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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33053. (Read 26630450 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
I really wonder how much longer we can go down without having a noticeable bounce up. I don't want to test this level with a buy (even though we are near a critical level (68 ish to me)) as it is still possible to slice down lower. But looking at our last big move down (130ish - 100, with bounce off 88), makes me think this current move might settle around 70ish (with a bounce off the low 70's or upper 60's (edit)).

Just throwing that out there.

Starting to feel a bit the same ... we are holding up here pretty well
Then again, that spike to $78 got rejected pretty damn quick
Hmmmm

Yes and that is partly why I'm staying put. (no pun)
I feel like Yoda is sitting on my shoulder and saying greed is bad. So, I will just sit and hope to by back in when the dust clears...
There is still a bigger purpose here.   Grin
Use the Force.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
I really wonder how much longer we can go down without having a noticeable bounce up. I don't want to test this level with a buy (even though we are near a critical level (68 ish to me)) as it is still possible to slice down lower. But looking at our last big move down (130ish - 100, with bounce off 88), makes me think this current move might settle around 70ish (with a bounce off the low 70's or upper 60's (edit)).

Just throwing that out there.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
In the long term everything will work out fine, but right now blood has to be shed. Too bad if you stepped in just recently, but I think the most valuable lessons to learn are right now right here and not when it's only up uP UP. I think we may hit $65 today, and then a bounce up into the 70s again.

I'd say that for a n00b, much better to step in NOW that in the first half of the year. Let's assume that everybody is buying little by little, first a smallish amount and then a bigger one, spreading their bids... Let's say rationally and not emotionally.

If you are in this for the long run much better to enter the market during a bubble deflation and being able to have a decent average entry price, that being caught during the speculative mania phase where price doubles every few days.

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
In the long term everything will work out fine, but right now blood has to be shed. Too bad if you stepped in just recently, but I think the most valuable lessons to learn are right now right here and not when it's only up uP UP. I think we may hit $65 today, and then a bounce up into the 70s again.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
I'm of the opinion this downtrend is simply manipulation so whales can scoop up thousands of cheap coins and replenish their inventory. Sells have come to kill every rally attempt since 90s, while BTC had equivalently little/no trading volume when it was 110-135, but continued to be pushed up by periodic large buys.

The downside is it's apparent that between Gox troubles, post bubble, and manipulation that a ton of the new blood that entered the market has either left the market or lost their shirts. Whales get rich by breaking novices, after all. In a zero-sum game, your +500% profit is paid for by the counter-party to your winning trades. Thus, short of betting on manipulation raising the price, I have no idea where bullish momentum will come from until the next bubble phenomenon.

Cryptos look very bleak right now, and are very, very far away from any sort of meaningful mass adoption. People who think BTC will be $300 by December are most likely fantasizing. Revisiting $150 again this year is also rather unlikely to happen.

BTC needs new blood that doesn't get auto-bankrupted in order to bloom. In a tiny market like this, any early adopter or speculator with 7 figures can absolutely trash smaller positions at-will, with only the people who are buy-and-holding not being affected.
member
Activity: 93
Merit: 10
haha that was not cool -.-:P
member
Activity: 96
Merit: 10

lol, been there, done it, spelt my name wrong on the t shirt!

see woody, wasn't it worth all that scrolling...


yep  Cool
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10


I think the down move is excellerating. I was looking at the long red candles and they are getting larger in size on this down move. The volume is still not huge so it looks like we are building towards a very hard move down. Now, I might play the bottom of that one if there is volume, huge volume.

Notice what I'm saying and the last red large hammer candle...
It is called... THE QUICKENING!  Grin





pun? Freudian slip?

heheheh, really, I thought my spell check was broken! I couldn't figure it out and it just hit me now...
(This is what happens when you live in a foreign country for years....)

lol, been there, done it, spelt my name wrong on the t shirt!

see woody, wasn't it worth all that scrolling...
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
Sell now, buy later !


legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile


I think the down move is excellerating. I was looking at the long red candles and they are getting larger in size on this down move. The volume is still not huge so it looks like we are building towards a very hard move down. Now, I might play the bottom of that one if there is volume, huge volume.

Notice what I'm saying and the last red large hammer candle...
It is called... THE QUICKENING!  Grin





pun? Freudian slip?

heheheh, really, I thought my spell check was broken! I couldn't figure it out and it just hit me now...
(This is what happens when you live in a foreign country for years....)
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
In the last days the avergae number of transaction fell by 10k (25%) but the amount transfered has risen by 50%.
Lots of coins on the move , and I really hope not in the gox or bitstamp purse.

Quite interesting , the change happend right after the winklewinkle bros announcement.

LOL http://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/2013/07/05/comment/the-editor/don-t-bother-with-bitcoin-2PGuuJiaOG3THnmMYSg5RO/article.html
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
In the last days the avergae number of transaction fell by 10k (25%) but the amount transfered has risen by 50%.
Lots of coins on the move , and I really hope not in the gox or bitstamp purse.

Quite interesting , the change happend right after the winklewinkle bros announcement.
hero member
Activity: 736
Merit: 508
Isn't it nothing but good news for Bitcoin at the moment? Why is the price so low then?

because jaroslaw is dumping  Wink
member
Activity: 90
Merit: 10
For my part, I opened a position around 85, then 82 seeing massive walls behind. Seeing no momentum i wanted to close again at 82 but mistakenly decided to hold. Waking up i was half shocked to see 14k sells and other biggies and price at 79 and continuing to plummet. At 76-77 i closed my position.Then bought and sold a few in this small rally with marginal profit.. This time i wont trust those walls at 70, it can get eaten by gorillas quick,as Blitz say juicy bids with little spread. And the bounce may not trespass 70 again before visiting further lows.

Same here, bought in at 82, hoping for a bounce that never came, and cut my losses at 76 this morning, just seconds before it went down to 73. Don't trust those walls.

48hrs ago:
Quote
There are currently 49122.396 bitcoins demanded at or over 70.0 USD, worth 3867157.121 USD in total.
now:
Quote
There are currently 9603.5655 bitcoins demanded at or over 70.0 USD, worth 680341.619087 USD in total.

This means we basically went through bids worth 40k in just 2 days. At that speed we are mid-50s by the end of the weekend.
legendary
Activity: 1600
Merit: 1014
Isn't it nothing but good news for Bitcoin at the moment? Why is the price so low then?
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000


Forget another bounce in the the late 70's. this decade is done now. Soon we'll Welcome The Sixties, hippies and social revolution.

that's a pretty steep wall not to bounce off of...

edit:, though yes, I'd guess not to high 70s from 71, but at least mids


For my part, I opened a position around 85, then 82 seeing massive walls behind. Seeing no momentum i wanted to close again at 82 but mistakenly decided to hold. Waking up i was half shocked to see 14k sells and other biggies and price at 79 and continuing to plummet. At 76-77 i closed my position.Then bought and sold a few in this small rally with marginal profit.. This time i wont trust those walls at 70, it can get eaten by gorillas quick,as Blitz say juicy bids with little spread. And the bounce may not trespass 70 again before visiting further lows.

Yeah allot of dropping without bouncing earlier, so hard to judge it. It's looking more bouncy today though. temptation is leading me to risk a small amount on this one

Yes the order book on the buy side is slim towards 79. may indeed go a little bit higher.But buyers who wanted to buy at this price,already had their take yesterday,for me its not worth the risk.
hero member
Activity: 894
Merit: 501


Forget another bounce in the the late 70's. this decade is done now. Soon we'll Welcome The Sixties, hippies and social revolution.

that's a pretty steep wall not to bounce off of...

edit:, though yes, I'd guess not to high 70s from 71, but at least mids


For my part, I opened a position around 85, then 82 seeing massive walls behind. Seeing no momentum i wanted to close again at 82 but mistakenly decided to hold. Waking up i was half shocked to see 14k sells and other biggies and price at 79 and continuing to plummet. At 76-77 i closed my position.Then bought and sold a few in this small rally with marginal profit.. This time i wont trust those walls at 70, it can get eaten by gorillas quick,as Blitz say juicy bids with little spread. And the bounce may not trespass 70 again before visiting further lows.

Yeah allot of dropping without bouncing earlier, so hard to judge it. It's looking more bouncy today though. temptation is leading me to risk a small amount on this one
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000


Forget another bounce in the the late 70's. this decade is done now. Soon we'll Welcome The Sixties, hippies and social revolution.

that's a pretty steep wall not to bounce off of...

edit:, though yes, I'd guess not to high 70s from 71, but at least mids


For my part, I opened a position around 85, another at 82 seeing massive walls behind. Seeing no momentum i wanted to close again at 82 but mistakenly decided to hold. Waking up i was half shocked to see 14k sells and other biggies and price at 79 and continuing to plummet. At 76-77 i closed my position.Then bought and sold a few in this small rally with marginal profit.. This time i wont trust those walls at 70, it can get eaten by gorillas quick,as Blitz say juicy bids with little spread. And the bounce may not trespass 70 again before visiting further lows.
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