The Observer Effect (take 2: over $1000 by 21 July - 8 Aug) - page 2.

BTCtrader71

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Merit: 1001

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on July 12, 2014, 10:43:53 AM

Quote from: hodap on July 11, 2014, 09:49:48 AM

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on July 10, 2014, 11:56:31 AM

The US already failed to deliver physical to Germany.

Good time to buy gold if this is the case.

I'll get a link.

This article explains it the best:

http://nsnbc.me/2013/07/31/mystery-about-germany%C2%B4s-gold-in-the-us-solved/

Hopefully that site is ok. (I have NoScript)

I had not heard that story until running across it in this thread.

It makes Mark Karpeles look like a Boy Scout by comparison. Tongue

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: hodap on July 11, 2014, 09:49:48 AM

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on July 10, 2014, 11:56:31 AM

The US already failed to deliver physical to Germany.

Good time to buy gold if this is the case.

I'll get a link.

This article explains it the best:

http://nsnbc.me/2013/07/31/mystery-about-germany%C2%B4s-gold-in-the-us-solved/

Hopefully that site is ok. (I have NoScript)

BombaUcigasa

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Activity: 1442

Merit: 1005

Quote from: JulieFig on July 12, 2014, 05:58:22 AM

Quote from: BombaUcigasa on July 12, 2014, 05:25:33 AM

Quote from: JulieFig on July 12, 2014, 02:58:32 AM

peak at around 13th August

17th August the least (more by actually looking at your chart). Also notice that there hasn't been a jump from the local minimum (which was 600 less than 2 days ago) and from which about 50 days are required to reach the peak (31st August if the rise starts).

Thanks for picking that up. The initial date of 13th August should have said 23rd August.

Based on the tone of your comment, I gather you aren't too hopeful that we have begun the start of an ATH rally?

If it did, that was 2 days ago, if not, we have to wait a bit more. It's not really visible, is it now?

JulieFig

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Activity: 75

Merit: 10

Quote from: BombaUcigasa on July 12, 2014, 05:25:33 AM

Quote from: JulieFig on July 12, 2014, 02:58:32 AM

peak at around 13th August

17th August the least (more by actually looking at your chart). Also notice that there hasn't been a jump from the local minimum (which was 600 less than 2 days ago) and from which about 50 days are required to reach the peak (31st August if the rise starts).

Thanks for picking that up. The initial date of 13th August should have said 23rd August.

Based on the tone of your comment, I gather you aren't too hopeful that we have begun the start of an ATH rally?

BombaUcigasa

legendary

Activity: 1442

Merit: 1005

Quote from: JulieFig on July 12, 2014, 02:58:32 AM

peak at around 13th August

17th August the least (more by actually looking at your chart). Also notice that there hasn't been a jump from the local minimum (which was 600 less than 2 days ago) and from which about 50 days are required to reach the peak (31st August if the rise starts).

JulieFig

member

Activity: 75

Merit: 10

Quote from: Skele on July 11, 2014, 07:33:54 PM

July 14th and still $630 Cry

Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months Angry

So, clearly my previous prediction was off...... back to the drawing board I went, and I've now re-evaluated the prediction. (And when I say 'prediction', I use the term loosely. Bitcoin seems to like to spit in the face of any predictions people make. And I say that with great fondness.)

The rationale behind the re-evaluation: The first two bubbles were 214 and 213 days apart, the next was 222 days later, and the last two were 235 and 234 days apart. All up, the interval between peaks is uncannily consistent. However, it appears that the interval is marginally increasing (again, this is all based on very few data points, so no rock solid conclusions could be drawn from this). Thus, perhaps the next peak will not be 235 days from the last, but more along the lines of 257 (an increase on par with the previous increase in time interval). This puts the peak at around 23rd August, which is what I have adjusted the following chart to reflect. Seems we are on track for a possible peak of $5000... If we don't continue rising though, I may have to hang up my 'Bitcoin-predictor' hat.

edit: fixed small error in date

wachtwoord

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Quote from: BitChick on July 11, 2014, 08:15:06 PM

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 11, 2014, 08:10:06 PM

Quote from: BitChick on July 11, 2014, 07:36:26 PM

Quote from: Skele on July 11, 2014, 07:33:54 PM

July 14th and still $630 Cry

Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months Angry

News of the new regulated bitcoin fund opening up August 1st (with an estimated $200M being invested during the first 6 months) should get the rally started nicely and put us over $1000 and beyond without much trouble. Add the Winklevoss ETF to the mix? I wouldn't be surprised to see us at $10,000 before year's end.

Don't get carried away Wink

(although I won't complain if it materializes).

Bitcoin likes to get carried away!

I was talking about BitChick, not Bitcoin

Time for BitChicksHusband to come in and take this away? Cheesy

BitChick

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Activity: 1148

Merit: 1001

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 11, 2014, 08:10:06 PM

Quote from: BitChick on July 11, 2014, 07:36:26 PM

Quote from: Skele on July 11, 2014, 07:33:54 PM

July 14th and still $630 Cry

Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months Angry

News of the new regulated bitcoin fund opening up August 1st (with an estimated $200M being invested during the first 6 months) should get the rally started nicely and put us over $1000 and beyond without much trouble. Add the Winklevoss ETF to the mix? I wouldn't be surprised to see us at $10,000 before year's end.

Don't get carried away Wink

(although I won't complain if it materializes).

Bitcoin likes to get carried away!

wachtwoord

legendary

Activity: 2324

Merit: 1125

Quote from: BitChick on July 11, 2014, 07:36:26 PM

Quote from: Skele on July 11, 2014, 07:33:54 PM

July 14th and still $630 Cry

Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months Angry

News of the new regulated bitcoin fund opening up August 1st (with an estimated $200M being invested during the first 6 months) should get the rally started nicely and put us over $1000 and beyond without much trouble. Add the Winklevoss ETF to the mix? I wouldn't be surprised to see us at $10,000 before year's end.

Don't get carried away Wink

(although I won't complain if it materializes).

bitrider

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Activity: 233

Merit: 101

Rock on Bitchick!

BitChick

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Activity: 1148

Merit: 1001

Quote from: Skele on July 11, 2014, 07:33:54 PM

July 14th and still $630 Cry

Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months Angry

News of the new regulated bitcoin fund opening up August 1st (with an estimated $200M being invested during the first 6 months) should get the rally started nicely and put us over $1000 and beyond without much trouble. Add the Winklevoss ETF to the mix? I wouldn't be surprised to see us at $10,000 before year's end.

Skele

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Activity: 224

Merit: 100

VocalPlatform.com

July 14th and still $630 Hope those $1000 are reached before the end of this year, you have 5 months

hodap

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Activity: 306

Merit: 102

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on July 10, 2014, 11:56:31 AM

The US already failed to deliver physical to Germany.

Good time to buy gold if this is the case.

Bagatell

hero member

Activity: 722

Merit: 500

New Laws That Allow The Government to Seize Savings Deposits During a Crisis

"This is not conspiracy theory or some kind of doom and gloom. It’s basic fact."

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: Morbid on July 10, 2014, 10:15:41 AM

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 09:22:30 AM

Quote from: JulieFig on June 01, 2014, 12:20:09 AM

Hello !
What it is wrong with your graph?
You have predicted for the July 2014, a Bitcoin price of $4,900 or at least $1,000 ..
Here we are now in July, and in fact the BTC price still bouncing around the $600 Huh

have patience and look around. argentina is defaulting, bulgaria experiencing run on banks, ukraine economy is in freefall, not to mention rest of the world that is slaving off for constantly devalueing fiat papers. the dollar reset is coming very soon. gold market iou is faked but you cannot fake the demand for physical which is now absolutely huge. once some big entity fails to deliver physical consider the panic buy on gold. fun times. be patient and prepare accordingly.

The US already failed to deliver physical to Germany.

btcbeliever

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Activity: 232

Merit: 29

Quote from: Morbid on July 10, 2014, 10:15:41 AM

have patience and look around. argentina is defaulting, bulgaria experiencing run on banks, ukraine economy is in freefall, not to mention rest of the world that is slaving off for constantly devalueing fiat papers. the dollar reset is coming very soon. gold market iou is faked but you cannot fake the demand for physical which is now absolutely huge. once some big entity fails to deliver physical consider the panic buy on gold. fun times. be patient and prepare accordingly.

This is definitely something to keep in mind

Morbid

legendary

Activity: 1202

Merit: 1015

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 09:22:30 AM

Quote from: JulieFig on June 01, 2014, 12:20:09 AM

Hello !
What it is wrong with your graph?
You have predicted for the July 2014, a Bitcoin price of $4,900 or at least $1,000 ..
Here we are now in July, and in fact the BTC price still bouncing around the $600 Huh

have patience and look around. argentina is defaulting, bulgaria experiencing run on banks, ukraine economy is in freefall, not to mention rest of the world that is slaving off for constantly devalueing fiat papers. the dollar reset is coming very soon. gold market iou is faked but you cannot fake the demand for physical which is now absolutely huge. once some big entity fails to deliver physical consider the panic buy on gold. fun times. be patient and prepare accordingly.

Asrael999

hero member

Activity: 703

Merit: 502

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 10:05:21 AM

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 10, 2014, 09:50:33 AM

Quote from: hodap on July 10, 2014, 09:24:28 AM

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 09:22:30 AM

Hello !
What it is wrong with your graph?
You have predicted for the July 2014, a Bitcoin price of $4,900 or at least $1,000 ..
Here we are now in July, and in fact the BTC price still bouncing around the $600 Huh

July is not over yet.

You ain't seen nothing yet.

Bbbbbaby you just ain't seen nothing yet!

I agree with you guys, but I am tired to wait for that day when the BTC will worth "something".
At this price of $600, you can't do to much with a BTC. Even if you purchase an ASIC, you will never get ROI..
IMHO ~ $600 it is not a good price for the top coin of this world.

Why would you buy a mining machine - buy more bitcoin instead. You will get more coins for your fiat buying at market, and get a better return if the price goes up.
That graph above is not fact, its a prediction based on prior patterns , predictions don't have to be right, patterns do not have to repeat. Have some patience.

crocko

hero member

Activity: 826

Merit: 1000

'All that glitters is not gold'

Quote from: wachtwoord on July 10, 2014, 09:50:33 AM

Quote from: hodap on July 10, 2014, 09:24:28 AM

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 09:22:30 AM

Hello !
What it is wrong with your graph?
You have predicted for the July 2014, a Bitcoin price of $4,900 or at least $1,000 ..
Here we are now in July, and in fact the BTC price still bouncing around the $600 Huh

July is not over yet.

You ain't seen nothing yet.

Bbbbbaby you just ain't seen nothing yet!

I agree with you guys, but I am tired to wait for that day when the BTC will worth "something".
At this price of $600, you can't do to much with a BTC. Even if you purchase an ASIC, you will never get ROI..
IMHO ~ $600 it is not a good price for the top coin of this world.

wachtwoord

legendary

Activity: 2324

Merit: 1125

Quote from: hodap on July 10, 2014, 09:24:28 AM

Quote from: crocko on July 10, 2014, 09:22:30 AM

Hello !
What it is wrong with your graph?
You have predicted for the July 2014, a Bitcoin price of $4,900 or at least $1,000 ..
Here we are now in July, and in fact the BTC price still bouncing around the $600 Huh

July is not over yet.

You ain't seen nothing yet.

Bbbbbaby you just ain't seen nothing yet!

Topic: The Observer Effect (take 2: over $1000 by 21 July - 8 Aug) - page 2. (Read 14215 times)