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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29012. (Read 26609666 times)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Circle gets the Square
Are you telling me that one of the biggest exchanges losing their customers money didn't cause a reversal from a downtrend that was caused by the loss of demand in China? How can this be? :O This is impossible!

Smiley

Sounds like you missed the rally and hope to get another crack. GTFO. The correction to $530 was because of China. Gox took us down to $400. These things can overlap.

Yes, you are absolutely right. I'm angry because there won't be any volatility any longer in the crypto scene to make money at the expense of fools. So I just invented this so called "demand in China" and how it's loss caused a boring 2 month long dead cat bounce.
But I'll try to correct my ways and listen to the TA wizards here who have skillz of drawing linez.

Smiley
China didn't have anything to do with the downtrend in February, and there is no reason to suppose demand in China is decreasing. The biggest issue with China recently was the uncertainty of what would happen on January 31st (which amounted to nothing); and all we did in January was fluctuate around $800 while worrying about the possibility of something on the 31st. February's downtrend was caused by uncertainty in mtgox and other exchanges, lies about the extent of transaction malleability, some finally mtgox's insolvency. Those issues have mostly been resolved at this point. I wouldn't wait for cheap (sub 600) coins anymore at this point. I think the downtrend is over, unless we get more seriously bad news, which is never unlikely in the bitcoin world.

It was game over for bitcoin in China when it was announced that there is no future for legal business supported by bitcoin. It ment that no serious investors who want to keep solid relations with the government won't touch bitcoin. The market that is left is basically walking on a thin line, only waiting for getting shut down and possibly prosecuted. Only thing that created the long dead cat bounce was denial, desperation and stupidity. If you have been looking at the charts then you know that overall demand has constantly been dropping, with only thing holding the price up is that there aren't many people who are willing to sell cheap. But this in turn is causing a decrease in volume and only way to stimulate the market is lowering the price little by litle...this will reach a critical point when the "will of the hodlers" will break and there will be a nice fall.
Anyway, I'm not arguing about this anymore, I have found that sarcasm is more suitable for this place. I'm tired of the "line drawers" calling for new and new bottoms for these past 2 months. You do whatever you wish and believe whatever you believe.

The killer app for Bitcoin in China is that it is a loophole to evade capital controls. This hasn't changed. As theit national currency has devalued against the dollar and is likely to continue to do so, an inflation hedge is a secondary use. The gambling aspect just creates noise to obscure the underlying demand.

And you really believe that bitcoin is the best legal loophole in China to evade capital controls? Or even just a good way? Or that bitcoin is the most secure way to hedge against inflation? That a business owner actually buys bitcoins while saying "ha! now my wealth is safe in this stable and secure currency!".

They're evading capital control by moving wealth out of the country. Why, as you suggest, would they be holding bitcoin at the endpoint?
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
banned but not broken
Are you telling me that one of the biggest exchanges losing their customers money didn't cause a reversal from a downtrend that was caused by the loss of demand in China? How can this be? :O This is impossible!

Smiley

Sounds like you missed the rally and hope to get another crack. GTFO. The correction to $530 was because of China. Gox took us down to $400. These things can overlap.

Yes, you are absolutely right. I'm angry because there won't be any volatility any longer in the crypto scene to make money at the expense of fools. So I just invented this so called "demand in China" and how it's loss caused a boring 2 month long dead cat bounce.
But I'll try to correct my ways and listen to the TA wizards here who have skillz of drawing linez.

Smiley
China didn't have anything to do with the downtrend in February, and there is no reason to suppose demand in China is decreasing. The biggest issue with China recently was the uncertainty of what would happen on January 31st (which amounted to nothing); and all we did in January was fluctuate around $800 while worrying about the possibility of something on the 31st. February's downtrend was caused by uncertainty in mtgox and other exchanges, lies about the extent of transaction malleability, some finally mtgox's insolvency. Those issues have mostly been resolved at this point. I wouldn't wait for cheap (sub 600) coins anymore at this point. I think the downtrend is over, unless we get more seriously bad news, which is never unlikely in the bitcoin world.

It was game over for bitcoin in China when it was announced that there is no future for legal business supported by bitcoin. It ment that no serious investors who want to keep solid relations with the government won't touch bitcoin. The market that is left is basically walking on a thin line, only waiting for getting shut down and possibly prosecuted. Only thing that created the long dead cat bounce was denial, desperation and stupidity. If you have been looking at the charts then you know that overall demand has constantly been dropping, with only thing holding the price up is that there aren't many people who are willing to sell cheap. But this in turn is causing a decrease in volume and only way to stimulate the market is lowering the price little by litle...this will reach a critical point when the "will of the hodlers" will break and there will be a nice fall.
Anyway, I'm not arguing about this anymore, I have found that sarcasm is more suitable for this place. I'm tired of the "line drawers" calling for new and new bottoms for these past 2 months. You do whatever you wish and believe whatever you believe.

The killer app for Bitcoin in China is that it is a loophole to evade capital controls. This hasn't changed. As theit national currency has devalued against the dollar and is likely to continue to do so, an inflation hedge is a secondary use. The gambling aspect just creates noise to obscure the underlying demand.

And you really believe that bitcoin is the best legal loophole in China to evade capital controls? Or even just a good way? Or that bitcoin is the most secure way to hedge against inflation? That a business owner actually buys bitcoins while saying "ha! now my wealth is safe in this stable and secure currency!".
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k

^what she says. Do it.

Srsly?

Oh, I guess the avatar misled Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
Are you telling me that one of the biggest exchanges losing their customers money didn't cause a reversal from a downtrend that was caused by the loss of demand in China? How can this be? :O This is impossible!

Smiley

Sounds like you missed the rally and hope to get another crack. GTFO. The correction to $530 was because of China. Gox took us down to $400. These things can overlap.

Yes, you are absolutely right. I'm angry because there won't be any volatility any longer in the crypto scene to make money at the expense of fools. So I just invented this so called "demand in China" and how it's loss caused a boring 2 month long dead cat bounce.
But I'll try to correct my ways and listen to the TA wizards here who have skillz of drawing linez.

Smiley
China didn't have anything to do with the downtrend in February, and there is no reason to suppose demand in China is decreasing. The biggest issue with China recently was the uncertainty of what would happen on January 31st (which amounted to nothing); and all we did in January was fluctuate around $800 while worrying about the possibility of something on the 31st. February's downtrend was caused by uncertainty in mtgox and other exchanges, lies about the extent of transaction malleability, some finally mtgox's insolvency. Those issues have mostly been resolved at this point. I wouldn't wait for cheap (sub 600) coins anymore at this point. I think the downtrend is over, unless we get more seriously bad news, which is never unlikely in the bitcoin world.

It was game over for bitcoin in China when it was announced that there is no future for legal business supported by bitcoin. It ment that no serious investors who want to keep solid relations with the government won't touch bitcoin. The market that is left is basically walking on a thin line, only waiting for getting shut down and possibly prosecuted. Only thing that created the long dead cat bounce was denial, desperation and stupidity. If you have been looking at the charts then you know that overall demand has constantly been dropping, with only thing holding the price up is that there aren't many people who are willing to sell cheap. But this in turn is causing a decrease in volume and only way to stimulate the market is lowering the price little by litle...this will reach a critical point when the "will of the hodlers" will break and there will be a nice fall.
Anyway, I'm not arguing about this anymore, I have found that sarcasm is more suitable for this place. I'm tired of the "line drawers" calling for new and new bottoms for these past 2 months. You do whatever you wish and believe whatever you believe.

The killer app for Bitcoin in China is that it is a loophole to evade capital controls. This hasn't changed. As theit national currency has devalued against the dollar and is likely to continue to do so, an inflation hedge is a secondary use. The gambling aspect just creates noise to obscure the underlying demand.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k

Sound money. It is a thing. You can look it up.


But that would mean getting the horse out of the stable, riding it down to the library and searching through through the card index to determine which vellum covered tome to consult to find the definition. And he doesn't even have any quills sharpened to take notes.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
Yesterday's pennant is starting to go limp....  Huh Cheesy Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250


but but but i though Bitcoin was a safe haven where everybody love each other, hug under rainbows and ride unicorns  Cry Undecided



Someone please photoshop this in front of Risto's mansion...

Double kudos if you get the pink Rolls Royce in also.

^what she says. Do it.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/bitcoin-could-be-manipulated-and-that-s-ok-165845510.html

Quote
If Bitcoin were a stock trading that thin it would take a stunningly small amount of money to manipulate the price. In fact, if Bitcoin traders played it the way stock trading syndicates controlled stocks in the days before the SEC, they could just trade Bitcoin back and forth to one another, walking the price higher and creating the illusion of support. 

No way is that happening. Just no way. Not my precious bitcoins.

lol
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1064
Bitcoin is antisemitic
unless we get more seriously bad news

Bitcoin Bank Flexcoin to Close After $600,000 Bitcoin Theft http://ino.to/1hGPtTv
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
banned but not broken
Are you telling me that one of the biggest exchanges losing their customers money didn't cause a reversal from a downtrend that was caused by the loss of demand in China? How can this be? :O This is impossible!

Smiley

Sounds like you missed the rally and hope to get another crack. GTFO. The correction to $530 was because of China. Gox took us down to $400. These things can overlap.

Yes, you are absolutely right. I'm angry because there won't be any volatility any longer in the crypto scene to make money at the expense of fools. So I just invented this so called "demand in China" and how it's loss caused a boring 2 month long dead cat bounce.
But I'll try to correct my ways and listen to the TA wizards here who have skillz of drawing linez.

Smiley
China didn't have anything to do with the downtrend in February, and there is no reason to suppose demand in China is decreasing. The biggest issue with China recently was the uncertainty of what would happen on January 31st (which amounted to nothing); and all we did in January was fluctuate around $800 while worrying about the possibility of something on the 31st. February's downtrend was caused by uncertainty in mtgox and other exchanges, lies about the extent of transaction malleability, some finally mtgox's insolvency. Those issues have mostly been resolved at this point. I wouldn't wait for cheap (sub 600) coins anymore at this point. I think the downtrend is over, unless we get more seriously bad news, which is never unlikely in the bitcoin world.

It was game over for bitcoin in China when it was announced that there is no future for legal business supported by bitcoin. It ment that no serious investors who want to keep solid relations with the government won't touch bitcoin. The market that is left is basically walking on a thin line, only waiting for getting shut down and possibly prosecuted. Only thing that created the long dead cat bounce was denial, desperation and stupidity. If you have been looking at the charts then you know that overall demand has constantly been dropping, with only thing holding the price up is that there aren't many people who are willing to sell cheap. But this in turn is causing a decrease in volume and only way to stimulate the market is lowering the price little by litle...this will reach a critical point when the "will of the hodlers" will break and there will be a nice fall.
Anyway, I'm not arguing about this anymore, I have found that sarcasm is more suitable for this place. I'm tired of the "line drawers" calling for new and new bottoms for these past 2 months. You do whatever you wish and believe whatever you believe.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
So here my prediction. We are seeing 800$ in 5 to 7 days Smiley I just saw that the 600$ got beaten after a quick rise, assuming that around 600$ was no resistence. After the correction the resistence built up and it was hard to jump over that 600$ again. After passing it, it rose to 700 quickly again, so around 700 was no resistence. After the correction we're facing the same problem.

-> I like such prediction, and they seem to be popular here  Grin

sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Quote
Finally, when someone tries to convince others to buy lottery tickets, by telling them that it is a good investment, when his motive is actually to make a profit out of their "investment" -- then that guy is a scammer, and should go to jail
Maybe in your country, but in Europe, most of the lottery business are state exclusivity, a tax on dream...
So should we put all gov's in jail ?
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women

* I am not a libertarian. I believe that governments are useful and necessary, and we should fight to democratize and improve them rather than abolish them.

Governance is more than useful. It's absolutely necessary, but that doesn't mean a monopoly provider of governance is necessary or more useful than the alternatives. Democracy can only reduce the tyrannical aspects of governance to the degree that it reduces its effectiveness overall, and it's not even very good at doing that. Democracy is the dominance of the minority by the majority by definition.

hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
* Finally, when someone tries to convince others to buy lottery tickets, by telling them that it is a good investment, when his motive is actually to make a profit out of their "investment" -- then that guy is a scammer, and should go to jail.

Time to arrest everyone in the United States except for the 6 states which do not have a lottery.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k


but but but i though Bitcoin was a safe haven where everybody love each other, hug under rainbows and ride unicorns  Cry Undecided



Someone please photoshop this in front of Risto's mansion...

Double kudos if you get the pink Rolls Royce in also.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
This guy showed his hand weeks ago.

I have stated my position several times, but for those who did not see it:

* Cryptocoins are a great invention, and I wish that they succeed in their original goal -- a method of payment through the internet, especially across national borders, that is safe, cheap, convenient, fast, etc.  I wish that, and I would love to use them if and when I think that they are better for me than credit cards or other existing means.  I wish that, but I do not think that the chances are good. (One shoudl never confuse "desire" with "expectation".)

* I am not a libertarian. I believe that governments are useful and necessary, and we should fight to democratize and improve them rather than abolish them. I see the libertarians' idea of getting rid of governments as sheer lunacy. (For one thing, if you don't have your own strong democratic government, other people will gladly and forcibly lend you theirs.)  And I see their hope that bitcoin will let them build their utopia outside the reach of governments as lunacy squared.

* Adults have the right to do whatever they want with their money (within limits of law and ethics, of course), including investing it in whatever they like, gambling it, or even throwing it away. 

* In particular, I do not care care if someone buys a lottery ticket when he is fully aware of the odds, or trades it with some fellow gambler who is equally aware of them. 

* However, if I see someone buying a lottery ticket because he thinks it is a good investment, I feel this Darwinian duty (magnified by professional habit) to inform that fellow primate about the odds, expected value, and all that.  If the guy does not believe me, then, shrug,  that is his problem.  And, of course, I consider myself excused of that duty if  I think that the guy may steal my bananas, or if he snarled some unfriendly noises at me.

* Finally, when someone tries to convince others to buy lottery tickets, by telling them that it is a good investment, when his motive is actually to make a profit out of their "investment" -- then that guy is a scammer, and should go to jail.
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
What a great day for Bitcoin !
sr. member
Activity: 293
Merit: 250
Are you telling me that one of the biggest exchanges losing their customers money didn't cause a reversal from a downtrend that was caused by the loss of demand in China? How can this be? :O This is impossible!

Smiley

Sounds like you missed the rally and hope to get another crack. GTFO. The correction to $530 was because of China. Gox took us down to $400. These things can overlap.

Yes, you are absolutely right. I'm angry because there won't be any volatility any longer in the crypto scene to make money at the expense of fools. So I just invented this so called "demand in China" and how it's loss caused a boring 2 month long dead cat bounce.
But I'll try to correct my ways and listen to the TA wizards here who have skillz of drawing linez.

Smiley
China didn't have anything to do with the downtrend in February, and there is no reason to suppose demand in China is decreasing. The biggest issue with China recently was the uncertainty of what would happen on January 31st (which amounted to nothing); and all we did in January was fluctuate around $800 while worrying about the possibility of something on the 31st. February's downtrend was caused by uncertainty in mtgox and other exchanges, lies about the extent of transaction malleability, some finally mtgox's insolvency. Those issues have mostly been resolved at this point. I wouldn't wait for cheap (sub 600) coins anymore at this point. I think the downtrend is over, unless we get more seriously bad news, which is never unlikely in the bitcoin world.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
Bitstamp offering special trading services to VIP members?
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005

But then, what is "honorable" about bitcoin?


The honorable thing is to allow yourself and others to have sound money.

Calling bitcon "solid money" is a lie, pure and simple.  There is nothing to sustain its value, no reason to believe that cryptocoins will succeed, no reason to believe that bitcon will not be superseded by other coins.   "Fiat money wannabe" is the most optimistic description one can use, gievn what we have seen so far.

People who value it's properties will sustain it's value. Once it's properties are no longer valuable, people will no longer sustain it's value. I expect it's properties to become more valuable as governments continue to increase capital controls.

Could you define "solid money" for us?

To Jorge: There is nothing to sustain its value, except that people prefer to own it. This is perfect. No relation to the real world. Pure money.

There is a timestamp in each block, but it is not needed for the transactions or for the function of the blockchain, except to regulate the mining difficulty. A cheap and incontrovertible piece of data.
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