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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33214. (Read 26464214 times)

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
at current rate i think the wall is eaten in 2 or 3 days..  there's also a +1k short  @ bitfinex that at some point will close its position so it can go faster then we think.

Speaking of BFX, you can tell how long everyone is from how ridiculous the P2P interest rates on USD loans are. Leveraging $1,000 is more expensive (99%) than the variable interest rate (78%), which had an extra ~$90k available in it yesterday. When the price was ~115 you could leverage like 10k for ~25-30%.

Will be a real calamity if someone dumps the price back to $105.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
Based on Tony Coleby's chart, this is what I predict for the coming weeks:

(I drew the green, red and gray lines at the end)

I agree, but you seem to forget that we always overshoot. It will probably hit like $200, crash down to about $150, and then slowly converge. In other words, I like the shape of your graph, I just think the zig-zags are smaller than they will actually be.
sr. member
Activity: 411
Merit: 250
Yeah but, 131 is ~1800 coins away.  Fundamentally, nothing has really changed.

Yup, true. But slowly up we go... after leaving 131 behind, it should move veery fast. Wink

at current rate i think the wall is eaten in 2 or 3 days..  there's also a +1k short  @ bitfinex that at some point will close its position so it can go faster then we think.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Is it me, or is someone's bot getting over excited about 0.01btc?
sr. member
Activity: 411
Merit: 250
if it only was easy to get gox $ out with sepa and move it to bitstamp..  it would be a done deal already..  clearing that 2k wall. 
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
What's up bulls?   Huh  Nothing really stopping you from running up to 137, what's the deal?  I figured with all the bullish talk, you'd be selling your houses trailers by now.   Grin

I kid, I kid.   Wink
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1026
Yeah but, 131 is ~1800 coins away.  Fundamentally, nothing has really changed.

Yup, true. But slowly up we go... after leaving 131 behind, it should move veery fast. Wink
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Quick update from Bitstamp. 130 is done.



Yeah but, 131 is ~1800 coins away.  Fundamentally, nothing has really changed.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1026
Quick update from Bitstamp. 130 is done.

legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
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Based on Tony Coleby's chart, this is what I predict for the coming weeks:

(I drew the green, red and gray lines at the end)
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 501
could someone explain how to read the posts of chartbuddy?
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
LibertyReserve going out of business is part of it also.  These LR users have to go somewhere. Bitcoin is the best option.

People might be pricing that into the market. But if you lost money at LR, you probably have cash flow problems, probably not going to be buying BTC this second, more likely to be selling any BTC you have. Now if you have money you'd usually send to LR but now are going to send it to Gox, that won't happen for a few days.

I don't think any of this rally is directly from people affected by LR, but I do agree we will be seeing more money flowing through BTC in the next few weeks/months because of it.

To me, this rally seems like "3 weeks of stability - okay this BTC shit might actually be legit - lets buy some coins". Mixed in with a whole bunch of Bears who waited for cheap coins, couldn't get them, have accepted the fact they need to pay more to buy back in, and have bought back in. So to me, it's bump from weeks of stability and Bears who got left behind (and maybe the 10s of millions of new VC money we got in May). Grin

EDIT: On a side note, has anyone else ever seen a stretch this long where there are almost no fake ask walls? No walls popping up on the edge, no big walls getting pulled right before the bulls arrive, the last 3 weeks pretty much every big wall has been eaten. I can't even remember the last time I saw an ask wall trying to cock block a rally. Checking the old wall thread, you can't go a single page without someone mentioning a fake wall moving around. This thread? Maybe every 10 pages it gets a mention.

I think Liberty Reserve is a factor but more a psychological one. I'm not sure we are seeing lots of LR users move into BTC, yeah some sure. But many people are seeing another "funding" mechanism closed down and there are fewer standing choices now. It is sort of like we are seeing our standing power. Really, doesn't at all seem like the government is after us. The best they could do thus far is to say, follow FinCen regulations and they shut a Dwolla funding source. (Most likely this will result in a fine and nothing more as it doesn't appear nefarious.)

I remember those "fake" ask walls, then I remember many of them getting eaten into or just plain eaten. We stopped seeing them.  Grin
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
Little present/upgrade for ChartBuddy, because he just keeps doing his job, never complaining...



.png format, no background, personalized, 400 x 200 pixels

Better send him a personal message, his chart posting is automated. You're post might get lost in the flood of speculation.
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
Little present/upgrade for ChartBuddy, because he just keeps doing his job, never complaining...

https://i.imgur.com/3zqcD7D.png

.png format, no background, personalized, 400 x 200 pixels
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
I had money in LR Sad

Fortunately I had exchanged the vast majority of my funds to Bitcoin. There was probably like 50-100 bucks hanging around in there, though.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 501
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LibertyReserve going out of business is part of it also.  These LR users have to go somewhere. Bitcoin is the best option.

People might be pricing that into the market. But if you lost money at LR, you probably have cash flow problems, probably not going to be buying BTC this second, more likely to be selling any BTC you have. Now if you have money you'd usually send to LR but now are going to send it to Gox, that won't happen for a few days.

I don't think any of this rally is directly from people affected by LR, but I do agree we will be seeing more money flowing through BTC in the next few weeks/months because of it.

To me, this rally seems like "3 weeks of stability - okay this BTC shit might actually be legit - lets buy some coins". Mixed in with a whole bunch of Bears who waited for cheap coins, couldn't get them, have accepted the fact they need to pay more to buy back in, and have bought back in. So to me, it's bump from weeks of stability and Bears who got left behind (and maybe the 10s of millions of new VC money we got in May). Grin

EDIT: On a side note, has anyone else ever seen a stretch this long where there are almost no fake ask walls? No walls popping up on the edge, no big walls getting pulled right before the bulls arrive, the last 3 weeks pretty much every big wall has been eaten. I can't even remember the last time I saw an ask wall trying to cock block a rally. Checking the old wall thread, you can't go a single page without someone mentioning a fake wall moving around. This thread? Maybe every 10 pages it gets a mention.
sr. member
Activity: 411
Merit: 250
very slowly nibling at the bitstamp 2k wall Smiley..   i like
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
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