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Topic: 🏈🏈 The Essential NFL Thread 🏈🏈 - new poll every week - page 14. (Read 8887 times)

copper member
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So the Seahawks have brought back Beast Mode, I love that. Not expecting great production from him, but seeing him again in action is nice.

Those odds for SF@SEA look a bit strange to me (at first sight). Seahawks weren't very convincing in their last showings, but being solid underdog is surprising me. Assuming Saints/Packers will win their (earlier) games, this game would be extremely important for the 49ers. With a win they could get that #1 spot, which they surely would want, but which wouldn't be good for them in the end as I wrote the other day.

The beast hasn't been very beastly the last couple of years, but yeah, it's good to see him back.  I hope the 9ers will keep him from hulking up the way he used to in the past.  I tend to agree with you about the odds, nothing but damn statistics.  I think a part of it stems from the injuries the Seahawks have suffered.  Most of their starters are practicing this week, even though a few were out last week.  I'm sure they want to play, but they are banged up and may not be 100% on their game.

It's hard not to be biased, but I like the 9ers in this game.  There are so many play-off implications for other NFC teams, many will be rooting for the Seahawks this week, lol.

I also half agree with you that the 9ers seem to play better with a chip on their shoulders, and might play better football in the playoffs if they lose this weekend.  It certainly would make wildcard weekend more entertaining.


Now with Saints/Packers winning, Seahawks don't have that much to gain. They will take wild card spot no matter what and if was Pete Carroll, I would tell my team to lose. This would mean that instead of a home game against the Vikings, I would get an away game at Eagles/Cowboys. Looks bad at first, but imo more winable than facing the Vikings at home. But after that, instead of going to New Orleans, I would have to go to San Francisco (or even GB, if MIN wins at NO), which is a way easier away game to win than going to NO. And I have just played them two weeks ago, got some nice insights and lost on purpose. I would take my chances going that route and sacrifice that playoff home game.

You would rather play the 9ers in away, than Minnesota at home?  I'm not sure I would take that gamble.  Carroll may not have a choice in the matter, but I think he would rather win the division and secure at least one home game, even if it against the better wild-card team.  I can't see Carroll ever telling his team to lose, that just wouldn't happen.  But if he was to choose that strategy all he would have to do is bench Russell Wilson for the week.


So these odds for 49ers look kind of low-ish, but imo these are indeed good odds. 49ers are better on the road and they have just so much more to play for (in their minds). Will wait with a bet until Saints/Packers is finished. Maybe I am overthinking here though Grin

This is really the only game with two well-matched teams, and significant playoff implications this weekend.  All the other NFC contenders need the 9ers to lose to make their way closer to top seeding.  In the AFC everything is pretty much set.  The Pats could lose the #2 seed to the Chiefs, but that would require a miracle from Miami. 


Looks like Bills are going to rest lots of players as they are stuck at wild card spot #5 seed. This is already priced in, but I still like the Jets ML in this one. This is all about motivation and Jets should be super motivated for this, while for the Bills this is just some sort of preseason game.

Eagles should struggle mightily in getting that needed W at the Giants and I can see either Panthers or Lions pulling an upset and putting all playoff scenarios upside down. Falcons at Bucs should make for a fun game and I expect lots of points in this one, so over could be a good bet.

You might be right about the Jets @ Bills, that's a potential upset.  The other one is Chicago at Minnesota.  The Vikings are locked into the sixth seed and have absolutely nothing to gain by winning and nothing to lose by losing this weekend.

Baltimore is actually the underdog going into the weekend, giving the Steelers a prayer.  They would still need the Titans to lose @ Texans.
legendary
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#birdgang
So the Seahawks have brought back Beast Mode, I love that. Not expecting great production from him, but seeing him again in action is nice.

Those odds for SF@SEA look a bit strange to me (at first sight). Seahawks weren't very convincing in their last showings, but being solid underdog is surprising me. Assuming Saints/Packers will win their (earlier) games, this game would be extremely important for the 49ers. With a win they could get that #1 spot, which they surely would want, but which wouldn't be good for them in the end as I wrote the other day.
Now with Saints/Packers winning, Seahawks don't have that much to gain. They will take wild card spot no matter what and if was Pete Carroll, I would tell my team to lose. This would mean that instead of a home game against the Vikings, I would get an away game at Eagles/Cowboys. Looks bad at first, but imo more winable than facing the Vikings at home. But after that, instead of going to New Orleans, I would have to go to San Francisco (or even GB, if MIN wins at NO), which is a way easier away game to win than going to NO. And I have just played them two weeks ago, got some nice insights and lost on purpose. I would take my chances going that route and sacrifice that playoff home game.
So these odds for 49ers look kind of low-ish, but imo these are indeed good odds. 49ers are better on the road and they have just so much more to play for (in their minds). Will wait with a bet until Saints/Packers is finished. Maybe I am overthinking here though Grin

Looks like Bills are going to rest lots of players as they are stuck at wild card spot #5 seed. This is already priced in, but I still like the Jets ML in this one. This is all about motivation and Jets should be super motivated for this, while for the Bills this is just some sort of preseason game.

Eagles should struggle mightily in getting that needed W at the Giants and I can see either Panthers or Lions pulling an upset and putting all playoff scenarios upside down. Falcons at Bucs should make for a fun game and I expect lots of points in this one, so over could be a good bet.
legendary
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What I can't figure out is why the Seahawks don't have an X next to their name.  I can't imagine a scenario where they don't get a wild card spot.

Seahawks get a wild card spot, if Saints and Packers win their next games, no matter if they win or lose againts 49ers.
Seahawks will be #2 seed, if they win and Saints win, but Packers lose.
Seahawks will be #1 seed, if they win and both Saints and Packers lose.

I have disregarded ties in this calculation Tongue

Correct the seahawks are locked into a ayoff spot.  The only teams not guaranteed a spot is either the cowboys or the eagles.  Seahawks can be either the 1,2,3, or 5 seed based on what happens this week.  Most times week 1u is anticlimactic.  In the nfc everything is really up in the air should be fun
legendary
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#birdgang
What I can't figure out is why the Seahawks don't have an X next to their name.  I can't imagine a scenario where they don't get a wild card spot.

Seahawks get a wild card spot, if Saints and Packers win their next games, no matter if they win or lose againts 49ers.
Seahawks will be #2 seed, if they win and Saints win, but Packers lose.
Seahawks will be #1 seed, if they win and both Saints and Packers lose.

I have disregarded ties in this calculation Tongue
copper member
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This game between these teams might be a preview for their wild card round hehehe.

In any case, I do not see a y on Philadelphia Eagles. Do the Cowboys have a chance to win NFC east and proceed to the playoffs?

Yes, but they have to win, and the Eagles have to lose next week.

What I can't figure out is why the Seahawks don't have an X next to their name.  I can't imagine a scenario where they don't get a wild card spot.
legendary
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This game between these teams might be a preview for their wild card round hehehe.

In any case, I do not see a y on Philadelphia Eagles. Do the Cowboys have a chance to win NFC east and proceed to the playoffs?
jr. member
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Minn vs GB is always a good game.  Just think that green bay +5.5 is just a little too much right?  Or am i missing something here.

Anyone bet on this game?  I'm scared, lol.  It feels like it could go either way.

I have a small bet on the Greenbay Packers to win.  I'm not convinced myself lol but it's worth a shot.
legendary
Activity: 3752
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Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.

Yeah that was an easy bet, under 7 point spread against the bears even though they were home was too low.  Tomorrow is the game that I cant wait to watch.  Minn vs GB is always a good game.  Just think that green bay +5.5 is just a little too much right?  Or am i missing something here.

My guess is it'll be closer than that.  Minnesota is on fire, they've been good heading into the stretch, so I see why the odds makers are calling it that way.  Both teams have been looking good the last couple of weeks.  But, Greenbay has more to gain by wining than Minnesota does.  The Vikings are locked into the sixth seed even if they lose both of their next two games.  The best they can do is take the fifth seed if they win tomorrow night.  If the Packers win tomorrow night, and beat the Lyons next week they get the second seed, or possibly the first seed if Seattle helps them by beating the 9ers.  Either way, the Pack has more to play for, and I think they'll rise to the challenge.  I'll go on the record and say I think Greenbay will win.

I hope so honestly. The next weeks games will be so much more interesting to watch if gb wins.  I thought the same thing about having something more to play for.  With dalvin cook being a little knicked up ypu would think they wouldn't want to press the issue with him this week.  Either way prime time game with division foes with playoff seeding on the line for both.  Should be a fireworks type game.
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Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.

Yeah that was an easy bet, under 7 point spread against the bears even though they were home was too low.  Tomorrow is the game that I cant wait to watch.  Minn vs GB is always a good game.  Just think that green bay +5.5 is just a little too much right?  Or am i missing something here.

My guess is it'll be closer than that.  Minnesota is on fire, they've been good heading into the stretch, so I see why the odds makers are calling it that way.  Both teams have been looking good the last couple of weeks.  But, Greenbay has more to gain by wining than Minnesota does.  The Vikings are locked into the sixth seed even if they lose both of their next two games.  The best they can do is take the fifth seed if they win tomorrow night.  If the Packers win tomorrow night, and beat the Lyons next week they get the second seed, or possibly the first seed if Seattle helps them by beating the 9ers.  Either way, the Pack has more to play for, and I think they'll rise to the challenge.  I'll go on the record and say I think Greenbay will win.
legendary
Activity: 3752
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Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.

Yeah that was an easy bet, under 7 point spread against the bears even though they were home was too low.  Tomorrow is the game that I cant wait to watch.  Minn vs GB is always a good game.  Just think that green bay +5.5 is just a little too much right?  Or am i missing something here.
legendary
Activity: 3010
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Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.

Chiefs pretty much just gifted me the season, Kelce is being Kelce.
They scratched McCoy on my opponent and they are holding down Robinson. Cheesy

Weird thing is even though I have been watching the points McCoy was still in there but all of a sudden it changed to D. Thompson. Not that it matters but wtf.

They probably knew they didn't need him and are saving him for the playoffs.

What a runaway game. The line was at 5, hard to believe. I upped it to 6. I could have upped it to 19, LOL.

What do you guys think about the Saints line being at -13? Seems really high for a late season game.
legendary
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Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
Finally I had a good Sunday hitting with my parlay and an easy two team parlay with the Saints and Ravens to cover the spreads. I'm liking the Chiefs for tonight's game but not sure if they cover the spread as the Bears have a good defensive team.

Congrats.


Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.

Chiefs pretty much just gifted me the season, Kelce is being Kelce.
They scratched McCoy on my opponent and they are holding down Robinson. Cheesy

Weird thing is even though I have been watching the points McCoy was still in there but all of a sudden it changed to D. Thompson. Not that it matters but wtf.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 8114
Chiefs up 10 - zip so far. Game needs to stay at this pace so I can earn some easy BTC.
legendary
Activity: 2212
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Cowboys lost without even scoring a single touchdown in a must win game (i don't see Giants pull an upset next week, to be honest) against an injury-plagued Eagles team. I can't say i'm shocked, way too many over-thrown balls by Dak, same goes for their WR with some huge dropped passes. I thought they would feature their run game more after Elliott and Pollard's over 100yds rushing last week...guess not. Maybe next season?!  Cheesy
legendary
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Ouch!  Looks like the Steelers didn't pull through for you, and the Seahawks are struggling to help you out.  

I used a free bet on the Arizona Cardinals ML to win.  I like the odds, and like I said it was a free bet.  I think they have a good chance to upset the Seattle Seahawks.

I was tempted to put a bet on the Titans at the half of their game earlier today.  If I didn't know how Brees can dominate the second half I would have taken the gamble.  Glad I didn't.

The Cardinals looked so good in the first half i'm starting to regret adding in Seahawks in my multibet. I should've just went with a single bet on the Eagles but was tempted with the small odds, hoping for them to wake up and get a good second half comeback.

hero member
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Finally I had a good Sunday hitting with my parlay and an easy two team parlay with the Saints and Ravens to cover the spreads. I'm liking the Chiefs for tonight's game but not sure if they cover the spread as the Bears have a good defensive team.
copper member
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Yet another nail-biter from the Niners yesterday.  I was worried for a while, but I'm glad they were able to sneak in the win.  I'm starting to worry about my Niners, neither the offense of the defense looked particularly sharp yesterday.

The Cards are giving the Seagulls a run for their money, today.  An Arizona win isn't helpful to the 49ers, though.  They would still need to beat Seattle next week to win the first seed.

Good luck with your bets, gentlemen.  Be smart and careful.  Remember; 'Tiz the season for upsets, and spoilers. 
jr. member
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I have Steelers ML and Seahawks to win first half, simple and only 2 legged parlay for today as some of the lines felt way too overblown imo.

Anyway, i was going to start with: man why did i fall for "we need to win" meme again after PIT started 10-0.

Goddamn Hodges with 2 picks and benched already (official reason thigh injury) lol

So Mason Rudolph to the rescue i guess, last two minutes 10pts (thanks to T. J. Watt strip sack) and we are back in the game. Jeez


edit; Hodges back in the game RIP  Cheesy

Ouch!  Looks like the Steelers didn't pull through for you, and the Seahawks are struggling to help you out. 

I used a free bet on the Arizona Cardinals ML to win.  I like the odds, and like I said it was a free bet.  I think they have a good chance to upset the Seattle Seahawks.

I was tempted to put a bet on the Titans at the half of their game earlier today.  If I didn't know how Brees can dominate the second half I would have taken the gamble.  Glad I didn't.
legendary
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I'm using my free bet on the Eagles to win and voted in the poll, everything is pointing to the Cowboys to win this division match(head to head, Eagles home results,etc) but it seems this match is more of a 50-50 than 40-60. I don't think it would be easy for them to take this match since they're also on a losing streak until they beat the Rams at home last week. Maybe Eagles could take advantage of Dak's injury.
legendary
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I have Steelers ML and Seahawks to win first half, simple and only 2 legged parlay for today as some of the lines felt way too overblown imo.

Anyway, i was going to start with: man why did i fall for "we need to win" meme again after PIT started 10-0.

Goddamn Hodges with 2 picks and benched already (official reason thigh injury) lol

So Mason Rudolph to the rescue i guess, last two minutes 10pts (thanks to T. J. Watt strip sack) and we are back in the game. Jeez


edit; Hodges back in the game RIP  Cheesy
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