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Topic: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season - page 608. (Read 141787 times)

legendary
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December 30, 2023, 12:57:23 PM
~Snip
If we talk about the perfect club we will never find one like that, maybe they never lose but they still draw. So far I've noted Leverkusen who can do that but they also still draw, yes even though they never lose. In football a draw will still count as an unsatisfactory result.
All with their own advantages and disadvantages, every time 2 clubs meet, they will always look for gaps where their opponent's weaknesses lie and if they can be utilized properly they will be able to win the match.
But other factors also sometimes affect the outcome of matches, one prominent example is luck. No matter how strong and how many chances a club can create, they won't be able to score if they are unlucky in the match.
I really agree with your last point, without luck a team may not win the match. Luck is part of the game, but good performance and creating a lot of chances allows a team to increase its chances of winning a match. In the Champions League, there are only 3 teams this season that have never dropped points until they qualify for the round of 16. Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Manchester City are the 3 teams I mean, in fact I am sure they will maintain that record to qualify for the quarter-finals.

In the round of 16, we will probably easily determine favorites in many matches. Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Manchester City are favorites in their respective matches, while Arsenal, Inter and Barcelona are also worthy favorites. PSG and Dortmund are also favorites, but I tend to think that the first 3 teams I mentioned have a good chance of securing a ticket to the quarter-finals.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 12:25:46 PM

There is really no team at the moment that is playing a perfect season. Real Madrid is strong, Manchester City isn't playing perfectly, Bayern Munich had some problems during the group stage in some games and there is no team in my opinion that looks so dominant at the moment that it has a unique favorite role in the Champions League. Arsenal has had some bad results despite playing quite well, but that doesn't mean a lot for the Champions League I believe. But Porto should be an opponent that Arsenal can handle. The coming weeks are important for them and there is also the FA Cup game against Liverpool next week.
If we talk about the perfect club we will never find one like that, maybe they never lose but they still draw. So far I've noted Leverkusen who can do that but they also still draw, yes even though they never lose. In football a draw will still count as an unsatisfactory result.
All with their own advantages and disadvantages, every time 2 clubs meet, they will always look for gaps where their opponent's weaknesses lie and if they can be utilized properly they will be able to win the match.
But other factors also sometimes affect the outcome of matches, one prominent example is luck. No matter how strong and how many chances a club can create, they won't be able to score if they are unlucky in the match.
sr. member
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December 30, 2023, 12:20:32 PM
Arsenal
Arsenal need to improve their attack, and make sure to score as many goals as the opportunities as they create. If Arsenal gets a good striker in the transfer chance and get reinforcements in some other positions in the team, their chances of doing very well in the champions league round of 16 more than they did in the group stages will be higher. I see Roma coming to the champions league next season, I see Mourinho as someone with a plan, they look to be on that track already to achieve that with their current position on the table.

Exactly. Arsenal needs to improve its attack. Seriously, it's getting weaker, and as you said, they need to use every single opportunity that will come their way to score a goal. Currently, I think that is the position that Arsenal needs to strengthen more in their squad. Although other squads also need some reinforcements, I think the main weak position in the squad is the attacking position. The attacking position doesn’t get as strong as it is, but I think the round 16 matches will be tough, so I hope before then they will try and get someone to strengthen the attacking position so that they will do more than they did before.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 12:19:24 PM
You are right, if Arsenal can get at least a draw in their first meeting then their chances become bigger, because in the second meeting they will play the match with home status, of course it is a very good opportunity for them.
But Porto is not a club that can be conquered easily, their presence in this round shows that they can indeed compete. In the group stage they also did not disappoint because they could collect 12 points from the 6 matches played, actually it was the same points that Barcelona had, but they lost in goal productivity so that only put them in 2nd place.
Arsenal are also in an unhappy state for sure, as they failed to win in their last match in the domestic league and kept them in 2nd place.
Arsenal is currently really unstable and I think it's really going to affect how well they will be performing in the forth coming champions league fixture their recent loss aswell will also affect their morale as their confidence may be shaking because they would be surprised they lost to such a weak team.

But then in the UCL I'm expecting they will be able to put up a better performance because they are awareness bof the competition in the champion's league and the pressure is such that every match counts and it's an opportunity to either determine how long you are going to stay in the league or if you will be leaving anytime soon because each time you drop points you chances of proceeding further in the UCL reduces. But then I'm optimistic about Arsenal's performance in the UCL this season.
Meeting Porto in the last 16 of the Champions League after the draw had been drawn was a blessing for Arsenal, Porto was slightly weaker compared to Inter Milan and PSG who had the potential to be their opponents. The bad results achieved in the EPL must be forgotten immediately, Arsenal must focus on the round of 16 in order to qualify for the quarter-finals.

Arsenal will act as the visiting team first against Porto in the first leg, this match is very important for Arsenal to reach a safe level when playing the second leg at the Emirates. The four wins obtained in the group stage should be a motivation to continue to appear consistent. Arsenal, who have been absent from the UCL for a long time, must take advantage of this opportunity to reach the final round in order to open up the opportunity to win a trophy. It sounds a bit excessive, but in football anything can happen as long as they always appear consistent.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 12:13:57 PM
I like Real Sociedad's chances against PSG. Although they may not be La Liga giants, their recent performances, especially winning their Champions League group, speak loudly. Its amazing given they beat Inter Milan. I think this momentum will be vital in their encounter against PSG.

Despite having world-class players, PSG has lost two matches in the group stages. Sociedad might capitalize on this instability. PSG has been defeated by Newcastle United and AC Milan. Sociedad's form and PSG's weak performance suggest a surprise from the Spanish side.
Currently Sociedad's condition is still not good and balanced when compared to PSG but of course there is an expectation where they provide more resistance in this Round of 16 because regardless this is their chance to show further in the Champions League because moreover this is their debut so PSG does not really know where their real strength lies so there could be surprises in this case.

Indeed for now looking at the Probability PSG is clearly the favourite in this match but I am a little hopeful about Sociedad and hopefully what Villarreal did a few seasons earlier that could even reach the semi-finals can happen again for Sociedad even though it is difficult as long as they can win against PSG in the round of 16 then it is actually very good.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 11:46:16 AM
Arsenal
Arsenal need to improve their attack, and make sure to score as many goals as the opportunities as they create. If Arsenal gets a good striker in the transfer chance and get reinforcements in some other positions in the team, their chances of doing very well in the champions league round of 16 more than they did in the group stages will be higher. I see Roma coming to the champions league next season, I see Mourinho as someone with a plan, they look to be on that track already to achieve that with their current position on the table.
Getting a new good striker is one of the anticipation we are keeping on the gunners by the next transfer window, it's very much needed if the gunners will further go beyond the round of sixteen in the UCL this season because the need the goal advantage as much as they also need the wins in this league so far.

Roma coming to the champions league next season is still under great probability because even currently they are not in a very consistent form, they don't have the ability to maintain a position around the top four and they seem yet to have a particular form which will help their performance on the pitch, I think Mourinho is still at the building stage with this team and until he gets it's right there will be no much difference from what they have now and making it to the champions league next season won't make sense because they will not be able to make anything good out of the UCL.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 11:21:02 AM
You are right, if Arsenal can get at least a draw in their first meeting then their chances become bigger, because in the second meeting they will play the match with home status, of course it is a very good opportunity for them.
But Porto is not a club that can be conquered easily, their presence in this round shows that they can indeed compete. In the group stage they also did not disappoint because they could collect 12 points from the 6 matches played, actually it was the same points that Barcelona had, but they lost in goal productivity so that only put them in 2nd place.
Arsenal are also in an unhappy state for sure, as they failed to win in their last match in the domestic league and kept them in 2nd place.
Arsenal is currently really unstable and I think it's really going to affect how well they will be performing in the forth coming champions league fixture their recent loss aswell will also affect their morale as their confidence may be shaking because they would be surprised they lost to such a weak team.

But then in the UCL I'm expecting they will be able to put up a better performance because they are awareness bof the competition in the champion's league and the pressure is such that every match counts and it's an opportunity to either determine how long you are going to stay in the league or if you will be leaving anytime soon because each time you drop points you chances of proceeding further in the UCL reduces. But then I'm optimistic about Arsenal's performance in the UCL this season.

There is really no team at the moment that is playing a perfect season. Real Madrid is strong, Manchester City isn't playing perfectly, Bayern Munich had some problems during the group stage in some games and there is no team in my opinion that looks so dominant at the moment that it has a unique favorite role in the Champions League. Arsenal has had some bad results despite playing quite well, but that doesn't mean a lot for the Champions League I believe. But Porto should be an opponent that Arsenal can handle. The coming weeks are important for them and there is also the FA Cup game against Liverpool next week.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 10:37:37 AM
The round of 16 match between Real Sociedad and PSG is one that should not be missed and here Real Sociedad gets the advantage of playing as the away team in the first leg. Surely everyone already knows PSG's strength and there are certainly many who favor PSG to win, but what if Real Sociedad manages to beat PSG with a fairly landslide score? And won't it be that in the second leg PSG will have great difficulty reversing the aggregate difference, especially since it takes place at home to Real Sociedad for the second leg.

Real Sociedad is still a fairly consistent team this season and in the domestic league they are still in a pretty good place rather than being out of the top 10 in the standings. So their chances or performance will still remain the same and this is the first meeting between Real Sociedad vs PSG because history records that there have been no meetings at all for these two teams on the Champions League stage.

This is not a club that will trouble PSG and Luis Enrique. I know how consistent they have been from last season at least to an extent. League 1 defending Champions should win this game if you ask me. They might have had a rough start but I'm very sure Luis Enrique would win. He had special players to help him win against them though during his Barcelona days, I'm hoping he could do same, even if hoping is such a dangerous thing to do.

I'm more concerned on whoever they meet next, that wi be the most challenging test for Luis Enrique with how far he can successfully lead the club at least to the finals during his first managerial position as head coach of the great club. I want to see how he manages these lads without the special players he had at FC Barcelona.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 10:07:28 AM
The round of 16 match between Real Sociedad and PSG is one that should not be missed and here Real Sociedad gets the advantage of playing as the away team in the first leg. Surely everyone already knows PSG's strength and there are certainly many who favor PSG to win, but what if Real Sociedad manages to beat PSG with a fairly landslide score? And won't it be that in the second leg PSG will have great difficulty reversing the aggregate difference, especially since it takes place at home to Real Sociedad for the second leg.

Real Sociedad is still a fairly consistent team this season and in the domestic league they are still in a pretty good place rather than being out of the top 10 in the standings. So their chances or performance will still remain the same and this is the first meeting between Real Sociedad vs PSG because history records that there have been no meetings at all for these two teams on the Champions League stage.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 09:51:42 AM
Arsenal's performance in the domestic league is quite poor and that could be a stumbling block for them before the first leg starts. The Gunners squad's readiness must be arranged neatly considering that the Champions League is more difficult than the domestic league that they often encounter.
Porto is not an easy opponent, they could have beaten Arsenal if Arteta had not made a good strategy for their match in the first leg. Of course, the bad results obtained in the domestic league must be paid for in the UCL. At least Arsenal can succeed in getting a win in the first leg. although it is not easy enough for Arsenal to beat Porto. As long as Arteta maintains the performance of all his players, I'm sure they can qualify for the next round.

It's difficult to divide focus in the UCL and in the domestic league, especially as the competition at the top of the EPL standings this season is also very tight so it seems Arsenal will again fail to win the title in the EPL this season for the umpteenth time, at least they might be able to focus much more on the UCL this season, although Not being UCL champions this season, at least they showed their ability to make it to the semi-finals, that's already good

Porto was of strong team. Even though we are rarely seeing the performance of porto in its domestic league but it's still competing for the top place in the portugal league. Arsenal shall never try to underestimate its opponent. It can make the players become over confidence and they will be starting to bottling the important match against porto. This is the bad habit owner by arsenal as it was always failing to go to the further stage of UCL. Arteta shall also aware if this is the main problem that needs to be solved.
He needs to push his player to perform even better compared to the previous game. Arsenal was getting easy team in the group stage but this time is kinda different. It's not facing a weak team. Arsenal needs to be careful if the team is willing to win the game.
Im not counting on arsenal caused by porto and arsenal are same strong. Neither of them will be dominating the game soon.
legendary
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December 30, 2023, 08:43:54 AM
Arsenal will beat Porto in my own calculations and that will assist them to move further in the next rounds. I want Arsenal to put in much more efforts this time around to be able to claim this trophy but one good thing that will also mean is that, they will break an history they have been fight for for many years now and unable to take the trophy.
Many people say that in Porto's match against Arsenal in the last 16, Arsenal will progress to the next round, I also have that prediction. But for me, Arsenal getting through will not be easy because currently Arsenal's weakness is that they don't have an attacker who is truly deadly in front of the opponent's goal. Just look at when Arsenal lost against Westham, they controlled the match, they even often threatened the opponent's defense, but they had difficulty scoring goals.

So I think Arsenal's 1st leg will be a draw, Porto are not a great team, they have more European pedigree than Arsenal and may be on fire. As far as I know, Porto have some deadly attackers. Still need to be careful of them. I think Arsenal can take the opportunity to win when Arsenal play the second leg at home. Arsenal just won this match so they qualified for the next round. This is just my prediction
We have already to discuss about this before and Arsenal is the favourite and many people will predict they will be able to overcomes Porto and easily to advances to the next round and if i am not mistaken this is the first time to Arsenal to playing at round of 16 under Arteta because previously Arsenal always be failed to reach top 4 and indeed one of Arsenal biggest weaknesses is they don't have sharp striker at their team because so far only Bukayo Saka who can able to performing well and scores 8 goals in all competitions and he is a midfielder not striker

However Porto have more experience in champion league compared to Arsenal because according to their statistics in this competition almost for each year Porto always be playing at group stages even they were often to advances to the round of 16 so Porto cannot be underestimate but indeed for first leg Porto will playing as a host so i think they want to utilized their home match to gets the winning result and during group stages Porto only lose from Barcelona with narrow score besides that Porto can able to win with big scores several times so this is big challenge for Arsenal to beat Porto or at least gets draw result in the first leg
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 08:22:25 AM
Arsenal will beat Porto in my own calculations and that will assist them to move further in the next rounds. I want Arsenal to put in much more efforts this time around to be able to claim this trophy but one good thing that will also mean is that, they will break an history they have been fight for for many years now and unable to take the trophy.

They can only win that game if they get to sign a new striker, not to forget, even the midfielder's needs balance a new midfielder who can fill up since Thomas Partey is not ready, I don't like the way Declan Rice is not really being complemented in midfied. He carried all of the load in midfied against West Ham and he was cooked hard.

It's quite easy to say Arsenal would best Porto with the mouth. Don't forget they have Lima Pepe the former Real Madrid defender will be waiting for Gabriel Jesus or Saka?

Go do your checks and see how many times they've played against Porto at home and still couldn't win the game. Porto against Arsenal have featured on, Porto won two and drew one they have never lost shit and gunner's will not win this one if you ask me.
sr. member
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December 30, 2023, 08:17:40 AM
With their current squad, it would actually be good enough if only to make it past the round of 16. But to play at a further stage, Arsenal certainly needs a sharper attack power than now. Arteta must really prepare for this. But I doubt Arsenal will get new players in the attack line in the winter transfer market this time. Because it is very rare for a club to let go of a great player in the middle of the season. Arteta might also have to think about making a better strategy from now on. Because I see that the strategy used by Arteta has not improved much from last season. I think he should be able to improvise more. Because the UCL is the biggest stage in football between clubs in Europe. So Arteta cannot waste this opportunity.
Mikel Arteta need to motivate more for Arsenal players have been absent for several years in Champion League, its first time get appearance Arsenal can manage well until qualify to 16 round. FC Porto is experienced teams who play in Champion League and current group standings success eliminated Shakhtar Donetsk and get second standings finish under Barcelona position on the first place. Arsenal have balance their performance not only focus in Champion League but also get pressure keep playing well in Premier League get opportunity in the tittle race with Liverpool and Manchester City.

Mikel Arteta have good scheme with Arsenal but have weakness with dominance by young players difficult for Arsenal how to win match exactly on under pressure, not only with good strategies but also Arsenal have winning mentality if want get bigger achievement in Champion League and Arteta won't loss great opportunity to win UCL tittle.
legendary
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December 30, 2023, 08:12:52 AM
Arsenal's performance in the domestic league is quite poor and that could be a stumbling block for them before the first leg starts. The Gunners squad's readiness must be arranged neatly considering that the Champions League is more difficult than the domestic league that they often encounter.
Porto is not an easy opponent, they could have beaten Arsenal if Arteta had not made a good strategy for their match in the first leg. Of course, the bad results obtained in the domestic league must be paid for in the UCL. At least Arsenal can succeed in getting a win in the first leg. although it is not easy enough for Arsenal to beat Porto. As long as Arteta maintains the performance of all his players, I'm sure they can qualify for the next round.

It's difficult to divide focus in the UCL and in the domestic league, especially as the competition at the top of the EPL standings this season is also very tight so it seems Arsenal will again fail to win the title in the EPL this season for the umpteenth time, at least they might be able to focus much more on the UCL this season, although Not being UCL champions this season, at least they showed their ability to make it to the semi-finals, that's already good
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 08:12:34 AM
You are right, if Arsenal can get at least a draw in their first meeting then their chances become bigger, because in the second meeting they will play the match with home status, of course it is a very good opportunity for them.
But Porto is not a club that can be conquered easily, their presence in this round shows that they can indeed compete. In the group stage they also did not disappoint because they could collect 12 points from the 6 matches played, actually it was the same points that Barcelona had, but they lost in goal productivity so that only put them in 2nd place.
Arsenal are also in an unhappy state for sure, as they failed to win in their last match in the domestic league and kept them in 2nd place.
Arsenal is currently really unstable and I think it's really going to affect how well they will be performing in the forth coming champions league fixture their recent loss aswell will also affect their morale as their confidence may be shaking because they would be surprised they lost to such a weak team.

But then in the UCL I'm expecting they will be able to put up a better performance because they are awareness bof the competition in the champion's league and the pressure is such that every match counts and it's an opportunity to either determine how long you are going to stay in the league or if you will be leaving anytime soon because each time you drop points you chances of proceeding further in the UCL reduces. But then I'm optimistic about Arsenal's performance in the UCL this season.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 08:08:04 AM
I think that the level of the competition can also set free a lot of mental elements that otherwise may not contribute as much to the game of a team. Real Sociedad may not be one of the strongest teams in La Liga at the moment, but they are certainly not one of the weakest teams either. If they have most of their important players available for the games against PSG, I think that the game could go either way (or the two games in aggregate for that matter). PSG should have some advantage over them, but even if you say that PSG is a 60% favorite, there is still a lot of room left for Real Sociedad to be successful against them in the Champions League.
Real Sociedad is one of the big teams in La Liga. They often finish the season in the top 6 of La Liga standings. I agree if we can't underestimate Real Sociedad because they have the capability to make a surprise. We know if the teams from La Liga isn't an easy team to be defeated. They often win international competitions like UCL and UEL. So, PSG must be careful to play against Real Sociedad in the upcoming match. Moreover, if Real Sociedad can play with full team. They have the potential to defeat PSG and qualify for the next round. However, I still trust PSG to win the match because they have more quality players.


I like Real Sociedad's chances against PSG. Although they may not be La Liga giants, their recent performances, especially winning their Champions League group, speak loudly. Its amazing given they beat Inter Milan. I think this momentum will be vital in their encounter against PSG.

Despite having world-class players, PSG has lost two matches in the group stages. Sociedad might capitalize on this instability. PSG has been defeated by Newcastle United and AC Milan. Sociedad's form and PSG's weak performance suggest a surprise from the Spanish side.
sr. member
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December 30, 2023, 07:39:22 AM
Arsenal will beat Porto in my own calculations and that will assist them to move further in the next rounds. I want Arsenal to put in much more efforts this time around to be able to claim this trophy but one good thing that will also mean is that, they will break an history they have been fight for for many years now and unable to take the trophy.
Many people say that in Porto's match against Arsenal in the last 16, Arsenal will progress to the next round, I also have that prediction. But for me, Arsenal getting through will not be easy because currently Arsenal's weakness is that they don't have an attacker who is truly deadly in front of the opponent's goal. Just look at when Arsenal lost against Westham, they controlled the match, they even often threatened the opponent's defense, but they had difficulty scoring goals.

So I think Arsenal's 1st leg will be a draw, Porto are not a great team, they have more European pedigree than Arsenal and may be on fire. As far as I know, Porto have some deadly attackers. Still need to be careful of them. I think Arsenal can take the opportunity to win when Arsenal play the second leg at home. Arsenal just won this match so they qualified for the next round. This is just my prediction
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 07:26:45 AM
The position of being the favorite team or not will certainly greatly influence who Arsenal will face next if they succeed in eliminating Porto in the round of 16.
My prediction is that looking at the existing teams, there is a very big chance that Arsenal will meet one of these strong teams, and if that happens it will be very difficult for Arsenal to advance to the next round, but before that, they have to be able to overcome the Porto team which is quite good even though many people predict that Arsenal will beat Porto, but in my opinion, the chances of both teams are the same, because Arsenal can sometimes appear disappointing, such as when they lost to West Ham in the English Premier League.

The playoffs are a very difficult stage, everything needs to be decided in two games, but perhaps for Arsenal there is an advantage in that they will play the first game at Estádio do Dragao, in case of a win or a draw their chances of winning the return match will be higher.

I don’t consider Porto a weak opponent, they are capable of beating Arsenal, especially if you look at Arsenal’s latest results in five games, they won only once in the match with Brighton, they lost the matches with Aston Villa and West Ham, and they drew with Liverpool and PSV , so Arsenal may be in decline.
Arsenal have the advantage of playing the first leg at home to Porto and they should be able to prove their capacity. It's not easy to face the cheers of Porto fans and it can bring down their mentality. But what is clear is that even if Arsenal fail to gain an aggregate advantage or even lose to Porto, at least it will be an aggregate with a narrow margin and not a landslide. So that when the second leg is held at the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal can still reverse the aggregate or even host Porto until the penalty shootout.

Arsenal's performance in the domestic league is quite poor and that could be a stumbling block for them before the first leg starts. The Gunners squad's readiness must be arranged neatly considering that the Champions League is more difficult than the domestic league that they often encounter.
hero member
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December 30, 2023, 07:11:44 AM
The position of being the favorite team or not will certainly greatly influence who Arsenal will face next if they succeed in eliminating Porto in the round of 16.
My prediction is that looking at the existing teams, there is a very big chance that Arsenal will meet one of these strong teams, and if that happens it will be very difficult for Arsenal to advance to the next round, but before that, they have to be able to overcome the Porto team which is quite good even though many people predict that Arsenal will beat Porto, but in my opinion, the chances of both teams are the same, because Arsenal can sometimes appear disappointing, such as when they lost to West Ham in the English Premier League.

The playoffs are a very difficult stage, everything needs to be decided in two games, but perhaps for Arsenal there is an advantage in that they will play the first game at Estádio do Dragao, in case of a win or a draw their chances of winning the return match will be higher.

I don’t consider Porto a weak opponent, they are capable of beating Arsenal, especially if you look at Arsenal’s latest results in five games, they won only once in the match with Brighton, they lost the matches with Aston Villa and West Ham, and they drew with Liverpool and PSV , so Arsenal may be in decline.
You are right, if Arsenal can get at least a draw in their first meeting then their chances become bigger, because in the second meeting they will play the match with home status, of course it is a very good opportunity for them.
But Porto is not a club that can be conquered easily, their presence in this round shows that they can indeed compete. In the group stage they also did not disappoint because they could collect 12 points from the 6 matches played, actually it was the same points that Barcelona had, but they lost in goal productivity so that only put them in 2nd place.
Arsenal are also in an unhappy state for sure, as they failed to win in their last match in the domestic league and kept them in 2nd place.
legendary
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December 30, 2023, 05:42:29 AM
The position of being the favorite team or not will certainly greatly influence who Arsenal will face next if they succeed in eliminating Porto in the round of 16.
My prediction is that looking at the existing teams, there is a very big chance that Arsenal will meet one of these strong teams, and if that happens it will be very difficult for Arsenal to advance to the next round, but before that, they have to be able to overcome the Porto team which is quite good even though many people predict that Arsenal will beat Porto, but in my opinion, the chances of both teams are the same, because Arsenal can sometimes appear disappointing, such as when they lost to West Ham in the English Premier League.

The playoffs are a very difficult stage, everything needs to be decided in two games, but perhaps for Arsenal there is an advantage in that they will play the first game at Estádio do Dragao, in case of a win or a draw their chances of winning the return match will be higher.

I don’t consider Porto a weak opponent, they are capable of beating Arsenal, especially if you look at Arsenal’s latest results in five games, they won only once in the match with Brighton, they lost the matches with Aston Villa and West Ham, and they drew with Liverpool and PSV , so Arsenal may be in decline.
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