Well, well, those were some interesting games. Eagles game was a bit meh, but what can you do when McCown is your backup. Wentz was still able to make up for some issues with his abilities, but McCown wasn't. Seahawks looked pretty bad imo, but a win is a win and I am sure we will see a different Seahawks team next game.
I enjoyed watching
Mike Vrabel giving his ex-coach some of his own medicine. BB was furious on the sidelines and I was just waiting for him to knock that referee down
Pretty sure this loophole will be closed somehow in the near future, but there is always something to be learned when watching a NFL game. What I found a bit pathetic is BB being such a cry baby about it, because
he was doing exactly the same to the Jets and taunting them with it.
While I enjoyed watching it unfold, I don't think it was the right move to do. Titans were just leading with one point and with a FG from the Patriots, they would probably be the ones with very few time left and might want to have that valuable seconds and minutes back. Eating the clock with 5 minutes to go in a close match is never good imo. But a lot of teams are doing it always.
Derrick Henry is such an animal
I'll share my thoughts about the upcoming matches this weekend:
Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ersI think this one is priced completely wrong. 49ers have the same odds as the Saints had against the Vikings - and this can't be correct. Vikings impressed me very much in how they were able to basically completely shut down the best offensive in the NFL in their own backyard. Saints were completely clueless offensively. And while the Saints defense was ok-ish during the season, they were always a bit suspect to me. And of course they failed to win the game for the Saints, when Brees and the offense had some kind of an off-day (also due to Vikings Defense being so good).
Now as I wrote earlier, I like the 49ers more on the road than I do at home. I don't know why, but they give me the feeling of being more lethal in away games. Being the huge favourite doesn't do them good and will put a lot of pressure on them. Vikings don't have any pressure at all. They should be sky-high on confidence and have nothing to lose, though Cousins is always a trainwreck waiting to happen when under center. But if you can win at the Saints, you can win anywhere. Still think the 49ers will pull this one off somehow, but the odds on the Vikings are too good to miss. Lots of value imo. You like that ?
Vikings ML @3,7xTennessee Titans at Baltimore RavensPretty hard to make a point here for the Ravens NOT advancing. Odds are a tad low for the Ravens imo, but don't think the Titans can pull the upset here. Ravens have just been so good and dominating offensively and defensively. They might come out a bit rusty, but as time goes by they should find their rythm and continue their dominance. As ML odds are a bit low for the Ravens, so is the HC of course. 9.5 points is a lot to cover in a playoff game and we saw very close games in wild card round. In general I am not a big fan of betting on HC's, as NFL teams - in contrast to College teams - are not interested in such things. They just want to win. So I won't take my chances with any kind of HC-bet here. Could be +/-7,5 or +/-11,5, I wouldn't touch it.
No betHouston Texans at Kansas City ChiefsExpecting a very different showing from the Texans in this one. That win against the Bills was very ugly and not that much deserved, but this is a different game now. Texans have been a bit hot and cold the whole season and I think they will be hotter for this game again.
These teams met in regular season with the Texans being able to edge out a 31-24 road win as a ~2,70 underdog. For the weekend they are priced above 4,50, which is a bit surprising to me. This is imo purely based on the poor performance againts the Bills. And still I won't take my chances with these odds, because I don't see the Texans winning at Arrowhead again. Chiefs have been rock solid over the last weeks and what springs out is their very good defensive performance. They held the Bears to 3 points, Broncos to 3, Patriots to 16 and Raiders to 9 over a stretch of 4 games. Otoh they haven't been the offensive powerhouse they used to be last season. They have been putting up 30+ points every now and then, but often stayed in the 20-30 points range. And if they do so again and win, this one won't go over. And Texans better not get into a shootout here with the Chiefs.
Under 51Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay PackersApart from the 49ers game, this is the one I am looking most forward to. This is because I can't stand Aaron Rodgers and always enjoy seeing him and the Cheeseheads lose. And I think they will lose. Despite their pretty good record, I don't think they are a good football team. With Rodgers being your QB you of course always have the ability to beat anyone on any given day. But whom did they beat this season ? I will give them credit for sweeping the series against the Vikings, but other than that nothing worth mentioning imo. That win at Arrowhead looks nice on paper, but it was with Moore under center for KC. The other two teams they faced, that made the PO's, was the 49ers (L 8-37) and the Eagles (L 27-34).
As mentioned, Seahawks were poor-ish against the Eagles, but it's very fitting for them. They always play up and down to their competition. They often struggle mightily with weaker opposition, but are able to up their game with the best of the best. As with the 49ers, I think the Seahawks are better road team than home team right now, which historically has been the complete opposite. Against the top teams this season, they weren't very successful. Splitting the divisonal games with the 49ers, losing to the Saints, losing to the Ravens. But I don't see the Packers as a top team right now and the Seahawks managed to beat all those non-divisional middle of the pack teams. It was often close, but they got the W. And I expect them to beat the Packers in a close game as well. Wins at Lambeau don't come easy, but Seahawks are actually favourite for me here.
Seahawks ML @2,6x