Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33187. (Read 26497248 times)

Again with this low volume. That worries me, in particular after a bounce. One would expect some kind of continuation.
Watching that 100ema closely.

Nice to see Rpietila here posting again. Seriously are you doing things in mBTC now, because your prediction was 300k this year, not it's 300 next year. No problem with a year push, but with a movement of decimal places there is a problem!

Bearish triangle closing very soon. Up or down?

I say down, but I don't discard breaking $110 for a while before the crash to double digits. I speculated a bit between yesterday and today, bought at 77€ and sold between 81.22€ and 81.77€ during last night and this morning. Volume very low, not easy at all to trade +150BTC ATM avoiding slippage.

So, willing to do an escrowed bet against everybody willing to join in this forums, regarding NOT arriving at $300,000 per BTC by 2014?

We are in the "early/pricing" stage of an exponentially growing (later: S-growing) phenomenon. If everything goes as it has done in several bubbles before, the great bubble will form when 1-2% of the population had adopted the technology. For Bitcoin, this means about 50 million adapters that actually use bitcoin for something. This "something" has so far been lagging, though.

I withdrew my prediction for $300 for 2013, but this does not mean that I was sure it will not happen. In 2014 it will happen for sure. Or some 1.5-sigma event happens.

The great moves have been able to push the price up roughly by an order of magnitude. We need 4 such moves and the rest of this year is not long enough time. April-June 2014 is now my target.

Current price I would just buy as much as I can.

Mate, you really shouldn't post in a public forum your email address and your Mt.Gox account number.  I'd recommend you edit your post for security reasons.  Just some friendly advice.

EDIT - hidden his email address and account number (!)

Nothing about what you're saying makes sense.


You know who it is and you're just not going to say who it is?  Then what is the point of this?    



Now you're only "pretty sure" you know who it is?    And first you said you tracked them to the Bitcoin forums.  Which is it?


Really?  Exactly how did "they" get access to your account?  


Debatable.  You know who this is and won't share thus allow other people to be swindled.  That is if that's what really happened at all.  It's actually starting to sound like a really poor slandering attempt of the Ripple forums and those dealing in XRP's.  


Do people still believe this BS?    No, fools finish last.  If you gave up your account information and got ripped off, what do you expect?


Not even sure what this means.  

an (admittedly half-arsed) attempt to update Tony's efforts:

lol, small edit - hope you don't mind.

 I thought my Mt. Gox account was comprimised, it wasn't, I traced it back to a "Hero" member her on Bitcoin Forum, I still have not heard a word back from this Forum admin regarding the theft. I just received a free Yubikey coupon from Mt. Gox, even though it wasn't their fault.

       The member who stole my BTC is still here and getting more and more BTC everyday, and even posts here that nobody will help anyone who gets their bitcoin taken in the USA. My BTC is in Germany now. Like I said Bitcoin Forum admin are ignoring me, as is bitcoinwallet.in. I am not going to mention who it is that has taken it, as I am pretty sure it is a group of people, dealing in the XRP (Ripple) Forum. Get free XRP, people want to 'buy' your XRP with BTC, then they get access to your account and empty out your wallet. I have reported this to the proper people and it is up to them if they want to allow crypto to continue to allow criminals to plunder at will, as for me, I am done with crypto currency due to this. Life is too short to constantly worry about getting ripped off, and that is how it will be as long as there is no recourse for being the victim of crime. If anyone can help me get my BTC back, I would appreciate it. My email is [email protected] , if you can return my 4.02 BTC, please deposit into my Mt. Gox Account: M87178081X
 Here is the Bitcoin Wallet address from where it was stolen, 1Vkaz6jgQkbLuGT72ewkwhYkf5nsmcSMJ it is not hard to find figure out, 4.02 deposit, 4.02 sent(Not by me).

https://blockchain.info/tx/489ec924a4162259a940946f4fa1001abe77f7f5430e38bb500d1c358654605d

I am a nice person, and nice people finish last, time is on my side and I know I will finish.

The three main school of BTC are:


* It's 2011 all over, will crash soon! -By Bears et. al.
*This time it's different; to the moon -By Bulls et. al.
*Bitcoin does what it wants; we can't predict -By Rest et. al.

What theories and information do you guys use to guide your judgement?

Anyone know how to apply Kelly's Criterion in BTC trading?

Forgive me, I'm new

Because they're losing market share, and it might be due to their high fees.  It's especially high when you realize they take the fee from _both_ parties, so they skim 0.6% to 1.0% of every trade.

Because it's outrageous. I made a rough calculation the other day and I paid them THOUSANDS of € in fees in the last months, trading quite lightly and manually. But yeah, you are right. Until there is no competitor applying reasonable fees, everybody is going to charge the maximum the market allows them. That's how you run a business.

they are a business, why would they lower their fees, when they don't have to ?

And BTW, 0.5% fee is still outrageous.

I have something in between of 0.3% and 0.36% at Gox, and I consider it very expensive (and is still quite cheaper than the "default" 0.5%). With the current BTC price and volume, Gox should lower A LOT the fees.

I see an accelerating downward trend, punctuated with occasional biggish buys and very short term upwards movement, but then slowly(ish) reverting to down down down....

The whales are just filter feeders these days.

"Weekend Dip" is being kind. When someone sells large volume on a Sat/Sun the pice comes down. That has happened on two consecutive weekends and is at the root of the current downtrend. Not saying we wouldn't have gone down during the week either, but it certainly is interesting time to put in large sell orders not only on the weekend but at off hours.