talking about real madrid, they are an unpredictable team, their epic comeback will give everyone a big surprise, just look at how they humiliated Barcelona in the last El Clasico match with a score of 4-0, after being humiliated several times by Barcelona
apart from madrid, bayern is also a very tough team, especially now that they are being handled by tuchel, so the chance for Bayern to win the champions league is also very big
Madrid is indeed difficult to predict against a great club and has beaten it like Barcelona, but I think against Chelsea later it will not be difficult for Madrid to get rid of him because Chelsea's performance has been very bad since Potter left who was also replaced temporarily by Lampard did not make the slightest change even because yesterday they lost against Newcastle, so since seeing the way they played yesterday it was really not convincing to qualify for the UCL to the next round.
Maybe I should explain what little I know. We can predict Barcelona's defeat against Madrid in the Copa Del Rey even though the results are uncertain. I must say, if we refer to the players who played from both teams during that match. clearly Madrid is more profitable in that game than Barcelona. because, the absence of several important players had an effect on the team's overall performance. here, Xavi wants to reduce player mistakes, so he puts Alonso, and Segio, the fatal thing, they are not able to build up the strength of Madrid's midfield and the speed of Madrid's wingers.
well, if De Jong comes in, usually De Jong will be the back-up for Busquets if he loses the ball. he is needed because of his agility, plus doing strict marking on other players. or maybe, if Xavi had put Gavi in the middle, it might have turned out differently.
Let's compare the Madrid vs Villarreal match, the case is almost the same as Barcelona. when Don Carlo rested some of his core players, especially 2 defenders and 3 midfielders. Real Madrid lost to Villarreal at the Santiago Bernabeu. So, it's not a matter of consistency or not. but how the efficiency of the second tier players work. plus, the system that the coach applies. the question is, why did Don Carlo do that. there is no choice, because in the next 4 days Madrid will host Chelsea. that is, Ancelotti did not underestimate his opponent.
Talking about the Madrid vs Chelsea match, on paper Madrid will win this match easily. moreover, if Real Madrid plays its main players. well, the problem is with Chelsea, how does Lampard apply his system, play defensively or offensively. ideally offensive and stealing opportunities if have a counter attack. well, because this match still has a time lag, at least we just have to wait to get the latest information, especially regarding the formation and starting line-up of the two teams.