Topic: Terrence Crawford vs Errol Spence - July 29 - page 16. (Read 2371 times)

the problem with betting on this type of fight in which both fighters are specialists in knockouts and that both fighters have equal chances of winning, and betting on who will win the fight becomes the same as counting on luck, because no matter how much one fighter be very resistant to take a lot of punches and stay on your feet when he fights against another fighter who specializes in knockout so he will receive very strong punches and having to take all that pressure will be difficult soon what will happen is that the first fighter who lands a punch very strong in a region of the opponent's body in which it is a vital region, so it will be the fighter who will come out of this fight as the winner

there are a few weeks left, something like 2 weeks for the fight to start but I can see it on this site:


source: https://talksport.com/sport/boxing/1435155/terence-crawford-v-errol-spence-jr-live-stream-date-time-ringwalks-undercard/

Will we not see another date later? lately I have seen the dates of the fights being changed with a lot of frequency. anyway, the two fighters will have more time to prepare for the fight, but I hope that another event that draws more attention doesn't happen in July and overshadow this fight, because putting a fight further away will always have a problem, it would be very well if the fight was this month, but anyway we will see the fight next month if there is no postponement

While 70% is really a good knockout rate, the majority of their knockout win is not that they able to finished their respective opponent in an impressive knockout win by a single KO punch. It's different from those well-known KO-type boxers that able to finished their opponent in a single knockout punch.

Both Crawford and Spence most knockout wins are done thru having several knockout punches on the match, not by a single one. It means most of their opponents who tasted being KO by both Crawford and Spence still able to stand on their feet on that first KO punch and continue to fight until the last phase of the match.

With that kind of strength, that makes me think that either Errol Spence or Terence Crawford won't have the KO win as they are durable enough to lasts until the last round even they will experienced an exchange of KO. To make this short, both boxers can suffered a KO down but not a KO win as after being down, they will try to found ways to lasts long.

On who will have the most KO punch, will have an edge on the judges final score.

But those who fall victims at that Knock Out wins by both Terence Crawford and Errol Spence are not even within their circle.

Therefore, I can disregard that knockout rate as a part of the analysis. That percentage has nothing to do now because the fight is now between the current top boxers at the Welterweight right now and not anyone else above them. If they are about to face instead a mandatory title defense against a contender, we can however include that knockout rate in our analysis.

If this fight will end in a KO win, we don't know who will able to do that. It's like who can execute properly the right timing for that knock out punch to send either one of them on the canvass. But honestly, not expecting to see them being KO.

I will bet this fight winning in a "controversial decision". lol

Right and I think it's an easy route for Spence too as he was given a chance to get the WBA belt from Ugas. While Spence is fighting undefeated fighters like Jose Benavidez Jr. and Egidijus Kavaliauskas.

Nevertheless, it's style that makes the fight. So really hard to compare both of their wins against Porter or even Kell Brook for that matter.

What's important is now we will finally see who is really the best of this division, Crawford just a slight favorite because of his shiftiness, he can just switch stance for orthodox to south paw very quick.

Yeah, just take a look with the voting result, it's already clear majority of users think Crawford is better than Spence.



You're correct too, there's no way to say Spence is stronger than Crawford, just take a look from their both history, Crawford was winning easily by KO in his recent 8 fought while Spence was struggling when he fought a good boxer e.g. Shawn Porter.

Spence only win from the total belts he currently have, but people are think Crawford will win. This situation quite similar where people think Tank is better than Haney.

This is what makes things more interesting and exciting because even us here in the forum are divided very well, I guess the majority (assuming) are going with Crawford and some are into Spence Jr. as well. While it's true that their power appears to be equal but I certainly don't agree with Spence being the stronger, physically. I mean, what would be the basis of that? I think it's already fair to agree that their prowess are close which leaves most fans unable to choose what camp should they go into.

These two fighters will be more difficult to predict because they both have quite an epic history of fighting but Crawford still holds the advantage with the several titles he has and has more total wins by knockout than Spence so it's only natural that Odds wins by knockout for Crawford is lower.
Many boxing experts said Crawford would win the fight by knockout.

As for the victory by decision I'm not sure I can succeed because it looks like this fight will finish before the last round.
If betting I prefer to place a bet with a KO win on Crawford.

https://www.sports-king.com/fights/errol-spence-jr-terence-crawford-betting/


The old betting odds indicated that Crawford was the slight favorite, although it was a close call. Therefore, I'm not surprised by the current betting odds. If we consider their achievements as champions, it's evident that Spence has more accomplishments, as he holds more belts. However, the fans will have the final say, and many of us believe that Crawford will win. That's why the odds slightly favor him.

Does anyone remember the old odds before the sportsbooks have taken them down? I remember it was close, however, Terence Crawford was the underdog. I also remember that much of the people were on Errol Spence except for maybe @Boafeng and 1 or 2 other people. I too was also on Crawford.

In any case, I reckon the sportsbooks might be making a mistake on these new odds. Spence is physically stronger and his skills appear to be very much equal with Crawford, I reckon. Similar to Haney vs. Loma, I change my pick again. I am on team Spence!

This fight is going to happen in July so plenty of time for us to put our bet. Someone already suggested to the OP to change the date once the fight is officially set to July 29 I guess he maybe forget it.

But I do agree, everything is very juicy and I would say that even a ML for Crawford is already attractive. In order to get a good returns though, at least go for a good bet on that ML.

Of course though, we are looking for a 'bang on our buck', so maybe go for a decision or KO/TKO if you have a feeling that either will win by that route.

This fight is pretty much interesting because aside from the fact that we've asked for this, it is really unpredictable and it's hard to weigh which boxer really got the upper hand.
By the way, in one of my sportsbook here are the odds between Crawford vs Errol Spence Jr.

Moneyline:
Crawford - 1.83       Spence - 2.34

Win by KO/TKO/DQ:
Crawford - 3.60       Spence - 6.50

Win by Decision:
Crawford - 2.87       Spence - 3.24

So, as we can see, almost all odds are really tempting except the ML for Terence Crawford. We still got few more days to decide and weight which is which and who is who.

^^ And if I'm not mistaken, the odds for a knockout for either one of them are higher, so it's a good bet.

However, we all know how durable this fighters are, they haven't taste the canvass throughout their boxing career and I think it will be hard pressed to see either one of them going down in this fight. But the possibility is always there, I mean if anyone just temporarily lose their focus, the other side can take advantage of that and slip a knockout punch.

But it's still worth taking a shot at betting on the knockout outcome of this fight. Both fighters have a high knockout rate, as indicated by boxrec.

Crawford has 30 knockout wins in 39 fights, which is approximately a 77% knockout rate.
Spence has 22 knockout wins in 28 fights, which is approximately a 79% knockout rate.

Considering these statistics, my point is that while we believe both boxers are durable, it might be worthwhile to consider placing bets on knockout wins. You could even choose a round range with very attractive betting odds.

sources :
https://boxrec.com/en/box-pro/629465
https://boxrec.com/en/box-pro/447121

Both fighters have never experienced a knockdown in their careers, if I'm not mistaken. That indicates that both are durable, so you might be right that this fight will likely end up in a decision, and the busier boxer is likely to come out on top. Based on the respective performances of both boxers in the past, I believe Crawford is more talented than Spence, as Spence does not move a lot, making him an easier target for Crawford, who, in my opinion, is the quicker boxer.

Good odds indeed. We know the capability of Terence Crawford to win this match and might dominate Errol Spence.

As a gambler putting some money on Crawford with that odds is already worth taking. Good thing that the odds between them are not that gap. Even those who want to put money on Spence can take advantage of the odds. Spence might be looked a not-tough opponent for Crawford but he's not an underdog to consider. He's also a big thing in the Welterweight but his camp is just associated with dramas.

Still waiting for other betting options as they might give us more worthy odds to pick.

In my own point of view, I will put my money on betting on the match result which is, the fight will end up in a Decision.

I'm seeing this fight will be a closed one and either none of them will allow a knock out win. Although not sure whom I will pick for now.

Yes, the odds are indeed reasonable and not that shocking considering that majority of people are looking Crawford as more dominant inside the ring compared to Spence.
Moreover, we already a had a few discussions about their match-up as they danced back and forth in the recent months that have passed and I think we've already established enough detail that there are more fans that are inclined towards Crawford.

Also, adding to the fact of which might be a factor of their fight is Errol Spence Jr.'s inactivity inside the ring for over a year after he fought Ugas and claimed his 3rd belt.

Chances are high for a trilogy as this is a money fight. Of course everything hinges on the first fight, on how great it will be, how action packed are the rounds and not the boring, hug and be huge kind of fights. And if Crawford wins, by knockout then it will make the fans wanting to see the rematch and let's see if Spence was able to bounce back and make it even 1-1.

And maybe after that scenario, we could talked about a 3rd fight that will bring more money for this two boxers. And true, everyone is going to be excited and hype about this fight.

This is the betting odds for the fight.

https://www.oddsshark.com/boxing/terence-crawford-errol-spence-odds

Crawford is the slight favorite, not surprising though and I think the odds although he is the favorite is still a decent one. Just bet 150 usd to win 100 usd. I would not hesitate betting on that, I'm just waiting for the betting odds to be available on the betting sites I'm using then I'll ride on.

I would do the same. I'm also leaning towards Crawford because he is hungry for a win and wants to prove that he is the better fighter. So, I really like him to win too. Additionally, even though he is the favorite and the betting odds might not be attractive, it's always nice to bet on a fighter whom you are confident will win while watching him fight.

And I think almost everyone is leaning towards Crawford because he seems to be the one really chasing and wanted this fight for a long time and then Spence just avoiding him at all cost.

But now he can't run, and he should be ready to face his nemesis.

We all know the skill levels of both of this fighter, nevertheless, I will be in the majority for favoring Crawford.