Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 247. (Read 100453 times)

Results of my picks for the UFC Fight Night Thompson VS Holland

Stephen Thompson +175
Kevin Holland -160 - LOST

Kevin Holland was surprised by Stephen Thompson's speed it was really a crazy fight actually I have watched the replay because I haven't caught the live stream, for me Kevin Holland should have gone for the takedown just like what Khamzat Chimaev did to him, but again it was really a great fight to watch both fighters really respects one another smiling while fighting and because of that the fight was really fun to watch,

Rafael dos Anjos -550 - WIN
Bryan Barberena +400

Even though Bryan Barberena is much larger and taller than Rafael dos Anjos, he managed to take that opportunity to take that Submission move of a rear naked choke to Barberena, but yeah Bryan Barberena really is a tough one, but dos Anjos have made a clear statement that he has a plan,

Jack Hermansson -190 - LOST
Roman Dolidze +160

Roman Dolidze Calf slice Jack Hermansson and finished him with back control, for this fight, Hermansson should be the one in the advantage here but Roman Dolidze got the better of Hermansson by locking his calf and getting a win with a back finished,

Tracy Cortez - 100
Amanda Ribas + 100 - CANCELLED

I was really sad about what happened to Tracy Cortez getting some medical issue to cancel the fight, I really wish her good health and a fast recovery,

I think Holland just Hype the people with all the trash talk he did before. But I was sure Thompson has something good to offer to Holland, and that's why I only placed 1 bet on that event and it was Thompson for the win.


I know it wasn't a big amount, but I really enjoy that fight. and love that x2.48.

The first round was complex, but from the second one, I knew Thompson has this match because Holland was just acting as a kicking bag.

54 Seconds KO! was all Sergei Pavlovich, I really think that Tai Tuivasa's chin still doesn't recover from the knockout Ciryl Gane gave him, it goes to show that a long break is needed to regain the recent damage a fighter sustained, and Looking at their fight Sergei Pavlovich can also be technical he really knows what kind of punch he would throw to Tai Tuivasa and his reach advantage also have proven he early seen an opening to Tuivasa, in getting those punches while Tai Tuivasa is really just brawling his way to win,

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Now here are my pick results for the UFC Fight Night Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson VS Kevin Holland ROUND 4 KO/TKO - LOST

Stephen Wonder Boy Thompson just got it on with Kevin Holland, a very beautiful fight indeed, Thompson was really fast and Holland was pretty much surprised about it, at 1st I thought that Holland was winning it, both were smiling out of respect for each other and it was really a crazy start, for me it was a great brawl to watch and pretty much on the 4th round both fighters was gas out and getting slow in their movement but Stephen Thompson has seen his opening to KO Holland,

Matheus Nicolau VS Matt Schnell ROUND 2 KO/TKO - WIN

Just like I have said Matheus Nicolau was pretty much technical in his approach while Schnell was very aggressive and getting success with that aggressiveness, but it was no available success when Nicolau buried that takedown and ground and pound Matt Schnell,

Tai Tuivasa VS Sergei Pavlovich ROUND 1 KO/TKO - WIN

It was a fast win for Sergei Pavlovich, and in under 54 seconds the fight was finished with a KO, and who said that Pavlovich can not be technical, and with that Reach advantage he surely got the upper hand on Tai Tuivasa surely the power on that punch and the punch he picked to knockout Tuivasa was really something Tuivasa was just throwing some random punches in retaliation, to Pavlovich,

Tracy Cortez VS Amanda Ribas CANCELLED

A canceled bout and there is no report on what is the real condition of Tracy Cortez, but surely I will keep you guys updated,

Tuivasa more than deserves its title. In the match in France, Tuivasa- Cirly Gane hit a hook and knock down. I was as surprised as everyone else by this unexpected hit. He can get such accurate shots from his hands, yes he has a chance to hit everyone in the top three. For his match with Sergei Pavlovich, my guess will be TKO. BAM BAM

For the main game, Stephen Thompson was defeated in his last two games. Burns and Mohammed defeated him by referee decision. Holland, if you are remember, was brought before Khamzat with a last-minute change. I think this match goes to Holland, with Submission.

I will go fo Pavlovich also. But, I dont see him in probable fight against Gane, Ngannou or Blaydes. Ngannou seems to be to much for him. Gane - much quicker and experienced. Blaydes - i think he will submit Pavlovich. However, if Tuivasa wins, he, with his unpredicted and weird striking, can get a lucky punch against those 3 fighters that are above him in top.

Natan Levy has a traditional karate background and kinda fights in a karate stance...  For the first couple of minutes.  Then he gets hit in the face and all the karate is thrown out of the window.  

Anyway..  Here are the results for the weigh ins.  One guy didn't make weight.  

Stephen Thompson (170) vs Kevin Holland (170.5)
Bryan Barberena (170.5) vs Rafael dos Anjos (170)
Matheus Nicolau (126) vs Matt Schnell (126)
Sergei Pavlovich (255) vs Tai Tuivasa (266)
Roman Dolidze (185.5) vs Jack Hermansson (186)
Eryk Anders (186) vs Kyle Daukaus (184.5)
Niko Price (170) vs Phil Rowe (173.5)*
Emily Ducote (115.5) vs Angela Hill (115.5)
Clay Guida (154.5) vs Scott Holtzman (155.5)
Marc Diakiese (155.5) vs Michael Johnson (156)
Darren Elkins (145) vs Jonathan Pearce (146)
Tracy Cortez (125) vs Amanda Ribas (125)
Natan Levy (156) vs Genaro Valdez (156)
Francis Marshall (145) vs Marcelo Rojo (145)
Yazmin Jauregui (115.5) vs Istela Nunes (114.5)

*Missed weight

As for the betting side of things I think it's a parlayable event.  All the favorites should win except for a couple.  I got Anders and Rowe as underdogs.

On paper this should be good UFC event and I like main card with big heavyweight guys Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich, someone is not going to finish this fight on feet
Main event Thompson vs Holland is also interesting for betting, bookmakers made Holland big favorite but I think that Thompson has a good chance to win the fight.
Weigh-In and Faceoffs video released: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGHLo-dRVOI

I've a bet on this fight, Sergei Pavlovich has a better overall career record compared to Tai Tuivasa. I think the odds are also on point. If we just think about the records and overall skill of both fighters I think we will see that Sergei Pavlovich does hold the advantage against Tai Tuivasa. But both of the fighters are very aggressive. And when two fighters don't hold back and start throwing branches against each other regardless of the fear of getting knocked out the fight can go towards any fighter. I will also say that Sergei Pavlovich is going to win this fight. At least that should be the outcome if he sticks to his plan.

Here are my picks for the Fight Night Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson VS Kevin Holland

The stake odds for this fight are 2.50 for Thompson and 1.53 for Holland, I really thought that Kevin Holland will retire after that Khamzat Chimaev fight because of what Chimaev has done with the scramble on the ground, for this fight Kevin Holland will sure need that wrestling to win over Thompson, for me, I think that Holland had the advantage of going to the ground but Wonderboy has the striking capability to win this, but if this fight goes to the ground this is over for Thompson and Kevin Holland could win this,

Matheus Nicolau VS Matt Schnell

The stake odds for this fight are 1.26 for Nicolau and 3.90 for Schnell, for this fight, Nicolau is a technical fighter, he got a lot of speed and power than Schnell, and I think Matheus Nicolau is very picky with his shot and has decent defense and counter aswell, while for Matt Schnell that is a more aggressive, for me I will go with the most technical fighter and that will be Nicolau for sure,

Tai Tuivasa VS Sergei Pavlovich

The stake odds for this fight are 2.80  for Tuivasa and 1.45 for Pavlovich, In this fight, this could be just a 1 rounder fight because both fighters are knockout artists, I really think both are not really technical strikers, so this fight could definitely a brawl Tai Tuivasa can be calm and waiting for a right opportunity to strike but Sergei Pavlovich has that 9-inch reach advantage and he could be really aggressive from the start, both are not afraid to really trade punches and it will surely depend on both fighters durability, but I think I will go with a slight advantage of Sergei Pavlovich, winning this fight,

Tracy Cortez VS Amanda Ribas

I don't see any bookies for this fight at stake and on further research, Tracy Cortez was removed from the event due to an undisclosed medical issue, even though both fighters don't have any incidents with the weigh-in both landed 125 pounds on the scale, but Tracy Cortez had some medical issue and needs to be pulled out, I really wish she is OK though, I was really going with the beautiful Cortez because she might show something she never had shown before, and because Henry Cejudo is training her now, but because she was pulled out of the fight then there is no need to bet, but I am still posting this so readers could see it,

Now I will be giving my picks for the UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Stephen Thompson +175
Kevin Holland -160

Pretty Kevin Holland was the favorite to win here but pretty Wonderboy Thompson is famous for his spinning kick, which could hit Holland by surprise, but for this match, Holland has an edge on the ground and this is Holland's specialty against a striker like Thompson, for me, I will go with Kevin Holland,  that has an advantage on the ground,

Rafael dos Anjos -550
Bryan Barberena +400

For this fight, we all know Rafael dos Anjos and what he can do, but his opponent is more of a striker, and dos Anjos is pretty much well verse on the ground, for this fight, I guess we can see Rafael dos Anjos doing his scramble, on the ground, but Barberena can surely put more damage to RDA, but I will be going to the well-rounded fighter

Jack Hermansson -190
Roman Dolidze +160

For this fight, Jack Hermansson has the advantage over the odds, and pretty much I think Hermansson has the power to take down Dolodze, while Dolidze will focus on the stand-up when the fight would go down on the ground Jack Hermansson could be a ground and pound or a submission win for Hermansson,

Tracy Cortez - 100
Amanda Ribas + 100

For this fight, Amanda Ribas has a reach advantage but in this fight, both fighters have a ground game however Tracy Cortez if she can win it in a standup she will surely get it on with it, While Amanda Ribas can get fired up with the takedown, for me I think Amanda Ribas will win this for me I really want a more well-rounded fighter,  

Well, seeing his latest interviews I see a down-to-earth Paddy who only loves to eat, his interview with Molly McCann where he is just eating was tremendously stress-free, Well maybe there are some points that are sure I really judge him that quickly and never knowing the whole story

But any way if that Khamzat Chimaev having a fiasco, but still I like his performance a kid like this surely deserves something well in his recent fight I think I bet for him, I can't really remember but for sure I really like what I am seeing in doing his craft inside the Octagon,


I do notice what you did there with SALUTE!  anyway, I think I will enjoy them I mean enjoy their performance on the ground because of their wrestling and grappling background, so it will surely be a great fight,


Right now he is still young, but I think he will understand it eventually if he turns 30 it is now hard to cut off weight at that age, for me, I think he really loves what he is doing  and I am not really against that, but as a fighter, you are right that he needs to take care of his health more, and sure I am looking forward in some meme's of him in the future, well anyway I think there is a bigger picture in why he is doing this, and pretty much he is known in doing a weight increase and weight loss so much but still if he is showing great performance inside the octagon I don't really have any problem with that,


Let's just wait and see, if they got some beef for each other and I have watched their conversation I think it may happen plus it is not a bad offer for Paddy Pimblett a 1 million dollar offer in just a sparring match is a big amount for Paddy in what he is getting in the UFC, and he gets to kick Jake Paul inside the ring, well if he has great boxing that is, for me Paddy is a grappler, and I think this is a good opportunity for him as well to test his boxing skill and since this is just a sparring match I guess a great way to try his boxing,

I prefer Stephen, but I don't expect him to win here. He's very good against other strikers, and he might be able to get the decision, but Holland is very dangerous on the feet. It'll be interesting to see if Holland can close the gap, since fighters a little more aggressive than him have failed against Wonderboy.

I think that'll be the decider personally. If Holland close the gap, I'd expect a knock out. Otherwise, Wonderboy could cruise to a victory via decision. I'll have a look at the odds tonight, and see if they persuade me either way.

There was a brother code established when Kevin Holland and Stephen Thompson sit down for an interview and you can watch them in the official youtube channel by the UFC and it is basically a classic Karate Vs Kung Fu match up. Kevin Holland is a second degree black belt and Stephen Thompson is a really establish striker who has a fifth degree black belt and with an undefeated record in his kick boxing days and he is a legend in that aspect.

I side more towards Stephen Thompson because of his striking pedigree and expecting a great fight between the two.

That's a very good point tokeweed. I was going along the similar line of thought that Wonderboy has become a little washed, but looking at the opponents, and actually thinking about their styles you're probably right. Although, at times he was definitely getting out struck in some of those fights.

Holland has the chance to make a statement here, and put a legend on his record. I don't know what others might think, but I consider Stephen a legend at this point. Probably one of the most unique fighting styles in the UFC, mainly due to his karate background. They're quite rare, and even when there are fighters with that sort of background they tend to ditch the karate stance.

When Holland accepted to fight Chimaev on short notice, he becomes one of Dana's fav. Whether he loses or wins, Dana will always like a fighter who will just go all the way. And he can take what Thompson can throw, he is indeed old and washed.  If Holland has to go closer to beating Thompson, Holland by submission could happen.

^  I don't blame you, and if I were to bet, I'd also go for Holland.  But he has to use some offensive wrestling here instead of trying to out strike the guy.  A lot of people thinking Thompson is old and washed, me included, but I go back and see the last couple of losses were vs really good wrestlers and the last couple of wins were vs a prime Luque and the hard hitting Geoff Neal.


Hah yeah..  Would be cool if we could have those kinds of props.  Other good ones could be betting for the over and the under on TD's and total strikes.

Yeah, however it depends on your bookie. Only some offer this, mostly fiat one's I believe. You can also bet on method of victory as well as round which bumps up the modifier by quite a handsome amount. This also only tends to be certain events I believe.

The other alternative you've got is the fight not going the distance which is basically saying the same thing; there will be a finish you just don't know who.

Wonderboy's distance management is one of the best in the game. Holland will need to be prepared to take a few to close the distance. I just think he gets it done. Don't get me wrong, I'll be absolutely over the moon if Wonderboy gets it done. I've been quite vocal in the past of Holland's performances, but he's won me back recently. Especially, with the Chimaev event. Yeah, he lost, but I saw some fight despite knowing he was going to get demolished which is what I wanted to see in the Brunson fight.

Those who is an expert in betting, dont you happen to know if it is possible to place a bet only on a fight outcome ? I mean is it possible to bet that the fights end method will be a KO, but without selecting who is going to be a winner? I think Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Pavlovich fight is going to end with a KO, I just dont know who is going to be more accurate or lucky that day. These two has total of 26 KOs in 30 fight 

^  That's the thing, if Holland took a striking heavy approach, I think Thompson will be a problem.  Holland will have a hard time closing the distance as Thompson is mostly light on his feet and could kick from different angles.  It could prolly end up something like point fighting for Thompson.  Dunno...  But yeah, the last couple of losses were from fighters who are really good at wrestling.  Then again it's also possible that Thompson is washed. 

Edit:  As for the odds, Holland at 1.57, Thompson at 2.36.  Oh...  Not much value for Thompson.  Lol.  I thought I saw he was at 2.75 or something.  :/  My bad. 

I've got Holland, and I'm a massive Wonderboy fan. In fact, he's probably in my top five fighters. I just love his style. However, Holland is brilliant in the stand up, and I can't see Wonderboy reverting to wrestling him. I see him getting clipped, and probably knocked out.

I'll be looking at the odds, and I'll either bet for that outcome or just not bet at all. I don't want to see Wonderboy get beat, but I'll feel a little better if I've earned something from it .