy it is....
newbie
Activity: 37
Merit: 0
thx..  also...  The mower's 0-Gh/s has a better btc return than any Miner I see right now...lol

meh, nothing in-stock worth looking at just now; and i just plain refuse to go down any alt-route.
hence just buying up more coins today - gotta put friday the 13th to some use huh?
Oh shizzle... Friday the 13th.....  Good thing it's tomorrow.... lol

***Weren't we told by KNC there would be news by today on the Cloud-hashing contracts?  
("Later this week" in the news)
Looks like yet another broken promise.....  I wonder now if they actually WANT people to refund...?
and where the hell are the pics of our 20nm wafers when they taped out weeks ago?
Any cutting edge chip developer should have been proud to post the pics of something like that I'd think...?

I keep coming to the well for water, but finding it dry when I was promised the most refreshing water ever.
They left a note though... "We got the water! more news about the best water ever coming later this week".
and although I paid in advance for my best water ever, there are people walking by with water from 7-11 that was cheaper and delivered sooner. That's okay, because they've promised to give me double the water I paid for, even though I may die of dehydration(Difficulty) before they arrive and meanwhile the 7-11 guys are enjoying Big-Gulps hoping my well never has water in it, hovering like vultures, cursing my beloved water provider when I just know they are as pure as the driven snow.  Roll Eyes
and its now the last day of the week... no sign of moisture even.



lol  Grin

ya, hard to see the dark side is

Still, I´m hoping, although I´m very thursty now
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV
thx..  also...  The mower's 0-Gh/s has a better btc return than any Miner I see right now...lol

meh, nothing in-stock worth looking at just now; and i just plain refuse to go down any alt-route.
hence just buying up more coins today - gotta put friday the 13th to some use huh?
Oh shizzle... Friday the 13th.....  Good thing it's tomorrow.... lol

***Weren't we told by KNC there would be news by today on the Cloud-hashing contracts?  
("Later this week" in the news)
Looks like yet another broken promise.....  I wonder now if they actually WANT people to refund...?
and where the hell are the pics of our 20nm wafers when they taped out weeks ago?
Any cutting edge chip developer should have been proud to post the pics of something like that I'd think...?

I keep coming to the well for water, but finding it dry when I was promised the most refreshing water ever.
They left a note though... "We got the water! more news about the best water ever coming later this week".
and although I paid in advance for my best water ever, there are people walking by with water from 7-11 that was cheaper and delivered sooner. That's okay, because they've promised to give me double the water I paid for, even though I may die of dehydration(Difficulty) before they arrive and meanwhile the 7-11 guys are enjoying Big-Gulps hoping my well never has water in it, hovering like vultures, cursing my beloved water provider when I just know they are as pure as the driven snow.  Roll Eyes
and its now the last day of the week... no sign of moisture even.

hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
So far, the Chinese have been evolutionary in their approach. This is probably because they haven't had the capital, or expectations of reasonable returns, to invest in large die 20nm ASIC development. They deploy 'old technology' at scale, with tuning to meet short term market demands. After this current generation of Chinese mining technology, they will be faced with the choice of either having to make significant investment in their own 20nm ASICs or exit the market. My guess is that several Chinese manufacturers will join together in a consortium to fund the needed investment and share the results. Eventually, they will consolidate.

I agree that the chinese have been revolutionary but it is not because they lacked capital (hence no preorders). They did not go with 20nm for the same reason everyone else didn't, which is because the costs outweigh the benefits.

Quote
KNC was fortunate in their timing and invested profit from their successful first products and their mining revenue into large die 20nm technology. We'll soon discover what kind of performance this yields. My guess is a 1st in Class machine that they can then node shrink to 14nm without a lot of risk or expense to enable them to stay competitive well into the point on the mining profitability curve where others can not compete because there is too much risk to capital returns.

KNC 20nm will be ~0.7w/gh at the wall assuming the 30% increased efficiency per die shrink. This puts their 20nm chip on par with bitfuries 55nm chip in terms of efficiency. If bitfury makes a 28nm chip it will certainly destroy everything on the market today.

Also large die 20nm technology is not the ideal solution for bitcoin mining. Each chip will need a powerful cooler (most likely water cooled). A bunch of small and efficient 8mm chips with a shared heatsink is a much more cost effective solution.


Quote
Other existing mining equipment manufacturers fall somewhere between these two cases, some relying on die shrinks of old technology to stay competitive, others investing in 28nm and 40nm designs and mostly falling on their faces leaving a trail of unhappy pre-order investors in their wake.

The face falling has to do with the preorders not the process size.

Quote
So, the long and short of it is that we are getting to the point on the profitability curve where if a company hasn't already made the very large investments needed to stay competitive over the next few years, they are out of business. Its is clear to me that KNC, so far, has made all the correct strategic moves to ensure that they are a leader in this market for the foreseeable future.

Completely disagree. I think they are shooting themselves in the foot by going with a die shrink to 20nm instead of improving their design.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
thx..  also...  The mower's 0-Gh/s has a better btc return than any Miner I see right now...lol

meh, nothing in-stock worth looking at just now; and i just plain refuse to go down any alt-route.
hence just buying up more coins today - gotta put friday the 13th to some use huh?
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
A zero-Turn John-Deere mower...
and a 2005 Silverado 2500 HD 4x4 crew I get Saturday if all goes right...

sweet, what's the w/gh on the mower?  Wink
I used to have an old 'apache' (i think that was the name of it) for the acre in lincolnshire - after the council ordered us to destroy the ragwort or face prosecution, it was a must - along-with the strimmer and the tin of petrol to get the bonfire going.
Yeah. lol... Nothing works quite like incineration, but I like my place actually.... hehe It's a 48' deck, which replaces an old LT2000 craftsman regular crappy 36" rider that I've ran into the rocks a few too many times until the deck rusted apart, and the mandrel sent the blade thru the deck... time for a noob.... 3 acres to mow. Now at least I have something to show from the Jupiters... although I'll keep the mower, the silvrado is an investment for resale

cool, best luck getting the wagon at a good price.
thx..  also...  The mower's 0-Gh/s has a better btc return than any Miner I see right now...lol
Yeah... the wagon is a "Good deal". A divorcee who has to liquidate selling @ 1/2 Blue book price and I was a "Goodwrench"
Mech for many years... So the plan is to turn it over before all the BTC liquidations happen to be ready to buy back in.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
A zero-Turn John-Deere mower...
and a 2005 Silverado 2500 HD 4x4 crew I get Saturday if all goes right...

sweet, what's the w/gh on the mower?  Wink
I used to have an old 'apache' (i think that was the name of it) for the acre in lincolnshire - after the council ordered us to destroy the ragwort or face prosecution, it was a must - along-with the strimmer and the tin of petrol to get the bonfire going.
Yeah. lol... Nothing works quite like incineration, but I like my place actually.... hehe It's a 48' deck, which replaces an old LT2000 craftsman regular crappy 36" rider that I've ran into the rocks a few too many times until the deck rusted apart, and the mandrel sent the blade thru the deck... time for a noob.... 3 acres to mow. Now at least I have something to show from the Jupiters... although I'll keep the mower, the silvrado is an investment for resale

cool, best luck getting the wagon at a good price.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
A zero-Turn John-Deere mower...
and a 2005 Silverado 2500 HD 4x4 crew I get Saturday if all goes right...

sweet, what's the w/gh on the mower?  Wink
I used to have an old 'apache' (i think that was the name of it) for the acre in lincolnshire - after the council ordered us to destroy the ragwort or face prosecution, it was a must - along-with the strimmer and the tin of petrol to get the bonfire going.
Yeah. lol... Nothing works quite like incineration, but I like my place actually.... hehe It's a 48' deck, which replaces an old LT2000 craftsman regular crappy 36" rider that I've ran into the rocks a few too many times until the deck rusted apart, and the mandrel sent the blade thru the deck... time for a noob.... 3 acres to mow. Now at least I have something to show from the Jupiters... although I'll keep the mower, the silvrado is an investment for resale.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
A zero-Turn John-Deere mower...
and a 2005 Silverado 2500 HD 4x4 crew I get Saturday if all goes right...

sweet, what's the w/gh on the mower?  Wink
I used to have an old 'apache' (i think that was the name of it) for the acre in lincolnshire - after the council ordered us to destroy the ragwort or face prosecution, it was a must - along-with the strimmer and the tin of petrol to get the bonfire going.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
A zero-Turn John-Deere mower...
and a 2005 Silverado 2500 HD 4x4 crew I get Saturday if all goes right...
Thought I better before I trade away all my profitz...lol
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.

what'd ya buy? I'm gonna use some of mine to get a holiday via expedia... thinking Israel for xmas  Grin
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!
Yeah, I'm a "Glutton for punishment"  I was busy spending all my coin... lol.
Got any good insults for me to start the day?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250


16nm is next, which they also began in October with allchip.

Eric!

good to see you've caught up! finally!

note: end of march - https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/20nm-delays-551261
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
LIR DEV
For ego maybe but its not cost effective:

It cost maunfacturers $500-600 per TH now and thats only 1.5w/gh performance, KNC cant even buy at price because they dont manufacture the chips themselves.  Prob cost them  $1000 TH to build their machines.

Samsonn25, no bitcoin ASIC miner company manufactures their own chips. They all have similar design and foundry costs.


Companies in China can design and manufacture faster for themselves.  Such as bitmain and others.  Less r and d now because they improve what they can from previous gen. Not trying to be pioneers as time is too much of a risk factor.

Samsonn25, there is an interesting dynamic developing in the bitcoin ecosystem that people should consider when they think about the possible evolution of the mining and miner manufacturing industry. There are points on the mining profitability curve where miners can justify spending the kind of money on new equipment that allow miner manufacturers to accept the risk of the significant capital R&D costs needed to produce the next generation of technology. And there are points on the curve where the risk is unacceptable and miner manufacturers evolve existing technology.

So far, the Chinese have been evolutionary in their approach. This is probably because they haven't had the capital, or expectations of reasonable returns, to invest in large die 20nm ASIC development. They deploy 'old technology' at scale, with tuning to meet short term market demands. After this current generation of Chinese mining technology, they will be faced with the choice of either having to make significant investment in their own 20nm ASICs or exit the market. My guess is that several Chinese manufacturers will join together in a consortium to fund the needed investment and share the results. Eventually, they will consolidate.

KNC was fortunate in their timing and invested profit from their successful first products and their mining revenue into large die 20nm technology. We'll soon discover what kind of performance this yields. My guess is a 1st in Class machine that they can then node shrink to 14nm without a lot of risk or expense to enable them to stay competitive well into the point on the mining profitability curve where others can not compete because there is too much risk to capital returns.

Other existing mining equipment manufacturers fall somewhere between these two cases, some relying on die shrinks of old technology to stay competitive, others investing in 28nm and 40nm designs and mostly falling on their faces leaving a trail of unhappy pre-order investors in their wake.

So, the long and short of it is that we are getting to the point on the profitability curve where if a company hasn't already made the very large investments needed to stay competitive over the next few years, they are out of business. Its is clear to me that KNC, so far, has made all the correct strategic moves to ensure that they are a leader in this market for the foreseeable future.

If Spondoolies can pull off the investment needed for their post-28nm technology they have a chance. But the mining profitability curve is working against them.



16nm is next, which they also began in October with Allchip, at the same time they started 20nm
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