Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 16266. (Read 26609319 times)

legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
Gold and silver is money for people that want this world to be like Dungeons and Dragons.
sr. member
Activity: 924
Merit: 311
#TheGoyimKnow
300. And also citations needed.

I have not personally sorted through the entire (astronomical) list of countries the evil Jewish conmen have been kicked from to determine which entries are duplicates or not.  The fact that generally nobody...I mean NOBODY wants to live in a black neighborhood, even other black people, yet blacks are rarely ever kicked out of countries while the Jews are always kicked out, really tells you these people are constantly up to some diabolical, evil shit.
legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
As an aside, since nothing is happening and we are bored, let's have a little philosophical kerfluffle. What is the difference between genius and insanity?

success

-or-

neuregulin 1
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
300. And also citations needed.
sr. member
Activity: 924
Merit: 311
#TheGoyimKnow
Yes, we all know when gold and silver was used as money in antiquity, there was no problem at all with the governments at the time enslaving people.  Roll Eyes Grin
Plus all that gold really helped Montezuma's empire remain sovereign from the conquistadors.  Cheesy

Because force is the only valid consensus mechanism.  Bitcoin is designed as a war game exercise that utilizes this "force as the only valid consensus mechanism" concept, but just like a real war game, there is a continuous consolidation of power as opponents are eliminated while new opponents are prevented from entering (adversarial mining, ASIC patents, foundry monopolies, etc) until you have a winner take all scenario or something close to it.  PoW was never a valid way to build anything decentralized and nobody has discovered anything to improve on it because it's not actually possible to create a decentralized cryptocurrency.  

The whole thing was basically a fraud from day one.  The only reason any establishment people (like Larry Summers and Ben Bernanke) promote this garbage is because they want to use it to indoctrinate the slaves (you) into willfully participating in their future cashless society slave grid run by...the same Jewish conmen (Pharisees) that people have had to kick out of different countries 200 times now.  The last thing they want are the slaves to break free from the plantation and get access to real wealth (physical metals).
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
As an aside, since nothing is happening and we are bored, let's have a little philosophical kerfluffle. What is the difference between genius and insanity?
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
like gold, bitcoin has emerged as an insurance policy to the insanity

LOL NO.

Bitcoin is NOTHING like physical metals.  Bitcoin does not remove counter party risk or middlemen.  It has built in rent seeking middlemen (transaction validators).  It is not a store of value either due to having a floating cost of production that can "float" downwards to $1 or zero just as easily as it can float upwards, unlike metals.  The cost of production of metals generally only goes up, which is why it doesn't even matter if people mined stuff in space (won't happen in your lifetime anyways); the cost of production would be orders of magnitude higher.

The government WANTS you to buy bitcoin and doesn't try to stop it at all (except Chinese capital flight), and instead tries to manipulate metals and prevent people from investing in those.  They do not want you to have access to real money or wealth.  They want the slaves only using imaginary currency or fiat.  It's not just noggers that are slaves.  All you fucking moron goyim are on the slave plantation now.  Only an idiot does what the government (aka Goldman Sachs & other evil jews) wants you to do.  I do the exact opposite of what the govt wants and only buy physical silver while dumping imaginary wealth (bitcoin) that can vaporize up into smoke at any second.
Bitcoin has all the technical properties of gold, plus a few more. This is years old news even if you didn't know. Bug off.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1828
blah blah blah metals gold blah blah
blah bitcoin no schelling point blah blah
blah blah built in rent seeking middlemen blah blah
blah blah evil jews blah blah goyim usury slaves blah blah blah

You know your shtick is getting real tired r0ach. Maybe if you just cut and paste the same shit from your 1000 other older posts it might save you some time.  Wink

Yes, we all know when gold and silver was used as money in antiquity, there was no problem at all with the governments at the time enslaving people.  Roll Eyes Grin
Plus all that gold really helped Montezuma's empire remain sovereign from the conquistadors.  Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 924
Merit: 311
#TheGoyimKnow
blah blah blah metals gold blah blah
blah schelling point blah blah
blah blah built in rent seeking middlemen blah blah
blah blah evil jews blah blah goyim usury slaves blah blah blah

You know your shtick is getting real tired r0ach. Maybe if you just cut and paste the same shit from your 1000 other older posts it might save you some time.  Wink

Or maybe you should stop being a Judas and selling out the rest of humanity for a few shekels even though you know damn well nothing about cryptocurrency is going to be pro-freedom in the end.  The only endgame of craptocurrency will be federated chains run by govts and corporations (slave coins) because it's not actually possible to create a decentralized craptocurrency, only ones designed to centralize.  

Since both PoW and PoS are designed to centralize, this means none of these things have any fundamentals whatsoever.  Nothing with zero fundamentals can survive in the long term.  They will either just die on their own flat out from being centralized, or they will be centralized enough for the state to just walk up and take over and then turn them into federated chains from there through some type of G7 or EU commission.
sr. member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 347
All you fucking moron goyim are on the slave plantation now.  Only an idiot does what the government (aka Goldman Sachs & other evil jews) wants you to do.  I do the exact opposite of what the govt wants and only buy physical silver while dumping imaginary wealth (bitcoin) that can vaporize up into smoke at any second.

legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
blah blah blah metals gold blah blah
blah bitcoin no schelling point blah blah
blah blah built in rent seeking middlemen blah blah
blah blah evil jews blah blah goyim usury slaves blah blah blah

You know your shtick is getting real tired r0ach. Maybe if you just cut and paste the same shit from your 1000 other older posts it might save you some time.  Wink
sr. member
Activity: 924
Merit: 311
#TheGoyimKnow
like gold, bitcoin has emerged as an insurance policy to the insanity

LOL NO.

Bitcoin is NOTHING like physical metals.  Bitcoin does not remove counter party risk or middlemen.  It has built in rent seeking middlemen (transaction validators).  It is not a store of value either due to having a floating cost of production that can "float" downwards to $1 or zero just as easily as it can float upwards, unlike metals.  The cost of production of metals generally only goes up, which is why it doesn't even matter if people mined stuff in space (won't happen in your lifetime anyways); the cost of production would be orders of magnitude higher.

The government WANTS you to buy bitcoin and doesn't try to stop it at all (except Chinese capital flight), and instead tries to manipulate metals and prevent people from investing in those.  They do not want you to have access to real money or wealth.  They want the slaves only using imaginary currency or fiat.  It's not just noggers that are slaves.  All you fucking moron goyim are on the slave plantation now.  Only an idiot does what the government (aka Goldman Sachs & other evil jews) wants you to do.  I do the exact opposite of what the govt wants and only buy physical silver while dumping imaginary wealth (bitcoin) that can vaporize up into smoke at any second.
legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
Three kids, two grandkids here. Each an owner of a paper wallet with a number of bitcoins. I send another dose to each address from time to time.

You said bitcoins, not bitcoin cash coins. I'm sure that you meant Bitcoin Cash (BCH), correct? Right? Riiiight?

They have both Bitcoin Segwit and Bitcoin Cash. As have all addresses untouched since the split. Right? Riiiight?

After all, as a true Bitcoiner, I imparted the wisdom to HODL.

Don't you mean a true Bitcoin Casher? Don't you remember yourself spending months on this thread belittling, condescending and trolling anyone who wasn't onboard with BCH and 8mb blocks?

Oh wait, I see. So you don't really *believe* in BCH, otherwise by now you would have dumped all your Bitcointm for more BCH and told your family to do the same.

Gotcha. Troll. But y'know, its cool...Roger didn't dump all his Bitcointm for BCH either... like way less than 10%. Birds of a feather and all that. Roll Eyes

(fkn hypocrites)
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 551
I am a banana.

The last 10 floor to floor Bitcoin doublings since Nov 2012.

Average doubling time: 6 months
Shortest doubling time: 1 month ($20 to $40)
Longest doubling time: 18 months ($80 to $160)

The Mt Gox bubble is clearly disruptive to trend. Since recovery, doubling times have only accelerated. This kind of hyperbolic growth is typical of a technological singularity. Think color tv, mobile phones, or the Internet.

At this scale, it's really hard to see the recent hardfork or China FUD having much of an impact at all.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/price-perspective-2203360



This feels very f'-ing fancy! Smiley .. Also.. I don't know if you know this.. But your chart predicts 10500$+ în 3-4 months. Cheesy Cheesy



Let's project! If we assume an average doubling rate of 6 months, then the price floor should remain above:

$5120: Jan 2018
$10,240: July 2018
$20,480: Jan 2019
$40,960: July 2019
$81,920: Jan 2020

We may touch $10,000 in 3 or 4 months as an ATH, but it may take another couple months to form a new floor. I wouldn't be surprised if doubling rates slowed down to maybe a year+ after $10,000, though. It's mind-boggling and eye-watering to conceive it's even possible. Shocked But this long-term doubling trend has so far survived all kinds of FUD, hacks, and Bitcoin obituaries and only appears to be gaining resilience as adoption increases.

It's funny, I just can't see it doubling into this heights so soon.

But then again .. I didn't think we would reach 4000 (or even scratch 5000) 3-4 months ago.


The last square is wrong! His prediction is very conservative. But what will happen is exactly like on Square No. 3!

The new ATH will probably be between 30 Sept < > 2-3 Oct. And the $10.000$ will be probably around Christmas!  Roll Eyes  Tongue  Cheesy  Grin

LOL, how can it be "wrong" when it hasn't happened yet? ATH won't count by the way, it has to be a bonafide floor. (No dips!) That might take months to confirm.

That said, I would happily (sooner) be wrong.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo

The last 10 floor to floor Bitcoin doublings since Nov 2012.

Average doubling time: 6 months
Shortest doubling time: 1 month ($20 to $40)
Longest doubling time: 18 months ($80 to $160)

The Mt Gox bubble is clearly disruptive to trend. Since recovery, doubling times have only accelerated. This kind of hyperbolic growth is typical of a technological singularity. Think color tv, mobile phones, or the Internet.

At this scale, it's really hard to see the recent hardfork or China FUD having much of an impact at all.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/price-perspective-2203360



This feels very f'-ing fancy! Smiley .. Also.. I don't know if you know this.. But your chart predicts 10500$+ în 3-4 months. Cheesy Cheesy



Let's project! If we assume an average doubling rate of 6 months, then the price floor should remain above:

$5120: Jan 2018
$10,240: July 2018
$20,480: Jan 2019
$40,960: July 2019
$81,920: Jan 2020

We may touch $10,000 in 3 or 4 months as an ATH, but it may take another couple months to form a new floor. I wouldn't be surprised if doubling rates slowed down to maybe a year+ after $10,000, though. It's mind-boggling and eye-watering to conceive it's even possible. Shocked But this long-term doubling trend has so far survived all kinds of FUD, hacks, and Bitcoin obituaries and only appears to be gaining resilience as adoption increases.

Nice work.

I wonder what it would look like if you used market cap instead of price, i.e. adjusted for the monetary inflation of bitcoin? I know that when using market cap btc has never gone below previous ATH wave highs on each floor.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Awe  Fuck... let me fix the reference.. .because I cited you in the wrong post, earlier...  Although, in your response, you knew what I was talking about.   This one here has the proper reference.... .


Now we are in a thread where we can be a little off topic I thought I would mention I have come home from work

if you're still working you've been failing as a legendary imo. and that vomit thing is not gentleman even. You should have a platoon of wet nannies serving yourself and the kids now.
Because being breastfed is better than a cigar.


Whoa whoa whoa.

Failing?  My first bitcoin was bought between $100-$200 and the most I have ever spent on one bitcoin is $400. I accumulated some coins during the bear market after gox. To not work I would have have had to invested around $50k at this time. (Which I did not unfortunately)

I wish I was earlier in to bitcoin believe me.

Anyway, I feel I am in a decent position right now.

I am aware this is a good idea but all my "spare cash" has gone on a building project we have nearly completed. I have had no spare fiat. I had a goal regarding the minimum amount of btc I'd like to hodl from the start and this has been increased by bcash coming along so I am pretty content with what I have. Always nice to have more but as I said, I've had other projects in the go and I have to inject money there.



I understand what you are saying; however, I still think that you gotta figure out a way to keep cash flowing into bitcoin.. and I am not just saying because I put my money where my mouth is.

I will give you a hypothetical first, and then I will also describe what I did in 2015.


1) Hypothetical:   
 Let's say that you have a real modest income of about $3k per month.
a)  you spend about $2k per month on food, housing, entertainment, maintaining an emergency fund, feeding the kids throw-up food, etc....
b) you spend about $1k per month on various investments including your business and projects.


All I am saying is take 1% of that.. and of course, you could do even lower than 1%, but bitcoin is likely to continue to be a very good long term investment.  You could consider the whole income - and that would be $30 per month into bitcoin (which could be too high), or you could just consider the business related income which would cause you to inject $10 per month into bitcoin.  Of course you could choose a smaller amount, like .5%, yet my point is that you should continue to set aside something for bitcoin.,. even if you have already invested into bitcoin because there continues to be few other investments that are long term going to be as good as bitcoin.


2) what I did in 2015:  I had spent the whole of 2014 investing into bitcoin, so at the end of 2014, I felt that I had pretty much established my investment stake into bitcoin.  In the beginning of 2015, my plan was to continue to dollar cost average into bitcoin throughout 2015 and into the future; however, to be a hell-of-a lot less aggressive about my investment (as compared with my 2014 approach), since by then, I felt that I had already established a very decent and respectable bitcoin stake.  So, yeah, in essence, I was going to ratchet down to something like 1% per month or some similar amount that worked with my then cashflow.

In late January 2015, I encountered an unexpected business situation, that pretty much screwed up my cashflow from February 2015 until about December 2015 - and the first couple of months were the worst (February and March), but the whole year was kind of fucked in terms of my cashflow.. so yeah, I did have to stop buying bitcoins for the year; however, I only completely stopped in February and March.. while I reassessed and reorganized, and even April, May and June, I was able to begin to buy very small quantities of bitcoin.  What happened through the remainder of the year was that I had a whole hell-of-a-lot of real small transactions; however, throughout the totality of my down period, I was still able to increase my bitcoin stash by about 1.5% for the entire year through my extensively streamlined purchases of BTC... .. and it ends up that those 2015 purchases had pretty much averaged in the $250 per BTC territory, which ends up being between 16x and 20x (depending on if we refer to current prices or the ATH prices from nearly a month ago).

Sure, maybe 2015 was a bit of a unique situation because the prices were so low; however, I still think that it is prudent to continue to invest in bitcoin - which personally, I continue to do, even though I have a stash that is quite decent and adequate - but it also continues to grow on a regular basis, even if only a couple percentage points a year.




If you buy enough bitcoins at the beginning (a much lower price), then it is stupid if you want to increase your bitcoin by + 1% and invest twice as much.
You understand ? (English is not my native language.)

Well, I will concede that there can be a variety of approaches and perspectives about this particular topic, but I doubt that your characterization of continuing to buy or invest in bitcoin is fair or accurately made out to be "stupid.

Surely, I can imagine hypothetical scenarios in which people would be selling and not buying more, and those would be scenarios in which they have way too fucking many bitcoins and they are over allocated in bitcoins, and this surely does not seem to be the case with RJClarke..

Accordingly, we should be attempting to consider the case in front of us, rather than some hypothetical situation that is not currently in front of us... and then asserting that it would be "stupid" based on some non-existent hypothetical situation.

I know that your hypothetical situation does not apply here because RJClarke has been making assertions that he would be able to cash out certain portions of his bitcoin stash if the price were to go up to some much higher level such as 3x or 5x or 7x... so in other words, RJC is not currently cashing out of his bitcoins and RJC is not currently overinvested in bitcoin.. therefore, RJC is waiting, hoping and possibly praying (between puke episodes) for BTC prices to appreciate more...

It is my view that in a large number of situation (in which someone does not perceive himself to be overinvested in BTC), then he should continue with accumulation strategies - unless of course, he does not believe bitcoin to be a good investment.  Anyone who thinks that it is reasonable that bitcoin could double in less than 10 years, should be taking prudent steps to continue to invest in bitcoin because that means that he believe bitcoin to be a good investment, and there are not too many investments that you can have that level of confidence.

of course the strategy could differ from mine, and maybe it would be a strategy to just accumulate dollars in a bitcoin fund and to have those dollars ready to buy on dips, otherwise dollar cost averaging might work, too.


But I gamble too :-) Selling tops, buying dips and extract cash. (with 5% of my long term holdings)
Buy back is not wise beacause you can lose everything(100%) and everything you can win is only (5%). ... but good for gamblers :-)

I do something like what you are doing, too; however, I do not characterize what I am doing as gambling.  I do characterize what I am doing as a form of hedging my bets in terms of preparing for the downsides and attempting to profit from what seems to be nearly inevitable volatility.  If anything bitcoin seems to be nearly guaranteed to be volatile, and selling on the way up and buying on the way down remain decent strategies to profit from volatility, so long as BTC prices go up in the long run (and BTC prices going up in the long run is a kind of built in presumption that I have that I believe to NOT be based on gambling, but instead my perspective of the solidness of a variety of ongoing BTC fundamentals). 

If you believe yourself to be engaged in gambling, rather than investment, then likely you do not have confidence in the solidness of the underlying BTC fundamentals.

None of these perspectives need to be set in stone, and for this reason if your perspective about bitcoin changes, then it would also be prudent of you to consider ways to adapt your strategy based on your changed perspective.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
Three kids, two grandkids here. Each an owner of a paper wallet with a number of bitcoins. I send another dose to each address from time to time.

You said bitcoins, not bitcoin cash coins. I'm sure that you meant Bitcoin Cash (BCH), correct? Right? Riiiight?

They have both Bitcoin Segwit and Bitcoin Cash. As have all addresses untouched since the split. Right? Riiiight?

After all, as a true Bitcoiner, I imparted the wisdom to HODL.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
Now we are in a thread where we can be a little off topic I thought I would mention I have come home from work

if you're still working you've been failing as a legendary imo. and that vomit thing is not gentleman even. You should have a platoon of wet nannies serving yourself and the kids now.
Because being breastfed is better than a cigar.

I registered here four hours before rj. He's such a noob.

Ha ha, I am still a noob even now. I will fully admit this.

I have no argument with your statement.


I am not sure if the above is a good proclamation....

Sure it is good to attempt to lower your cost per BTC, but it seems like a mind block, and even a form of inactivity to NOT continue to acquire BTC (on dips, for example).. especially if you have an ongoing cashflow, a certain percentage of your cashflow could go to bitcoin, no?  

Even 1% might be sufficient, no?

The amount could even be less than 1%, and still be good... depending on tailoring the amount to your own situation.

If you buy enough bitcoins at the beginning (a much lower price), then it is stupid if you want to increase your bitcoin by + 1% and invest twice as much.
You understand ? (English is not my native language.)

But I gamble too :-) Selling tops, buying dips and extract cash. (with 5% of my long term holdings)
Buy back is not wise because you can lose everything(100%) and everything you can win is the only (5%). ... but good for gamblers :-)
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1016
Now we are in a thread where we can be a little off topic I thought I would mention I have come home from work

if you're still working you've been failing as a legendary imo. and that vomit thing is not gentleman even. You should have a platoon of wet nannies serving yourself and the kids now.
Because being breastfed is better than a cigar.

I registered here four hours before rj. He's such a noob.

Ha ha, I am still a noob even now. I will fully admit this.

I have no argument with your statement.


I am not sure if the above is a good proclamation....

Sure it is good to attempt to lower your cost per BTC, but it seems like a mind block, and even a form of inactivity to NOT continue to acquire BTC (on dips, for example).. especially if you have an ongoing cashflow, a certain percentage of your cashflow could go to bitcoin, no? 

Even 1% might be sufficient, no?

The amount could even be less than 1%, and still be good... depending on tailoring the amount to your own situation.

I am aware this is a good idea but all my "spare cash" has gone on a building project we have nearly completed. I have had no spare fiat. I had a goal regarding the minimum amount of btc I'd like to hodl from the start and this has been increased by bcash coming along so I am pretty content with what I have. Always nice to have more but as I said, I've had other projects in the go and I have to inject money there.
hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!

The last 10 floor to floor Bitcoin doublings since Nov 2012.

Average doubling time: 6 months
Shortest doubling time: 1 month ($20 to $40)
Longest doubling time: 18 months ($80 to $160)

The Mt Gox bubble is clearly disruptive to trend. Since recovery, doubling times have only accelerated. This kind of hyperbolic growth is typical of a technological singularity. Think color tv, mobile phones, or the Internet.

At this scale, it's really hard to see the recent hardfork or China FUD having much of an impact at all.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/price-perspective-2203360



This feels very f'-ing fancy! Smiley .. Also.. I don't know if you know this.. But your chart predicts 10500$+ în 3-4 months. Cheesy Cheesy



Let's project! If we assume an average doubling rate of 6 months, then the price floor should remain above:

$5120: Jan 2018
$10,240: July 2018
$20,480: Jan 2019
$40,960: July 2019
$81,920: Jan 2020

We may touch $10,000 in 3 or 4 months as an ATH, but it may take another couple months to form a new floor. I wouldn't be surprised if doubling rates slowed down to maybe a year+ after $10,000, though. It's mind-boggling and eye-watering to conceive it's even possible. Shocked But this long-term doubling trend has so far survived all kinds of FUD, hacks, and Bitcoin obituaries and only appears to be gaining resilience as adoption increases.

It's funny, I just can't see it doubling into this heights so soon.

But then again .. I didn't think we would reach 4000 (or even scratch 5000) 3-4 months ago.


The last square is wrong! His prediction is very conservative. But what will happen is exactly like on Square No. 3!

The new ATH will probably be between 30 Sept < > 2-3 Oct. And the $10.000$ will be probably around Christmas!  Roll Eyes  Tongue  Cheesy  Grin
Jump to: