Tennis League All Thread - page 141.

Trofo

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Quote from: babygun on March 25, 2023, 12:07:52 PM

I am not convinced that in the long end this is profitable. It doesn’t make sense to combine multiple 1.01 or 1.02 odds as the total odd is still low. It can go good for a long time but you only need to lose 1 or 2 of this bets and all your profit will be gone. Everybody needs to have their own betting strategy but I tried this in the past and didn’t end up in profit in the long end.

Same here, I am almost never playing odds lower then 1.6, seems to me like the chance to get them wrong is almost the same and payout is nowhere near as good if you actually get them.

I am always looking for games or set handicaps in tennis, both can be very profitable if used properly.

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Quote from: aoluain on March 25, 2023, 02:41:32 AM

Yes, thats one of the best ways of adding value to low odds. I won my first combo's
yesterday with 6 matches and a $2 stake ^{im not a high roller, my stakes wont make or break me 😉}.
Thanks to Trofo regarding Muchova but it was Fucsovics v Rune which added the value.

Todays combo may not turn out the same way though:

Felix AA, Norrie, Medvedev, Tsitsipas and Tiafoe all to win.

I am not convinced that in the long end this is profitable. It doesn’t make sense to combine multiple 1.01 or 1.02 odds as the total odd is still low. It can go good for a long time but you only need to lose 1 or 2 of this bets and all your profit will be gone. Everybody needs to have their own betting strategy but I tried this in the past and didn’t end up in profit in the long end.

Ayers

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Quote from: Strongkored on March 24, 2023, 02:32:43 AM

Quote from: Ayers on March 23, 2023, 11:45:01 AM

I know we are expecting surprises. But I still think that Sinner is going to be the winner.

What surprises could there be in today's game? looks like everything will end with the seed going to win in today's match.
Sinner vs L. Đere, it looks like it's just going to be a close match with the win staying with Sinner, he's been pretty stable up until now.
JJ. Wolf vs A. Rublev, the young player Wolf can make things difficult for Rublev but just like Sinner won, the seeded Rublev will also win.

Sinner was able to win against Dere and it was certainly not very close in my opinion. Sinner got the win relatively easily in the end. Which was of course expected in my opinion.

Rublev vs Wolf was a relatively closer one compared to the Sinner match. The first set between Rublev and Wolf was really close. I thought it was going to go to three sets. But Rublev had a good performance in the second set.

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Quote from: Strongkored on March 25, 2023, 08:24:40 AM

...
Jiří Lehečka vs Lorenzo Musetti will be one of the early matches of the day, this match will be an even match and it is difficult to predict who will win, as the 18th seed in this tournament does not make Musetti the favorite for the bookmakers because Jiří Lehečka is predicted by the bookies to win this match, but I think it will still be a game that is difficult to predict who wins.

Musetti is playing strongly, and he is a decent player. Bear in mind he is only 21 years old.
In November he has been able to beat Ruud or Cilic, or able to win against Berrettini (Napoli Cup) in two sets, so is not for sure a kind of "underdog".
But in the last tournaments he has lost at first match (!) practically all tournaments played this year 2023.

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Quote from: serveria.com on March 24, 2023, 02:57:20 PM

Watched a great match today: Sakkari v Andreescu. Andreescu is back on top of her form, playing her best tennis. I feel quite confident betting on her. She won this one in three.

The meeting of the two players is always a long match, the first set the two players played equally solidly but several turns broke the opponent's serve Sakkari managed to take this initial set, the second set I think Andreescu will find it increasingly difficult to beat Sakkari who is still quite solid so I didn't continue to finish watching the match and it turns out that Sakkari lost, the result this time was not as good as where at Indiana Wells where Sakkari made it to the semifinals.

Quote from: serveria.com on March 24, 2023, 02:57:20 PM

I will make some "easy" bets today: Ruud v Ivashka, Sabalenka v Rogers, Alcarazv Bagnis, Sinnerv Djere easy money, maybe will even go for a combo!

Congratulations because all the players you have chosen won quite easily

Quote from: serveria.com on March 24, 2023, 02:57:20 PM

Almost forgot this one: Zverev v Daniel - as easy as taking a cookie from a baby!

Zverev lost in only two sets even in the first set he was unable to get a single game, is there something wrong with him? not sure and the second set was not enough for Zverev to take the match to the third as his serve was broken again by Daniel and he lost.

Jiří Lehečka vs Lorenzo Musetti will be one of the early matches of the day, this match will be an even match and it is difficult to predict who will win, as the 18th seed in this tournament does not make Musetti the favorite for the bookmakers because Jiří Lehečka is predicted by the bookies to win this match, but I think it will still be a game that is difficult to predict who wins.

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Quote from: aoluain on March 25, 2023, 02:41:32 AM

~snip
Yes, thats one of the best ways of adding value to low odds. I won my first combo's

congrats man, roll does not matter, it is odds that you pick
I am also not high roller, I usually play with beer money to get things at more interesting level, and that should be seen as entertainment

understand that there are some people trying to get a life out of bookies, but I don't think that it is that easy, if you want to find some value spots, you have to dig dipper, and then it is like a regular job, but salary is under question

shogun47

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Once more we have seen a very typical Zverev and on the other side we have seen a very typical Alcaraz. That is the biggest problem for the German guy. He might even be able to beat Alcaraz in a spectacular game a few times, but he will never be able to keep up a top class performance over the course of several tournaments within a year. We have been observing and saying that for years now and everyone said he is still young (I said that too), but if you lose your first game in a tournament like that, how is that even possible when you are a guy who is thriving to become the world's best player? Zverev plays amazing games, but he doesn't mature anymore. He can't be consistent and he probably never will.

aoluain

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Quote from: serveria.com on March 24, 2023, 02:57:20 PM

Watched a great match today: Sakkari v Andreescu. Andreescu is back on top of her form, playing her best tennis. I feel quite confident betting on her. She won this one in three.

Other exciting matches to watch/bet on today:

ATP: Huesler v Paul - I wouldn't bet on this one should be very intense but also very interesting. Fucsovics v Rune will be another thriller match!
WTA: Kvitova v Noskova - also can't recommend for betting but it will be fun to watch! Also Fernandez v Bencic worth watching!

I don't normally watch/bet on doubles but this one is super-interesting: Fruhvirtova sisters v Pegula/Gauff!

I will make some "easy" bets today: Ruud v Ivashka, Sabalenka v Rogers, Alcarazv Bagnis, Sinnerv Djere easy money, maybe will even go for a combo!

Almost forgot this one: Zverev v Daniel - as easy as taking a cookie from a baby!

Yes, thats one of the best ways of adding value to low odds. I won my first combo's
yesterday with 6 matches and a $2 stake ^{im not a high roller, my stakes wont make or break me 😉}.
Thanks to Trofo regarding Muchova but it was Fucsovics v Rune which added the value.

Todays combo may not turn out the same way though:

Felix AA, Norrie, Medvedev, Tsitsipas and Tiafoe all to win.

serveria.com

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Watched a great match today: Sakkari v Andreescu. Andreescu is back on top of her form, playing her best tennis. I feel quite confident betting on her. She won this one in three.

Other exciting matches to watch/bet on today:

ATP: Huesler v Paul - I wouldn't bet on this one should be very intense but also very interesting. Fucsovics v Rune will be another thriller match!
WTA: Kvitova v Noskova - also can't recommend for betting but it will be fun to watch! Also Fernandez v Bencic worth watching!

I don't normally watch/bet on doubles but this one is super-interesting: Fruhvirtova sisters v Pegula/Gauff!

I will make some "easy" bets today: Ruud v Ivashka, Sabalenka v Rogers, Alcarazv Bagnis, Sinnerv Djere easy money, maybe will even go for a combo!

Almost forgot this one: Zverev v Daniel - as easy as taking a cookie from a baby!

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Quote from: Strongkored on March 23, 2023, 07:47:44 AM

L. Sonego vs D. Thiem so far after recovering from injury Thiem has not been able to do many things especially as a non-seeded player in the draw which will be quite a burden for him because he often directly meets tough opponents and this time it is still in doubt whether he can beat Sonego and keep going.

And so it was. Thiem lost in two sets. Although he managed a tiebreak in the first set, he lost 2:6 in the second set. Sonego will meet Evans, who was seeded directly, in the next round.

The interesting matches will start today. Bautista against Ruusuvuori for example. That could be a match over 3 sets. And of course Alcaraz against Bagnis. Number 1 against number 100. That will be a fast round.

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Quote from: aoluain on March 24, 2023, 02:23:08 AM

Me too, I am dissapointed Murray lost ^{obviously because I had a bet on him!} but yea
it happens but probably not too often to the top players that often.

All the top seeds in the round of 64 play today including Alcaraz who plays Bagnis,
and Medvedev tomorrow plays Carballés Baena.

Interested to see how this pans out for both and when and if they meet each other again!

Many peoples like me those were feeling this is free money now having nothing to cry about this because in sports results like these never been new recently we have too many surprises, so things like these can happen in any event with against any players but surely big disappointment for the Murray fans because mostly were feeling now he is improving and can do better in coming days but suddenly this lost is going to break hearts.

Now, today many big players are going to play their respective matches, and now I am also going to have another big parlay because with this defeat suddenly things going bad but hopefully now today we will have better results with mostly favorite players will be winning their matches, and we will also have our account into green.

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both Sinner and Alcaraz are strongly favorite today with bad odds Sad

(too low...) and I guess both matches not deserve an interest for a bet.
Interestingly Sinner has loss 2 times vs Djere (clay surface, but meanwhile 1 time he has won in hard surface)

Strongkored

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Rybakina finally won her match against A. Kalinsyaka, it was supposed to be a two-set match but in the second set Rybakina made enough mistakes so that Kalinskaya managed to take this set after behind 2-4, the third set was still a tight match but Kalinskaya's important points gave a lot point for her opponent so that Rybakina wins.

Quote from: Ayers on March 23, 2023, 11:45:01 AM

I know we are expecting surprises. But I still think that Sinner is going to be the winner.

What surprises could there be in today's game? looks like everything will end with the seed going to win in today's match.
Sinner vs L. Đere, it looks like it's just going to be a close match with the win staying with Sinner, he's been pretty stable up until now.
JJ. Wolf vs A. Rublev, the young player Wolf can make things difficult for Rublev but just like Sinner won, the seeded Rublev will also win.

aoluain

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Quote from: bct_ail on March 23, 2023, 09:59:23 AM

Quote from: Strongkored on March 23, 2023, 07:47:44 AM

Quote from: bitbollo on March 23, 2023, 06:12:02 AM

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.

I thought Murray would be able to easily beat Lajovic but this was quite surprising especially he lost in straight sets, didn't see the match so don't know exactly how he played but usually Murray will be able to go at least 2-3 rounds before finally meeting a tougher opponent and lose

Yes, I was also very surprised that Murray did not win. Have not watch the match either but was a bit surprised that he lost in the first round. I would be interested to know what happened.

Actually the match between Ruusuvuori and Krajinovic was supposed to start right away. But that match was cancelled. So Ruusuvuori will play against Bautista tomorrow.
Another interesting match could be Lehečka against Coria. Otherwise the matches that interest me more will start tomorrow.

Me too, I am dissapointed Murray lost ^{obviously because I had a bet on him!} but yea
it happens but probably not too often to the top players that often.

All the top seeds in the round of 64 play today including Alcaraz who plays Bagnis,
and Medvedev tomorrow plays Carballés Baena.

Interested to see how this pans out for both and when and if they meet each other again!

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Quote from: bitbollo on March 23, 2023, 06:12:02 AM

well, Alcaraz in a fit condition is one of the best player of the seed and clear impossible to be beat. But let's see, when top players are playing is not uncommon to see some surprises.

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.
Also Djere seems able to fight at good level against Sinner (previous match he was winner...)

Lajovic beated Murray pretty easily and we already have a big surprise at the start of the tournament. Also i dont think Alcaraz will win two tournament in a row. I dont think he has that kind of experience to win two big tournaments in row so he might even lose before the semi finals

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Quote from: bitbollo on March 23, 2023, 06:12:02 AM

well, Alcaraz in a fit condition is one of the best player of the seed and clear impossible to be beat. But let's see, when top players are playing is not uncommon to see some surprises.

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.
Also Djere seems able to fight at good level against Sinner (previous match he was winner...)

Murray was never supposed to lose that match. That was really a big surprise. His opponent performed really well compared to him. Considering the fact that we all thought this was not going to be a win for Lajović, I think it was a convincing performance from him.

I know we are expecting surprises. But I still think that Sinner is going to be the winner.

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Quote from: Strongkored on March 23, 2023, 07:47:44 AM

Quote from: bitbollo on March 23, 2023, 06:12:02 AM

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.

I thought Murray would be able to easily beat Lajovic but this was quite surprising especially he lost in straight sets, didn't see the match so don't know exactly how he played but usually Murray will be able to go at least 2-3 rounds before finally meeting a tougher opponent and lose

Yes, I was also very surprised that Murray did not win. Have not watch the match either but was a bit surprised that he lost in the first round. I would be interested to know what happened.

Actually the match between Ruusuvuori and Krajinovic was supposed to start right away. But that match was cancelled. So Ruusuvuori will play against Bautista tomorrow.
Another interesting match could be Lehečka against Coria. Otherwise the matches that interest me more will start tomorrow.

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Quote from: aoluain on March 21, 2023, 02:33:15 AM

In the cases of Alcaraz, Medvedev and Swiatek, would you go close to "all in" with whatever
wagers you plan on doing?

I mean all three should make it to at least the quarter finals...

The number one ranked tennis player and also the first seed at the Miami Open Iga Swiatek has withdrawn after a rib injury which she said was quite disturbing https://www.wtatennis.com/news/3118945/defending-champion-swiatek-withdraws-from-miami
With this news, must choose another player who is stable enough to be able to progress to at least the quarterfinals, Sinner could be on the list because he's looked good so far, C. Ruud and Tsitsipas haven't been very convincing so far so it's better not to put them in the betting list.

Quote from: bitbollo on March 23, 2023, 06:12:02 AM

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.

I thought Murray would be able to easily beat Lajovic but this was quite surprising especially he lost in straight sets, didn't see the match so don't know exactly how he played but usually Murray will be able to go at least 2-3 rounds before finally meeting a tougher opponent and lose

L. Sonego vs D. Thiem so far after recovering from injury Thiem has not been able to do many things especially as a non-seeded player in the draw which will be quite a burden for him because he often directly meets tough opponents and this time it is still in doubt whether he can beat Sonego and keep going.

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well, Alcaraz in a fit condition is one of the best player of the seed and clear impossible to be beat. But let's see, when top players are playing is not uncommon to see some surprises.

The biggest surprises that I have seen was yesterday in the match Murray vs Lajovic.
Also Djere seems able to fight at good level against Sinner (previous match he was winner...)

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Quote from: aoluain on March 23, 2023, 02:26:14 AM

Quote from: Trofo on March 22, 2023, 03:58:34 PM

Quote from: aoluain on March 22, 2023, 01:58:40 PM

^
Disappointing from Teichmann, she got bagel'd in the first set. I thought she would do good
things this year but it hasnt started that way.

What did you expect was gonna happen in this match? Muchova is one of the girls in best form on the whole tour and I wouldn't be surprised to see her go far in Miami. I will probably bet on her all the way. Did not expect 6:0 in first set but I did expect a clean 2:0 win and covering of 4.5 handicap. Since it is easy to talk after the match I'll add the proof as well Grin

like yourself, didnt expect such a poor result from her, only winning 2 games, very poor.

Quote from: shogun47 on March 22, 2023, 05:52:31 PM

Quote from: cryptofrka on March 22, 2023, 07:43:39 AM

Quote from: shogun47 on March 21, 2023, 02:36:14 PM

I would also not be surprised if Alcaraz becomes the player who is going to blast through Djokovic's number 1 weeks record. Djokovic was 24 years old when he first became number 1. I know that is still a very long way to go and yes, it will be a lot about his health as well. But the way he competes and also the rest of the competition seems to be inferior.

Different times - when Đoković started you had titans such as Federer and Nadal in their prime, players like Murray in the mix as well.
Top 10 were del Potro and Wawrinka, players that could beat you any day of the week.

Currently when I look at the top 10, other than Alcaraz there isn't a player who I can see constantly challenging for titles.

That's actually what I meant to say. Now only looking at the time Alcaraz seems to have left to also collect some easy number 1 weeks, it probably comes down to his health only. Unless there is another rising star on the horizon that we can't see yet. His level is insane at the age of 19 and even though when Medvedev, Tsitsipas, Zverev etc. are all great players, they are not his level.

I agree, Alcaraz seems to have all the tools at his disposal to be No.1 for a long time,
the only caveat is staying injury free.

and ATM based on his performance at Indian Wells there is nobody at his level currently.
I definitely think Medvedev is better than the result in that final portrays.

Medvedev has just won 3 titles in a row before Indian Wells and he's 27 (not that young anymore huh?) vs 19yo Alcaraz! Medvedev needs a good rest right now. The problem is that clay season is right around the corner. But if the surface is fast enough (US Open?) I'm sure he'll be able to give Alcaraz a fight!

Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 141. (Read 203246 times)