⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! - page 186.

LTU_btc

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I'm not happy about today's results at all. All 4 teams which I preferred to see in Euro lost their games.
North Macedonia qualified to EURO for the first time in history. It's nice that their legend, 37 years old Goran Pandev scored decisive goal.
After amazing performance in Euro 2016, this time Iceland failed to qualify. Pity for them, they didn't played bad today.
Scotland qualified to major tournament for the first time since 1998. They won after penalties, bur IMO they deserved it more than Serbia. Maybe now England, North Ireland and Wales fans will stop laughing from them Cheesy

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Quote from: 2double0 on November 12, 2020, 05:27:22 PM

Serbia didn't give up till the end but it was extremely ridiculous to see them not getting a penalty goal for the 5th time when Scotland already scored 5 goals in penalty. I am very much disappointed with them being disqualified. Undecided

While you're disappointed at Serbia's lost, I'm kinda happy Scotland made it to Euro 2020. They haven't had a major breakthrough at international football just like today's achievement in about 20 years. Although, I don't see them going that far in the tournament since they're in the same group as England, Croatia and even Czech Republic. I didn't watch the game but from a video I saw, the win against Serbia meant a lot to the players.

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Quote from: adamvp on November 12, 2020, 03:26:48 PM

Northern Ireland - Slovakia - almost finished first half and Slovakia leads 1-0 after goal of Kucka,
I personaly find Slovakia win more likely. And I won't expect many goals in this game. I bet under 3

And it was good bet. Slovakia won 2-1 after extra time.
It was good defensive (except of Skrinar own goal mistake) .
Congratualtions to Scotland, too:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1327014485761142785

2double0

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Quote from: casperBGD on November 12, 2020, 04:14:37 PM

yeah, and at the moment, all four matches (one already ended) have same score 0:1
still, hoping that Serbia will score until the end, although there is no good chances from our side

edit: all home teams scored in last two minutes of the game, and Hungary scored two times, so they are actually qualified, Serbia and Scotland go to extra time, same for Northern Ireland

Serbia didn't give up till the end but it was extremely ridiculous to see them not getting a penalty goal for the 5th time when Scotland already scored 5 goals in penalty. I am very much disappointed with them being disqualified. Undecided

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Quote from: nikola22 on November 12, 2020, 04:09:09 PM

Quote from: adamvp on November 12, 2020, 03:26:48 PM

Northern Ireland - Slovakia - almost finished first half and Slovakia leads 1-0 after goal of Kucka,
I personaly find Slovakia win more likely. And I won't expect many goals in this game. I bet under 3

during the most playoffs teams mainly think about defense. the first match Georgia - North Macedonia ended 0-1 and highly likely the rest 3 matches would finish with total under 2.5 (under 3 could be some kind of insurance).

yeah, and at the moment, all four matches (one already ended) have same score 0:1
still, hoping that Serbia will score until the end, although there is no good chances from our side

edit: all home teams scored in last two minutes of the game, and Hungary scored two times, so they are actually qualified, Serbia and Scotland go to extra time, same for Northern Ireland

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Quote from: adamvp on November 12, 2020, 03:26:48 PM

Northern Ireland - Slovakia - almost finished first half and Slovakia leads 1-0 after goal of Kucka,
I personaly find Slovakia win more likely. And I won't expect many goals in this game. I bet under 3

during the most playoffs teams mainly think about defense. the first match Georgia - North Macedonia ended 0-1 and highly likely the rest 3 matches would finish with total under 2.5 (under 3 could be some kind of insurance).

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Quote from: buwaytress on November 12, 2020, 07:21:13 AM

I'm jealous of you @ty, your picks are worthy of going into my thread, except I'm not that crazy;) But yeah I think Trofo and all others going for unders may not actually be so foolish but I'm going to take it really easy today and go for a form bet.

Scotland have not lost consecutive games, under Strachan they've formed a boringly solid defence, but they haven't met the firepower of Serbia yet in form -- but they've just been on a sorry run of form themselves too and I think Cooper in Scotland CB knows Mitrovic very well by now... but of course, at Fulham he doesn't have Tadic to back him up nor Lazio's Savic... so okay, understandable why Scotland is expected to lose.

If, and if they win, it will be by a goal. But I still think over 5/1 is seriously good value, Form vs Form, so it's my bet for the day. Georgia are my personal favs but value is poor =)

yeah, under goals are more than expected, and North Macedonia passed through with one goal, and there is an away goal in Hungary and Northern Ireland, with goalless draw in Serbia at half time

no home team scored up to this point, interesting to play live that Serbia will score in the second half

adamvp

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Northern Ireland - Slovakia - almost finished first half and Slovakia leads 1-0 after goal of Kucka,
I personaly find Slovakia win more likely. And I won't expect many goals in this game. I bet under 3

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Quote from: LTU_btc on November 11, 2020, 06:36:19 PM

Quote from: casperBGD on November 11, 2020, 07:50:58 AM

four matches for last places on EURO that is postponed, and some countries that are usually out from final events, so it will be interesting tomorrow, for me, most interesting will be certainly in Belgrade, where Serbia will try to beat Scotland, and that will not be an easy as Scotland is playing very good, could say their best in last 20 years

in other three matches, i would say that Hungary, North Macedonia and Slovakia will pass through

Yeah, Scotland looks good now, but despite it, I'm backing Serbia, I think they're better team. And I really don't want to see Scotland in EURO - I don't like their old school Brittish football at all. Also, under 2.5 goals probably is good bet, both teams don't score many goals.
I also will make small bet on Georgia, from what I saw they look more solid than North Macedonia.
Other 2 games looks too difficult to predict for me.

Judging from the position in the current standings Scotland is far superior to Serbia, but the facts on the field will be a little different and the possibility of Scotland still winning this match even with a thin score. How ever Scotland have good record before this match with always win and continue for his winning to night, nice to see who will be the winner in this match Scotland or Serbia.

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I'm jealous of you @ty, your picks are worthy of going into my thread, except I'm not that crazy;) But yeah I think Trofo and all others going for unders may not actually be so foolish but I'm going to take it really easy today and go for a form bet.

Scotland have not lost consecutive games, under Strachan they've formed a boringly solid defence, but they haven't met the firepower of Serbia yet in form -- but they've just been on a sorry run of form themselves too and I think Cooper in Scotland CB knows Mitrovic very well by now... but of course, at Fulham he doesn't have Tadic to back him up nor Lazio's Savic... so okay, understandable why Scotland is expected to lose.

If, and if they win, it will be by a goal. But I still think over 5/1 is seriously good value, Form vs Form, so it's my bet for the day. Georgia are my personal favs but value is poor =)

tyKiwanuka

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Hehe, you rarely see people recommending unders in gambling forums and now everyone is suddenly a fan of them Cheesy

But I agree these games all look very under-ish and the odds reflect that, there is just so much at stake for these teams. For SRB-SCO and NIR-SVK I would even predict 0-0's Roll Eyes

Don't know much about Georgia/North Macedonia (it's funny to have one of these teams in Euro 2021) and the only match where I can imagine an over is Hungary vs Iceland.

For the fun of it, I'll play a 2/4 system with all matches going to penalties:

Serbia - Scotland @7.00
Georgia - North Macedonia @5.00
Hungary - Iceland @6.00
Northern Ireland - Slovakia @5.00

And a parlay of these for odds of @1050 Cheesy

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Quote from: slaman29 on November 12, 2020, 05:36:18 AM

I don't know how any of these teams are playing

same here lol except for Serbia tho, i do know some of the players like Milinkovic-Savic, Kolarov, Duricic, etc, which is why Serbia are my only ticket today: a betbuilder on SB: Serbia O5.5 corners + Total booking pts 39.5 at 1.96 boosted https://i.ibb.co/McKWkyL/serbia.png

I'm following some stats, Serbia avg 4 cards or more per match in 2020, Scotland's average is a bit higher. Both teams avg 6 corners or more per match

Bookies are heavily favoring Serbia today, so people expecting an upset from Scotland can grab some juicy lines (DB at 2 odds, to qualify at 3.20)

hahay

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Well, I bet over under because I think every team that will play tonight either has a good defense, or is less than perfect in finishing could be a major factor so this time it is unlikely there will be many goals except the match between Georgia - North Macedonia. O1.5 @ 1.58. The other three matches I bet on U2.5 and I think it's all still good odds at least 1.44-1.59.

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Quote from: LTU_btc on November 11, 2020, 06:36:19 PM

Yeah, Scotland looks good now, but despite it, I'm backing Serbia, I think they're better team. And I really don't want to see Scotland in EURO - I don't like their old school Brittish football at all. Also, under 2.5 goals probably is good bet, both teams don't score many goals.
I also will make small bet on Georgia, from what I saw they look more solid than North Macedonia.
Other 2 games looks too difficult to predict for me.

I have to be honest here and say I don't know how any of these teams are playing, but reading about them, I see a lot of people praising Scotland but I guess long ball hard tackling football isn't for everyone?

Problem for me and most people watching I guess, is we really can't see an identity in the style of some teams, so it's nice sometimes to see country football where the style is obvious. We always need one British style, since England doesn't really play their style anymore;)

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Quote from: LTU_btc on November 11, 2020, 06:36:19 PM

Also, under 2.5 goals probably is good bet, both teams don't score many goals.
I also will make small bet on Georgia, from what I saw they look more solid than North Macedonia.
Other 2 games looks too difficult to predict for me.

I am thinking betting all 4 qualifier games under 2.5 goals and maybe even 1.half draw and for maximum gains first half without goals on all 4 matches. The stakes are extremely high for all these teams and they aren't biggest scorers even when they are playing friendlies. Worth a shot for me even though I already know one game will go in opposite direction but I have no idea which one.

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Quote from: casperBGD on November 11, 2020, 07:50:58 AM

four matches for last places on EURO that is postponed, and some countries that are usually out from final events, so it will be interesting tomorrow, for me, most interesting will be certainly in Belgrade, where Serbia will try to beat Scotland, and that will not be an easy as Scotland is playing very good, could say their best in last 20 years

in other three matches, i would say that Hungary, North Macedonia and Slovakia will pass through

Yeah, Scotland looks good now, but despite it, I'm backing Serbia, I think they're better team. And I really don't want to see Scotland in EURO - I don't like their old school Brittish football at all. Also, under 2.5 goals probably is good bet, both teams don't score many goals.
I also will make small bet on Georgia, from what I saw they look more solid than North Macedonia.
Other 2 games looks too difficult to predict for me.

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Quote from: casperBGD on November 11, 2020, 07:50:58 AM

four matches for last places on EURO that is postponed, and some countries that are usually out from final events, so it will be interesting tomorrow, for me, most interesting will be certainly in Belgrade, where Serbia will try to beat Scotland, and that will not be an easy as Scotland is playing very good, could say their best in last 20 years

in other three matches, i would say that Hungary, North Macedonia and Slovakia will pass through

Thanks for the update, I hadn't realised the postponement, everything is a blur now with dates.

Scotland are in a rich, rich vein of form, and have been returning very good value on bets, so agree here! And I have to say it's being mirrored somewhat in a revival of the Old Firm contest where Celtic aren't anymore allowed to dominate (it has to be more than coincidence that a country's national team plays better when their domestic league is competitive!).

Thinking of taking a simple parlay on your picks for progress plus Scotland;)

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four matches for last places on EURO that is postponed, and some countries that are usually out from final events, so it will be interesting tomorrow, for me, most interesting will be certainly in Belgrade, where Serbia will try to beat Scotland, and that will not be an easy as Scotland is playing very good, could say their best in last 20 years

in other three matches, i would say that Hungary, North Macedonia and Slovakia will pass through

Expecto

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The most safe match for betting seems Georgia-North Macedonia to me. I made bets on Georgia a couple of times and I didn't lose any of it. I believe that they will win and make the bettors happy again.

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Quote from: swogerino on October 12, 2020, 07:22:11 AM

I think most of the sport betting players play more the over 2.5 goals as that is a more common result in the majority of the soccer games.However in International games it is different,the teams play more cold headed than in League games as here the teams only want the end result to qualify and will play carefully to achieve that.

It is more common on other leagues.
In Nations League you cannot easily go for the Over 2,5 bet. Players are tired by games of their teams and they see the national games as something that needs to be done but with the less effort.
On top of that, they are not so bonded with the whole team as they train and play games not so usual.

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