Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 318. (Read 100230 times)

I had Holloway winning the rematch but it was close and could've gone either way.  I guess if the judges gave to Holloway I'm pretty sure a lot of guys could argue for Volk and I'd totally understand.

Anyway here's my lottery ticket.  I have more confidence on Pereira and Du Plessis who are lined close by the books than the 'clear favorites' Volk, O'Malley and Turner.  Volk vs Holloway could be close...  Again.  Munhoz has solid leg kicks and could hit a nerve in O'Malley's leg.  Lol.  And Turner is up against Brad Riddell who is pretty good himself.

Adesanya - Muniz at 1.80
Add:  Pereira - Du Plessis at 6.37
Add:  Volk - O'Malley - Turner at 25.99
Add:  Lawler - Garry - Clarke at 136.45
Add:  Eye at 409.35

Some vids to watch in case you're bored or got nothing else to do.

UFC 276 Free Fight:  Volk vs Holloway 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKWwAu5sr0s

UFC 276 Free Fight:  Volk vs TKZ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u435qs2Obig

UFC 276 Free Fight:  Holloway vs Rodriguez
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQoPhjvokyA

UFC 276 Free Fight:  Cannonier vs Brunson
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMbiZIEB8N4

UFC 276 Free Fight:  Adesanya vs Whitaker 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7DC-4eQj24

Enjoy...

Which fighters you expect then? Brian Ortega lose against from both Volkanovski and Hollaway, while Yair Rodríguez lose against Hollaway. Perhaps the next contestant is Josh Emmet, probably he don't want to fight against Volkanovski and Hollaway, but he wait until which one is lose, then we might see Emmet vs Hollaway.

But the fact is no one can compete Volkanovski if it's Hollaway right now, he have an improvement from lose via unanimous decision to lose via split decision, probably we might see the next fight Hallowey will win via split decision? we don't know. Volkanovski is really well rounded fighter and become the champion in featherweight, did he scare to move the next weight?

Alex Volkanovski showed how superior he was in the fights of Korean Zombie and Brian Ortega. In my opinion, I do n't want to underestimate Max Hallowey, but he is not better than Brian Ortega because his ammo skills are limited, I do n't think Max hallowey can add too much talent in terms of self-improvement. I don't think there will be much difference in the match plan of Alex Volkanovski, most likely he will go KO in the middle of the fight.

Yeah, it's definitely cost me over the past seasons especially in football, late goals and all that. It's an awful feeling, losing 80% of the cashout win praying for teams NOT to score especially. Still not sure I'm ever going to cash out but will probably need a huge-odds win riding to test my nerves proper. It's an option now on all the bookies I use, which wasn't the case just a few years ago, so clearly there's demand for cash out.

Nice win again, and on going the distance bets, they're looking more interesting to me too and where the value seems to me is stacked on most matches.

Finally an event where every fight in main card worth watching.

Finally a fight fow cowboy Cerrone. To me Miller is stronger than Lauzon. Miller will choke Cerrone and Donald will retire, finally.

But the fights like Volkanovski vs Hollaway makes me sad. This is already a third fight. Like there are no other contestants in Featherweight? Two fights was not enough to figure out who is the winner?

I don't see a better outcome for Max than he had in the previous two. At best a split decision loss, at worst Alex takes his soul. That is all based on how Alex has improved in the last couple of fights, and how Max has stayed the same. It's understandable, the milage on Holloway, he's far past improving that much. Don't get me wrong, he is still relevant to the top 5 in the division, but not on a champion status.

Pretty much I am moved by the recent event but this event will surely bring chills to us and Israel Adesanya is fighting against Jared Cannonier along with the man that Knock hit out in their kickboxing match Alex Pereira so this is going to be another insane event in my opinion

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

Saturday 07.02.2022 at 06:00 PM ET

Venue: T-Mobile Arena



MAIN CARD

Middleweight Israel Adesanya VS Jared Cannonier
Featherweight Alexander Volkanovski VS Max Holloway
Middleweight Sean Strickland VS Alex Pereira
Bamtamweight Pedro Munhoz VS Sean O'Malley

PRELIMINARY CARD

Lightweight Brad Riddell VS Jalin Turner
Middleweight Robbie Lawler VS Bryan Barberena
Welterweight Ian Garry VS Gabe Green
Welterweight Donald Cerrone VS Jim Miller
Middleweight Uriah Hall VS André Muniz
Womans Flyweight Jessica Eye VS Maycee Barber
Middleweight Brad Tavares VS Dricus Du Plessis
Womans Bantamweight Jessica-Rose Clark VS Julija Stoliarenko

CANCELLED BOUTS

Miesha Tate vs. Lauren Murphy
Jessica Eye vs. Casey O'Neill
Jim Miller vs. Bobby Green

Information from TAPOLOGY

Lmaooo yup!  I think the UFC match makers are gonna give him a break and match him up vs another ranked opponent and give him an opportunity to move up.  Sometimes you just never know what these judges are gonna do or if they're really watching the same fight.

Anyway won my top ticket so I'm happy and won't have to make another deposit for the next event.  

UFC 276:  Countdown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96wD5FMm2ZA

Could be better for a PPV but I'll take it.

Here's the odds: 1.50, 1.83, 2.00, 7.00, 1.083, 1.36, 1.18, 1.33. So, mostly short odds, but it's that Curtis fight, that went the distance that pumped up the return.

I rarely cash out, it's only because he looked absolutely demoralised at the end of round four. It's kind of my attitude, I bet a small ish amount, on impossible odds usually. This week I went a little bit more safe, and well it bloody came in.

It very nearly didn't come in though. I just thought, I'm going on a trip soon, and quite frankly that cash out would help a ton. So, I decided instead of the possibility of being disappointed lets just cash. Honestly, at round two I was certain Tsar was going to win, unless he got knocked out. Then, obviously the come back changed my mind enough.

I don't know, very out of character for me to cash out. Glad I did though. I know if it did end up being a different result than it was, I'd be kicking myself today.

Arman Tsarukyan was really pissed, even though Mateusz Gamrot is comforting him he was so upset about the judge's decision, maybe all of that anger will be felt by the next opponent he would definitely release that, and pretty much he feels that he knockdown Gamrot, but there is not much praised for him I know the fight was really close, but this is Tsarukyan's first 5 round fight and he did it pretty much great but yeah likely he should aim for a submission or KO/TKO next fight so it will not be handle down to the judge's decision, because many were rob, because of the wrong scoring,

---

Pretty much the UFC Fight Night Tsurukyan VS Gamrot is over but the fights presence is still rich in my mind, I got to admit I am upset about what happened in the main event even though Tsurukyan surely needs to ensure a Knockout win and not let the judges make the decision I think this will definitely make Arman Tsurukyan think twice and he surely has the right to be angry with the judges,

For Shavkat Rakhmonov, a veteran Neil Magny was no match against the grappling and intelligent way Rakhmonov handle him on the ground, he surely has the caliber to go toe to toe with Khamzat Chimaev, but he is taking those baby steps to come up the top and I think it is the right way,

And on an Article that I have read Daniel Cormier thinks Khamzat Chimaev should have fought Belal Muhammad and not Colby Covington, but for me, I really don't care about who's Khamzat Chimaev should fight because even if it's Colby Covington or Belal Muhammad the result will always be the same and that is Khamzat Chimaev to face Kamaru Usman,

The welterweight has become a very complex division. Shavkat finished his opponent with giotin today, he was very patient while doing this, waiting for the good time. Shavkat is on the belt, Khamzat also is they are on their way and both are undefeated. There is Kumaru Usman waiting for everyone at the top. Neil magly was a strong opponent, in fact, Shavkat dominated both rounds and finished with giotin.

Had my head spinning a bit trying to think about the odds of your individual legs, but well done! I've very, very rarely cashed out, and I don't think ever on an important game. Even when close to dying minutes and with the game looking shaky, and only about 10-15% to lose on a bet, I still let it ride, need to learn to be a bit more pragmatic especially on final legs of parlays.

Especially good play predicting on Gamrot's comeback.

Long live casher outers.

I genuinely feel sorry for whoever has to fight Tsarukyan next. He's going to be proper angry, not only because he lost a close decision, but his wrestling was pretty much nullified, and in fact you could say he lost pretty much every exchange. Every shot he took was either stopped in its tracks or he got reversed.

Honestly, I see both of these guys at the top of the division, and the top five are probably a little worried about how well rounded the two are. Plus, Tsarukyan is super talented for his age, I didn't realise he was so young. Definitely has the upper hand on Gamrot there.

Here is the result for the UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot

Arman Tsarukyan VS Mateusz Gamrot DECISION, UNANIMOUS - LOST

The fight was tremendously close, well this was the first time Arman Tsarukyan fought for 5 rounds most of his fight was 3 rounds only, so there were times that we could see that Tsarukyan was like gas-out on the fight indeed many fans were not in favor for Gamrot winning they think that this is a robbery for Tsarukyan and the most controversial round was on the 3rd and 4th, and in my opinion, if we look at the score cards rounds 1 and 2 are for Tsarukyan while round 3 to 5 are for Gamrot, so the controversial fights are the 3rd and 4th and many fans are saying that this rounds should be for Arman Tsarukyan, and in the 4th round Gamrot was knockdown by Tsarukyan, well, in my opinion, the 3rd round was for Mateusz Gamrot no doubt about that he landed most strikes than Tsarukyan and for the 4th round that has all the juicy part, Tsarukyan knockdown Gamrot on this round and I think the Judge and the announcers hasn't seen that because it was so fast, but Gamrot have a takedown and almost get the rarenaked choke on Tsarukyan, but never finished it but that Knockdown was a really huge points for Tsarukyan and in my opinion he should won the 4th round giving him the win over Gamrot but the judges and the announcers didn't notice that Knockdown they might think that as a slip, well this is a roberry for Arman Tsarukyan, but it was a really close match, and Arman's 1st round 5 match and he did great,


Neil Magny VS Shavkat Rakhmonov SUBMISSION, GUILLOTINE CHOKE - WIN

Neil Magny is the veteran here alright but Shavkat Rakhmonov has got Magny real good in the 1st round, you can see the huge advantage of Rakhmonov, you can see the pressure on Neil Magny and the struggle that Rakhmonov is causing him on the ground was really incredible, how Shavkat Rakhmonov has pulled a Guillotine choke on Neil Magny was really impressive, now I really want to see a Shavkat Rakhmonov VS Khamzat Chimaev fight,


Thiago Moisés VS Christos Giagos SUBMISSION, REAR NAKED CHOKE - WIN

I really thought that this could be a close fight but Thiago Moises was really cheeky here, he might know that he can not defeat Giagos on the stand-up that is why he rush to take the grappling, and when the right opportunity has come he went on Christos Giagos back, surely Moises has a cut near his eye, but he just wants to finish this on the first round with a naked choke, that was a fast match in my opinion,


Umar Nurmagomedov VS Nate Maness DECISION, UNANIMOUS - WIN

Nate Maness is a dangerous opponent no doubt about it, but Umar Nurmagomedov is aware of this and in the 1st round he doesn't go with the kicks and pressure Maness on the ground, That Dagestan Wrestling is really what pressuring Nate Maness here, and Umar Nurmagomedov has proven that he on the advantage when it comes to Wrestling, so my thoughts Umar Nurmagomedov, in my opinion, has a caliber on wrestling just like his brother, making this another win for him but Maness also have done great in not letting Umar get into position,

These men, and women just earned me my biggest win ever I think . Not a massive amount, so don't get too excited. Not too bloody shabby though. I cashed out at round four of the Arman vs Gamrot fight, and it turns out I was right to do so. I thought Tsar was looking a bit exhausted, and Gamrot was already getting the better of the exchanges, and I had them at either 2-2 or 3-1 Tsar, but very close.

Ultimately, I made the right decision. I was offered a higher amount to what I cashed out for at the end of round two, but at that point I thought Tsarukyan was up 2-0, so let it run.

It was a eight fold accumulator with the following:

Frey vs Vanessa to go the distance
Bautista vs Kelleher not to go the distance
Cory Durden win
Chris Curtis vs Vieira to go the distance (7.00 odds!)
Umar to win
Thiago to win
Shavkat to win
Arman to win, but cashed out at round four.

Cashing out at round four is probably some of the best decision making I've made while betting on the UFC. I usually let things run, and end up disappointed . I'm officially now a casher outer.

Makes worth staying up until 07:00 worth it . Plus, got some free bets for next event.

Maness - Nurmagomedov

Maness - has an odd of @7.20 in case of victory

Nurmagomedov - has an odd of @1.10 in case of victory, honestly this is not an odd to place a bet, it is a very low odd

Moises - Giagos

Moises - has an odd of @1.40 in case of victory, honestly this is not an odd to place a bet, it is a very low odd

Giagos - has an odd of @3.00 in case of victory

I had 3 or 4 fairly sure picks for this weekend but it was not in UFC but in PFL and Bellator MMA, I had 100% success with them this time.
For UFC I don't have any sure predictions, Nurmagomedov and Moisés should win their respective fights, but I wouldn't bet big money on them.
If you are not in a hurry maybe you should wait next weekend for Adesanya, Volkanovski and others from that fight card.
UFC Prelims starting are starting soon so you don't have much time for betting on this fight night.

I am a big fan of Shavkat Rakhmonov as he is moving up the rankings without much hype but he is a killer with the fights i have seen till now and
Neil Magny is a huge test for him. The eventual fight up we might be seeing is Shavkat Rakhmonov and Khamzat Chimaev with their undefeated streak on the line and this is the scenario i am dreaming to see with belt on the line as both are all rounded fighters who refuse to loose .

^  I think that would make a solid parlay.  It's lined at 2.52 right now which I think is just ok if you just want a little action for the event and to keep things interesting.  Moises tho..  He should win but it's hard to trust him after losing really bad to Joel Alvarez.  

Nurmagomedov should win, Rakhmonov should win and Tsarukyan should win but this one could be close.  But will still win imho.

Anyway here are the weigh ins and the fwce offs.  Nobody missed weight.

Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHXqwsGt50A

Face off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JoxLZmrJOs

Arman Tsarukyan (156) vs Mateusz Gamrot (156)
Neil Magny (171) vs Shavkat Rakhmonov (170.5)
Alan Baudot (253) vs Josh Parisian (265.5)
Christos Giagos (156) vs Thiago Moises (155.5)
Nate Maness (135) vs Umar Nurmagomedov (136)
Chris Curtis (185.5) vs Rodolfo Vieira (185)
Tafon Nchukwi (206) vs Carlos Ulberg (204.5)
TJ Brown (145.5) vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke (146)
Sergey Morozov (136) vs Raulian Paiva (136)
JP Buys (126) vs Cody Durden (126)
Mario Bautista (135.5) vs Brian Kelleher (135.5)
Vanessa Demopoulos (115.5) vs Jinh Yu Frey (115.5)

Well, my Analysis is just for others to have a slight outlook or insight on the fighters or just a guide it is your decision on whoever your pick because my prediction is just my opinion only everyone has the free will  to choose, or maybe others have a different insight than might I surely respect that, Gamrot still has a possibility in winning this and yes a ground fight might be effective against Tsarukyan,

Thiago Moises is a well-rounded fighter that is why I am rooting for him than Giagos, and I think both these fighters can be beaten by Arman Tsarukyan, the recent fight of Giagos was against Arman Tsarukyan, and Thiago Moises lost to Joek Alvarez that was defeated by Arman Tsarukyan aswell, and the fight before that, was against Islam Makhachev that we all know the caliber, but in my opinion against Christos Giagos, Thiago Moises is more well rounded,


I don't really think that Maness's ground game is inferior enough to surpass a Nurmagomedov's Dagestan way of wrestling, and I think that Khabib Nurmagomedov is backing his brother on the side so we expect a coaching Khabib on his Brother just like Makhachev,

with the other underdogs, I really don't have any idea and I don't look up their records for now, but I am on standby for potential talent, and well that is a good choice betting on round and method of winning but is not a bad choice actually, that is how good this is, you can bet multiple time on 1 match,



Yup! Rakhmonov is a beast surely Magny has some decent striking and all but I think Shavkat Rakhmonov is a hell of a fighter that pretty much fighting smartly in his last few fights, so the technicality will always maintain to Rakhmonov,