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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33215. (Read 26497694 times)

sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
....



I would like to hear you undermine this claim of mine:

The only reason why somebody would go and exchange fiat for bitcoin right now (not counting speculation, store of value) is to spend it on Silkroad. Nobody in right mind would go and exchange it to btc only to buy something they could have bought instantly with traditional methods. And the only thing that they can't, are silkroad goods. YES if you already have bitcoins then you might use them on other stuff, if you mine, you will use them. But this is minority of people. I'm talking about general public.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
What has Bitpay got anything to do with Avalon sales?  Avalon sales just accept bitcoin payment directly.. there is no need for bitpay to be in the equation at all.
AFAIK they accepted it in the past for at least one of their batches and accounted for the majority of Bitpay's volume on that month.

Bit-Pay was Avalons bitcoin processor for batch1: $1200x300= 360k
Walletbit for batch2: $1500x600= 900k

That's not correct. Paysius (mis)handled Avalon b1, Walletbit (mis)handled Avalon b2, and Bitpay handled Avalon b3(perfectly).

None of this changes the fact that Bitpay is not an accurate overall measure of the Bitcoin economy IMO. I see the role of companies like bitspend.net continuing to expand, and this will create Bitcoin traffic that cannot be measured by looking at Bitpay's books.
member
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supernode
N12
donator
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If i recall correctly, batch 3 was 600 units @ 5k each (3M)
Yep, that's what I had in the back of my mind. Thanks, so they were indeed responsible for 3 out of 5 million of Bitpay's volume that month.
legendary
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
N12
donator
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You will find that the sales volume on miners will largely depend on the profitability of an ASIC which depends on difficulty/price. Historically, the miners' profit margin always went near zero or even to negative values during major corrections (difficulty itself went down due to this), so, I would not count on this sort of gold rush shovel "economic activity" to endure for very long, certainly not at volumes of the past.

What has Bitpay got anything to do with Avalon sales?  Avalon sales just accept bitcoin payment directly.. there is no need for bitpay to be in the equation at all.
AFAIK they accepted it in the past for at least one of their batches and accounted for the majority of Bitpay's volume on that month.

Bit-Pay was Avalons bitcoin processor for batch1: $1200x300= 360k
Walletbit for batch2: $1500x600= 900k
Hm, I had the impression it was 2-3 million. It's a while ago. Batch 2 maybe?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Lebing, you answer question from my post?
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
Lucas, I dont read this thread much but when I do I come in here and read something and its always you making some statement when you have absolutely 0 to back it up. Have you even heard of bitpay? Do you know how much they are processing alone? All the way back in march (before the peak of the bubble even) they were adding thousands of new merchants a month and processing over 5 million in orders... per month. http://blog.bitpay.com/2013/04/bitpay-eclipses-silk-road-in-bitcoin.html This is only one payment processor (theres no way to actually gauge the total, but you can be sure its far higher than that when you consider its only one processor among thousands of others.

TLDR. Less typing out of your ass, more reading.
As I said, Bitpay figures are largely inflated by Avalon sales. Actual commerce figures from bitcoinstore, Reddit Gold and Humble Bundle show the harsh truth.

Right, because buying things in the bitcoin economy doesn't count.


N12
donator
Activity: 1610
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What has Bitpay got anything to do with Avalon sales?  Avalon sales just accept bitcoin payment directly.. there is no need for bitpay to be in the equation at all.
AFAIK they accepted it in the past for at least one of their batches and accounted for the majority of Bitpay's volume on that month.
full member
Activity: 232
Merit: 100
Lucas, I dont read this thread much but when I do I come in here and read something and its always you making some statement when you have absolutely 0 to back it up. Have you even heard of bitpay? Do you know how much they are processing alone? All the way back in march (before the peak of the bubble even) they were adding thousands of new merchants a month and processing over 5 million in orders... per month. http://blog.bitpay.com/2013/04/bitpay-eclipses-silk-road-in-bitcoin.html This is only one payment processor (theres no way to actually gauge the total, but you can be sure its far higher than that when you consider its only one processor among thousands of others.

TLDR. Less typing out of your ass, more reading.
As I said, Bitpay figures are largely inflated by Avalon sales. Actual commerce figures from bitcoinstore, Reddit Gold and Humble Bundle show the harsh truth.

What has Bitpay got anything to do with Avalon sales?  Avalon sales just accept bitcoin payment directly.. there is no need for bitpay to be in the equation at all.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust

Exactly right. Bitcoin has never been a billion dollar market in the first place. The figures most people are touting from Bitpay are hugely inflated because of mining equipment, and the evidence like data on sales of Humble Bundle, Reddit Gold and bitcoinstore suggest that people don't use Bitcoin as a currency in any significant way.

We'll I will quote this every single time I try to make my point.
I'll let you have some part of the treatment I got when saying nobody is using it except .....
newbie
Activity: 14
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N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
Lucas, I dont read this thread much but when I do I come in here and read something and its always you making some statement when you have absolutely 0 to back it up. Have you even heard of bitpay? Do you know how much they are processing alone? All the way back in march (before the peak of the bubble even) they were adding thousands of new merchants a month and processing over 5 million in orders... per month. http://blog.bitpay.com/2013/04/bitpay-eclipses-silk-road-in-bitcoin.html This is only one payment processor (theres no way to actually gauge the total, but you can be sure its far higher than that when you consider its only one processor among thousands of others.

TLDR. Less typing out of your ass, more reading.
As I said, Bitpay figures are largely inflated by Avalon sales. Actual commerce figures from bitcoinstore, Reddit Gold and Humble Bundle show the harsh truth.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
As much as I would LOVE it to go to 50, what makes you people think its not a repeat from 3rd of May?

Huh? Why would you love that?

Because this will mean that bubble is largely over and I can buy bitcoins at a price that likely will not halve, split the wallet file into three separate files and forget about checking damn clark moody more often than facebook for a year or two.

So basically you want the whole Bitcoin economy to drop 50% so you can buy a few cheap coins. Did i read that right?

You read 100% correct. There is no Bitcoin economy. (except for silkroad of course) I hope you are not another of hippies preaching that.

The only reason why somebody would go and exchange fiat for bitcoin right now (not counting speculation, store of value) is to spend it on Silkroad. Nobody in right mind would go and exchange it to btc only to buy something they could have bought instantly with traditional methods. And the only thing that they can't, are silkroad goods. YES if you already have bitcoins then you might use them on other stuff, if you mine, you will use them. But this is minority of people. I'm talking about general public. I'm repeating myself but I enjoy seeing idealists try to desperately justify their opinion.



Lucas, I dont read this thread much but when I do I come in here and read something and its always you making some statement when you have absolutely 0 to back it up. Have you even heard of bitpay? Do you know how much they are processing alone? All the way back in march (before the peak of the bubble even) they were adding thousands of new merchants a month and processing over 5 million in orders... per month. http://blog.bitpay.com/2013/04/bitpay-eclipses-silk-road-in-bitcoin.html This is only one payment processor (theres no way to actually gauge the total, but you can be sure its far higher than that when you consider its only one processor among thousands of others.

TLDR. Less typing out of your ass, more reading.
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
panic buy happening right now

Looks like a bot painting the tape to me.

At one point a few minutes ago an 800+ BTC bidwall appeared on $98 and was immediately sold into forming a new top.

Someone's meddling with the price by the looks of it.
hero member
Activity: 841
Merit: 1000
member
Activity: 93
Merit: 10
cant make up my mind if i shuld buy back now or not Sad

I wouldn't do it. I think dumpers just wait for walls to build some support to that they can sell into them. But that's just me Tongue

if its like gona be like we think the time for those who gona sell is the time now , if thay dont the price will go up to maby 110.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 501
I'm half btc half cash now and don't know if to sell or buy.
Keep it at that ratio. If it goes down 20% buy more coins to bring the ratio back to 50/50, if it goes up 20% then sell some coins, always keep it at 50/50. You can even set this up in advance with limit orders and have more free time for fishing.

thanks.
that sounds like a plausible advice. will go more fishing soon Smiley these three days without any connection to electronic mayhem felt quite good.

hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
panic buy happening right now
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
As much as I would LOVE it to go to 50, what makes you people think its not a repeat from 3rd of May?

Huh? Why would you love that?

Because this will mean that bubble is largely over and I can buy bitcoins at a price that likely will not halve, split the wallet file into three separate files and forget about checking damn clark moody more often than facebook for a year or two.

So basically you want the whole Bitcoin economy to drop 50% so you can buy a few cheap coins. Did i read that right?

You read 100% correct. There is no Bitcoin economy. (except for silkroad of course) I hope you are not another of hippies preaching that.

The only reason why somebody would go and exchange fiat for bitcoin right now (not counting speculation, store of value) is to spend it on Silkroad. Nobody in right mind would go and exchange it to btc only to buy something they could have bought instantly with traditional methods. And the only thing that they can't, are silkroad goods. YES if you already have bitcoins then you might use them on other stuff, if you mine, you will use them. But this is minority of people. I'm talking about general public. I'm repeating myself but I enjoy seeing idealists try to desperately justify their opinion.

Exactly right. Bitcoin has never been a billion dollar market in the first place. The figures most people are touting from Bitpay are hugely inflated because of mining equipment, and the evidence like data on sales of Humble Bundle, Reddit Gold and bitcoinstore suggest that people don't use Bitcoin as a currency in any significant way.

Uhm, do you even understand where that 1 billion number comes from?
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